$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$Even though Phunware has demonstrated impressive growth in bookings and is making strides in narrowing its losses, I find that its fundamentals are still relatively weak. Despite these positive signs, profitability remains a distant prospect, which poses a significant risk for long-term investors. Given the current state of the company's financials, I believe that there is still much uncertainty surrounding its future profitability and growth potential. As a result, I am hesitant to invest in Phunware for the long-term, as the risk associated with its fundamentals outweighs the potential rewards. While the company may continue to show positive signs of improvement, I believe that it will take some t
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$AMD doesn't have the breadth, scale or first mover advantage in either CPU's or GPU's for both client and the DC. It can't continue to fight on two fronts out funded and outgunned by laser focused competitors. And let's not forget to consider, for a moment, the possibility that this AI train is likely to completely derail. Even the biggest proponents like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ are beginning to temper expectations around AI revenue and move the goal posts the best they can. There are numerous headwinds building for AMD.
$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$Honestly, I’ve got my doubts about Phunware hitting $15 from an $8.50 entry. I just don’t see it happening, to be real. It feels like the hype is more about the sequence of events rather than the company itself. Everything seems so orchestrated, and in the end, it feels like the biggest winner is going to be $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ .
$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ it is not emotional. Crunch the numbers: DJT is virtually worthless as a company. The only reason the stock price is so high is emotions over the election. Trump will likely win the election and then shareholders will own a money losing company worth at best $1.80 per share with a share price of $40. These do not end well in the long term.
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$I believe it’s essential to consider the risks tied to over-exuberance. With major players like Amazon, $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Apple(AAPL)$ reporting, I see heightened expectations already built into their stock prices. Instead of aggressively taking positions, I prefer adopting a defensive strategy, focusing on the potential for disappointing earnings or guidance to trigger pullbacks, especially considering regulatory pressures on Alphabet and rising competition for Amazon. For this reason, I would consider shorting high-expectation stocks like AMZN or taking pu
$Apple(AAPL)$I don't think that the iphones will be going away anytime soon due to the brand having such a reputable reputation (well, in the U.S. anyways). What I am worried about though is Apple's lack of innovation. The iphones won't be going away, but the newer ones cetainly have not been providing enough incentives for people to upgrade. I know many people that still have the iphone 10, 11, or 12 because they've simply had no reason to pay $800+ for a phone with just a better camera and being faster. From the average consumer's perspective, the camera is already good enough as it is and I don't see anyone really caring about it being faster. Apple intelligence is something else I don't see people exactly being estat
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$I'm personally leaning towards a gradual withdrawal, you know, like easing out of it instead of making one huge splashy exit. I'm thinking about cashing in some profits around the corner, and then slowly but surely, I'll start unwinding my position over the course of FY25. Though, that might still be a bit too hasty. I guess I'll just have to play it by ear and see how those earnings reports shape up.
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$If demand for NVIDIA starts to slow and their customers begin to turn into competitors, that could really shift the dynamics. The idea of Blackwell being a significant factor, followed by Rubin, makes it feel like we’re nearing the end of a cycle for NVIDIA. If the stock approaches $160, I totally get the urge to sell. It might be wise to lock in profits before any potential downturn. It’s always better to play it safe, especially if you think the momentum is shifting. Closing time can be a smart time to exit!
$JD-SW(09618)$ if there's a real drop coming, it’s likely after Singles’Day or when the earnings report hits. Right now, it feels like just a technical adjustment. People hoping to see JD crash need some patience—it’s not going down that easy. The company’s got too many moving parts for a quick fall. Even if JD's in trouble, it’s still going to hang in there for a while.
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$If I have 10 million in the bank and interest rates go up 10%, I make $1 million. If you have 1 million in the bank you make $100,000. $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ has approximately 10 TIMES MSTR's stash, that means at 10,000 coins mined a year, it's going to take DECADES for MARA to catch up. Since I think bitcoin in just a few years will be well north of $150K, MARA just can't catch the leveraged growth MSTR has, and the math isn't even close in that regard.