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BirdNest

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- BirdNestBirdNest
  ·2023-06-15
  Buying for short term dividend yields may not be a good investment objective. Read the business prospects. That's wat investing 101! Dyodd!
  Forget Keppel Corporation: 4 Singapore Stocks That Provide a Higher Dividend Yield
  Several stocks provide a better dividend yield than the famous blue-chip group.
  Forget Keppel Corporation: 4 Singapore Stocks That Provide a Higher Dividend Yield
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- BirdNestBirdNest
  ·2023-05-25
  Ratings agency must have impartial and objective approach and focus. That they can be subjected to "fire" in 2011 for doing their job, is indeed ironic! They have been "dis-Credited". Woe to the US and the world.
  US AAA Credit Rating May Be Cut by Fitch on Debt-Limit Impasse
  Ratings company warns on worsening political partisanshipYen spikes on report before paring gains, b
  US AAA Credit Rating May Be Cut by Fitch on Debt-Limit Impasse
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- BirdNestBirdNest
  ·2023-01-09
  good to have several likely scenarios...
  12 Stock Market Predictions for 2023
  Here's what you can expect from the U.S. economy, the stock market, and some of the most widely held companies in the new year.
  12 Stock Market Predictions for 2023
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- BirdNestBirdNest
  ·2021-09-04
  Just an opinion: why the rally persists maybe due to the Fed policies. Sand castles may not persists once a big enough tide comes in or the artificial construction team helping to build it is no longer able to. For example where do the money to buy comes from? The sight of the beach ain’t gonna be pretty once the panic sets in. The longer it persists themore disastrous the outcome. Dun worry it’sjust a passing opinion…
  2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet
  tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w
  2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet
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- BirdNestBirdNest
  ·2021-08-13
  Very “contrarian “ posturing on many knownpractices taught by many. Worth’s listen though shld use with a proviso tat the stock in question is the real”love” of ur trading life! ?
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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for short term dividend yields may not be a good investment objective. Read the business prospects. That's wat investing 101! Dyodd!","listText":"Buying for short term dividend yields may not be a good investment objective. Read the business prospects. That's wat investing 101! Dyodd!","text":"Buying for short term dividend yields may not be a good investment objective. Read the business prospects. That's wat investing 101! Dyodd!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187493836042392","repostId":"2343932995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2343932995","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1686793015,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2343932995?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-15 09:36","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Forget Keppel Corporation: 4 Singapore Stocks That Provide a Higher Dividend Yield","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2343932995","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"Several stocks provide a better dividend yield than the famous blue-chip group.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Most investors would have heard of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BN4.SI\">Keppel Corporation Limited</a>.</p><p>The blue-chip group recently made headlines when it sold off its offshore and marine division to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">Seatrium Limited</a> in exchange for a 54% stake in the latter.</p><p>Keppel also reported a strong set of earnings for 2022 and has maintained its annual dividend of S$0.33.</p><p>At a share price of S$6.45, the shares of Keppel provide a trailing dividend yield of 5.1%.</p><p>Though this may seem attractive, there are stocks out there with a higher dividend yield.</p><p>Some of these businesses have also raised their dividends in the most recent fiscal year, compared to Keppel which kept its dividend constant.</p><p>Here are four such stocks with higher dividend yields that you may consider adding to your buy watchlist.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/544.SI\">CSE Global</a></h2><p>CSE Global provides integrated engineering systems that help to reduce waste and allow for greener processes.</p><p>The group has a presence across 16 countries and has 57 offices around the world employing more than 1,800 employees.</p><p>For 2022, CSE Global saw its revenue rise 19% year on year to S$557.7 million but net profit plunged by 68.2% year on year to S$4.8 million.</p><p>Despite this, the engineering group maintained its final dividend of S$0.015, taking its 2022 full-year dividend to S$0.0275.</p><p>Shares of CSE Global provide an 8.1% trailing dividend yield.</p><p>There was good news for CSE Global’s 2023’s first quarter (1Q 2023) business update.</p><p>Revenue jumped by 35.5% year on year to S$159.4 million with year-on-year growth recorded across all geographic regions and industry sectors.</p><p>Although new orders received fell by 31.3% year on year to S$159.6 million, the group still maintained a nearly 40% higher order book backlog at S$480.2 million.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P9D.SI\">Civmec Ltd</a></h2><p>Civmec, headquartered in Australia, is an integrated, multi-disciplinary construction and engineering services provider serving the energy, resources, and infrastructure sectors.</p><p>The group has reported its latest operational update for the first nine months of its fiscal 2023 (9M FY2023).</p><p>Revenue inched up 4.2% year on year to A$606.6 million with net profit shooting up 23.4% year on year to A$42.9 million.</p><p>Civmec also saw operating cash flow more than quadruple year-on-year from A$13.9 million to A$67.7 million.</p><p>Its order book also inched up 0.9% in the last three months from A$1.18 billion as of 31 December 2022 to A$1.19 billion as of 31 March 2023.</p><p>Management reports that tendering activity across all sectors is “buoyant” for FY2024 and beyond, while engagement remains strong with new and existing clients on future projects.</p><p>The group declared an interim dividend of A$0.02 for 1H FY2023 (double what was paid out a year earlier) and a final dividend of A$0.02 for FY2022, taking the trailing 12-month dividend to A$0.04.</p><p>Shares of Civmec offer a trailing dividend yield of 5.2%.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BPF.SI\">YHI International Ltd</a></h2><p>YHI International is a global distributor of high-quality automotive and industrial products.</p><p>The group’s presence spans over 100 countries and YHI distributes tyres, alloy wheels, energy solutions and other industrial products to more than 5,000 customers.</p><p>2022 saw the group’s sales dip slightly by 3.1% year on year to S$430.9 million.</p><p>Net profit slid 2.1% year on year to S$20.7 million.</p><p>However, the group’s free cash flow surged from S$1.5 million a year ago to S$10.1 million in 2022.</p><p>YHI maintained its first and final dividend of S$0.036 for the year, giving its shares a historical dividend yield of 7.3%.</p><p>The group expects its wheel products business to see lower demand because of the global economic slowdown where businesses and customers are more cautious when spending.</p><p>However, its core tyres and energy distribution businesses are expected to remain resilient.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QES.SI\">China Sunsine</a></h2><p>China Sunsine is a speciality chemical producer that sells rubber accelerators, insoluble sulphur, and other vulcanising agents. </p><p>The group is the largest rubber accelerator producer in the world and the biggest insoluble sulphur producer in China.</p><p>For 2022, China Sunsine saw revenue inch up 3% year on year to RMB 3.8 billion.</p><p>Gross profit improved by 11% year on year to RMB 1.2 billion.</p><p>Net profit climbed by 27% year on year to RMB 642.4 million.</p><p>The chemicals company also generated a free cash flow of RMB 50.2 million for the year.</p><p>An ordinary dividend of S$0.01 and a special dividend of S$0.015 was declared, taking the total dividend for 2022 to S$0.03 after including the interim dividend of S$0.005.</p><p>China Sunsine’s shares offer a trailing dividend yield of 7.3%.</p></body></html>","source":"thesmartinvestor_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Keppel Corporation: 4 Singapore Stocks That Provide a Higher Dividend Yield</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Keppel Corporation: 4 Singapore Stocks That Provide a Higher Dividend Yield\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-15 09:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/forget-keppel-corporation-4-singapore-stocks-that-provide-a-higher-dividend-yield/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Most investors would have heard of Keppel Corporation Limited.The blue-chip group recently made headlines when it sold off its offshore and marine division to Seatrium Limited in exchange for a 54% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/forget-keppel-corporation-4-singapore-stocks-that-provide-a-higher-dividend-yield/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BPF.SI":"友发","BN4.SI":"吉宝有限公司","P9D.SI":"CIVMEC公司","QES.SI":"中国尚舜化工","544.SI":"CSE 环球"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/forget-keppel-corporation-4-singapore-stocks-that-provide-a-higher-dividend-yield/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2343932995","content_text":"Most investors would have heard of Keppel Corporation Limited.The blue-chip group recently made headlines when it sold off its offshore and marine division to Seatrium Limited in exchange for a 54% stake in the latter.Keppel also reported a strong set of earnings for 2022 and has maintained its annual dividend of S$0.33.At a share price of S$6.45, the shares of Keppel provide a trailing dividend yield of 5.1%.Though this may seem attractive, there are stocks out there with a higher dividend yield.Some of these businesses have also raised their dividends in the most recent fiscal year, compared to Keppel which kept its dividend constant.Here are four such stocks with higher dividend yields that you may consider adding to your buy watchlist.CSE GlobalCSE Global provides integrated engineering systems that help to reduce waste and allow for greener processes.The group has a presence across 16 countries and has 57 offices around the world employing more than 1,800 employees.For 2022, CSE Global saw its revenue rise 19% year on year to S$557.7 million but net profit plunged by 68.2% year on year to S$4.8 million.Despite this, the engineering group maintained its final dividend of S$0.015, taking its 2022 full-year dividend to S$0.0275.Shares of CSE Global provide an 8.1% trailing dividend yield.There was good news for CSE Global’s 2023’s first quarter (1Q 2023) business update.Revenue jumped by 35.5% year on year to S$159.4 million with year-on-year growth recorded across all geographic regions and industry sectors.Although new orders received fell by 31.3% year on year to S$159.6 million, the group still maintained a nearly 40% higher order book backlog at S$480.2 million.Civmec LtdCivmec, headquartered in Australia, is an integrated, multi-disciplinary construction and engineering services provider serving the energy, resources, and infrastructure sectors.The group has reported its latest operational update for the first nine months of its fiscal 2023 (9M FY2023).Revenue inched up 4.2% year on year to A$606.6 million with net profit shooting up 23.4% year on year to A$42.9 million.Civmec also saw operating cash flow more than quadruple year-on-year from A$13.9 million to A$67.7 million.Its order book also inched up 0.9% in the last three months from A$1.18 billion as of 31 December 2022 to A$1.19 billion as of 31 March 2023.Management reports that tendering activity across all sectors is “buoyant” for FY2024 and beyond, while engagement remains strong with new and existing clients on future projects.The group declared an interim dividend of A$0.02 for 1H FY2023 (double what was paid out a year earlier) and a final dividend of A$0.02 for FY2022, taking the trailing 12-month dividend to A$0.04.Shares of Civmec offer a trailing dividend yield of 5.2%.YHI International LtdYHI International is a global distributor of high-quality automotive and industrial products.The group’s presence spans over 100 countries and YHI distributes tyres, alloy wheels, energy solutions and other industrial products to more than 5,000 customers.2022 saw the group’s sales dip slightly by 3.1% year on year to S$430.9 million.Net profit slid 2.1% year on year to S$20.7 million.However, the group’s free cash flow surged from S$1.5 million a year ago to S$10.1 million in 2022.YHI maintained its first and final dividend of S$0.036 for the year, giving its shares a historical dividend yield of 7.3%.The group expects its wheel products business to see lower demand because of the global economic slowdown where businesses and customers are more cautious when spending.However, its core tyres and energy distribution businesses are expected to remain resilient.China SunsineChina Sunsine is a speciality chemical producer that sells rubber accelerators, insoluble sulphur, and other vulcanising agents. The group is the largest rubber accelerator producer in the world and the biggest insoluble sulphur producer in China.For 2022, China Sunsine saw revenue inch up 3% year on year to RMB 3.8 billion.Gross profit improved by 11% year on year to RMB 1.2 billion.Net profit climbed by 27% year on year to RMB 642.4 million.The chemicals company also generated a free cash flow of RMB 50.2 million for the year.An ordinary dividend of S$0.01 and a special dividend of S$0.015 was declared, taking the total dividend for 2022 to S$0.03 after including the interim dividend of S$0.005.China Sunsine’s shares offer a trailing dividend yield of 7.3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970787363,"gmtCreate":1684981635452,"gmtModify":1684983618714,"author":{"id":"3564621189197882","authorId":"3564621189197882","name":"BirdNest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7b75cd9f4fc8e4998cb03ec5bc860b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564621189197882","authorIdStr":"3564621189197882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ratings agency must have impartial and objective approach and focus. That they can be subjected to \"fire\" in 2011 for doing their job, is indeed ironic! They have been \"dis-Credited\". Woe to the US and the world.","listText":"Ratings agency must have impartial and objective approach and focus. That they can be subjected to \"fire\" in 2011 for doing their job, is indeed ironic! They have been \"dis-Credited\". Woe to the US and the world.","text":"Ratings agency must have impartial and objective approach and focus. That they can be subjected to \"fire\" in 2011 for doing their job, is indeed ironic! They have been \"dis-Credited\". Woe to the US and the world.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970787363","repostId":"1153038638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153038638","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1684974198,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153038638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-25 08:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US AAA Credit Rating May Be Cut by Fitch on Debt-Limit Impasse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153038638","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Ratings company warns on worsening political partisanshipYen spikes on report before paring gains, b","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Ratings company warns on worsening political partisanship</p></li><li><p>Yen spikes on report before paring gains, bond futures dip</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Fitch Ratings said it may downgrade US credit ratings to reflect the worsening political standoff that’s preventing a deal to solve the nation’s debt ceiling crisis.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“The Rating Watch Negative reflects increased political partisanship that is hindering reaching a resolution to raise or suspend the debt limit despite the fast-approaching X date,” the ratings company said in a statement, referring to the point at which the government runs out of cash.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The traditional haven yen spiked as traders reacted to the news before paring gains. Treasury futures saw a modest dip.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists project a US default could trigger a recession, with widespread job losses and a surge in borrowing costs. Still, it’s not unusual for Congress to strike deals at the last minute when the pressure becomes big enough to force negotiators to make painful choices.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1482707d1290397d89ceacb9916e4339\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\"/></p><p> “We believe risks have risen that the debt limit will not be raised or suspended before the X-date and consequently that the government could begin to miss payments on some of its obligations,” Fitch said in its statement. The company said it still expected a resolution to the debt limit beforehand.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">House Speaker Kevin McCarthy expressed optimism Wednesday that White House and GOP negotiators would reach a deal in time to avert a potentially catastrophic default.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The California Republican’s comments came after a four-hour meeting between his and President Joe Biden’s hand-picked negotiators, fueling optimism Congress will act before June 1, the date by which Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned the US could run out of money to pay its bills.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“I still think we have time to get an agreement, and get it done,” McCarthy said after the meeting concluded.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The move by Fitch will increase the focus on the outlook of other ratings agencies.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In 2011, S&amp;P Global Ratings drew fire for downgrading the US from AAA after a similar brush with default. It has retained a stable outlook on the rating during the latest fracas, anticipating a deal will be struck.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Moody’s Investors Service’s William Foster, a senior credit officer, said in an interview on Wednesday that he was “hearing the right things out of Washington,” and his firm has kept the US’s top rating intact through the fitful negotiations since.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fitch warning is “certainly very symbolic, and in a way it may force Moody’s to follow suit,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd. in Singapore. “It will also place more scrutiny on the dollar and Treasuries as havens and its risk-free rate qualities.”<br/></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US AAA Credit Rating May Be Cut by Fitch on Debt-Limit Impasse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS AAA Credit Rating May Be Cut by Fitch on Debt-Limit Impasse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-25 08:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-24/united-states-may-be-cut-by-fitch-ratings-on-debt-limit-fight?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ratings company warns on worsening political partisanshipYen spikes on report before paring gains, bond futures dipFitch Ratings said it may downgrade US credit ratings to reflect the worsening ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-24/united-states-may-be-cut-by-fitch-ratings-on-debt-limit-fight?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-24/united-states-may-be-cut-by-fitch-ratings-on-debt-limit-fight?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153038638","content_text":"Ratings company warns on worsening political partisanshipYen spikes on report before paring gains, bond futures dipFitch Ratings said it may downgrade US credit ratings to reflect the worsening political standoff that’s preventing a deal to solve the nation’s debt ceiling crisis.“The Rating Watch Negative reflects increased political partisanship that is hindering reaching a resolution to raise or suspend the debt limit despite the fast-approaching X date,” the ratings company said in a statement, referring to the point at which the government runs out of cash.The traditional haven yen spiked as traders reacted to the news before paring gains. Treasury futures saw a modest dip.Economists project a US default could trigger a recession, with widespread job losses and a surge in borrowing costs. Still, it’s not unusual for Congress to strike deals at the last minute when the pressure becomes big enough to force negotiators to make painful choices. “We believe risks have risen that the debt limit will not be raised or suspended before the X-date and consequently that the government could begin to miss payments on some of its obligations,” Fitch said in its statement. The company said it still expected a resolution to the debt limit beforehand.House Speaker Kevin McCarthy expressed optimism Wednesday that White House and GOP negotiators would reach a deal in time to avert a potentially catastrophic default.The California Republican’s comments came after a four-hour meeting between his and President Joe Biden’s hand-picked negotiators, fueling optimism Congress will act before June 1, the date by which Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned the US could run out of money to pay its bills.“I still think we have time to get an agreement, and get it done,” McCarthy said after the meeting concluded.The move by Fitch will increase the focus on the outlook of other ratings agencies.In 2011, S&P Global Ratings drew fire for downgrading the US from AAA after a similar brush with default. It has retained a stable outlook on the rating during the latest fracas, anticipating a deal will be struck.Moody’s Investors Service’s William Foster, a senior credit officer, said in an interview on Wednesday that he was “hearing the right things out of Washington,” and his firm has kept the US’s top rating intact through the fitful negotiations since.The Fitch warning is “certainly very symbolic, and in a way it may force Moody’s to follow suit,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd. in Singapore. “It will also place more scrutiny on the dollar and Treasuries as havens and its risk-free rate qualities.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953657154,"gmtCreate":1673248083578,"gmtModify":1676538805298,"author":{"id":"3564621189197882","authorId":"3564621189197882","name":"BirdNest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7b75cd9f4fc8e4998cb03ec5bc860b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564621189197882","authorIdStr":"3564621189197882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good to have several likely scenarios...","listText":"good to have several likely scenarios...","text":"good to have several likely scenarios...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953657154","repostId":"2301876021","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2301876021","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1673250600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2301876021?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-09 15:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"12 Stock Market Predictions for 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2301876021","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here's what you can expect from the U.S. economy, the stock market, and some of the most widely held companies in the new year.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>The drumbeat for the U.S. to dip into recession grows louder with each passing day.</li><li>One highly defensive sector is a smart place to put your money to work in 2023.</li><li>Meanwhile, the largest publicly traded company could be in for a rough year.</li></ul><p>Unless you&#39;re a short-seller or were heavily invested in energy stocks, there&#39;s a good chance you, along with most of the investment community, took it on the chin in 2022. When the curtain closed, the iconic <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>, broad-based <b>S&amp;P 500</b>, and growth-focused <b>Nasdaq Composite</b>, ended lower by 9%, 19%, and 33%, respectively. It was the worst performance for the three major U.S. stock indexes since 2008.</p><p>But a new year brings new hope, new opportunities, and of course, new prognostications. What follows are 12 stock market predictions for 2023 covering everything from the performance of specific high-profile stocks to expectations for the U.S. economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7a948c1edf7bc81f8d3f4dea4a18b4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>1. We&#39;ll still be in a bear market by year&#39;s end</h2><p>Let&#39;s start with the most front-and-center question on investors&#39; minds: What will the broader market do in 2023? Based on what history tells us, I&#39;d opine that Wall Street will still be firmly in a bear market by the end of the year. Though it&#39;s possible the indexes could end marginally higher, a new bull market won&#39;t be declared.</p><p>Normally, the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to help out an ailing economy and/or stock market. But with the nation&#39;s central bank tackling historically high inflation, rate cuts are still a long way off. It usually takes the S&amp;P 500 in the neighborhood of a year to find a bottom once rate cuts begin.</p><h2>2. The U.S. will fall into a recession in 2023</h2><p>To somewhat build on the first prediction, it wouldn&#39;t be a surprise to see the U.S. economy dip into a recession this year. The telltale indicator that a recession is likely is the extended inversion of the Treasury bond yield curve. By &#34;inversion,&#34; I mean long-term-maturing bonds having a lower yield than short-term-maturing bonds. Normally, the yield curve slopes up and to the right, with longer-dated bonds sporting higher yields.</p><p>Although not every yield curve inversion is followed by a recession, every recession since World War II has been preceded by a yield curve inversion. The magnitude of the inversion between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds in 2022 was the largest in four decades.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c26dc19a126804608440c02c5f2a21\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread data by YCharts.</span></p><h2>3. The interest rate yield curve will reverse its inversion during the second-half of the year</h2><p>On the other side of the aisle, I fully expect the yield curve inversion to correct itself before crossing the proverbial finish line into 2024. Wall Street and investors tend to be forward-looking, and there should be better clarity of the path forward for the U.S. economy and Federal Reserve monetary policy as we near the end of the year.</p><p>Arguably the biggest beneficiary of the yield curve reversing its inversion would be the mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) industry. As short-term borrowing costs fall and/or long-term yields rise, mortgage REITs such as <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NLY\">Annaly Capital Management</a></b> and <b>AGNC Investment</b> should benefit from beefier net interest margins.</p><h2>4. The U.S. inflation rate ends the year far below expectations</h2><p>If there is a bright spot to possible economic weakness in 2023, it&#39;s that the U.S. inflation rate can more quickly back off the 40-year high of 9.1% registered in June 2021.</p><p>In particular, recessions tend to hit energy commodities pretty hard. With crude oil and natural gas both soaring last year, a significant decline in one or both commodities could substantially reduce the inflation rate.</p><p>But don&#39;t get your hopes up -- a rapid reduction in the inflation rate is unlikely to alter Fed monetary policy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been clear that the central bank is willing to sit on higher rates for a longer period to ensure inflation is well under control.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85d6d009683d1e9cac32eebdc796ee83\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>5. Healthcare will be the top-performing sector in 2023</h2><p>Last year, healthcare stocks were mixed, with COVID-19-driven companies struggling as the worst of the pandemic was put into the rearview mirror. In 2023, expect healthcare stocks to shine as their defensive nature and generally attractive valuations come into play.</p><p>For example, no matter how poorly the U.S. economy or stock market perform, we can&#39;t control when we get sick or what ailment(s) we develop. This creates steady demand for prescription drugs, medical devices, and a variety of healthcare services in any economic environment. In other words, healthcare stocks could be just what the doctor ordered during heightened volatility for equities.</p><h2>6. Gold-mining stocks will be among the best-performing industries</h2><p>In terms of industries, gold stocks can regain their luster in 2023 and vastly outpace the broader market.</p><p>There are a number of potential tailwinds for precious metals and mining stocks this year, including economic uncertainty, historically high inflation (at least during the early portion of the year), and multiple years of unabated money-printing by the U.S. Treasury, which make hard assets like gold appear all the more attractive.</p><p>Something else to consider is that gold stocks tend to perform their best during the very early stages of a bull market. While, in my view, a bull market is unlikely to materialize in 2023, investors may position themselves for a bull market in gold stocks well ahead of an official bull market in the Dow, S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq Composite.</p><h2>7. Energy stocks will struggle following a strong year</h2><p>On the flipside, energy stocks could have a challenging 2023. As I noted earlier, if a recession were to materialize in the U.S. or globally, demand for energy commodities would decline, which is bad news for crude oil and natural gas spot prices.</p><p>The other consideration is that oil and gas prices already pulled back in the second-half of 2022 without much of a dip in the share prices of oil and gas stocks. When investors wise up to the disassociation between energy commodity prices and oil and gas drillers over the past couple of months, the result could be ugly.</p><h2>8. Apple will fall below $100</h2><p>Last week, the largest publicly traded company by market cap in the U.S., <b>Apple</b>, fell below a $2 trillion valuation and touched its lowest share price ($124) since June 2021. In 2023, I&#39;d look for Apple to return to double-digits and fall below $100.</p><p>Although Apple&#39;s services segment remains strong and the company accounts for a majority of U.S. smartphone market share, Apple&#39;s growth rate has slowed considerably. The iPhone 14 not offering a lot of differentiation from its predecessor, along with overseas supply chain challenges, could be playing a role in that slowdown.</p><p>Additionally, rapidly rising interest rates mean Apple has lost access to the cheap debt it would occasionally use to accelerate share buybacks. With just 3% sales growth expected in 2023 (per Wall Street), a price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 21 simply isn&#39;t that cheap.</p><h2>9. Toyota will close out 2023 as the world&#39;s largest automaker by market cap</h2><p>A little more than a year ago, electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturer <b>Tesla</b> pushed north of a $1 trillion valuation, which was more than every publicly traded legacy automaker <i>combined</i>! As of the closing bell on Jan. 4, Tesla had retraced to a $409 billion market cap. By the end of 2023, I expect Tesla to have taken a back seat to <b>Toyota Motor</b> in market cap (currently $187 billion).</p><p>Investors are waking up the realization that Tesla isn&#39;t immune to the supply chain-, inflationary-, and demand-based headwinds impacting the auto industry. They&#39;re also coming to terms with Elon Musk being an undeniable liability for Tesla in a variety of ways.</p><h2>10. China stocks will vastly outperform U.S. stocks</h2><p>It&#39;s been quite some time since China stocks handily outperformed U.S. equities. My thinking is that changes in 2023.</p><p>Arguably the biggest issue for China for nearly three years has been its handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. The country&#39;s zero-COVID strategy crippled supply chains and sent provinces into seemingly unpredictable lockdowns. With that strategy being abandoned and China effectively pulling off the Band-Aid, short-term pain (i.e., widespread COVID-19 infection) can give way to serious economic growth and opportunity in the second-half of 2023.</p><p>It&#39;s a recipe for cheap Chinese growth stocks like <b>Baidu</b> and <b>JD.com</b> to thrive.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74acf3f9de289770f7570784a7b8df53\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Median Price for Existing Single Family Home data by YCharts.</span></p><h2>11. U.S. home prices fall as much as 20%</h2><p>The new year is unlikely to be kind to the housing industry. More than a decade of declining mortgage rates left homebuyers and refinancers effectively spoiled. But with the 30-year mortgage rate skyrocketing last year to a 16-year high of around 7%, the desire to buy homes and refinance slowed to a crawl.  Housing is a supply and-demand-driven industry. If demand plummets, you can almost certainly expect prices to follow. I believe home prices could drop 20% over the next 12 months.</p><p>The silver lining here is if U.S home prices fall 20%, demand should begin to pick up -- at least from cash buyers. This&#39;ll keep the housing industry from suffering a crash similar to 2008.</p><h2>12. A financial crisis will unfold (best guess: subprime auto loans)</h2><p>Last but not least, I do expect some sort of financial crisis or contagion event to materialize in 2023. But given that crises and contagion events aren&#39;t all that uncommon, this isn&#39;t exactly a bold prediction.</p><p>What is a bold prediction is specifying where the crisis will originate. My best guess is among subprime borrowers in the auto loan space. As of October 2022, 5.13% of subprime borrowers were at least 61 days delinquent on their auto payments, which is up from 3.76% in October 2021.  Higher inflation, the prospect of a higher unemployment rate in 2023, and the end of pandemic-related financial assistance programs, are all potential headwinds for folks with poor credit scores in the new year.</p><p>While a subprime auto loan credit crisis would pale in comparison to the financial crisis in 2008, it still would be very bad news for bank stocks and the auto industry.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>12 Stock Market Predictions for 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n12 Stock Market Predictions for 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-09 15:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/08/12-stock-market-predictions-for-2023/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe drumbeat for the U.S. to dip into recession grows louder with each passing day.One highly defensive sector is a smart place to put your money to work in 2023.Meanwhile, the largest ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/08/12-stock-market-predictions-for-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4573":"虚拟现实","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","AAPL":"苹果","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0511384066.AUD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (AUDHDG) ACC",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","TM":"丰田汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/08/12-stock-market-predictions-for-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301876021","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe drumbeat for the U.S. to dip into recession grows louder with each passing day.One highly defensive sector is a smart place to put your money to work in 2023.Meanwhile, the largest publicly traded company could be in for a rough year.Unless you're a short-seller or were heavily invested in energy stocks, there's a good chance you, along with most of the investment community, took it on the chin in 2022. When the curtain closed, the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average, broad-based S&P 500, and growth-focused Nasdaq Composite, ended lower by 9%, 19%, and 33%, respectively. It was the worst performance for the three major U.S. stock indexes since 2008.But a new year brings new hope, new opportunities, and of course, new prognostications. What follows are 12 stock market predictions for 2023 covering everything from the performance of specific high-profile stocks to expectations for the U.S. economy.Image source: Getty Images.1. We'll still be in a bear market by year's endLet's start with the most front-and-center question on investors' minds: What will the broader market do in 2023? Based on what history tells us, I'd opine that Wall Street will still be firmly in a bear market by the end of the year. Though it's possible the indexes could end marginally higher, a new bull market won't be declared.Normally, the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to help out an ailing economy and/or stock market. But with the nation's central bank tackling historically high inflation, rate cuts are still a long way off. It usually takes the S&P 500 in the neighborhood of a year to find a bottom once rate cuts begin.2. The U.S. will fall into a recession in 2023To somewhat build on the first prediction, it wouldn't be a surprise to see the U.S. economy dip into a recession this year. The telltale indicator that a recession is likely is the extended inversion of the Treasury bond yield curve. By \"inversion,\" I mean long-term-maturing bonds having a lower yield than short-term-maturing bonds. Normally, the yield curve slopes up and to the right, with longer-dated bonds sporting higher yields.Although not every yield curve inversion is followed by a recession, every recession since World War II has been preceded by a yield curve inversion. The magnitude of the inversion between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds in 2022 was the largest in four decades.10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread data by YCharts.3. The interest rate yield curve will reverse its inversion during the second-half of the yearOn the other side of the aisle, I fully expect the yield curve inversion to correct itself before crossing the proverbial finish line into 2024. Wall Street and investors tend to be forward-looking, and there should be better clarity of the path forward for the U.S. economy and Federal Reserve monetary policy as we near the end of the year.Arguably the biggest beneficiary of the yield curve reversing its inversion would be the mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) industry. As short-term borrowing costs fall and/or long-term yields rise, mortgage REITs such as Annaly Capital Management and AGNC Investment should benefit from beefier net interest margins.4. The U.S. inflation rate ends the year far below expectationsIf there is a bright spot to possible economic weakness in 2023, it's that the U.S. inflation rate can more quickly back off the 40-year high of 9.1% registered in June 2021.In particular, recessions tend to hit energy commodities pretty hard. With crude oil and natural gas both soaring last year, a significant decline in one or both commodities could substantially reduce the inflation rate.But don't get your hopes up -- a rapid reduction in the inflation rate is unlikely to alter Fed monetary policy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been clear that the central bank is willing to sit on higher rates for a longer period to ensure inflation is well under control.Image source: Getty Images.5. Healthcare will be the top-performing sector in 2023Last year, healthcare stocks were mixed, with COVID-19-driven companies struggling as the worst of the pandemic was put into the rearview mirror. In 2023, expect healthcare stocks to shine as their defensive nature and generally attractive valuations come into play.For example, no matter how poorly the U.S. economy or stock market perform, we can't control when we get sick or what ailment(s) we develop. This creates steady demand for prescription drugs, medical devices, and a variety of healthcare services in any economic environment. In other words, healthcare stocks could be just what the doctor ordered during heightened volatility for equities.6. Gold-mining stocks will be among the best-performing industriesIn terms of industries, gold stocks can regain their luster in 2023 and vastly outpace the broader market.There are a number of potential tailwinds for precious metals and mining stocks this year, including economic uncertainty, historically high inflation (at least during the early portion of the year), and multiple years of unabated money-printing by the U.S. Treasury, which make hard assets like gold appear all the more attractive.Something else to consider is that gold stocks tend to perform their best during the very early stages of a bull market. While, in my view, a bull market is unlikely to materialize in 2023, investors may position themselves for a bull market in gold stocks well ahead of an official bull market in the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite.7. Energy stocks will struggle following a strong yearOn the flipside, energy stocks could have a challenging 2023. As I noted earlier, if a recession were to materialize in the U.S. or globally, demand for energy commodities would decline, which is bad news for crude oil and natural gas spot prices.The other consideration is that oil and gas prices already pulled back in the second-half of 2022 without much of a dip in the share prices of oil and gas stocks. When investors wise up to the disassociation between energy commodity prices and oil and gas drillers over the past couple of months, the result could be ugly.8. Apple will fall below $100Last week, the largest publicly traded company by market cap in the U.S., Apple, fell below a $2 trillion valuation and touched its lowest share price ($124) since June 2021. In 2023, I'd look for Apple to return to double-digits and fall below $100.Although Apple's services segment remains strong and the company accounts for a majority of U.S. smartphone market share, Apple's growth rate has slowed considerably. The iPhone 14 not offering a lot of differentiation from its predecessor, along with overseas supply chain challenges, could be playing a role in that slowdown.Additionally, rapidly rising interest rates mean Apple has lost access to the cheap debt it would occasionally use to accelerate share buybacks. With just 3% sales growth expected in 2023 (per Wall Street), a price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 21 simply isn't that cheap.9. Toyota will close out 2023 as the world's largest automaker by market capA little more than a year ago, electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturer Tesla pushed north of a $1 trillion valuation, which was more than every publicly traded legacy automaker combined! As of the closing bell on Jan. 4, Tesla had retraced to a $409 billion market cap. By the end of 2023, I expect Tesla to have taken a back seat to Toyota Motor in market cap (currently $187 billion).Investors are waking up the realization that Tesla isn't immune to the supply chain-, inflationary-, and demand-based headwinds impacting the auto industry. They're also coming to terms with Elon Musk being an undeniable liability for Tesla in a variety of ways.10. China stocks will vastly outperform U.S. stocksIt's been quite some time since China stocks handily outperformed U.S. equities. My thinking is that changes in 2023.Arguably the biggest issue for China for nearly three years has been its handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. The country's zero-COVID strategy crippled supply chains and sent provinces into seemingly unpredictable lockdowns. With that strategy being abandoned and China effectively pulling off the Band-Aid, short-term pain (i.e., widespread COVID-19 infection) can give way to serious economic growth and opportunity in the second-half of 2023.It's a recipe for cheap Chinese growth stocks like Baidu and JD.com to thrive.US Median Price for Existing Single Family Home data by YCharts.11. U.S. home prices fall as much as 20%The new year is unlikely to be kind to the housing industry. More than a decade of declining mortgage rates left homebuyers and refinancers effectively spoiled. But with the 30-year mortgage rate skyrocketing last year to a 16-year high of around 7%, the desire to buy homes and refinance slowed to a crawl.  Housing is a supply and-demand-driven industry. If demand plummets, you can almost certainly expect prices to follow. I believe home prices could drop 20% over the next 12 months.The silver lining here is if U.S home prices fall 20%, demand should begin to pick up -- at least from cash buyers. This'll keep the housing industry from suffering a crash similar to 2008.12. A financial crisis will unfold (best guess: subprime auto loans)Last but not least, I do expect some sort of financial crisis or contagion event to materialize in 2023. But given that crises and contagion events aren't all that uncommon, this isn't exactly a bold prediction.What is a bold prediction is specifying where the crisis will originate. My best guess is among subprime borrowers in the auto loan space. As of October 2022, 5.13% of subprime borrowers were at least 61 days delinquent on their auto payments, which is up from 3.76% in October 2021.  Higher inflation, the prospect of a higher unemployment rate in 2023, and the end of pandemic-related financial assistance programs, are all potential headwinds for folks with poor credit scores in the new year.While a subprime auto loan credit crisis would pale in comparison to the financial crisis in 2008, it still would be very bad news for bank stocks and the auto industry.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814959230,"gmtCreate":1630749100020,"gmtModify":1676530389885,"author":{"id":"3564621189197882","authorId":"3564621189197882","name":"BirdNest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7b75cd9f4fc8e4998cb03ec5bc860b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564621189197882","authorIdStr":"3564621189197882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just an opinion: why the rally persists maybe due to the Fed policies. Sand castles may not persists once a big enough tide comes in or the artificial construction team helping to build it is no longer able to. For example where do the money to buy comes from? The sight of the beach ain’t gonna be pretty once the panic sets in. The longer it persists themore disastrous the outcome. Dun worry it’sjust a passing opinion…","listText":"Just an opinion: why the rally persists maybe due to the Fed policies. Sand castles may not persists once a big enough tide comes in or the artificial construction team helping to build it is no longer able to. For example where do the money to buy comes from? The sight of the beach ain’t gonna be pretty once the panic sets in. The longer it persists themore disastrous the outcome. Dun worry it’sjust a passing opinion…","text":"Just an opinion: why the rally persists maybe due to the Fed policies. Sand castles may not persists once a big enough tide comes in or the artificial construction team helping to build it is no longer able to. For example where do the money to buy comes from? The sight of the beach ain’t gonna be pretty once the panic sets in. The longer it persists themore disastrous the outcome. Dun worry it’sjust a passing opinion…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/814959230","repostId":"1169514310","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169514310","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630656896,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169514310?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169514310","media":"Barron's","summary":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w","content":"<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p>\n<p>First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p>\n<p>TheS&amp;P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p>\n<p>Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&amp;P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p>\n<p>But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p>\n<p>So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&amp;P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p>\n<p>“[Market] internals improved last week,” writes&nbsp;Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p>\n<p>First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p>\n<p>In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p>\n<p>The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p>\n<p>Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p>\n<p>The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p>\n<p>So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-03 16:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169514310","content_text":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.\nFirst, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.\nTheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.\nStill, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.\nBut who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.\nSo the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.\n“[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.\nFirst off, transaction volumes are improving.\nIn late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.\nThe upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.\nSecondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.\nThe last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.\nSo more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894709843,"gmtCreate":1628853042782,"gmtModify":1676529875141,"author":{"id":"3564621189197882","authorId":"3564621189197882","name":"BirdNest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7b75cd9f4fc8e4998cb03ec5bc860b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564621189197882","authorIdStr":"3564621189197882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very “contrarian “ posturing on many knownpractices taught by many. Worth’s listen though shld use with a proviso tat the stock in question is the real”love” of ur trading life! ?","listText":"Very “contrarian “ posturing on many knownpractices taught by many. Worth’s listen though shld use with a proviso tat the stock in question is the real”love” of ur trading life! ?","text":"Very “contrarian “ posturing on many knownpractices taught by many. Worth’s listen though shld use with a proviso tat the stock in question is the real”love” of ur trading life! ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894709843","repostId":"2159296424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}