German Bond Yields in Line With SEB's 'Extended Conflict' in Mideast Scenario -- Market Talk

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German Bond Yields in Line With SEB's 'Extended Conflict' in Mideast Scenario -- Market Talk

Dow Jones13:56

0556 GMT - German government bond yields reached the lower bound of SEB's targets it had set on March 3 for an "extended conflict" scenario in the Middle East. "We think the risk of a significant further selloff is declining," SEB's Jussi Hiljanen and Filip Carlsson say in a note. In SEB's "extended conflict" scenario of several months, which assumed Brent crude at around $100 per barrel, it set the German 10-year Bund yield at 3.00%-3.20% and the two-year Schatz yield at 2.70%-2.80%, and envisaged markets discounting 50 to 75 basis points of European Central Bank rate hikes this year. "The short-end repricing was largely completed, with 75-80bp of rate hikes priced in before the ceasefire announcement, and two-year and 10-year yields moved into our target range." (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

April 15, 2026 01:56 ET (05:56 GMT)

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In SEB's \"extended conflict\" scenario of several months, which assumed Brent crude at around $100 per barrel, it set the German 10-year Bund yield at 3.00%-3.20% and the two-year Schatz yield at 2.70%-2.80%, and envisaged markets discounting 50 to 75 basis points of European Central Bank rate hikes this year. \"The short-end repricing was largely completed, with 75-80bp of rate hikes priced in before the ceasefire announcement, and two-year and 10-year yields moved into our target range.\" (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  April 15, 2026 01:56 ET (05:56 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"TMF","symbol_name":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2627403874","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2627403874","pubTimestamp":1776232560,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0556 GMT - German government bond yields reached the lower bound of SEB's targets it had set on March 3 for an \"extended conflict\" scenario in the Middle East. \"We think the risk of a significant further selloff is declining,\" SEB's Jussi Hiljanen and Filip Carlsson say in a note. 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