To The Moon

1. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ is perhaps the most overlooked opportunity in this market.- Exceptional founder.- Fast growing market.- Cutting edge custom hardware.- Set to triple the ARR this quarter.Trading at just 6x forward sales.Truly a 10x opportunity everybody ignores.2.Layered regulations is the biggest obstacle for scaling robotaxis.National legislations should be permissive and regional and municipal regulations should be facilitating the adoption.Process will be different for every city on earth. This is why Waymo is scaling city by city.This is one of the major reasons I think $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ robotaxi thesis is flawed.3.This should be modus operandi for every investor.Here are some business creating o

This is why I avoid $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ .It sounds so sweet when you speculate that TSLA will make 10x in 5 years and 90% of the value will come from robotaxis.Let's calculate what it takes, shall we?Target stock price implies $7.4 trillion market cap. This means that $6.66 trillion market cap will come from robotaxi business.Even if you give 10x sales multiple to this business, you need $666 billion annual revenue from robotaxi business.For reference, $Uber(UBER)$ operates in over 140 countries and makes $39 billion revenue from mobility. Even UBER is grappling with regulations in many countries.You are basically assuming that the whole world will timely issue permissive regulations, TSLA will operate i

1/ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is at the edge of a bullish breakout.Last time it bounced back from $90 levels, it went straight to all time highs with no catalyst.This is repeating now and it's exploding data center revenue is a great catalyst. Here is my AMD investment thesis: 🧵Image2. You have to take a look at this:Last time AMD bounced back off $90 levels, it tripled in a matter of months.This was without any catalyst.Now the same event seems to repeat with a catalyst: Data center revenue growth.Image3.AMD data center revenue grew 69% last year.From Q3 2023 to Q4 2024, quarterly revenue literally tripled increasing every quarter.Yet, this is just the beginning.AMD is finally catching up with $NVIDIA(NVDA

1. $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ says $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ app download was up 47% YoY and web traffic was up 18% YoY in February.The stock is currently trading at just 22 times 2027 earnings.They haven’t even launched menopause, testosterone and home testing yet.Very long runway, very attractive risk/reward.Image2. $Uber(UBER)$ is a 2x opportunity.Revenue is still growing fast, earnings are booming and it's set to dominate the age of autonomous driving.Here is my UBER investment thesis: 🧵ImageUber is one of the most misunderstood companies...People think it's a ride sharing and delivery business.No, it owns the largest distribution network in the whole mobil

1. $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ I don't own, it's still criminally undervalued but there are problems.. 🚨Slower top-line growth is because of a lower take rate, which is a result of competitive pressures.It doesn't have a tech ecosystem like $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ or $MercadoLibre(MELI)$ . In this form, all strategy depends on being the cheapest. Conversely, other providers, like BABA, has all the same means to compete them at price, they had just lagged execution. Now they are coming back.Overall, there is no doubt it's undervalued, but the question is "why should the market catch up with the fundamentals rather t

As tariffs are scheduled to come into effect in April, global diversification is more important than ever.Here are my top 5 international stock picks:1. $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ Stock tanked following Q4 earnings as it suffered from FX headwinds. Brazilian Real dipped against USD in December and it’s been strengthening since then. As FX turned to tailwinds, it remains cheap at 22 times forward earnings.2. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Monopoly in extreme ultraviolet lithography machines that are indispensable for manufacturing cutting edge chips. Order intake is set to accelerate as TSMC plans 5 new facilities in the USA and it keeps expanding in Japan and Europe.3. $MercadoLi

1.Why I am avoiding $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ :TSLA bull thesis was based on two assumptions:TSLA would be exclusive provider of robo-taxi and autonomous robots for at least several years.We see that this is not going to happen.The structure in both industries are evolving similar to computers: A dominant operating system provider with several OEMs.It's clear that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ intends to be that operating system provider in both industries and OEMs are ready to build on its infrastructure. $General Motors(GM)$ is already collaborating with NVDA on autonomy and there are formidable competitors in humanoid robots like Figure AI and Boston Dynamics.Though autonomy and hu

1. $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ is my top growth stock pick now. It's dominating advertising on the open internet. The market massively discounts its future growth and runway at 30 times forward earnings. Here is my full investment thesis: Image2.What does TTD do?It's a giant in programmatic advertising.It's basically serving ads on the internet through auctions facilitated by ad exchanges and tracking the performance data to enhance performance of further biddings.Here, CEO Jeff Green explains it:3. How does $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ do that?It owns and operates a Demand Side Platform (DSP).In the open internet, there are millions of ad spot providers, from blogs to video streaming platforms.They can't sell ads ind

1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is now the cheapest mega-cap stock.It has the fastest growing cloud unit, the most efficient AI and a cash-cow advertising business.The market grossly underestimates its potential at 18 times forward earnings.Here is why GOOG is a great opportunity now: 🧵Image2. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is still growing at a rapid pace despite its sheer size. It's been growing revenue at 17% and net income at a staggering 25% CAGR in the last five years. It's now discounted because the market believes the search will die. This is not the case. Let me explain:Image3.GOOG search volume is still growing...Despite the worries about AI's taking over the search, Google's annual search volume passed 5 trillion for th

US debt refinancing is the only reasonable explanation this administration is bluntly crashing the market.The yields rallied since Fed started to cut rates in last September. The reason was US debt.Investors knew $9 trillion would be maturing this year and refinancing would be inflationary because rates were high. Either Fed needed to step in and buy the government debt or government would need to refinance at higher rates.Both are inflationary so yields rallied.There is only one way out Trump admin sees: Induce a recession, push the Fed to cut and refinance at lower rates.It’s great if it works, but there is the down side…If inflation goes out of control because of tariffs, you’ll get your recession but inflation will remain high and you will have a stagflation…They are playing with fire…