Kevin George

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. I run the Global Markets Playbook on Seeking Alpha's Marketplace.

    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·09-20 07:39

      Selling Amazon On Recession Risks (Downgrade)

      Summary Amazon's overreliance on AWS and potential regression in e-commerce segments pose downside risks amid rising unemployment and consumer spending pullbacks. Historical net margin trends and economic indicators suggest a challenging environment, with potential stagflation and reduced holiday sales growth. Despite AWS resilience, valuation concerns arise as North America's performance faces economic risks that threaten Amazon's bottom line. Given these factors, I am reversing my Buy recommendation, awaiting further economic data into 2025. AntonioSolano I was positive on Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock almost a year ago, and the
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      Selling Amazon On Recession Risks (Downgrade)
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·09-17

      Roku: Underlying Growth Prospects And An Improving Cash Position

      Summary Roku's valuation is at a historically low forward price/sales ratio of 2.71x, suggesting potential for a stock price rebound. CEO Anthony Wood highlighted growth in Streaming Households, Streaming Hours, and Platform Revenue in Q2 2024. Despite high costs, Roku's improving net margins and fiscal discipline signal potential for positive net income and cash flow in upcoming quarters. Strong user engagement and ad revenue growth, alongside hardware rollouts, indicate promising future performance and stock price improvement. Giuliano Benzin Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) shares have suffered a rough 2024 with the shares down around -18% year-to-date. I believe there is potential for a bounce from this level and will outline my reasons here.
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      Roku: Underlying Growth Prospects And An Improving Cash Position
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-27

      Why I'm Selling Nvidia Ahead Of Q2 Earnings

      Summary Nvidia Corporation's growth is slowing, with revenue projections indicating another significant decrease in quarterly growth. Delays in the release of new Blackwell chips could impact growth prospects and the stock valuation if management confirms. Hedge fund Elliott Investment Management has labeled Nvidia as a “bubble” with overhyped technology, raising concerns about future demand and growth potential. Nvidia's commitment to buybacks over R&D and equipment shows me a focus on stock price over new initiatives. zbruch Market heavyweight Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) releases its second-quarter 2025 earnings post-market on Wednesday. In this article, I will dis
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      Why I'm Selling Nvidia Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-26

      Oil Can Rebound With Dark Clouds Over OPEC's Production Cut Plans

      Summary Weakness in crude, driven by China and Middle East cease-fire hopes. OPEC facing a pivotal decision on production increases. Outlook for U.S. inventories and Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Goldman Sachs said hedge funds have been dumping oil-consuming stocks to buy energy firms for a fourth week. bymuratdeniz Oil has bounced for a fourth time at a cluster of supports that have contained the crude price bottom around $72.00 since February. In this article, I will discuss why I see a rebound in black gold. Weakness in crude driven by China, Middle East Despite a bounce in crude oil this week, prices are still down around 11% since July. Much of the weakness in crude oil has been driven by two themes: Hopes for a cease-fire in the Middle East and a weak Chinese economy. On the fir
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      Oil Can Rebound With Dark Clouds Over OPEC's Production Cut Plans
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-22

      Upstart Can Move Higher On Short Interest, Efficiency Gains

      Summary Upstart Holdings' share price has rebounded over 60% in the last three months, putting it in the green for 2024. Short interest in Upstart is high, potentially leading to a short squeeze that could drive the stock price higher. Concerns about the company's valuation and downside risks, including economic factors and revenue growth challenges, may impact future performance. VioletaStoimenova Lending platform Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ:UPST) has seen its share price rebounding this year. A move of over 60% in the last three months has the stock in the green for 2024. In this article, I will highlight the short interest in the company and the potential for a short squeeze. Upstart management leans on a "comeback story" Upstart rele
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      Upstart Can Move Higher On Short Interest, Efficiency Gains
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-17

      Block: Follow The Insiders And Buy

      Summary Sequoia Capital's Global Leader Roelof F. Botha bought $25M worth of Block Inc. stock, following a previous $27.5M purchase. Block Inc. Q2 earnings beat estimates, with raised guidance for EBITDA and increasing Gross Payment Volume. The company is now focused on reducing costs, ramping up bitcoin efforts, and testing its own chips for bitcoin mining. Loss-making MicroStrategy is priced at 56x to sales, while Block is trading at 1.55x. The Good Brigade A director of Block Inc. (NYSE:SQ) has made a substantial purchase of shares in the last week and in this investment thesis, I will look at the company's outlook and consider the timing. Sequoia's Botha buys $25M worth of SQ stock An insider transaction from Roelof F. Botha on A
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      Block: Follow The Insiders And Buy
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-14

      Why I'm Buying DocuSign Ahead Of Q2 Earnings

      Summary DocuSign stock is down -8.7% YTD, opportunity to buy at a fair valuation with strong cash flow and balance sheet. Second quarter earnings to be reported on September 5, potential for stock gains. DocuSign's new IAM platform could be a game changer, unlocking revenue growth and providing management updates on IAM revenue in subsequent quarters. SDI Productions/E+ via Getty Images DocuSign (NASDAQ:DOCU) is down around -8.7% year-to-date and I see this as an opportunity to buy at a fair valuation with a strong cash flow and balance sheet. Second quarter earnings coming soon DocuSign is slated to report its second-quarter earnings on September 5 and this i
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      Why I'm Buying DocuSign Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·08-11

      Rocket Lab's Growth Could Be Ready For Orbit

      Summary Rocket Lab reported record revenue of $106 million, up 71% year-over-year, with an order backlog of $1.07 billion. Launch Services segment revenue slightly exceeded guidance, while space system segment revenue met expectations. The company has a strong balance sheet to manage its operating timeline and has a project scheduled for 2025 that can compete with the market leader. Pixelimage Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) reported a record revenue this week and the stock could be ready for its growth to take off. I'll outline why the stock is currently my best growth idea. Rocket Lab records best-ever quarter Record Lab reported
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      Rocket Lab's Growth Could Be Ready For Orbit
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·06-01

      Starbucks Is Looking Cheap On A Historical Basis (Upgrade)

      Summary Starbucks stock has dropped after disappointing Q2 earnings, but the company has a solid global presence and competitive moat. Chinese consumers' cost-conscious behavior and competition from a local startup are near-term challenges for Starbucks. Despite the recent decline in stock price, Starbucks is trading at historically low valuations, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Guido Mieth Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) stock has been under pressure after a recent earnings release as investors wake up to the realization that this is not a growth stock. However, the company has a solid global footprint, a Buffett-style competitive moat, and is trading at a more favorable valuation. An earnings disappointment in a tough mar
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      Starbucks Is Looking Cheap On A Historical Basis (Upgrade)
    • Kevin GeorgeKevin George
      ·05-31

      Why This Could Be A Great Time To Buy China

      Summary China's government takes action to save property and stocks, leading to a bounce in struggling share prices. Investment managers are rushing back to China as fund launches reach a record high, capitalizing on the weak yuan. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF is outperforming the S&P 500, offering potential currency gains and exposure to consumer revival. EschCollection China's government has been stubborn in its refusal to offer large stimulus measures to arrest the country's economic decline. This has ended in 2024 with some "historic" changes. Investment managers are flooding back to China, and the recent plunge in the country's currency has made the opportunity more enticing. China's government steps in to save property and stocks An expected economic rebound in China di
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      Why This Could Be A Great Time To Buy China
       
       
       
       

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