ING Groep: Big Shareholder Yield, Sluggish EPS Growth, Downbeat P/E
I maintain a buy rating on ING Groep due to its undervaluation, despite technical risks and modest earnings growth expectations. ING's Q3 2024 performance showed strong ROE, CET1 ratio, and a 17% shareholder return, with a forward dividend yield of 7.8%. The bank's revenue and EPS growth are forecasted to be modest, justifying a low P/E multiple, but shares trade below book value. Key risks include sluggish Euro Area growth, unfavorable interest rates, and potential global macroeconomic slowdown impacting ING's outlook. Magdalena Wygralak/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Goldman Sachs' 2025 Euro Area outlook calls for muted returns across the region's stock markets. While valuations across the 11 sectors are significantly cheaper than P/E multiples in the US, earnings growth expectations
IYE: Energy Stocks Rallying Despite Weak Oil Prices, Cheap Valuation
I have a buy rating on IYE, viewing it as undervalued with positive price action despite mixed sentiment and wavering oil prices. IYE offers exposure to U.S. energy equities, with a low expense ratio and high dividend yield, making it a compelling value. The ETF's technicals are encouraging, with a bullish ascending triangle pattern and a golden cross, suggesting potential upside to $63. IYE's portfolio is heavily weighted towards large-cap value stocks like Exxon Mobil and Chevron, with a low P/E ratio and cyclical risks. Mark Segal/DigitalVision via Getty Images It’s going to be a challenge for domestic oil & gas companies to book big profits if the Trump administration is su
Kenon Holdings: Divesting ZIM, Breakout In Play Ahead Of Earnings
Kenon Holdings (KEN) has gained 41% YTD, driven by higher global freight rates and strong Utilities-sector performance, despite volatile shipping rates. KEN's shareholder-friendly moves include a $3.80 dividend and stock buybacks, and it is exiting its stake in ZIM. Despite positive technical indicators and bullish seasonal trends, KEN faces challenges with high debt, negative GAAP EPS, and an uncertain earnings outlook. I maintain a hold rating on KEN, appreciating the yield and buybacks but wary of negative earnings and macroeconomic risks. J Studios Shares of Kenon Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:KEN) have performed very well so far in 2024 on a total return basis. Up 41% year-to-date, there have been tailwinds care of higher global freight rates, t
I am upgrading TAN from a hold to a buy due to undervaluation, improving technical patterns, and a bullish RSI divergence relative to SPY. Despite bearish sentiment and a 60% drop since summer 2022, TAN's price-to-earnings ratio is now attractive at 14, with a PEG ratio of 0.7. TAN's concentrated portfolio, high standard deviation, and cyclical risks suggest taking a small stake; use limit orders around market open. Seasonal trends are bullish from December through February, and technical indicators suggest a potential upside reversal if TAN climbs above $37. AndreyPopov/iStock via Getty Images Back in the summer, I outlined a counterintuitive Trump trade
WGMI: The Bitcoin Mining ETF Pares 2024 Gains, Eyeing An Entry Idea
Bitcoin's historical seasonality shows strong returns from December through February, with a median December gain of 8.6%, supporting optimism for a year-end rally. The CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF could benefit from Bitcoin's potential rally, though it currently faces overbought conditions and high volatility. WGMI's portfolio is concentrated, with 50% in its top four holdings, and has a high P/E ratio of 37.5, suggesting caution. Despite long-term positive trends, I maintain a hold rating on WGMI due to its stretched valuation and near-term technical warning signs. da-kuk Bitcoin (BTC-USD) tends to end the year well. In data going back to 2010, the token has typically returned 11.3%, on average, in December. The median gain
Argentina equities' strength, driven by a pro-capitalist government, have made ARGT the best-performing country ETF in 2024, attracting record inflows. ARGT's growth story is compelling despite its 0.59% expense ratio and high volatility, with a forward P/E of 16 (per the issuer) and a 19% EPS growth rate. The ETF's portfolio is highly cyclical, with significant allocations to Consumer Discretionary and Financials, and a notable overweight in Energy. I outline a 'buy the dip' strategy, targeting support in the low $70s, while maintaining a long-term bullish outlook on ARGT. Kutay Tanir/DigitalVision via Getty Images Momentum investors probably know which is the best-performing country ETF in 2024. Argentina equities have soared over multiple timeframes as a pro-capitalist government contin
EPOL: The Surging Dollar Weighs, But Value Remains
The iShares MSCI Poland ETF is rated a buy due to its low 7.1x P/E ratio and strong 21% EPS growth rate. Despite recent underperformance and high volatility, EPOL offers significant income potential with a 5.0% yield and a diversified sector exposure. The fund faces risks from currency fluctuations and sector concentration, particularly in Financials, but has technical support above $20. Seasonal trends suggest caution entering early in the year, but the current valuation and technical setup present a favorable entry point. SW Photography/DigitalVision via Getty Images The US Dollar Index has been on a torrid rally over the past two months. Even before the US election, the greenback was on the ascent, pressuring ex-US stocks. Shares of European equities have come under particular pressure,
3M: Consolidating YTD Gains, Monitoring EPS Growth Into 2025
I reiterate 3M a hold due to its fair valuation near $130 per share and mixed technical indicators. Despite a strong mid-year rally and solid Q3 earnings, MMM's growth prospects and valuation multiples remain modest. Key risks include potential margin pressures, supply chain issues, and global GDP growth weakness, which could impact future performance. The stock is consolidating gains with support at $123-$125 and resistance at $140, suggesting a trading range in the near term. josefkubes 3M (NYSE:MMM) soared mid-year, posting its best earning-day reaction in the company’s history, but the rally has stalled lately. Still up more than 45% in 2024 (total return), shares of the Minnesota-based Industrials sector stalwart have eased off the
General Motors' Q3 earnings beat expectations, with non-GAAP EPS of $2.96 and revenue of $48.8 billion, driving a 20% stock increase since my last analysis. I maintain a $77 price target for GM, citing strong free cash flow, profit growth, and a compelling valuation despite long-term uncertainties in EV and AV markets. Near-term technicals are bullish, with the stock above key moving averages and RSI momentum strong; the next resistance is at $67. Key risks include faster AV and EV adoption, macroeconomic factors like higher unemployment, and geopolitical tensions impacting the supply chain. jetcityimage Tesla (TSLA) has captured much of the limelight following President-elect Trump's victory earlier this month. Shares of General Motors (N
Tech stocks, excluding semiconductors, have surged, with IBM benefiting from AI trends, but valuation concerns prompt a downgrade to a hold. IBM's Q3 results were mixed, with strong software growth but weak infrastructure performance, causing a significant stock drop despite a bottom-line beat. IBM's financial outlook includes solid free cash flow and potential EPS growth, but competition and debt sensitivity pose risks. Technical analysis shows IBM's strong momentum, with $200 as support and $232-$237 as resistance, but valuation limits further upside. Michael Derrer Fuchs Tech stocks away from the semiconductor industry have come back with a vengeance in recent months. The AI trade temporarily peaked at the onset of the second half, resulting in software and legacy technology areas outpe