Kevin George

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. I run the Global Markets Playbook on Seeking Alpha's Marketplace.

    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·11-28

      Investors Should Position For A Correction In Tech Stocks

      I believe the market is in complacency mode, with the potential for a sharp correction, as evidenced by the AI-driven rally showing cracks in the semiconductor sector. Investors are becoming overly greedy, as seen in record ETF inflows and stock buybacks, which could exacerbate downside risks during a market correction. Geopolitical tensions and Trump's tariff agenda pose significant risks, potentially leading to a Black Swan event that could disrupt market stability. Despite some analysts predicting moderate economic growth in 2025, I believe investors should be fearful, not greedy, due to high valuations and underlying market vulnerabilities. lechatnoir The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has had a strong year with gains of around 25%
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      Investors Should Position For A Correction In Tech Stocks
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·11-06

      Microsoft's Valuation Is Sufficient As Cloud Growth Stalls (Rating Downgrade)

      Microsoft's recent earnings release disappointed investors with weaker cloud expectations. The company is currently trading at a high valuation, which may be at risk in coming quarters. Competition is rising in the cloud and AI spaces, with Microsoft's dominance not assured. BongkarnThanyakij Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) has gained around 50% from my last article on the company, but the latest earnings make me want to take the other side of the trade. Stalled cloud growth is the headline In the latest earnings
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      Microsoft's Valuation Is Sufficient As Cloud Growth Stalls (Rating Downgrade)
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·09-20

      Selling Amazon On Recession Risks (Downgrade)

      Summary Amazon's overreliance on AWS and potential regression in e-commerce segments pose downside risks amid rising unemployment and consumer spending pullbacks. Historical net margin trends and economic indicators suggest a challenging environment, with potential stagflation and reduced holiday sales growth. Despite AWS resilience, valuation concerns arise as North America's performance faces economic risks that threaten Amazon's bottom line. Given these factors, I am reversing my Buy recommendation, awaiting further economic data into 2025. AntonioSolano I was positive on Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock almost a year ago, and the share
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      Selling Amazon On Recession Risks (Downgrade)
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·09-17

      Roku: Underlying Growth Prospects And An Improving Cash Position

      Summary Roku's valuation is at a historically low forward price/sales ratio of 2.71x, suggesting potential for a stock price rebound. CEO Anthony Wood highlighted growth in Streaming Households, Streaming Hours, and Platform Revenue in Q2 2024. Despite high costs, Roku's improving net margins and fiscal discipline signal potential for positive net income and cash flow in upcoming quarters. Strong user engagement and ad revenue growth, alongside hardware rollouts, indicate promising future performance and stock price improvement. Giuliano Benzin Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) shares have suffered a rough 2024 with the shares down around -18% year-to-date. I believe there is potential for a bounce from this level and will outline my reasons here. An int
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      Roku: Underlying Growth Prospects And An Improving Cash Position
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-27

      Why I'm Selling Nvidia Ahead Of Q2 Earnings

      Summary Nvidia Corporation's growth is slowing, with revenue projections indicating another significant decrease in quarterly growth. Delays in the release of new Blackwell chips could impact growth prospects and the stock valuation if management confirms. Hedge fund Elliott Investment Management has labeled Nvidia as a “bubble” with overhyped technology, raising concerns about future demand and growth potential. Nvidia's commitment to buybacks over R&D and equipment shows me a focus on stock price over new initiatives. zbruch Market heavyweight Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) releases its second-quarter 2025 earnings post-market on Wednesday. In this article, I will discuss
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      Why I'm Selling Nvidia Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-26

      Oil Can Rebound With Dark Clouds Over OPEC's Production Cut Plans

      Summary Weakness in crude, driven by China and Middle East cease-fire hopes. OPEC facing a pivotal decision on production increases. Outlook for U.S. inventories and Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Goldman Sachs said hedge funds have been dumping oil-consuming stocks to buy energy firms for a fourth week. bymuratdeniz Oil has bounced for a fourth time at a cluster of supports that have contained the crude price bottom around $72.00 since February. In this article, I will discuss why I see a rebound in black gold. Weakness in crude driven by China, Middle East Despite a bounce in crude oil this week, prices are still down around 11% since July. Much of the weakness in crude oil has been driven by two themes: Hopes for a cease-fire in the Middle East and a weak Chinese economy. On the first iss
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      Oil Can Rebound With Dark Clouds Over OPEC's Production Cut Plans
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-22

      Upstart Can Move Higher On Short Interest, Efficiency Gains

      Summary Upstart Holdings' share price has rebounded over 60% in the last three months, putting it in the green for 2024. Short interest in Upstart is high, potentially leading to a short squeeze that could drive the stock price higher. Concerns about the company's valuation and downside risks, including economic factors and revenue growth challenges, may impact future performance. VioletaStoimenova Lending platform Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ:UPST) has seen its share price rebounding this year. A move of over 60% in the last three months has the stock in the green for 2024. In this article, I will highlight the short interest in the company and the potential for a short squeeze. Upstart management leans on a "comeback story" Upstart released
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      Upstart Can Move Higher On Short Interest, Efficiency Gains
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-17

      Block: Follow The Insiders And Buy

      Summary Sequoia Capital's Global Leader Roelof F. Botha bought $25M worth of Block Inc. stock, following a previous $27.5M purchase. Block Inc. Q2 earnings beat estimates, with raised guidance for EBITDA and increasing Gross Payment Volume. The company is now focused on reducing costs, ramping up bitcoin efforts, and testing its own chips for bitcoin mining. Loss-making MicroStrategy is priced at 56x to sales, while Block is trading at 1.55x. The Good Brigade A director of Block Inc. (NYSE:SQ) has made a substantial purchase of shares in the last week and in this investment thesis, I will look at the company's outlook and consider the timing. Sequoia's Botha buys $25M worth of SQ stock An insider transaction from Roelof F. Botha on August 8,
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      Block: Follow The Insiders And Buy
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-14

      Why I'm Buying DocuSign Ahead Of Q2 Earnings

      Summary DocuSign stock is down -8.7% YTD, opportunity to buy at a fair valuation with strong cash flow and balance sheet. Second quarter earnings to be reported on September 5, potential for stock gains. DocuSign's new IAM platform could be a game changer, unlocking revenue growth and providing management updates on IAM revenue in subsequent quarters. SDI Productions/E+ via Getty Images DocuSign (NASDAQ:DOCU) is down around -8.7% year-to-date and I see this as an opportunity to buy at a fair valuation with a strong cash flow and balance sheet. Second quarter earnings coming soon DocuSign is slated to report its second-quarter earnings on September 5 and this is a goo
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      Why I'm Buying DocuSign Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-11

      Rocket Lab's Growth Could Be Ready For Orbit

      Summary Rocket Lab reported record revenue of $106 million, up 71% year-over-year, with an order backlog of $1.07 billion. Launch Services segment revenue slightly exceeded guidance, while space system segment revenue met expectations. The company has a strong balance sheet to manage its operating timeline and has a project scheduled for 2025 that can compete with the market leader. Pixelimage Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) reported a record revenue this week and the stock could be ready for its growth to take off. I'll outline why the stock is currently my best growth idea. Rocket Lab records best-ever quarter Record Lab reported
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      Rocket Lab's Growth Could Be Ready For Orbit
       
       
       
       

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