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Lygan3

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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-09-06
  Why
  Hon Hai Precision August revenue down 4.3% M/M
  Hon Hai Precision(OTCPK:HNHAF)reports August revenue of NT$400B, down 4.3% M/M and 4.9% Y/Y. Year-to
  Hon Hai Precision August revenue down 4.3% M/M
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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-07-29
  ??
  Hot Chinese concept stocks continued to rebound in premarket trading
  Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in premarket trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 3% and 5%.
  Hot Chinese concept stocks continued to rebound in premarket trading
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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-07-14
  Hmm
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-07-12
  Good
  Apple: New Highs, But Now What?
  Apple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?There is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!AAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.Looking for more investing ideas like this one?Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More. So Apple Inc. is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.
  Apple: New Highs, But Now What?
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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-07-12
  Delist?
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-07-11
  Yes
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Lygan3Lygan3
  ·2021-07-11
  ?
  Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?
  Could this tween-oriented gaming platform be the next tech giant?
  Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?
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href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3737359-hon-hai-precision-august-revenue-down-43-mm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HHPD.UK":"鸿海集团"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3737359-hon-hai-precision-august-revenue-down-43-mm","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1137370941","content_text":"Hon Hai Precision(OTCPK:HNHAF)reports August revenue of NT$400B, down 4.3% M/M and 4.9% Y/Y.\nYear-to-date revenue totaled NT$ 3,518.53B, up by 22% from the previous year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808930790,"gmtCreate":1627549432510,"gmtModify":1703492138590,"author":{"id":"3561425854965065","authorId":"3561425854965065","authorIdStr":"3561425854965065","name":"Lygan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561425854965065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/808930790","repostId":"1139723875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139723875","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger 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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks continued to rebound in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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*/\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks continued to rebound in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-29 16:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in premarket trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 5%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dc6bb3705cde0480ddf762a452a7177\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","PDD":"拼多多","JD":"京东","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BIDU":"百度","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139723875","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in premarket trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 3% and 5%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145784322,"gmtCreate":1626246352266,"gmtModify":1703756264603,"author":{"id":"3561425854965065","authorId":"3561425854965065","authorIdStr":"3561425854965065","name":"Lygan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561425854965065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/145784322","repostId":"1186441290","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146899714,"gmtCreate":1626063746038,"gmtModify":1703752641275,"author":{"id":"3561425854965065","authorId":"3561425854965065","authorIdStr":"3561425854965065","name":"Lygan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561425854965065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146899714","repostId":"1155038838","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155038838","pubTimestamp":1626057810,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155038838?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-12 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: New Highs, But Now What?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155038838","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?There is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!AAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.Looking for more investing ideas like this one?Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More. So Apple Inc.  is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?</li>\n <li>There is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!</li>\n <li>AAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.</li>\n <li>Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More »</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24b65798f03c6f9376257bba2741e588\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</p>\n<p>So Apple Inc. (AAPL) is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.</p>\n<p>Market valuations, in general, are stretched, as stocks just notched the 2nd best first half of the year performance in history (up ~14%).</p>\n<p>Interest rates don't seem to know where they are going.</p>\n<p>Inflation is spiking (although many think this is \"transitory\").</p>\n<p>Unemployment is still stubbornly high.</p>\n<p>You get the picture... there's uncertainty.</p>\n<p>All that said, I could make a case for Apple to go either higher or lower over the short term... and there is one chart, in particular, that could dictate that!</p>\n<p><b>The Most Important Chart For Apple</b></p>\n<p>As much as we all like to talk about 5G rollouts and the growth of Apple's wearables segment, nothing will be more important to the stock over the next 12 months than what is in the chart below.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8b9e7dd9a7a29241bc334872748b52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Yes, this is a chart of Apple's stock price vs. the 10 Year Treasury rate. We are at that point in the cycle, folks. Growth stocks are already starting to react to movements in rates... and even Apple has not been able to hide from it.</p>\n<p>The good and the bad of this is that if interest rates stay low (the good), Apple will likely continue to trend higher... but if rates spike (the bad), Apple will get crushed along with the rest of the growth stocks. Unfortunately, the consensus is that rates will certainly increase over the next 12-24 months. That said, the short-term is up in the air. So keep this chart on your radar.</p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>We primarily trade an income strategy that we call the Triple Income Wheel, which starts with writing cash-secured puts on high-quality stocks that you would like to own at a lower price. We won't go into full detail here, but the diagram below is a good summary of the strategy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfdd16ba25690201bcb1771ec8a557b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Since cash-secured puts are short-term trades in nature (typically less than 60 days until maturity), our analysis certainly depends more on short-term catalysts and technical support levels, but we also like to be long-term neutral or bullish on the stock as well.</p>\n<p>Here is our typical framework for analysis (which is a good outline for the article):</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Long-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)</li>\n <li>Short-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)</li>\n <li>Cash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)</li>\n <li>Downside Considerations</li>\n <li>Conclusion</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (MAC), smartwatches (Apple Watch), and TV boxes (Apple TV), among others. The iPhone makes up the majority of Apple’s total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products run internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software, and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.</p>\n<p><i>(Source: YCharts)</i></p>\n<p>Long-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)</p>\n<p>In general, our high-level long-term investment thesis on a stock is more quantitative in nature than qualitative.</p>\n<p>That said, here is how Apple currently ranks across our key long-term ranking measures: Dividend (4), Safety (9), Value (3).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30644bfee0b070e2d9015bff11598f30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Note that our rankings are from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).</i></p>\n<p><b>Dividend</b></p>\n<p>We all know that Apple has the potential to be the greatest dividend stock of all time...it just isn't ready yet! That said, the company has raised its dividend in each of the past 8 years and currently yields 0.61% with a really low payout ratio of 17.0%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee1e06934335af3e4f5201e9e7957e3\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>In addition, the company has steadily been growing its annual payout, with 1-year and 5-year compound annual growth rates of 6.0% and 9.9%, respectively. Basically, everything looks pretty good except for the yield!</p>\n<p><b>Safety</b></p>\n<p>Apple's historical sales and EPS growth charts have always been a thing of beauty (hence the Safety Rating of 9)! Although some sales were certainly pulled forward during the pandemic, the company is expected to earn $5.17 per share in 2021 (a 58% increase over 2020). However, EPS is expected to stabilize in 2022 with projected EPS of $5.30.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9bfeb0d3855a566e05ec26e7af849a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"246\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">That said, the company's balance sheet is also extremely strong with $69.8 billion of cash/short-term investments and management is producing an amazing return on invested capital of 141.5%!</p>\n<p>Apple's reasonable historical stock volatility, with a 5-year standard deviation of 29.4% and beta of 1.2, is also helping to maintain its high Safety Ranking.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Apple currently carries a low rating of 3 for valuation. As shown in the table below, the company is trading at a premium (even on a forward basis) compared to its historical averages for price/sales, price/earnings, and EV/EBITDA. That said, the market has \"repriced\" Apple over the past few years as the company has transitioned from a hardware business to more of a services business. As such, historical valuations are not a good proxy or comparison for future valuations.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a83b3d7c6ac8daaf28bd3b7266725a04\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Despite having a really low dividend yield, Apple actually has a decent shareholder yield of 3.8%.<i>Note that shareholder yield is the combination of buyback yield and dividend yield.</i></p>\n<p><b>Long-term View</b></p>\n<p>Based on the data above and our various rankings, we have a Neutral long-term perspective on Apple. As sales and earnings growth stabilize and slow post-pandemic, the catalyst for earnings surprises may be limited. In addition, the company's valuation feels full at current levels.</p>\n<p><b>Short-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)</b></p>\n<p>From a short-term perspective (especially as it is related to selling cash-secured puts), estimating a good \"strike zone\" is key to our analysis. Our strike zone takes into account (1) the stock's volatility, (2) recent performance (i.e., how much has it already pulled back from its recent highs), (3) near-term EPS risk, and (4) the overall volatility of the market (i.e., VIX level).</p>\n<p>As shown in the table below, our strike zone for Apple is currently $119.00-$133.00, representing a required minimum margin of safety of 8.5%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ac7007040b92ed0d32a8eb27c8620c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"164\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>As discussed in the safety ranking analysis above, Apple ranks positively on a relative basis for Volatility/Risk (rating of 8). However, the stock just made a new 52-week high last Friday (so its Pullback Indicator of 2 has a negative effect on minimum required margin of safety, which is currently at 8.5%).</p>\n<p>That said, AAPL also reports earnings within the next 30 days, so that will need to be on our radar for the option analysis.</p>\n<p>As shown in the chart below, the stock is still in a very strong uptrend with its 50-day moving average (blue line) trading above its 200-day moving average (red line). We now have three good levels of support to watch:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>50-day MA (~$130.00)</li>\n <li>200-day MA (~$126.00)</li>\n <li>Recent low in March 2021 (~$120.00)</li>\n</ol>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b4071baef483a8e8478deb78e45bb73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Short-Term View</b></p>\n<p>There appears to be some decent technical support around our strike zone of $119.00-$133.00, which obviously makes us feel relatively good about selling a cash-secured put in the strike zone if we can.</p>\n<p>Cash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)</p>\n<p>Ideally, when we sell a cash-secured put and start the Triple Income Wheel process, our put is in our \"Strike Zone\" for that stock. In our opinion, that puts the odds of long-term success in our favor.</p>\n<p>The three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Premium Yield% (or Average Monthly Yield%):</b>Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).<i>Assumes that the option is fully cash-secured.</i></li>\n <li><b>Margin-of-Safety %:</b>Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.</li>\n <li><b>Delta:</b>A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><i>Note that there is always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.</i></p>\n<p><i>An investor should always be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance! The Triple Income Wheel can be adapted to suit your needs.</i></p>\n<p>Now let's look at the cash-secured put analysis for Apple. We are focused on the August monthly contract that expires on 8/20/21.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b192ce564ff2fe4aaaf8abf9f4c7542\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>We have highlighted 3 levels of trades based on various risk profiles: Aggressive (-A-), Base (-B-), and Conservative (-C-).</p>\n<p>Ideally, we like to stick with our target levels for our Base portfolio:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Average Monthly Yield % (AMY%): 1.0%-1.5%</li>\n <li>Strike price that is in the strike zone (i.e., margin of safety above the required minimum)</li>\n <li>Delta &lt; 30</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>The AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option @ ~$1.92 meets all of our criteria with an AMY% of 1.0%, a Margin-of-Safety of 7.0%, and a Delta of 22</b>.</p>\n<p><i>Again, based on your risk tolerance, you could choose a strike price that is more aggressive ($140.00 strike) or more conservative ($130.00 strike) than the base trade.</i></p>\n<p><b>Downside Considerations</b></p>\n<p>Assuming we sold the AAPL Aug20th $135.00 strike put option @ $1.92, we would collect $192.00 of premium for each option contract sold. In return for this premium, we agree (and are obligated) to buy 100 shares of AAPL stock for each contract sold at the strike price of $135.00.</p>\n<p>If the stock stays above $135.00 between now and expiration (8/20/21), the option expires worthless and we keep the premium of $1.92.</p>\n<p>However,<i>the downside of this trade comes into play if the stock closes below $135.00 on expiration (8/20/21). Since we are obligated to buy the stock at $135.00, we would have a potential unrealized capital loss on our hands (depending on how low the stock closed on expiration)</i>. We do get to keep the premium either way though, so our breakeven cost basis would be $133.08 ($135.00 - $1.92).</p>\n<p>All that said, when managing the Triple Income Wheel, you should expect to take assignment (buy the stock) on 5-10% of your cash-secured put trades.</p>\n<p>But when this happens, we get to move to step 3 in the diagram above and sell some covered calls on our stock position to start the income flowing again and start mitigating our risk right away.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Based on our long-term and short-term views on Apple, we believe that a cash-secured put strategy makes a lot of sense right now for investors interested in a new position in the stock. The AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option would generate an average monthly yield of 1.0% (or 1.4% over the next 42 days) with a margin-of-safety of 7.0%.</p>\n<p>Assuming you could continue to roll this position every 45-60 days with similar risk/reward parameters, you could build 12%+ annualized income from Apple over the next 12 months (no bad for a stock that currently has a dividend yield under 1.0%).</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: New Highs, But Now What?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: New Highs, But Now What?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-12 10:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438692-apple-new-highs-but-now-what><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?\nThere is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438692-apple-new-highs-but-now-what\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438692-apple-new-highs-but-now-what","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1155038838","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?\nThere is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!\nAAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.\nLooking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More »\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nSo Apple Inc. (AAPL) is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.\nMarket valuations, in general, are stretched, as stocks just notched the 2nd best first half of the year performance in history (up ~14%).\nInterest rates don't seem to know where they are going.\nInflation is spiking (although many think this is \"transitory\").\nUnemployment is still stubbornly high.\nYou get the picture... there's uncertainty.\nAll that said, I could make a case for Apple to go either higher or lower over the short term... and there is one chart, in particular, that could dictate that!\nThe Most Important Chart For Apple\nAs much as we all like to talk about 5G rollouts and the growth of Apple's wearables segment, nothing will be more important to the stock over the next 12 months than what is in the chart below.\nYes, this is a chart of Apple's stock price vs. the 10 Year Treasury rate. We are at that point in the cycle, folks. Growth stocks are already starting to react to movements in rates... and even Apple has not been able to hide from it.\nThe good and the bad of this is that if interest rates stay low (the good), Apple will likely continue to trend higher... but if rates spike (the bad), Apple will get crushed along with the rest of the growth stocks. Unfortunately, the consensus is that rates will certainly increase over the next 12-24 months. That said, the short-term is up in the air. So keep this chart on your radar.\nIntroduction\nWe primarily trade an income strategy that we call the Triple Income Wheel, which starts with writing cash-secured puts on high-quality stocks that you would like to own at a lower price. We won't go into full detail here, but the diagram below is a good summary of the strategy.\n\nSince cash-secured puts are short-term trades in nature (typically less than 60 days until maturity), our analysis certainly depends more on short-term catalysts and technical support levels, but we also like to be long-term neutral or bullish on the stock as well.\nHere is our typical framework for analysis (which is a good outline for the article):\n\nLong-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)\nShort-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)\nCash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)\nDownside Considerations\nConclusion\n\nApple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (MAC), smartwatches (Apple Watch), and TV boxes (Apple TV), among others. The iPhone makes up the majority of Apple’s total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products run internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software, and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.\n(Source: YCharts)\nLong-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)\nIn general, our high-level long-term investment thesis on a stock is more quantitative in nature than qualitative.\nThat said, here is how Apple currently ranks across our key long-term ranking measures: Dividend (4), Safety (9), Value (3).\n\nNote that our rankings are from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).\nDividend\nWe all know that Apple has the potential to be the greatest dividend stock of all time...it just isn't ready yet! That said, the company has raised its dividend in each of the past 8 years and currently yields 0.61% with a really low payout ratio of 17.0%.\n\nIn addition, the company has steadily been growing its annual payout, with 1-year and 5-year compound annual growth rates of 6.0% and 9.9%, respectively. Basically, everything looks pretty good except for the yield!\nSafety\nApple's historical sales and EPS growth charts have always been a thing of beauty (hence the Safety Rating of 9)! Although some sales were certainly pulled forward during the pandemic, the company is expected to earn $5.17 per share in 2021 (a 58% increase over 2020). However, EPS is expected to stabilize in 2022 with projected EPS of $5.30.\nThat said, the company's balance sheet is also extremely strong with $69.8 billion of cash/short-term investments and management is producing an amazing return on invested capital of 141.5%!\nApple's reasonable historical stock volatility, with a 5-year standard deviation of 29.4% and beta of 1.2, is also helping to maintain its high Safety Ranking.\nValuation\nApple currently carries a low rating of 3 for valuation. As shown in the table below, the company is trading at a premium (even on a forward basis) compared to its historical averages for price/sales, price/earnings, and EV/EBITDA. That said, the market has \"repriced\" Apple over the past few years as the company has transitioned from a hardware business to more of a services business. As such, historical valuations are not a good proxy or comparison for future valuations.\n\nDespite having a really low dividend yield, Apple actually has a decent shareholder yield of 3.8%.Note that shareholder yield is the combination of buyback yield and dividend yield.\nLong-term View\nBased on the data above and our various rankings, we have a Neutral long-term perspective on Apple. As sales and earnings growth stabilize and slow post-pandemic, the catalyst for earnings surprises may be limited. In addition, the company's valuation feels full at current levels.\nShort-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)\nFrom a short-term perspective (especially as it is related to selling cash-secured puts), estimating a good \"strike zone\" is key to our analysis. Our strike zone takes into account (1) the stock's volatility, (2) recent performance (i.e., how much has it already pulled back from its recent highs), (3) near-term EPS risk, and (4) the overall volatility of the market (i.e., VIX level).\nAs shown in the table below, our strike zone for Apple is currently $119.00-$133.00, representing a required minimum margin of safety of 8.5%.\n\nAs discussed in the safety ranking analysis above, Apple ranks positively on a relative basis for Volatility/Risk (rating of 8). However, the stock just made a new 52-week high last Friday (so its Pullback Indicator of 2 has a negative effect on minimum required margin of safety, which is currently at 8.5%).\nThat said, AAPL also reports earnings within the next 30 days, so that will need to be on our radar for the option analysis.\nAs shown in the chart below, the stock is still in a very strong uptrend with its 50-day moving average (blue line) trading above its 200-day moving average (red line). We now have three good levels of support to watch:\n\n50-day MA (~$130.00)\n200-day MA (~$126.00)\nRecent low in March 2021 (~$120.00)\n\n\nShort-Term View\nThere appears to be some decent technical support around our strike zone of $119.00-$133.00, which obviously makes us feel relatively good about selling a cash-secured put in the strike zone if we can.\nCash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)\nIdeally, when we sell a cash-secured put and start the Triple Income Wheel process, our put is in our \"Strike Zone\" for that stock. In our opinion, that puts the odds of long-term success in our favor.\nThe three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:\n\nPremium Yield% (or Average Monthly Yield%):Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).Assumes that the option is fully cash-secured.\nMargin-of-Safety %:Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.\nDelta:A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.\n\nNote that there is always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.\nAn investor should always be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance! The Triple Income Wheel can be adapted to suit your needs.\nNow let's look at the cash-secured put analysis for Apple. We are focused on the August monthly contract that expires on 8/20/21.\n\nWe have highlighted 3 levels of trades based on various risk profiles: Aggressive (-A-), Base (-B-), and Conservative (-C-).\nIdeally, we like to stick with our target levels for our Base portfolio:\n\nAverage Monthly Yield % (AMY%): 1.0%-1.5%\nStrike price that is in the strike zone (i.e., margin of safety above the required minimum)\nDelta < 30\n\nThe AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option @ ~$1.92 meets all of our criteria with an AMY% of 1.0%, a Margin-of-Safety of 7.0%, and a Delta of 22.\nAgain, based on your risk tolerance, you could choose a strike price that is more aggressive ($140.00 strike) or more conservative ($130.00 strike) than the base trade.\nDownside Considerations\nAssuming we sold the AAPL Aug20th $135.00 strike put option @ $1.92, we would collect $192.00 of premium for each option contract sold. In return for this premium, we agree (and are obligated) to buy 100 shares of AAPL stock for each contract sold at the strike price of $135.00.\nIf the stock stays above $135.00 between now and expiration (8/20/21), the option expires worthless and we keep the premium of $1.92.\nHowever,the downside of this trade comes into play if the stock closes below $135.00 on expiration (8/20/21). Since we are obligated to buy the stock at $135.00, we would have a potential unrealized capital loss on our hands (depending on how low the stock closed on expiration). We do get to keep the premium either way though, so our breakeven cost basis would be $133.08 ($135.00 - $1.92).\nAll that said, when managing the Triple Income Wheel, you should expect to take assignment (buy the stock) on 5-10% of your cash-secured put trades.\nBut when this happens, we get to move to step 3 in the diagram above and sell some covered calls on our stock position to start the income flowing again and start mitigating our risk right away.\nConclusion\nBased on our long-term and short-term views on Apple, we believe that a cash-secured put strategy makes a lot of sense right now for investors interested in a new position in the stock. The AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option would generate an average monthly yield of 1.0% (or 1.4% over the next 42 days) with a margin-of-safety of 7.0%.\nAssuming you could continue to roll this position every 45-60 days with similar risk/reward parameters, you could build 12%+ annualized income from Apple over the next 12 months (no bad for a stock that currently has a dividend yield under 1.0%).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146899607,"gmtCreate":1626063685309,"gmtModify":1703752640465,"author":{"id":"3561425854965065","authorId":"3561425854965065","authorIdStr":"3561425854965065","name":"Lygan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561425854965065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Delist?","listText":"Delist?","text":"Delist?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146899607","repostId":"1173902659","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148589219,"gmtCreate":1625987986431,"gmtModify":1703751703382,"author":{"id":"3561425854965065","authorId":"3561425854965065","authorIdStr":"3561425854965065","name":"Lygan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561425854965065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148589219","repostId":"2150463301","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148589111,"gmtCreate":1625987939433,"gmtModify":1703751703219,"author":{"id":"3561425854965065","authorId":"3561425854965065","authorIdStr":"3561425854965065","name":"Lygan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561425854965065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148589111","repostId":"2150463301","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150463301","pubTimestamp":1625971562,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2150463301?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150463301","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could this tween-oriented gaming platform be the next tech giant?","content":"<p>Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;and <b>Amazon</b> crossed that milestone in 2018, <b>Microsoft</b>&nbsp;followed suit in 2019, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a></b>&nbsp;joined the club earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Many other tech stocks could join that elite group within the next decade -- and investors who hop on board today could reap massive multibagger gains. Could <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of those stocks be <b>Roblox</b>, the gaming company which gained millions of new users during the pandemic?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F632887%2Fshowcase_filmstrip_1920x1080.png&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Image source: Roblox.</span></p>\n<h2>How much is Roblox worth today?</h2>\n<p>Roblox went public via a direct listing this March with a reference price of $45. The stock opened at $64.50, and currently trades in the high $80s -- which gives it a market capitalization of nearly $50 billion. For Roblox to become a $1 trillion company by 2030, the stock would need to rise about 20 times.</p>\n<p>No pure-play video game company has crossed the $1 trillion mark yet. <b>Activision Blizzard </b>and <b>Electronic Arts</b>, two of the world's largest video game publishers, are currently worth about $70 billion and $40 billion, respectively. <b>Unity</b>, which indirectly competes against Roblox in the game engine and development space, is worth roughly $30 billion.</p>\n<p>If we compare these four companies' price-to-sales ratios, we'll notice the market is paying a much higher premium for game creation engines like Roblox and Unity than traditional video game publishers.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"596\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <th width=\"176\"><p>Company</p></th>\n   <th width=\"189\"><p>P/S Ratio (Current FY)</p></th>\n   <th width=\"187\"><p>P/S Ratio (Next FY)</p></th>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Roblox (NYSE:RBLX)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>20</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>16</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>8</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>7</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>6</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>5</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Unity (NYSE:U)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>30</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Yahoo Finance, July 7. FY = fiscal year.</p>\n<h2>But is Roblox a fad or a new content platform?</h2>\n<p>However, there are some key differences between Roblox and Unity.</p>\n<p>Roblox is a platform that enables younger users, many of whom don't have any coding experience, to build simple block-based games and share them with other players. Unity is an advanced game development engine that powers over half of the world's mobile, PC, and console games.</p>\n<p>Roblox encourages users to monetize their games with an in-app currency called Robux within its walled garden. Unity offers developers more flexible tools for integrating in-app ads, in-app purchases, and other features into their games.</p>\n<p>The bulls claim Roblox's self-sustaining cycle of content creation, self-promotion, and monetization will fuel its long-term growth. The bears will point out that half of the platform's daily active users (DAUs) are under the age of 13, and they might eventually grow out of Roblox's simple experiences or graduate to a more advanced game development engine like Unity.</p>\n<p>The bulls will point to Roblox's growth rates. Between the first quarters of 2018 and 2021, Roblox's DAUs more than quadrupled from 10.3 million to 42.1 million, its total hours engaged surged from 2.1 billion to 9.7 billion, and its average bookings per DAU jumped from $11.62 to $15.48.</p>\n<p>Roblox's revenue rose 56% in 2019, soared 82% in 2020, and analysts expect 167% growth this year. But next year, they expect its revenue to rise just 26% after the pandemic ends and more students return to school.</p>\n<p>The bears will point out Roblox isn't profitable, and it probably can't achieve profitability without reducing its exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Robux for developers. However, doing so could alienate its developers and throttle the platform's output of new content.</p>\n<h2>Why Roblox probably can't hit $1 trillion by 2030</h2>\n<p>Even if Roblox maintains a premium price-to-sales ratio of 20 through 2030, it would need to generate $50 billion in annual sales to hit the $1 trillion mark. Roblox generated just $933 million in revenues in 2020, so it would need to generate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 50% to hit $50 billion by 2030.</p>\n<p>If Roblox's valuations cool off, as they'll likely do over the years, it will need to generate an ever higher CAGR to become a $1 trillion company. By comparison, Amazon grew its revenues at a CAGR of 27.4% over the past decade -- and it currently trades at just four times this year's sales. Therefore, it seems highly unlikely Roblox will become a $1 trillion company within the next decade.</p>\n<p>But that doesn't mean Roblox won't generate multibagger gains over the next decade. It could remain popular long after the pandemic passes, attract a new generation of younger users, and launch more powerful tools for advanced users. As it continues to expand, economies of scale should kick in and strengthen its earnings growth. Therefore, Roblox could still have plenty of room to run -- just don't expect it to join the 12-zero club anytime soon.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 10:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. Apple and Amazon crossed that milestone in 2018, Microsoft followed suit in 2019, and Facebook joined the club earlier this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150463301","content_text":"Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. Apple and Amazon crossed that milestone in 2018, Microsoft followed suit in 2019, and Facebook joined the club earlier this year.\nMany other tech stocks could join that elite group within the next decade -- and investors who hop on board today could reap massive multibagger gains. Could one of those stocks be Roblox, the gaming company which gained millions of new users during the pandemic?\nImage source: Roblox.\nHow much is Roblox worth today?\nRoblox went public via a direct listing this March with a reference price of $45. The stock opened at $64.50, and currently trades in the high $80s -- which gives it a market capitalization of nearly $50 billion. For Roblox to become a $1 trillion company by 2030, the stock would need to rise about 20 times.\nNo pure-play video game company has crossed the $1 trillion mark yet. Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts, two of the world's largest video game publishers, are currently worth about $70 billion and $40 billion, respectively. Unity, which indirectly competes against Roblox in the game engine and development space, is worth roughly $30 billion.\nIf we compare these four companies' price-to-sales ratios, we'll notice the market is paying a much higher premium for game creation engines like Roblox and Unity than traditional video game publishers.\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nP/S Ratio (Current FY)\nP/S Ratio (Next FY)\n\n\nRoblox (NYSE:RBLX)\n20\n16\n\n\nActivision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)\n8\n7\n\n\nElectronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)\n6\n5\n\n\nUnity (NYSE:U)\n30\n23\n\n\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance, July 7. FY = fiscal year.\nBut is Roblox a fad or a new content platform?\nHowever, there are some key differences between Roblox and Unity.\nRoblox is a platform that enables younger users, many of whom don't have any coding experience, to build simple block-based games and share them with other players. Unity is an advanced game development engine that powers over half of the world's mobile, PC, and console games.\nRoblox encourages users to monetize their games with an in-app currency called Robux within its walled garden. Unity offers developers more flexible tools for integrating in-app ads, in-app purchases, and other features into their games.\nThe bulls claim Roblox's self-sustaining cycle of content creation, self-promotion, and monetization will fuel its long-term growth. The bears will point out that half of the platform's daily active users (DAUs) are under the age of 13, and they might eventually grow out of Roblox's simple experiences or graduate to a more advanced game development engine like Unity.\nThe bulls will point to Roblox's growth rates. Between the first quarters of 2018 and 2021, Roblox's DAUs more than quadrupled from 10.3 million to 42.1 million, its total hours engaged surged from 2.1 billion to 9.7 billion, and its average bookings per DAU jumped from $11.62 to $15.48.\nRoblox's revenue rose 56% in 2019, soared 82% in 2020, and analysts expect 167% growth this year. But next year, they expect its revenue to rise just 26% after the pandemic ends and more students return to school.\nThe bears will point out Roblox isn't profitable, and it probably can't achieve profitability without reducing its exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Robux for developers. However, doing so could alienate its developers and throttle the platform's output of new content.\nWhy Roblox probably can't hit $1 trillion by 2030\nEven if Roblox maintains a premium price-to-sales ratio of 20 through 2030, it would need to generate $50 billion in annual sales to hit the $1 trillion mark. Roblox generated just $933 million in revenues in 2020, so it would need to generate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 50% to hit $50 billion by 2030.\nIf Roblox's valuations cool off, as they'll likely do over the years, it will need to generate an ever higher CAGR to become a $1 trillion company. By comparison, Amazon grew its revenues at a CAGR of 27.4% over the past decade -- and it currently trades at just four times this year's sales. Therefore, it seems highly unlikely Roblox will become a $1 trillion company within the next decade.\nBut that doesn't mean Roblox won't generate multibagger gains over the next decade. It could remain popular long after the pandemic passes, attract a new generation of younger users, and launch more powerful tools for advanced users. As it continues to expand, economies of scale should kick in and strengthen its earnings growth. Therefore, Roblox could still have plenty of room to run -- just don't expect it to join the 12-zero club anytime soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}