Assessing Woodside Energy Group’s Valuation After Record 2025 Production And Key Project Progress

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Assessing Woodside Energy Group’s Valuation After Record 2025 Production And Key Project Progress

Simply Wall St.01-30

Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) has drawn fresh attention after reporting record full-year production for 2025, issuing 2026 production guidance, and outlining progress on key projects such as ...

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The 1 year total shareholder return of 9.73% contrasts with a weaker 3 year total...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"PRGS":"Progress Software Corporation","BK7142":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","WDS.AU":"WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD","BK4097":"系统软件","LU2065732104.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX) WF GLOBAL SMALL CAP EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"评估伍德赛德能源集团2025年创纪录产量和关键项目进展后的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"WDS.AU":1,"PRGS":1.5},"content_text":"Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) has drawn fresh attention after reporting record full-year production for 2025, issuing 2026 production guidance, and outlining progress on key projects such as Scarborough and Beaumont. See our latest analysis for Woodside Energy Group. The production and project updates have come alongside a 7.55% 1 month share price return and 7.23% year to date share price return to A$25.37. The 1 year total shareholder return of 9.73% contrasts with a weaker 3 year total shareholder return of 10.60% and a stronger 5 year total shareholder return of 42.15%, suggesting recent momentum has been improving after a more mixed medium term journey. If Woodside’s project pipeline has your attention, it may be a good moment to widen your watchlist with other aerospace and defense stocks that are exposed to long term energy and security themes. With record 2025 production, a 62% implied intrinsic discount and only a modest 4% gap to the average analyst price target, the question now is whether Woodside is still mispriced or if the market already anticipates future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 6.6% Undervalued Against Woodside Energy Group’s last close of A$25.37, the most followed narrative points to a fair value of A$27.16, built on detailed long term LNG and ammonia assumptions.  Investor optimism appears driven by robust expectations for long-term demand growth in Asian and emerging markets, with Woodside's global LNG expansion (Louisiana, Scarborough) positioned to capture this growth; however, these assumptions may underestimate the potential for rapid decarbonization policies or renewable adoption, risking future revenue and volume growth if LNG demand softens in key markets.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what sits behind that fair value gap? The narrative leans heavily on future LNG volumes, margin shifts, and a richer earnings multiple than the sector usually commands. Result: Fair Value of A$27.16 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, softer modeled revenue growth and a higher discount rate show how quickly decarbonization policies or project delays could challenge the idea that WDS is still undervalued. Find out about the key risks to this Woodside Energy Group narrative.  Build Your Own Woodside Energy Group Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom view in a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Woodside Energy Group research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Woodside has sharpened your focus, now may be a good time to scan for other opportunities that fit your style before the rest of the market spots them.  Consider potential mispricings by checking out these 868 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may offer more upside based on their cash flow profiles. Explore major technology themes by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence across different industries. Review opportunities at the smaller end of the market by looking at these 3524 penny stocks with strong financials that pass fundamental quality filters.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Woodside Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}