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- Karon0917Karon0917
  ·2021-06-16
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  国盛策略：外资流入放缓，交易盘小幅撤离
  核心观点一、总体配置：通胀扰动加剧，北上流入放缓通胀扰动加剧，市场情绪趋于谨慎。美国5月CPI同比高增5%，创近13年来最大同比增速，PPI同比增长6.6%，亦创近10年以来新高，通胀压力显著升温
  国盛策略：外资流入放缓，交易盘小幅撤离
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15:16","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"国盛策略：外资流入放缓，交易盘小幅撤离","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160592405","media":"尧望后势","summary":"核心观点\n一、总体配置：通胀扰动加剧，北上流入放缓\n通胀扰动加剧，市场情绪趋于谨慎。美国5月CPI同比高增5%，创近13年来最大同比增速，PPI同比增长6.6%，亦创近10年以来新高，通胀压力显著升温","content":"<p><b>核心观点</b></p>\n<p><b>一、总体配置：通胀扰动加剧，北上流入放缓</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀扰动加剧，市场情绪趋于谨慎。</b>美国5月CPI同比高增5%，创近13年来最大同比增速，PPI同比增长6.6%，亦创近10年以来新高，通胀压力显著升温，而美联储反复强调通胀是暂时的并维持超宽松货币立场，一定程度上对冲了市场货币政策收紧的担忧，但高通胀叠加此前持续向好的制造业PMI和失业率数据使得投资者集中关注美联储的6月FOMC决议，博弈Taper信号，市场情绪明显趋于谨慎。国内方面，5月PPI同比进一步升至9%，中国人民银行行长易纲表示国内物价走势整体可控，MLF继续等额平价续作，货币政策保持平稳。</p>\n<p><b>北上流入放缓，交易盘连续两周小幅流出。</b>上周北上资金流入规模缩减至29.31亿元，南下资金小幅流出15.46亿元。根据我们对陆股通资金的拆解和估算，北上配置盘上周净流入规模为58.92亿元，交易盘小幅流出27.75亿元，配置盘和交易盘今年以来累计净流入分别达到2223.26亿元和-2.3亿元。上周主板仓位下降，创业板和科创板仓位上升，截至6月11日，陆股通主板、创业板、科创板持仓比例分别为84.09%、15.68%和0.23%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150a641710b56b832bec4d873884e23c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93cc0ddfbe99236a911d9531959907a6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2f23576ad34aa9eda027b1279abb915\" tg-width=\"1055\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2bad31438783ba4a63f15bbf5d6eb34\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"414\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>二、行业配置：电气设备和银行获集中加仓</b></p>\n<p><b>北上集中加仓电气设备和银行等行业。</b>根据我们的估算，上周电气设备、银行和交通运输行业净流入居前，分别净流入29.47亿元、17.41亿元和13.86亿元；同时食品饮料、电子和建筑材料行业净流出较多，分别净流出26.72亿元、11.57亿元和10.23亿元。</p>\n<p>从资金性质拆分看，交易盘主要流入电气设备、交通运输和综合行业，分别净流入19.27亿元、15.3亿元和8.15亿元；同时集中流出电子、化工和有色金属行业，分别净流出27.95亿元、13.61亿元和9.37亿元；配置盘主要流入银行、医药生物和化工行业，分别净流入18.8亿元、17.97亿元和15.68亿元；主要流出食品饮料、建筑材料和房地产行业，分别净流出24.36亿元、7.64亿元和5.65亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f86240e97f6c1ea5f4f9ad5dbe06d64\" tg-width=\"1064\" tg-height=\"548\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0dc07b2ba6d825912d92e37c11d87\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"414\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>电气设备仓位提升居首，食品饮料仓位回落较多</b>。从持股市值变动角度看，上周电气设备、计算机和汽车行业持股市值大幅提升，分别增加139.33亿元、33.05亿元和25.3亿元；同时食品饮料、家用电器和银行行业持股市值回落较多，分别减少200.59亿元、68.63亿元和45.18亿元。从持股仓位变动看，上周电气设备、计算机和汽车行业仓位提升较多，分别提升0.58%、0.14%和0.11%；而食品饮料、家用电器和银行行业仓位回落较多，仓位分别下降0.66%、0.22%和0.12%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31e68c98b6b7ac758f2299f8788f26bf\" tg-width=\"1063\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1139282920e4742961a697407c086f4a\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a928b2b5542e4ca34e124b960f31809\" tg-width=\"1053\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd1a2bbc9d36d6c83586b46d61c6aa60\" tg-width=\"795\" tg-height=\"671\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>三、个股配置：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601012\">隆基股份</a>增持居前，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002271\">东方雨虹</a>遭减持较多</b></p>\n<p><b>整体持股集中度继续回落，持股高占比公司上升</b>。从持股集中度变动看，陆股通前二十大重仓股持股市值占比上周下降0.21%至41.21%。而持股占流通股本比例超过10%的公司数目为61家。前5大重仓股依次为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">贵州茅台</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000333\">美的集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">招商银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000858\">五粮液</a>，持股规模分别为2095.17亿、838.05亿、761.72亿、704.78亿和673.24亿。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06968e61921370f4195ea98f0bd995d5\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/707d5e862bf6c6e3a1b0c2b32dbd4479\" tg-width=\"751\" tg-height=\"735\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从整体净流入看，上周隆基股份、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601919\">中远海控</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300274\">阳光电源</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300059\">东方财富</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002352\">顺丰控股</a>净流入居前，分别净流入29.02亿元、10.98亿元、8.85亿元、8.48亿元、6.89亿元；同时东方雨虹、宁德时代、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600809\">山西汾酒</a>、贵州茅台、大秦铁路减持较多，分别净流出14.39亿元、13.21亿元、12.42亿元、11.15亿元、8.89亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e13c2b1421570eb18950928f99cc21c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从交易盘角度看，上周交易盘净流入前五大个股依次为：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600887\">伊利股份</a>、隆基股份、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01919\">中远海控</a>、阳光电源、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000009\">中国宝安</a>，分别净流入16.2亿元、12.87亿元、8.56亿元、7.32亿元、5.91亿元；上周交易盘净流出前五大个股依次为：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WX\">药明康德</a>、宁德时代、京东方A、山西汾酒、东方雨虹，分别净流入14.66亿元、9.77亿元、9.69亿元、8.79亿元、6.73亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c495f4402003ce67108ced17da4da15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从配置盘角度看，上周配置盘净流入前五大个股依次为：隆基股份、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603259\">药明康德</a>、东方财富、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300760\">迈瑞医疗</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601166\">兴业银行</a>，分别净流入16.15亿元、9.26亿元、7.34亿元、6.96亿元、5.71亿元；上周配置盘净流出前五大个股依次为：贵州茅台、大秦铁路、伊利股份、东方雨虹、三一重工，分别净流入9.91亿元、9.74亿元、9.43亿元、7.66亿元、6.33亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf115404891a095b8db339ba773ba4e4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示</b></p>\n<p>1、海外市场波动加剧；2、汇率贬值风险。</p>","source":"ywhs","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>国盛策略：外资流入放缓，交易盘小幅撤离</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n国盛策略：外资流入放缓，交易盘小幅撤离\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 15:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/7iKc0TP-MwBKdGsZeJp8xQ><strong>尧望后势</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>核心观点\n一、总体配置：通胀扰动加剧，北上流入放缓\n通胀扰动加剧，市场情绪趋于谨慎。美国5月CPI同比高增5%，创近13年来最大同比增速，PPI同比增长6.6%，亦创近10年以来新高，通胀压力显著升温，而美联储反复强调通胀是暂时的并维持超宽松货币立场，一定程度上对冲了市场货币政策收紧的担忧，但高通胀叠加此前持续向好的制造业PMI和失业率数据使得投资者集中关注美联储的6月FOMC决议，博弈Taper...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/7iKc0TP-MwBKdGsZeJp8xQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb146d9df27844cb787ad545c50986d","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/7iKc0TP-MwBKdGsZeJp8xQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160592405","content_text":"核心观点\n一、总体配置：通胀扰动加剧，北上流入放缓\n通胀扰动加剧，市场情绪趋于谨慎。美国5月CPI同比高增5%，创近13年来最大同比增速，PPI同比增长6.6%，亦创近10年以来新高，通胀压力显著升温，而美联储反复强调通胀是暂时的并维持超宽松货币立场，一定程度上对冲了市场货币政策收紧的担忧，但高通胀叠加此前持续向好的制造业PMI和失业率数据使得投资者集中关注美联储的6月FOMC决议，博弈Taper信号，市场情绪明显趋于谨慎。国内方面，5月PPI同比进一步升至9%，中国人民银行行长易纲表示国内物价走势整体可控，MLF继续等额平价续作，货币政策保持平稳。\n北上流入放缓，交易盘连续两周小幅流出。上周北上资金流入规模缩减至29.31亿元，南下资金小幅流出15.46亿元。根据我们对陆股通资金的拆解和估算，北上配置盘上周净流入规模为58.92亿元，交易盘小幅流出27.75亿元，配置盘和交易盘今年以来累计净流入分别达到2223.26亿元和-2.3亿元。上周主板仓位下降，创业板和科创板仓位上升，截至6月11日，陆股通主板、创业板、科创板持仓比例分别为84.09%、15.68%和0.23%。\n\n二、行业配置：电气设备和银行获集中加仓\n北上集中加仓电气设备和银行等行业。根据我们的估算，上周电气设备、银行和交通运输行业净流入居前，分别净流入29.47亿元、17.41亿元和13.86亿元；同时食品饮料、电子和建筑材料行业净流出较多，分别净流出26.72亿元、11.57亿元和10.23亿元。\n从资金性质拆分看，交易盘主要流入电气设备、交通运输和综合行业，分别净流入19.27亿元、15.3亿元和8.15亿元；同时集中流出电子、化工和有色金属行业，分别净流出27.95亿元、13.61亿元和9.37亿元；配置盘主要流入银行、医药生物和化工行业，分别净流入18.8亿元、17.97亿元和15.68亿元；主要流出食品饮料、建筑材料和房地产行业，分别净流出24.36亿元、7.64亿元和5.65亿元。\n\n电气设备仓位提升居首，食品饮料仓位回落较多。从持股市值变动角度看，上周电气设备、计算机和汽车行业持股市值大幅提升，分别增加139.33亿元、33.05亿元和25.3亿元；同时食品饮料、家用电器和银行行业持股市值回落较多，分别减少200.59亿元、68.63亿元和45.18亿元。从持股仓位变动看，上周电气设备、计算机和汽车行业仓位提升较多，分别提升0.58%、0.14%和0.11%；而食品饮料、家用电器和银行行业仓位回落较多，仓位分别下降0.66%、0.22%和0.12%。\n\n三、个股配置：隆基股份增持居前，东方雨虹遭减持较多\n整体持股集中度继续回落，持股高占比公司上升。从持股集中度变动看，陆股通前二十大重仓股持股市值占比上周下降0.21%至41.21%。而持股占流通股本比例超过10%的公司数目为61家。前5大重仓股依次为贵州茅台、美的集团、招商银行、宁德时代和五粮液，持股规模分别为2095.17亿、838.05亿、761.72亿、704.78亿和673.24亿。\n\n从整体净流入看，上周隆基股份、中远海控、阳光电源、东方财富、顺丰控股净流入居前，分别净流入29.02亿元、10.98亿元、8.85亿元、8.48亿元、6.89亿元；同时东方雨虹、宁德时代、山西汾酒、贵州茅台、大秦铁路减持较多，分别净流出14.39亿元、13.21亿元、12.42亿元、11.15亿元、8.89亿元。\n\n从交易盘角度看，上周交易盘净流入前五大个股依次为：伊利股份、隆基股份、中远海控、阳光电源、中国宝安，分别净流入16.2亿元、12.87亿元、8.56亿元、7.32亿元、5.91亿元；上周交易盘净流出前五大个股依次为：药明康德、宁德时代、京东方A、山西汾酒、东方雨虹，分别净流入14.66亿元、9.77亿元、9.69亿元、8.79亿元、6.73亿元。\n\n从配置盘角度看，上周配置盘净流入前五大个股依次为：隆基股份、药明康德、东方财富、迈瑞医疗、兴业银行，分别净流入16.15亿元、9.26亿元、7.34亿元、6.96亿元、5.71亿元；上周配置盘净流出前五大个股依次为：贵州茅台、大秦铁路、伊利股份、东方雨虹、三一重工，分别净流入9.91亿元、9.74亿元、9.43亿元、7.66亿元、6.33亿元。\n\n风险提示\n1、海外市场波动加剧；2、汇率贬值风险。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}