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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-10-30
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-10-29
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Apple monopolizes the heights and the chill is coming
当地时间10月27日，苹果公布了截至9月24日的第四财季财报。该业绩期内，苹果营业收入为901亿美元，同比增长8.1%；净利润为207.21亿美元，同比增长0.83%。苹果第四财季贴近摩根大通分析师做
Apple monopolizes the heights and the chill is coming
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-10-19
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Fed: The economy is hotter than expected, interest rates need to be raised higher to reduce inflation
美联储工作人员们近日“大幅下调”了对美国潜在产出的评估。分析称，更低的潜在增长意味着去年和今年的经济过热程度超过了此前预期，这需要更多的加息或是更长时期低于趋势的增长，才能缩小产出缺口。美联储内部有影
Fed: The economy is hotter than expected, interest rates need to be raised higher to reduce inflation
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-10-09
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The quality control of the "new forces" in the United States is too poor? Rivian Recalls Almost Every Car It Sold
Rivian 表示，这一安全隐患可能导致车轮过度外倾甚至倾斜，在一些极端情况下还会导致车轮与汽车分离，影响司机操控汽车。
The quality control of the "new forces" in the United States is too poor? Rivian Recalls Almost Every Car It Sold
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-10-08
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-10-07
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Tragic sell-off! Wall Street "hunts" UK assets, 12 trillion pension funds are in a hurry
与此同时，“不错过任何一场危机”的华尔街机构，正在大肆“抄底”英国养老金基金的折价资产，其中包括，高盛、黑石集团、瑞士私募机构Partners Group等。养老基金持有的资产占英国机构资产管理市场的40%，占英国GDP的三分之二。另一只“黑天鹅”英国的另一只“黑天鹅”魅影正在显现。近日，荷兰政府表示，格罗宁根气田的产量将限制在28亿立方米，最迟将于2024年完全结束天然气生产工作。
Tragic sell-off! Wall Street "hunts" UK assets, 12 trillion pension funds are in a hurry
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yoyo6969
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2022-10-06
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-09-30
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Large options orders | Tesla options trading volume climbs! Apple's target price has been slashed, and the PUT big bet is $120!
一、市场概览 （29/09）美东时间周四，经历了周三的短暂反弹后，对经济放缓的担忧情绪再次主导市场，三大指数急剧下跌，截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.54%，报29,225.61点；标普500指数跌2.11
Large options orders | Tesla options trading volume climbs! Apple's target price has been slashed, and the PUT big bet is $120!
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-09-27
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Morgan Stanley, "Sister Wood", and Allianz chief warned at the same time: the soaring dollar will end in a crisis
周一，美联储公布的数据显示，贸易加权名义美元指数上周突破了2020年3月创下的高点。过去5天美指上涨4%，涨幅为2020年3月新冠恐慌顶峰以来最大。同日，追踪包含石油、铜等工业金属和小麦等食品各种期货
Morgan Stanley, "Sister Wood", and Allianz chief warned at the same time: the soaring dollar will end in a crisis
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yoyo6969
yoyo6969
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2022-09-26
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Three departments: The vehicle purchase tax exemption policy for new energy vehicles will be extended until the end of 2023
财政部、税务总局、工业和信息化部发布关于延续新能源汽车免征车辆购置税政策的公告，对购置日期在2023年1月1日至2023年12月31日期间内的新能源汽车，免征车辆购置税。免征车辆购置税的新能源汽车，通
Three departments: The vehicle purchase tax exemption policy for new energy vehicles will be extended until the end of 2023
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","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982181576","repostId":"1176991053","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986771271,"gmtCreate":1667027848793,"gmtModify":1676537852077,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986771271","repostId":"1155301834","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155301834","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667009770,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155301834?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-29 10:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Apple monopolizes the heights and the chill is coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155301834","media":"DoNews","summary":"当地时间10月27日，苹果公布了截至9月24日的第四财季财报。该业绩期内，苹果营业收入为901亿美元，同比增长8.1%；净利润为207.21亿美元，同比增长0.83%。苹果第四财季贴近摩根大通分析师做","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On October 27, local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Announced its financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 24. During the performance period, Apple's operating income was US $90.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%; Net profit was US $20.721 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.83%.</p><p>Apple's fiscal fourth quarter is close to<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>Analysts made a revenue forecast of $90 billion, which was also higher than the $88.6 billion estimate for the quarter by Wall Street and others. Therefore, Apple's fourth-quarter performance is basically considered to be higher than the overall market expectation. However, due to the overall market replacement and the performance of the stock market that day, Apple's stock rebounded slightly after falling that day, and still fell 3.05% at the end of the session.</p><p>Although the release of Apple's financial report has allowed the market to see its strong market revenue capabilities as a global technology leader, when the global technology market is collectively cold, if Apple wants to continue to rise against the market in the next fiscal quarter, it will face it. It can be described as difficult.</p><p><b>01. iPhone14 becomes the pillar of performance</b></p><p><b>Supply chain has become the key to performance</b></p><p>According to the financial report, Apple's iPhone business revenue in the fourth quarter was US $42.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, which was basically consistent with the forecast of market institutions. However, considering that the new product sales this season are only 9 days, and its performance boosting effect has not been fully released, it is not easy to achieve the above performance.</p><p>According to the latest data released by analyst agency Canalys, weak demand in the third quarter of 2022 has led to global<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">smart</a>Mobile phone shipments fell 9% year over year to 298 million units.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>Defended its position as No. 1 in the market but still fell 8% with 64.1 million units shipped. Apple is the only manufacturer to achieve growth, with a year-on-year increase of 8% and shipments of 53 million units.</p><p>However, it should be noted that even if positive growth in shipments is maintained, some organizations have previously adjusted their expectations for Apple's mobile phone production, reducing it by 14% from the original 56 million units to 52 million units.</p><p>Therefore, from this perspective, the demand for Apple's new phones is hot. On the one hand, it is indeed due to the excellent product strength, and on the other hand, it also shows that Apple's new phones are encountering production capacity supply difficulties. At this point, in the earlier Apple performance communication meeting, Cook revealed that the limited supply of the high-end mobile phone iPhone 14 Pro has affected certain sales.</p><p>However, it is a foregone conclusion that Apple's mobile phones will continue to be popular in the market. According to the data of Canalys, the market share of Apple's mobile phones has increased from 15% to 18%, making it the manufacturer with the largest increase in share. At the same time, Apple's mobile phones have reached more than 800 US dollars, which also ensures the strong revenue capabilities of its mobile phone business. According to the observation and prediction of industry analysts, the sales of Apple Pro models will account for 60% of the iPhone 14 series, exceeding the proportion of previous high-end models in sales.</p><p>In other words, relying on the performance boost of new phones, Apple's mobile phone revenue is likely to show brilliant figures in this quarter and next quarter.</p><p><b>02. Consumer electronics, two families are happy and one is sad</b></p><p>Different from the explosion of the mobile phone business, the revenue of other consumer electronics products can be described as having its own hidden worries.</p><p>According to the financial report, Apple's Mac business revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter was US $11.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%. According to the analysis of the reasons for the sharp recovery of the MAC business, on the one hand, the supply-side problems affected by factors such as the epidemic in the second quarter have been solved, and on the other hand, the product value reflected by Apple's new MAC products equipped with self-developed chips has been recognized by consumer groups.</p><p>However, for Apple, its hidden worry is not the product itself. According to data released by analyst firm Counterpoint Research on October 27, in the third quarter of 2022, global personal computer shipments fell 15.5% year-on-year to 71.1 million units. This is another huge wave after the severe annual consecutive decline in the second quarter. year-on-year decline. Shrinking market demand has seriously affected the entire PC industry chain. It is reported that many technology giants, including Apple, are seeking channels to cut expenses, including freezing recruitment, reducing funds and even laying off employees.</p><p>The MAC business has achieved gratifying results in the cold winter of the industry, while the iPad business is not so lucky. As a response to the severe shrinking demand for online entertainment and learning, Apple's iPad business revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter was US $7.17 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 13.06%.</p><p>This is reminiscent of the year-on-year decline in iPad, Mac and other revenues in the last fiscal quarter. Cook once explained that the main reasons for this situation were supply constraints and the strengthening of the US dollar, and pinned his hopes on September. After the peak sales season. However, in this fiscal quarter, under the situation that MAC business has gone out of the quagmire and iPad is still not improving, the objective influence of the industrial environment has obviously affected iPad products with stronger entertainment attributes, younger customer positioning and partial overlap with MAC functions.</p><p>In contrast, in the fourth fiscal quarter, revenue from wearable devices, home products and accessories was US $9.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, and the results are still gratifying. The reason is that the stability of the general environment and the promotion of new products have become the main factors for the performance.</p><p>Taking smart watches as an example, in Apple's second fiscal quarter, according to statistics from analyst agency Canalys, global shipments of wearable wristband devices increased by 2.0% to 41.7 million units, resuming growth after a 3.7% decline in the first quarter. Among them, the growth rate of smart watches reached 9.3%. Apple ranks first in the global smart watch market with a market share of 26%, and its shipments increased by 6% year-on-year to 8.4 million units, twice as high as Samsung, which ranked second.</p><p>Obviously, Apple's wearable products, represented by products such as Apple Watch and AirPods, are more portable and fashionable than other consumer electronics products, have a more rhythmic cycle in product updates, and can cover consumer groups compared with the personal computer business. It is more extensive, and it is reasonable to record relatively excellent financial results.</p><p>Therefore, under the circumstances of different market structures, the three major businesses of Apple's consumer electronics sector show a scene of two happy and one sad.</p><p><b>03. Weak service revenue growth</b></p><p><b>The new measures are ugly and questioned by monopoly</b></p><p>As another major revenue pillar of Apple, software service revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2022 was US $19.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%.</p><p>After the data was released, the market reacted hugely. This is the second decline in Apple's service growth curve after the decline in revenue last quarter. The 5% growth rate is not only lower than market expectations, but also the first time that it has fallen into a single-digit ratio.</p><p>In fact, in the face of the sharp decline in growth rate, Apple's service self-help has continued from last fiscal quarter to this fiscal quarter. In August, Bloomberg reported that Apple is expected to change its advertising rules and plans to expand advertising to more areas such as iPhone and iPad. In October, Apple officially sent a notification email to iOS third-party developers, saying that it would display software-related advertisements in the \"Today\" tab of Apple App Store and in the \"You May Also Like\" section at the bottom of each software page window.</p><p>This move means that Apple is allowing third parties to freely place advertisements with an open attitude for the first time. Of course, the price that third-party service providers need to pay is the increased prices of Apple Music and Apple TV + services. Among them, the price of Apple Music service has been raised from $9.99 to $10.99 per month, while Apple TV + has been raised from $4.99 to $6.99.</p><p>This can't help but remind people of the ATT privacy policy (APP Tracking Transparency Privacy Policy) launched by Apple last year. Under the ATT framework, service providers need to obtain permission from users before they can track users or access their device's advertising identifier (i.e. IDFA). According to industry analysis, this policy imposes a fatal switch setting and control on third-party applications from the traffic portal, thus making the third party lose the opportunity to actively analyze customer product preferences, and for the third party, it loses the data foundation of advertising effect optimization in the iOS ecosystem, and loses the key link of accurate advertising delivery, thus losing the technical soil of advertising revenue.</p><p>Last year's tightening and this year's opening up, Apple's pursuit of wider advertising revenue channels and higher service prices under the cold winter of the industry are all efforts to generate revenue, but the premise is that the Apple ecosystem is still under Apple's control, but This premise is also becoming loosened.</p><p>After the announcement of the new advertising display space was released, it caused widespread controversy in the industry. Some analysts believe that when the third party is not willing to pay enough to buy advertisements, it still has to pay for the purchase out of its own pocket in the face of the situation that the advertising space may be occupied and the loss of users. Similarly, this implicit forced purchase behavior triggered another discussion of Apple's monopoly position.</p><p>In fact, for a long time, \"crimes\" such as the \"30% apple tax\" in the industry have not been friendly enough to third-party small service providers, and the practice of controlling data flow has \"made the world suffer for a long time\".</p><p>In view of the negative impression accumulated by Apple's services, since the beginning of this year, various regions have experienced fierce resistance to Apple's monopoly: at the beginning of the year, India launched a large-scale antitrust investigation into Apple. On March 30th, according to relevant media reports, Apple encountered a class action lawsuit in the Netherlands, and the company's App Store was accused of abusing its monopoly position of 30% commission. Subsequently, Russia, Brazil, South Korea and other countries also conducted targeted surveys on Apple services.</p><p>More thoroughly, it is the European Union. According to a previous written statement issued by the European Commission to Apple, in recent years, Apple has been restricting users from using other payment systems on Apple devices on the grounds of protecting user security and privacy, saying that this anti-competitive behavior of Apple can be traced back to at least 2015. If this charge is established, Apple will face a fine of up to 10% of its global annual turnover, which is estimated to be approximately US $36.6 billion (approximately RMB 241.864 billion) based on the turnover data of the previous fiscal year.</p><p>In early July, the European Union officially passed the Digital Markets Act (DMA) and the Digital Services Act (DSA). The bills include: requiring large technology companies to \"allow users to install applications from third-party app stores and directly from the Internet. Side download\" and \"allow developers to provide third-party payment systems in applications\" and other content. The passage of this bill is considered to fundamentally limit the possibility of technology giants like Apple continuing to implement monopoly clauses.</p><p>All of the above are internal and external troubles that Apple's service business has to face. If it wants to increase revenue, it may be impossible to save the falling technology giants solely by expanding advertising channels and opening up the technical level.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"dns","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple monopolizes the heights and the chill is coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple monopolizes the heights and the chill is coming\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DoNews</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-29 10:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On October 27, local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Announced its financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 24. During the performance period, Apple's operating income was US $90.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%; Net profit was US $20.721 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.83%.</p><p>Apple's fiscal fourth quarter is close to<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>Analysts made a revenue forecast of $90 billion, which was also higher than the $88.6 billion estimate for the quarter by Wall Street and others. Therefore, Apple's fourth-quarter performance is basically considered to be higher than the overall market expectation. However, due to the overall market replacement and the performance of the stock market that day, Apple's stock rebounded slightly after falling that day, and still fell 3.05% at the end of the session.</p><p>Although the release of Apple's financial report has allowed the market to see its strong market revenue capabilities as a global technology leader, when the global technology market is collectively cold, if Apple wants to continue to rise against the market in the next fiscal quarter, it will face it. It can be described as difficult.</p><p><b>01. iPhone14 becomes the pillar of performance</b></p><p><b>Supply chain has become the key to performance</b></p><p>According to the financial report, Apple's iPhone business revenue in the fourth quarter was US $42.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, which was basically consistent with the forecast of market institutions. However, considering that the new product sales this season are only 9 days, and its performance boosting effect has not been fully released, it is not easy to achieve the above performance.</p><p>According to the latest data released by analyst agency Canalys, weak demand in the third quarter of 2022 has led to global<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">smart</a>Mobile phone shipments fell 9% year over year to 298 million units.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>Defended its position as No. 1 in the market but still fell 8% with 64.1 million units shipped. Apple is the only manufacturer to achieve growth, with a year-on-year increase of 8% and shipments of 53 million units.</p><p>However, it should be noted that even if positive growth in shipments is maintained, some organizations have previously adjusted their expectations for Apple's mobile phone production, reducing it by 14% from the original 56 million units to 52 million units.</p><p>Therefore, from this perspective, the demand for Apple's new phones is hot. On the one hand, it is indeed due to the excellent product strength, and on the other hand, it also shows that Apple's new phones are encountering production capacity supply difficulties. At this point, in the earlier Apple performance communication meeting, Cook revealed that the limited supply of the high-end mobile phone iPhone 14 Pro has affected certain sales.</p><p>However, it is a foregone conclusion that Apple's mobile phones will continue to be popular in the market. According to the data of Canalys, the market share of Apple's mobile phones has increased from 15% to 18%, making it the manufacturer with the largest increase in share. At the same time, Apple's mobile phones have reached more than 800 US dollars, which also ensures the strong revenue capabilities of its mobile phone business. According to the observation and prediction of industry analysts, the sales of Apple Pro models will account for 60% of the iPhone 14 series, exceeding the proportion of previous high-end models in sales.</p><p>In other words, relying on the performance boost of new phones, Apple's mobile phone revenue is likely to show brilliant figures in this quarter and next quarter.</p><p><b>02. Consumer electronics, two families are happy and one is sad</b></p><p>Different from the explosion of the mobile phone business, the revenue of other consumer electronics products can be described as having its own hidden worries.</p><p>According to the financial report, Apple's Mac business revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter was US $11.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%. According to the analysis of the reasons for the sharp recovery of the MAC business, on the one hand, the supply-side problems affected by factors such as the epidemic in the second quarter have been solved, and on the other hand, the product value reflected by Apple's new MAC products equipped with self-developed chips has been recognized by consumer groups.</p><p>However, for Apple, its hidden worry is not the product itself. According to data released by analyst firm Counterpoint Research on October 27, in the third quarter of 2022, global personal computer shipments fell 15.5% year-on-year to 71.1 million units. This is another huge wave after the severe annual consecutive decline in the second quarter. year-on-year decline. Shrinking market demand has seriously affected the entire PC industry chain. It is reported that many technology giants, including Apple, are seeking channels to cut expenses, including freezing recruitment, reducing funds and even laying off employees.</p><p>The MAC business has achieved gratifying results in the cold winter of the industry, while the iPad business is not so lucky. As a response to the severe shrinking demand for online entertainment and learning, Apple's iPad business revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter was US $7.17 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 13.06%.</p><p>This is reminiscent of the year-on-year decline in iPad, Mac and other revenues in the last fiscal quarter. Cook once explained that the main reasons for this situation were supply constraints and the strengthening of the US dollar, and pinned his hopes on September. After the peak sales season. However, in this fiscal quarter, under the situation that MAC business has gone out of the quagmire and iPad is still not improving, the objective influence of the industrial environment has obviously affected iPad products with stronger entertainment attributes, younger customer positioning and partial overlap with MAC functions.</p><p>In contrast, in the fourth fiscal quarter, revenue from wearable devices, home products and accessories was US $9.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, and the results are still gratifying. The reason is that the stability of the general environment and the promotion of new products have become the main factors for the performance.</p><p>Taking smart watches as an example, in Apple's second fiscal quarter, according to statistics from analyst agency Canalys, global shipments of wearable wristband devices increased by 2.0% to 41.7 million units, resuming growth after a 3.7% decline in the first quarter. Among them, the growth rate of smart watches reached 9.3%. Apple ranks first in the global smart watch market with a market share of 26%, and its shipments increased by 6% year-on-year to 8.4 million units, twice as high as Samsung, which ranked second.</p><p>Obviously, Apple's wearable products, represented by products such as Apple Watch and AirPods, are more portable and fashionable than other consumer electronics products, have a more rhythmic cycle in product updates, and can cover consumer groups compared with the personal computer business. It is more extensive, and it is reasonable to record relatively excellent financial results.</p><p>Therefore, under the circumstances of different market structures, the three major businesses of Apple's consumer electronics sector show a scene of two happy and one sad.</p><p><b>03. Weak service revenue growth</b></p><p><b>The new measures are ugly and questioned by monopoly</b></p><p>As another major revenue pillar of Apple, software service revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2022 was US $19.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%.</p><p>After the data was released, the market reacted hugely. This is the second decline in Apple's service growth curve after the decline in revenue last quarter. The 5% growth rate is not only lower than market expectations, but also the first time that it has fallen into a single-digit ratio.</p><p>In fact, in the face of the sharp decline in growth rate, Apple's service self-help has continued from last fiscal quarter to this fiscal quarter. In August, Bloomberg reported that Apple is expected to change its advertising rules and plans to expand advertising to more areas such as iPhone and iPad. In October, Apple officially sent a notification email to iOS third-party developers, saying that it would display software-related advertisements in the \"Today\" tab of Apple App Store and in the \"You May Also Like\" section at the bottom of each software page window.</p><p>This move means that Apple is allowing third parties to freely place advertisements with an open attitude for the first time. Of course, the price that third-party service providers need to pay is the increased prices of Apple Music and Apple TV + services. Among them, the price of Apple Music service has been raised from $9.99 to $10.99 per month, while Apple TV + has been raised from $4.99 to $6.99.</p><p>This can't help but remind people of the ATT privacy policy (APP Tracking Transparency Privacy Policy) launched by Apple last year. Under the ATT framework, service providers need to obtain permission from users before they can track users or access their device's advertising identifier (i.e. IDFA). According to industry analysis, this policy imposes a fatal switch setting and control on third-party applications from the traffic portal, thus making the third party lose the opportunity to actively analyze customer product preferences, and for the third party, it loses the data foundation of advertising effect optimization in the iOS ecosystem, and loses the key link of accurate advertising delivery, thus losing the technical soil of advertising revenue.</p><p>Last year's tightening and this year's opening up, Apple's pursuit of wider advertising revenue channels and higher service prices under the cold winter of the industry are all efforts to generate revenue, but the premise is that the Apple ecosystem is still under Apple's control, but This premise is also becoming loosened.</p><p>After the announcement of the new advertising display space was released, it caused widespread controversy in the industry. Some analysts believe that when the third party is not willing to pay enough to buy advertisements, it still has to pay for the purchase out of its own pocket in the face of the situation that the advertising space may be occupied and the loss of users. Similarly, this implicit forced purchase behavior triggered another discussion of Apple's monopoly position.</p><p>In fact, for a long time, \"crimes\" such as the \"30% apple tax\" in the industry have not been friendly enough to third-party small service providers, and the practice of controlling data flow has \"made the world suffer for a long time\".</p><p>In view of the negative impression accumulated by Apple's services, since the beginning of this year, various regions have experienced fierce resistance to Apple's monopoly: at the beginning of the year, India launched a large-scale antitrust investigation into Apple. On March 30th, according to relevant media reports, Apple encountered a class action lawsuit in the Netherlands, and the company's App Store was accused of abusing its monopoly position of 30% commission. Subsequently, Russia, Brazil, South Korea and other countries also conducted targeted surveys on Apple services.</p><p>More thoroughly, it is the European Union. According to a previous written statement issued by the European Commission to Apple, in recent years, Apple has been restricting users from using other payment systems on Apple devices on the grounds of protecting user security and privacy, saying that this anti-competitive behavior of Apple can be traced back to at least 2015. If this charge is established, Apple will face a fine of up to 10% of its global annual turnover, which is estimated to be approximately US $36.6 billion (approximately RMB 241.864 billion) based on the turnover data of the previous fiscal year.</p><p>In early July, the European Union officially passed the Digital Markets Act (DMA) and the Digital Services Act (DSA). The bills include: requiring large technology companies to \"allow users to install applications from third-party app stores and directly from the Internet. Side download\" and \"allow developers to provide third-party payment systems in applications\" and other content. The passage of this bill is considered to fundamentally limit the possibility of technology giants like Apple continuing to implement monopoly clauses.</p><p>All of the above are internal and external troubles that Apple's service business has to face. If it wants to increase revenue, it may be impossible to save the falling technology giants solely by expanding advertising channels and opening up the technical level.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/gQ-an3CjR5iYxljVCAw8Sw\">DoNews</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f224bb016b853641f590b6753763d1","relate_stocks":{"IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","BK4507":"流媒体概念","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","AAPL":"苹果","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/gQ-an3CjR5iYxljVCAw8Sw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155301834","content_text":"当地时间10月27日，苹果公布了截至9月24日的第四财季财报。该业绩期内，苹果营业收入为901亿美元，同比增长8.1%；净利润为207.21亿美元，同比增长0.83%。苹果第四财季贴近摩根大通分析师做出的收入为900亿美元的预测，也高于华尔街等机构对该季度886亿美元的预期。因此，苹果第四财季业绩基本被认为高于市场整体预期，但受限于整体市场换下及当日股票市场表现，苹果股票当日下挫后小幅反弹，至盘终仍下跌3.05%。尽管苹果财报的出炉，让市场看到其作为全球科技龙头强悍的市场营收能力，但在全球科技市场集体遇冷的情况下，苹果要想在下一个财季继续逆市上升的表现，面前可谓是困难重重。01.iPhone14成业绩支柱供应链竟成业绩关键据财报显示，苹果第四季度 iPhone 业务收入 426 亿美元，同比增长 9.7%，与市场机构预测基本吻合。但考虑到本季新品销售仅有9天，其业绩提振效果并未完全释放的情况下，取得如上业绩已经不易。据分析机构Canalys最新发布的数据显示，2022年第三季度的需求疲软导致全球智能手机出货量同比下降9%，至2.98亿部。三星捍卫了其市场第一的位置，但仍下降8%，出货量为6410万部。而苹果是唯一实现增长的厂商，同比增长8%，出货量为5300万台，不过需要注意的是，即使维持正增长出货量，此前就已经有机构对苹果手机的产量调整了预期，将其从原先的5600万部，降低14%调至5200万部。所以从这一角度来解读苹果新机的需求火爆，一方面确实是因为产品力出色，另一方面也侧面说明了苹果新机遭遇产能供应困境。而这一点上，早前的苹果业绩沟通会中，库克就就有所透露：高端手机iPhone 14 Pro供应受限而影响了一定销售。不过，苹果手机持续受到市场热捧已成定局，据分析机构Canalys数据显示，苹果手机市场份额从 15% 提升至 18%，是份额提升最多的厂商，同时，苹果手机达到 800 美元以上，也同样保证了其手机业务强大的营收能力。而在业界分析师的观察预测下，苹果Pro机型的销售额将占iPhone 14系列的60%，超过历次高端机型在销售额的占比。也就是说，依靠新机的业绩提振，苹果手机营收在本季度及下季度业绩都有可能体现出靓丽的数字。02.消费电子，两家欢喜一家愁与手机业务爆火不同的是，其他消费电子产品的营收可谓各有隐忧。据财报显示，苹果第四财季 Mac 业务收入115亿美元，同比增长25.4%。据分析 Mac 业务大幅回暖原因，一方面因为受二季度疫情等因素影响的供应端问题已经得到解决，另一方面是苹果MAC新品搭载自研芯片体现出的产品价值得到消费群体的认可。不过，对于苹果来说，其隐忧并不在产品本身。据分析机构Counterpoint Research10月27日发布的数据显示，2022年第三季度，全球个人电脑出货量同比下降15.5%至7110万台，这是继第二季度严重的年度连续下降后的又一波巨大的同比下降。市场需求萎缩已经严重影响整个PC产业链，据悉包括苹果在内的诸多科技巨头，都在寻求削减开支的渠道，其中不乏冻结招聘、压缩经费甚至裁员等方式。MAC业务在行业寒冬下取得了喜人的业绩，相比之下iPad业务就没有那么好的运气了。作为在线娱乐学习需求严重萎缩的反应，苹果第四财季iPad业务营收为71.7亿美元，同比下降13.06%。这让人想起了上一财季面对iPad、Mac等营收均同比下滑时，库克曾解释说，造成这一局面的主要原因是供应限制和美元走强所致，并将希望寄托在了9月份之后销售旺季。但是，在本财季中，MAC业务走出泥潭而iPad依然没有起色的局势下，产业大环境的客观影响已经明显的作用在了娱乐属性更强、客户定位更低龄且与MAC功用部分重叠的iPad产品。与此相反的是，在第四财季，可穿戴设备、家居产品及配件收入为96.5亿美元，同比增长9.8%，成绩依然喜人。究其原因，大环境稳定及新品拉动成为业绩过关的主要因素。以智能手表为例，在苹果第二财季时，据分析机构Canalys统计，全球可穿戴腕带设备出货量增长2.0%，达到4170万部，在第一季度下降3.7%后再度恢复增长。其中智能手表的增长率达到9.3%。而苹果以26%的市场份额位居全球智能手表市场首位，出货量同比增长6%，至840万台，高出排在第二的三星两倍之多。显然，以Apple Watch和AirPods等产品为代表的苹果可穿戴产品，相比于其他消费电子产品更具有便携性和时尚性，在产品更新上更有节奏周期，可覆盖消费人群相对个人电脑业务来说更为广泛，录得相对优异的财报业绩也符合情理当中。所以，在市场结构不尽相同的情况下，苹果消费电子板块的三大业务，呈现出两家欢喜一家愁的景象。03.服务营收增长乏力新措施吃相难看又遭垄断质疑作为苹果另一大营收支柱，2022 财年第四季度的软件服务收入192亿美元，同比增长5%。数据公布后，市场反应巨大。这是苹果服务增长曲线继上季度营收下降后再度下滑，5%的增长幅度不仅低于市场预期，更是首次跌入个位数比例。实际上，面对增长率的大幅下滑，苹果服务自救已经从上个财季延续到了这个财季。在8月份彭博社就报道称苹果有望更改广告推行规则，计划将广告扩展到iPhone和iPad等更多领域。而在10月份，苹果就正式给iOS第三方开发者发出了通知邮件，表示将在苹果应用商店的“今日”标签，以及在每一个软件页面窗口底部的“你可能也喜欢”板块，显示软件相关的广告。此举意味着苹果第一次以开放的姿态允许第三方自由放置广告。当然，第三方服务商需要付出的代价是被上调的Apple Music和Apple TV+服务的价格。其中，Apple Music服务价格从每月9.99美元上调至10.99美元，而Apple TV+从4.99美元上调至6.99美元。这不由得让人想起了去年苹果推出的ATT隐私政策（APP Tracking Transparency隐私政策）。在ATT框架下，服务商需要征得用户许可，然后才能跟踪用户或访问其设备的广告标识符（即IDFA）。据业界分析，该政策从流量入口对第三方应用进行了致命的开关设置与把控，从而让第三方失去主动分析客户产品偏好的机会，而对于第三方，失去iOS生态内广告效果优化的数据基础，也就失去了广告精准投放的关键环节，进而失去广告营收的技术土壤。去年收紧，今年开放，苹果在行业寒冬之下追求更广泛的广告营收渠道、更高的服务价格，都是为了创收而进行的努力，但前提是苹果生态还处于苹果的控制当中，不过这个前提也正在变得松动起来。新增广告展示位通知发布后，引起业界内的广泛争议。有分析人士认为，第三方在没有足够付费意愿添置广告的情况下，面对可能被占领的广告位及用户流失的局面，还是要自掏腰包进行购买。同样，这一隐性强制购买行为，引发了对苹果垄断地位的再次讨论。实际上，长期以来像业内口中“30%苹果税”这样的“罪行”，一直对第三方小型服务商不够友好，控制数据流的做法更是“让天下苦苹果久矣”。鉴于苹果服务积累下的负面印象，今年以来，各地区对苹果垄断的行为都爆发出激烈的反抗：年初，印度对苹果开启大规模的反垄断调查。3月30日，据相关媒体报道，苹果公司在荷兰遭遇集体诉讼，该公司App Store被指控滥用30%佣金的垄断地位。随后俄罗斯、巴西、韩国等国也对苹果服务进行针对性的调查。对苹果服务下手更彻底是，是欧盟。据欧盟委员会此前向苹果公司发出的一份书面声明中称，近年来苹果一直以保护用户安全和隐私为由，限制用户在苹果设备上使用其他支付系统，并称苹果的这一反竞争行为可以至少追溯到2015年。如果这一指控成立，苹果最高将面临其全球年营业额10%的罚款，按上一财年的营业额数据估算约为366亿美元(约合人民币2418.64亿元)。而在7月初，欧盟正式通过了《数字市场法案》（DMA）和《数字服务法案》（DSA），法案包括：要求大型科技公司必须“允许用户从第三方应用商店安装应用，并直接从互联网侧下载”“允许开发者在应用中提供第三方支付系统”等内容。这一法案的通过，被认为从根本上限制了苹果这样的科技巨头继续推行垄断性条款的可能。以上种种，都是苹果服务业务要面对的内忧外患，想要提高增收，单单靠广告渠道的拓宽和技术层面的开放，恐怕已经无法挽救下坠中的科技巨头了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983177912,"gmtCreate":1666194124937,"gmtModify":1676537721008,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983177912","repostId":"1154291513","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154291513","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666193836,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154291513?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-19 23:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Fed: The economy is hotter than expected, interest rates need to be raised higher to reduce inflation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154291513","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储工作人员们近日“大幅下调”了对美国潜在产出的评估。分析称，更低的潜在增长意味着去年和今年的经济过热程度超过了此前预期，这需要更多的加息或是更长时期低于趋势的增长，才能缩小产出缺口。美联储内部有影","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Federal Reserve staff have \"significantly lowered\" their assessment of potential U.S. output in recent days. According to the analysis, lower potential growth means that the economy overheated last year and this year more than previously expected, which requires more rate hike or a longer period of below-trend growth to narrow the output gap. Influential staff within the Fed believe the U.S. economy is hotter than they thought, which helps explain why inflation remains at a 40-year high and makes the case for more rate hike by the Fed.</p><p>Due to disappointing productivity growth and a slow increase in labour force participation,<b>Federal Reserve staff have \"significantly lowered\" their assessment of potential U.S. output in recent days.</b>Potential gross domestic product is an estimate of how fast the economy can run without tightening resources and generating higher inflation.</p><p>The staff also expected that,<b>The U.S. unemployment rate will rise more slowly than they previously estimated, and unemployment will remain below the level they expect to likely constrain inflation until the end of 2025.</b></p><p>The media quoted former Federal Reserve economist Anna Wong as saying,<b>The implications for policy are important. Lower potential growth means that the economy overheated more than previously expected last year and this year, which requires more rate hike or a longer period of below-trend growth to narrow the output gap.</b></p><p>Although the Fed staff who gave the above conclusions do not formulate policies, the relevant conclusions provide very important information that may influence the actions of Fed policymakers. At present, the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to issue another 75 basis point rate hike at its November meeting, the fourth consecutive such large-scale rate hike. The market has not ruled out the possibility of continuing the rate hike of 75 basis points in December.</p><p>The U.S. economy has slowed significantly this year, but if the economy remains above its long-term trend, it explains why inflation continues to grow widely and stubbornly across multiple areas.</p><p>Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics last week showed that the U.S. CPI rose by 8.2% year-on-year in September, higher than market expectations of 8.1%, and the previous value was 8.3%; The CPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month in September, twice the market expectation of 0.2%, and significantly higher than the previous value of 0.1%. In September, the core CPI rose by 6.6% year-on-year, which was not only higher than market expectations of 6.5% and the previous value of 6.3%, but also hit a new high since August 1982; Core CPI climbed 0.6% month-on-month for the second consecutive month, higher than market expectations of 0.4%.</p><p>U.S. employment data in September was also quite strong, with 263,000 new non-agricultural jobs in September, compared with 255,000 expected jobs; The unemployment rate is only 3.5%, the lowest level in 50 years; The average hourly wage has risen steadily, with the average hourly wage in September increasing by 5% year-on-year.</p><p>William English, who previously served as head of the Federal Reserve's monetary affairs department and is now a professor at the Yale School of Management, said the U.S. economy appears to be quite resilient and the labor market may need to slow significantly to reduce pressure on demand and wages. Future Federal Funds rate are expected to be higher than the Fed's latest estimate, unemployment will be higher, and inflation will fall more slowly than current officials expect.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed: The economy is hotter than expected, interest rates need to be raised higher to reduce inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed: The economy is hotter than expected, interest rates need to be raised higher to reduce inflation\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-19 23:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Federal Reserve staff have \"significantly lowered\" their assessment of potential U.S. output in recent days. According to the analysis, lower potential growth means that the economy overheated last year and this year more than previously expected, which requires more rate hike or a longer period of below-trend growth to narrow the output gap. Influential staff within the Fed believe the U.S. economy is hotter than they thought, which helps explain why inflation remains at a 40-year high and makes the case for more rate hike by the Fed.</p><p>Due to disappointing productivity growth and a slow increase in labour force participation,<b>Federal Reserve staff have \"significantly lowered\" their assessment of potential U.S. output in recent days.</b>Potential gross domestic product is an estimate of how fast the economy can run without tightening resources and generating higher inflation.</p><p>The staff also expected that,<b>The U.S. unemployment rate will rise more slowly than they previously estimated, and unemployment will remain below the level they expect to likely constrain inflation until the end of 2025.</b></p><p>The media quoted former Federal Reserve economist Anna Wong as saying,<b>The implications for policy are important. Lower potential growth means that the economy overheated more than previously expected last year and this year, which requires more rate hike or a longer period of below-trend growth to narrow the output gap.</b></p><p>Although the Fed staff who gave the above conclusions do not formulate policies, the relevant conclusions provide very important information that may influence the actions of Fed policymakers. At present, the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to issue another 75 basis point rate hike at its November meeting, the fourth consecutive such large-scale rate hike. The market has not ruled out the possibility of continuing the rate hike of 75 basis points in December.</p><p>The U.S. economy has slowed significantly this year, but if the economy remains above its long-term trend, it explains why inflation continues to grow widely and stubbornly across multiple areas.</p><p>Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics last week showed that the U.S. CPI rose by 8.2% year-on-year in September, higher than market expectations of 8.1%, and the previous value was 8.3%; The CPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month in September, twice the market expectation of 0.2%, and significantly higher than the previous value of 0.1%. In September, the core CPI rose by 6.6% year-on-year, which was not only higher than market expectations of 6.5% and the previous value of 6.3%, but also hit a new high since August 1982; Core CPI climbed 0.6% month-on-month for the second consecutive month, higher than market expectations of 0.4%.</p><p>U.S. employment data in September was also quite strong, with 263,000 new non-agricultural jobs in September, compared with 255,000 expected jobs; The unemployment rate is only 3.5%, the lowest level in 50 years; The average hourly wage has risen steadily, with the average hourly wage in September increasing by 5% year-on-year.</p><p>William English, who previously served as head of the Federal Reserve's monetary affairs department and is now a professor at the Yale School of Management, said the U.S. economy appears to be quite resilient and the labor market may need to slow significantly to reduce pressure on demand and wages. Future Federal Funds rate are expected to be higher than the Fed's latest estimate, unemployment will be higher, and inflation will fall more slowly than current officials expect.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3672773\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42d623bf2f962cffafc93d5db7d45f9c","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3672773","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154291513","content_text":"美联储工作人员们近日“大幅下调”了对美国潜在产出的评估。分析称，更低的潜在增长意味着去年和今年的经济过热程度超过了此前预期，这需要更多的加息或是更长时期低于趋势的增长，才能缩小产出缺口。美联储内部有影响力的工作人员们认为，美国经济比他们想象的还要热，这有助于解释为什么通胀仍处于40年来的高位，这也为美联储进行更多加息提供了理由。由于生产率增长令人失望，以及劳动力参与率增加缓慢，美联储工作人员们近日“大幅下调”了对美国潜在产出的评估。潜在的国内生产总值，是对经济在不紧缩资源和产生更高通胀的情况下，能够以多快的速度运行的估计。工作人员们还预计，美国失业率的上升速度将比他们之前估计的要慢，到2025年底前，失业率将持续低于他们预计的可能制约通胀的水平。媒体援引前美联储经济学家Anna Wong点评称，这对政策的影响是重要的。更低的潜在增长意味着去年和今年的经济过热程度超过了此前预期，这需要更多的加息或是更长时期低于趋势的增长，才能缩小产出缺口。虽然给出上述结论的美联储工作人员们不制定政策，但相关结论提供了非常重要的信息，可能会影响美联储决策者们的行动。目前，市场普遍预计美联储在11月的会议上再次加息75个基点，为连续第四次如此大规模加息。对于12月继续加息75基点，市场也没排除这一可能。美国经济今年以来显著放缓，但如果经济水平仍高于其长期趋势，这也就解释了为什么通胀继续在多个领域广泛地增长且顽固不下。美国劳工统计局上周公布的数据显示，美国9月CPI同比上涨8.2%，高于市场预期的8.1%，前值8.3%；9月CPI环比上涨0.4%，是市场预期0.2%的两倍，并大幅高于前值0.1%。9月核心CPI同比上涨6.6%，不仅高于市场预期的6.5%以及前值的6.3%，而且再创1982年8月以来的新高；核心CPI环比连续第二个月攀升0.6%，高于市场预期的0.4%。美国9月就业数据也颇为强劲，9月非农新增26.3万人，预期25.5万人；失业率仅3.5%，处于50年来的最低水平；平均时薪稳步上升，9月平均每小时工资同比增5%。此前曾担任过美联储货币事务部负责人、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授William English表示，美国经济似乎相当有弹性，劳动力市场可能需要大幅放缓，以减轻需求和工资的压力。预计未来的联邦基金利率会比美联储最新估计的要高，失业率也会更高，而通货膨胀的下降速度比现任官员们预期的要慢。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914521904,"gmtCreate":1665322257708,"gmtModify":1676537587456,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914521904","repostId":"2274373217","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2274373217","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665298374,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2274373217?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-09 14:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The quality control of the \"new forces\" in the United States is too poor? Rivian Recalls Almost Every Car It Sold","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2274373217","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Rivian 表示，这一安全隐患可能导致车轮过度外倾甚至倾斜，在一些极端情况下还会导致车轮与汽车分离，影响司机操控汽车。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Rivian recalled nearly all of its manufactured vehicles due to safety hazards from loose parts. On Saturday, October 8, local time, American electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian issued a notice saying that a fastener connecting the control arm and steering knuckle on its vehicle may be improperly installed. This problem may cause the wheel to excessively camber or even tilt. In some extreme cases, it can also cause the wheel to separate from the car, affecting the driver's control of the car. The company decided to recall almost all of its vehicles.</p><p>According to media reports, a Rivian spokesperson said that the recall involves about 13,000 vehicles produced by the company between the end of 2021 and September 2022, and there are no known casualties related to the potential problem. Rivian Estimated,<b>Of the recalled vehicles, 1% were affected by the issue.</b></p><p>The spokesman also said that Rivian first started producing cars in September 2021 and has produced more than 15,000 cars as of the third quarter of this year. The recall involves all three models Rivian currently sells: electric pickups, SUVs, and commercial delivery vans.</p><p>Rivian sent emails about the recall to all affected customers and<b>The financial impact of the recall is expected to be negligible, and all vehicles are expected to be inspected within 30 days.</b></p><p>The recall comes at a critical time for Rivian, which is accelerating production at its plant in Illinois to meet its full-year production target of 25,000 vehicles.</p><p>While Rivian shined in its IPO last year, the situation has been tougher this year, with shortages on the supply side, especially in semiconductors, continuing to hinder its production increase and driving up costs. The company's shares are down nearly 67% this year.</p><p>Rivian's shares were mostly flat in after-hours trading after news of the recall broke late Friday. As of Friday's close, Rivian had a market cap of $33.7 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1320cb93a709ac148d43d4a22676a498\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>In August, Rivian learned of the safety hazard and subsequently launched an investigation, according to a notice filed with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. As of Sept. 28, the company identified six cases of loose parts and decided to recall the vehicles.</p><p>Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe reminded customers in a letter to stop driving their vehicles if they encounter any steering problems. \"It is important not to downplay the potential risks and why we voluntarily conducted the recall.\"</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The quality control of the \"new forces\" in the United States is too poor? Rivian Recalls Almost Every Car It Sold</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe quality control of the \"new forces\" in the United States is too poor? Rivian Recalls Almost Every Car It Sold\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-09 14:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Rivian recalled nearly all of its manufactured vehicles due to safety hazards from loose parts. On Saturday, October 8, local time, American electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian issued a notice saying that a fastener connecting the control arm and steering knuckle on its vehicle may be improperly installed. This problem may cause the wheel to excessively camber or even tilt. In some extreme cases, it can also cause the wheel to separate from the car, affecting the driver's control of the car. The company decided to recall almost all of its vehicles.</p><p>According to media reports, a Rivian spokesperson said that the recall involves about 13,000 vehicles produced by the company between the end of 2021 and September 2022, and there are no known casualties related to the potential problem. Rivian Estimated,<b>Of the recalled vehicles, 1% were affected by the issue.</b></p><p>The spokesman also said that Rivian first started producing cars in September 2021 and has produced more than 15,000 cars as of the third quarter of this year. The recall involves all three models Rivian currently sells: electric pickups, SUVs, and commercial delivery vans.</p><p>Rivian sent emails about the recall to all affected customers and<b>The financial impact of the recall is expected to be negligible, and all vehicles are expected to be inspected within 30 days.</b></p><p>The recall comes at a critical time for Rivian, which is accelerating production at its plant in Illinois to meet its full-year production target of 25,000 vehicles.</p><p>While Rivian shined in its IPO last year, the situation has been tougher this year, with shortages on the supply side, especially in semiconductors, continuing to hinder its production increase and driving up costs. The company's shares are down nearly 67% this year.</p><p>Rivian's shares were mostly flat in after-hours trading after news of the recall broke late Friday. As of Friday's close, Rivian had a market cap of $33.7 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1320cb93a709ac148d43d4a22676a498\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>In August, Rivian learned of the safety hazard and subsequently launched an investigation, according to a notice filed with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. As of Sept. 28, the company identified six cases of loose parts and decided to recall the vehicles.</p><p>Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe reminded customers in a letter to stop driving their vehicles if they encounter any steering problems. \"It is important not to downplay the potential risks and why we voluntarily conducted the recall.\"</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671902\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe1978aa2a9f9f30678043cc1967d5f","relate_stocks":{"BK4555":"新能源车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","BK4099":"汽车制造商"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671902","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2274373217","content_text":"由于零部件松动带来的安全隐患，Rivian 召回了几乎所有生产的车辆。当地时间10月8日周六，美国电动车制造商 Rivian 发布通知称，连接其车辆上控制臂和转向节的一个紧固件可能安装不当，这一问题可能导致车轮过度外倾甚至倾斜，在一些极端情况下还会导致车轮与汽车分离，影响司机操控汽车。该公司决定召回几乎所有的车辆。据媒体报道，Rivian 的一名发言人表示，此次召回涉及该公司在2021年底至2022年9月期间生产的约1.3万辆汽车，目前还没有已知与该潜在问题有关的人员伤亡。Rivian 估计，在被召回的车辆中，有1%的车辆受到该问题的影响。发言人还称，Rivian 于2021年9月首次开始生产汽车，截至今年第三季度共生产了1.5万多辆汽车。此次召回涉及 Rivian 目前销售的所有三款车型：电动皮卡、SUV和商用送货货车。Rivian 向所有受影响的客户发送了关于召回的电子邮件，并预计召回的财务影响可以忽略不计，并希望在30天内对所有车辆进行检查。此次召回发生在 Rivian 的关键时刻，该公司为了实现2.5万辆的全年生产目标，正在加快其位于伊利诺伊州工厂的生产。尽管 Rivian 去年在IPO中大放异彩，但今年的形势更为艰难，供应方面尤其是半导体的短缺继续阻碍其增产，并推高了成本。该公司股价今年以来下跌了近67%。在周五晚些时候传出召回消息后，Rivian 的股价在盘后交易中基本持平。截至周五收盘，Rivian的市值为337亿美元。根据提交给美国国家公路交通安全管理局的一份通知，今年8月，Rivian 得知了这一安全隐患并随后展开了调查。截至9月28日，该公司发现了6起零部件松动的案例，并决定召回这些车辆。Rivian 首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 一封信中提醒客户，如果遇到任何转向问题请停止驾驶车辆，“重要的是不要淡化潜在风险，以及为什么我们自愿进行召回”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914819662,"gmtCreate":1665228291056,"gmtModify":1676537576069,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914819662","repostId":"2273336343","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915744095,"gmtCreate":1665116204317,"gmtModify":1676537560438,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915744095","repostId":"2273332769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273332769","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665110880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273332769?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 10:48","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Tragic sell-off! Wall Street \"hunts\" UK assets, 12 trillion pension funds are in a hurry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273332769","media":"券商中国","summary":"与此同时，“不错过任何一场危机”的华尔街机构，正在大肆“抄底”英国养老金基金的折价资产，其中包括，高盛、黑石集团、瑞士私募机构Partners Group等。养老基金持有的资产占英国机构资产管理市场的40%，占英国GDP的三分之二。另一只“黑天鹅”英国的另一只“黑天鹅”魅影正在显现。近日，荷兰政府表示，格罗宁根气田的产量将限制在28亿立方米，最迟将于2024年完全结束天然气生产工作。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>After the earthquake in Treasury Bond, UK, British pension funds are being forced to sell assets on a large scale, including real estate, private credit and venture capital fund shares, while Wall Street institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Blackstone Group are \"bloodthirsty\" for bargain hunting. Wall Street \"hunts\" British assets.</p><p>After the earthquake in Treasury Bond, UK, British pension funds are being forced to sell assets on a large scale, including real estate, private credit and venture capital fund shares, while<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">Blackstone</a>However, Wall Street institutions such as the group are \"bloodthirsty\" to bargain hunting, and the discount of some asset portfolios reaches 20% to 30%. According to data from the British Pension Protection Fund, as of the end of August this year, British pension assets totaled about 1.5 trillion pounds (about 12 trillion yuan).</p><p>Another \"black swan\" phantom in Britain is emerging. On October 6, according to the Reference News Network citing Agence France-Presse, Fitch International Credit Ratings Co., Ltd. lowered the credit rating outlook of the British government debt from \"stable\" to \"negative\". The more dangerous moment in Britain may be on October 21st. By then, among the three major rating agencies in the world, S&P,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCO\">Moody's</a>, will reassess the UK government's credit rating. Once the credit rating is downgraded, it will put great pressure on Britain's foreign debt, or it will have another impact on the British financial market.</p><p>There is also bad news about the energy situation in Europe, and Europe's largest natural gas field is at risk of closure. Recently, the Dutch government stated that the production of the Groningen gas field will be limited to 2.8 billion cubic meters, and natural gas production will be completely ended by 2024 at the latest. It should be pointed out that the Groningen gas field is the largest natural gas field in Europe. It once produced more than 40 billion cubic meters of natural gas every year, equivalent to 10% of EU consumption. Currently, Groningen's underground recoverable natural gas reserves are still 450 billion cubic meters, worth approximately US $1 trillion.</p><p>A dangerous moment for 12 trillion assets</p><p>The negative impact caused by the epic turmoil in the UK bond market continues.</p><p>As one of the largest holders of the British Treasury Bond, the British pension fund needs to recover a huge margin due to the huge earthquake in the bond market, and is selling off its liquid assets, including real estate, private credit and venture capital fund shares.</p><p>According to the Financial Times, since the British bond market crisis, in order to raise funds, many pension funds are selling more illiquid assets such as equity, venture capital fund shares and real estate at the fastest speed on record.</p><p>At the same time, Wall Street institutions that \"never miss a crisis\" are aggressively \"bargain-hunting\" the discounted assets of British pension funds, including Goldman Sachs, Blackstone Group, Swiss private equity firm Partners Group, etc.</p><p>Recently, Gabriel Möllerberg, managing director of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, told the media that some high-quality private equity fund portfolios of British pension funds have been discounted by 20% to 30%, which is definitely an opportunity.</p><p>In addition, a division of Blackstone Group is also preparing to buy assets sold at a discount by British pension funds, some of which are traded at a price well below face value. These deals may take months to negotiate and advance, and transaction volumes may soar in the coming months.</p><p>At present, Partners Group, a Swiss private equity firm, is also interested in purchasing these assets. Ross Hamilton of the institution said that under the current market conditions, it can obtain very attractive buying opportunities, and currently has more than 9 billion US dollars in funds prepared, which is an exciting opportunity.</p><p>Francesco di Valmarana, a partner at Pantheon, an institution specializing in private equity and fund shares, pointed out that some investors are currently considering selling their shares of funds at a discount of about 10%, and at the beginning of the year, the sale prices of these assets were generally close to face value.</p><p>It should be pointed out that the pension market in the UK is very large. According to the data of the British Pension Protection Fund (PPF), as of the end of August this year, the pension assets in the UK totaled about 1.5 trillion pounds (about 12 trillion yuan), much higher than the 400 billion pounds in 2011. Pension funds hold 40% of the UK's institutional asset management market and two-thirds of UK GDP.</p><p>Another \"black swan\"</p><p>Another \"black swan\" phantom in Britain is emerging.</p><p>On October 6, Reference News Network quoted Agence France-Presse as saying that after the new British Prime Minister Liz Truss announced the implementation of a debt-driven emergency tax cut plan, Fitch International Credit Ratings Co., Ltd. lowered its outlook for the British government's debt credit rating from \"stable\" to \"negative\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c84283a068e0cdf4fb7646b0a6d46e00\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The most important factors behind Fitch's sudden downgrade of Britain's rating are tax cuts and higher budget deficits. Fitch believes that the huge and unfunded fiscal plan announced by the British government may lead to a substantial increase in the fiscal deficit in the medium term. The total UK government debt may rise from an estimated 101% of GDP in 2022 to 109% in 2024.</p><p>Separately, Fitch pointed out that the uncertainty of UK policy has increased, the statement of the Chancellor of the Exchequer hinted at the possibility of additional tax cuts, and possible changes to the fiscal rules legislated in January, which reduces the predictability of UK fiscal policy.</p><p>It is worth noting that the more dangerous moment in Britain may be on October 21st. By then, Standard & Poor's and Moody's, among the three major rating agencies in the world, will reassess the credit rating of the British government. If the financial situation continues to be tight, the UK's sovereign credit rating may be downgraded.</p><p>Once the credit rating is downgraded, it will put great pressure on the UK's foreign debt, and the outside world will face \"additional risks\" in providing debt financing to the UK, or it will once again have an impact on the UK financial market.</p><p>Previously, Standard & Poor's had downgraded the UK's rating outlook from \"stable\" to \"negative\".</p><p>In addition, the uncertainty of the British political situation is also increasing rapidly. On October 5, local time, the latest opinion poll released by YouGov showed that Truss's approval rate had plummeted to-59, which is worse than the historical lows of Boris (-53) and Corbyn (-55).</p><p>The survey also found that in mid-September this year, most Conservative voters had a positive opinion of Truss, but now most people have a negative opinion of her.</p><p>Although Truss has not been elected as British Prime Minister for a long time, it has caused huge waves in the British market. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, since the close of trading on September 2 (the last trading day when the Conservative Party chose Truss as the party leader), the British FTSE 350 Index has evaporated about 77 billion pounds of market value; In addition, the market value of Bloomberg's gilt bonds (also known as \"premium securities\", public bonds issued by the British government) and the inflation-linked gilt bond index has evaporated by 200 billion pounds, and the investment bonds denominated in sterling have evaporated by 26 billion pounds. This means that the British stock market and bond market have evaporated nearly 300 billion pounds (about 2.4 trillion yuan) in one month.</p><p>At the critical moment, Truss's statement also attracted market attention. According to CCTV News on the 6th, on October 5, local time, Truss delivered a speech at the annual meeting of the Conservative Party held in Birmingham. He once again emphasized that the Conservative Party has always supported low tax rates, and tax cuts are both moral and economic. The correct approach is that tax cuts will help improve the UK's international competitiveness and attract more talents.</p><p>Another bad news in the European energy market</p><p>There is once again bad news about the energy situation in Europe, and Europe's largest natural gas field is at risk of closure.</p><p>Recently, the Dutch government stated that the production of the Groningen gas field will be limited to 2.8 billion cubic meters, and natural gas production will be completely ended by 2024 at the latest.</p><p>According to Dutch broadcaster NOS, natural gas extraction has led to frequent local earthquakes, triggering strong opposition from Dutch residents and protests, so the Dutch government is closing the Groningen gas field. Even as Europe braces for what may be the toughest winter since World War II, the Dutch government is reluctant to increase production and has even begun to push ahead with closures.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that the Groningen gas field is located in the north of the Netherlands and is one of the largest gas fields in the world. It once produced more than 40 billion cubic meters of natural gas every year, equivalent to 10% of EU consumption.</p><p>Even after half a century of operation, Groningen's underground recoverable gas reserves still stand at 450 billion cubic meters, worth about $1 trillion. Groningen was once called \"the only potential game changer in Europe\".</p><p>Currently, Europe is facing the European natural gas crisis, and the Netherlands is also under pressure from the European Union. In a recent speech, EU Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton said the Netherlands should reconsider its decision to close Groningen.</p><p>Even so, the Netherlands still sticks to its position of not expanding production. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte said that the use of Groningen to strengthen supply will not be completely ruled out, but only in the extreme case where everything goes wrong, which is not needed yet.</p><p>Dutch Mining Minister Hans Vijlbrief also said that continuing production is dangerous, but the crisis elsewhere in Europe cannot be ignored. The lack of natural gas may force the Netherlands to make a decision to expand production.</p><p>On October 5, local time, Fatih Birol, Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), said that even if the winter can be successfully survived in 2022, if the situation does not change, the winter of 2023 will be more difficult for European countries.</p><p>Birol said that after a winter of natural gas consumption, natural gas reserves in European countries are expected to be consumed to 25% to 30% of inventories by February to March 2023. By then, if the natural gas supply in Europe is still not effectively resolved, next winter will be even more difficult, and European countries will face a more severe energy situation and need to be prepared as soon as possible.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"fenghuang_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tragic sell-off! Wall Street \"hunts\" UK assets, 12 trillion pension funds are in a hurry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTragic sell-off! Wall Street \"hunts\" UK assets, 12 trillion pension funds are in a hurry\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">券商中国</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-07 10:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>After the earthquake in Treasury Bond, UK, British pension funds are being forced to sell assets on a large scale, including real estate, private credit and venture capital fund shares, while Wall Street institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Blackstone Group are \"bloodthirsty\" for bargain hunting. Wall Street \"hunts\" British assets.</p><p>After the earthquake in Treasury Bond, UK, British pension funds are being forced to sell assets on a large scale, including real estate, private credit and venture capital fund shares, while<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">Blackstone</a>However, Wall Street institutions such as the group are \"bloodthirsty\" to bargain hunting, and the discount of some asset portfolios reaches 20% to 30%. According to data from the British Pension Protection Fund, as of the end of August this year, British pension assets totaled about 1.5 trillion pounds (about 12 trillion yuan).</p><p>Another \"black swan\" phantom in Britain is emerging. On October 6, according to the Reference News Network citing Agence France-Presse, Fitch International Credit Ratings Co., Ltd. lowered the credit rating outlook of the British government debt from \"stable\" to \"negative\". The more dangerous moment in Britain may be on October 21st. By then, among the three major rating agencies in the world, S&P,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCO\">Moody's</a>, will reassess the UK government's credit rating. Once the credit rating is downgraded, it will put great pressure on Britain's foreign debt, or it will have another impact on the British financial market.</p><p>There is also bad news about the energy situation in Europe, and Europe's largest natural gas field is at risk of closure. Recently, the Dutch government stated that the production of the Groningen gas field will be limited to 2.8 billion cubic meters, and natural gas production will be completely ended by 2024 at the latest. It should be pointed out that the Groningen gas field is the largest natural gas field in Europe. It once produced more than 40 billion cubic meters of natural gas every year, equivalent to 10% of EU consumption. Currently, Groningen's underground recoverable natural gas reserves are still 450 billion cubic meters, worth approximately US $1 trillion.</p><p>A dangerous moment for 12 trillion assets</p><p>The negative impact caused by the epic turmoil in the UK bond market continues.</p><p>As one of the largest holders of the British Treasury Bond, the British pension fund needs to recover a huge margin due to the huge earthquake in the bond market, and is selling off its liquid assets, including real estate, private credit and venture capital fund shares.</p><p>According to the Financial Times, since the British bond market crisis, in order to raise funds, many pension funds are selling more illiquid assets such as equity, venture capital fund shares and real estate at the fastest speed on record.</p><p>At the same time, Wall Street institutions that \"never miss a crisis\" are aggressively \"bargain-hunting\" the discounted assets of British pension funds, including Goldman Sachs, Blackstone Group, Swiss private equity firm Partners Group, etc.</p><p>Recently, Gabriel Möllerberg, managing director of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, told the media that some high-quality private equity fund portfolios of British pension funds have been discounted by 20% to 30%, which is definitely an opportunity.</p><p>In addition, a division of Blackstone Group is also preparing to buy assets sold at a discount by British pension funds, some of which are traded at a price well below face value. These deals may take months to negotiate and advance, and transaction volumes may soar in the coming months.</p><p>At present, Partners Group, a Swiss private equity firm, is also interested in purchasing these assets. Ross Hamilton of the institution said that under the current market conditions, it can obtain very attractive buying opportunities, and currently has more than 9 billion US dollars in funds prepared, which is an exciting opportunity.</p><p>Francesco di Valmarana, a partner at Pantheon, an institution specializing in private equity and fund shares, pointed out that some investors are currently considering selling their shares of funds at a discount of about 10%, and at the beginning of the year, the sale prices of these assets were generally close to face value.</p><p>It should be pointed out that the pension market in the UK is very large. According to the data of the British Pension Protection Fund (PPF), as of the end of August this year, the pension assets in the UK totaled about 1.5 trillion pounds (about 12 trillion yuan), much higher than the 400 billion pounds in 2011. Pension funds hold 40% of the UK's institutional asset management market and two-thirds of UK GDP.</p><p>Another \"black swan\"</p><p>Another \"black swan\" phantom in Britain is emerging.</p><p>On October 6, Reference News Network quoted Agence France-Presse as saying that after the new British Prime Minister Liz Truss announced the implementation of a debt-driven emergency tax cut plan, Fitch International Credit Ratings Co., Ltd. lowered its outlook for the British government's debt credit rating from \"stable\" to \"negative\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c84283a068e0cdf4fb7646b0a6d46e00\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The most important factors behind Fitch's sudden downgrade of Britain's rating are tax cuts and higher budget deficits. Fitch believes that the huge and unfunded fiscal plan announced by the British government may lead to a substantial increase in the fiscal deficit in the medium term. The total UK government debt may rise from an estimated 101% of GDP in 2022 to 109% in 2024.</p><p>Separately, Fitch pointed out that the uncertainty of UK policy has increased, the statement of the Chancellor of the Exchequer hinted at the possibility of additional tax cuts, and possible changes to the fiscal rules legislated in January, which reduces the predictability of UK fiscal policy.</p><p>It is worth noting that the more dangerous moment in Britain may be on October 21st. By then, Standard & Poor's and Moody's, among the three major rating agencies in the world, will reassess the credit rating of the British government. If the financial situation continues to be tight, the UK's sovereign credit rating may be downgraded.</p><p>Once the credit rating is downgraded, it will put great pressure on the UK's foreign debt, and the outside world will face \"additional risks\" in providing debt financing to the UK, or it will once again have an impact on the UK financial market.</p><p>Previously, Standard & Poor's had downgraded the UK's rating outlook from \"stable\" to \"negative\".</p><p>In addition, the uncertainty of the British political situation is also increasing rapidly. On October 5, local time, the latest opinion poll released by YouGov showed that Truss's approval rate had plummeted to-59, which is worse than the historical lows of Boris (-53) and Corbyn (-55).</p><p>The survey also found that in mid-September this year, most Conservative voters had a positive opinion of Truss, but now most people have a negative opinion of her.</p><p>Although Truss has not been elected as British Prime Minister for a long time, it has caused huge waves in the British market. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, since the close of trading on September 2 (the last trading day when the Conservative Party chose Truss as the party leader), the British FTSE 350 Index has evaporated about 77 billion pounds of market value; In addition, the market value of Bloomberg's gilt bonds (also known as \"premium securities\", public bonds issued by the British government) and the inflation-linked gilt bond index has evaporated by 200 billion pounds, and the investment bonds denominated in sterling have evaporated by 26 billion pounds. This means that the British stock market and bond market have evaporated nearly 300 billion pounds (about 2.4 trillion yuan) in one month.</p><p>At the critical moment, Truss's statement also attracted market attention. According to CCTV News on the 6th, on October 5, local time, Truss delivered a speech at the annual meeting of the Conservative Party held in Birmingham. He once again emphasized that the Conservative Party has always supported low tax rates, and tax cuts are both moral and economic. The correct approach is that tax cuts will help improve the UK's international competitiveness and attract more talents.</p><p>Another bad news in the European energy market</p><p>There is once again bad news about the energy situation in Europe, and Europe's largest natural gas field is at risk of closure.</p><p>Recently, the Dutch government stated that the production of the Groningen gas field will be limited to 2.8 billion cubic meters, and natural gas production will be completely ended by 2024 at the latest.</p><p>According to Dutch broadcaster NOS, natural gas extraction has led to frequent local earthquakes, triggering strong opposition from Dutch residents and protests, so the Dutch government is closing the Groningen gas field. Even as Europe braces for what may be the toughest winter since World War II, the Dutch government is reluctant to increase production and has even begun to push ahead with closures.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that the Groningen gas field is located in the north of the Netherlands and is one of the largest gas fields in the world. It once produced more than 40 billion cubic meters of natural gas every year, equivalent to 10% of EU consumption.</p><p>Even after half a century of operation, Groningen's underground recoverable gas reserves still stand at 450 billion cubic meters, worth about $1 trillion. Groningen was once called \"the only potential game changer in Europe\".</p><p>Currently, Europe is facing the European natural gas crisis, and the Netherlands is also under pressure from the European Union. In a recent speech, EU Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton said the Netherlands should reconsider its decision to close Groningen.</p><p>Even so, the Netherlands still sticks to its position of not expanding production. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte said that the use of Groningen to strengthen supply will not be completely ruled out, but only in the extreme case where everything goes wrong, which is not needed yet.</p><p>Dutch Mining Minister Hans Vijlbrief also said that continuing production is dangerous, but the crisis elsewhere in Europe cannot be ignored. The lack of natural gas may force the Netherlands to make a decision to expand production.</p><p>On October 5, local time, Fatih Birol, Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), said that even if the winter can be successfully survived in 2022, if the situation does not change, the winter of 2023 will be more difficult for European countries.</p><p>Birol said that after a winter of natural gas consumption, natural gas reserves in European countries are expected to be consumed to 25% to 30% of inventories by February to March 2023. By then, if the natural gas supply in Europe is still not effectively resolved, next winter will be even more difficult, and European countries will face a more severe energy situation and need to be prepared as soon as possible.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.ifeng.com/c/8JuW3ErDiB8\">券商中国</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d71d08131f8386a31f3baf06fd08254f","relate_stocks":{"IEA":"Infrastructure and Energy Alternatives, Inc.","BK4129":"建筑与工程"},"source_url":"https://finance.ifeng.com/c/8JuW3ErDiB8","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273332769","content_text":"英国国债巨震后，英国养老金基金正在被迫大举抛售资产，包括房地产、私人信贷和风险投资基金份额等，而高盛、黑石集团等华尔街机构却在“嗜血”抄底。华尔街“围猎”英国资产。英国国债巨震后，英国养老金基金正在被迫大举抛售资产，包括房地产、私人信贷和风险投资基金份额等，而高盛、黑石集团等华尔街机构却在“嗜血”抄底，部分资产组合的折价幅度达20%至30%。据英国养老金保护基金的数据显示，截至今年8月底，英国养老金资产共计约1.5万亿英镑（约合人民币12万亿元）。英国的另一只“黑天鹅”魅影正在显现。10月6日，据参考消息网援引法新社报道，惠誉国际信用评级有限公司将英国政府债务信用评级展望从“稳定”下调至“负面”。而英国更危险时刻或在10月21日。届时，全球三大评级机构中的标普、穆迪，将重新评估英国政府的信用评级。一旦信用评级遭下调，将对英国的外债形成巨大压力，或将对英国金融市场再度造成冲击。欧洲能源局势也传来噩耗，欧洲最大的天然气田面临关闭风险。近日，荷兰政府表示，格罗宁根气田的产量将限制在28亿立方米，最迟将于2024年完全结束天然气生产工作。需要指出的是，格罗宁根气田是欧洲最大的天然气田，曾经每年产生超过400亿立方米的天然气，相当于欧盟消费量的10%，当前格罗宁根地下可开采天然气的储量仍有4500亿立方米，价值约1万亿美元。12万亿资产的危险时刻英国债市的史诗级动荡造成的负面冲击，仍在继续。作为英国国债最大持有者之一的英国养老金基金，因债市巨震，需要追缴巨额保证金，正在大幅抛售流动资产，包括房地产、私人信贷和风险投资基金份额等。据英国《金融时报》报道，自英国债市危机之后，为了筹集资金，许多养老基金 正在以有记录以来最快的速度出售股权、风险投资基金份额、房地产等更多的非流动性资产。与此同时，“不错过任何一场危机”的华尔街机构，正在大肆“抄底”英国养老金基金的折价资产，其中包括，高盛、黑石集团、瑞士私募机构Partners Group等。近日，高盛资产管理董事总经理Gabriel Möllerberg对媒体表示，英国养老金基金的部分高质量的私募股权基金投资组合已经折价20%至30%，这绝对是一个机会。另外，黑石集团旗下的一个部门也正准备购买英国养老金基金折价出售的资产，其中一部分交易的价格远低于面值。这些交易可能需要数月的时间进行谈判和推进，交易量或将在未来几个月内出现飙升。目前，瑞士私募机构Partners Group也有意向购买这些资产，该机构的Ross Hamilton表示，在目前的市场条件下，能够获得非常有吸引力的买入机会，当前准备了超过90亿美元的资金，这是一个令人兴奋的机会。专营投资私募股权和基金份额的机构Pantheon合伙人Francesco di Valmarana指出，一些投资者目前正考虑以10%左右的折扣出售所持基金的份额，而年初时，这些资产的出售价格普遍接近面值。需要指出的是，养老金在英国的市场规模十分庞大，据英国养老金保护基金 （PPF）的数据显示，截至今年8月底，英国养老金资产共计约1.5万亿英镑（约合人民币12万亿元），远高于2011年的4000亿英镑。养老基金持有的资产占英国机构资产管理市场的40%，占英国GDP的三分之二。另一只“黑天鹅”英国的另一只“黑天鹅”魅影正在显现。10月6日，据参考消息网援引法新社报道，在英国新首相利兹·特拉斯宣布实施债务驱动的紧急减税计划后，惠誉国际信用评级有限公司将英国政府债务信用评级展望从“稳定”下调至“负面”。惠誉突然下调英国评级最重要的因素是，减税以及更高的预算赤字。惠誉认为，英国政府宣布的庞大且无资金支持的财政方案，可能导致中期内财政赤字的大幅增加。英国政府总债务或将从2022年估计的占GDP比例的101%上升到2024年的109%。另外，惠誉指出，英国政策的不确定性增加，英国财政大臣的声明暗示了额外减税的可能性，以及可能对1月份立法的财政规则进行修改，这降低了英国财政政策的可预测性。值得警惕的是，英国更危险时刻或将在10月21日。届时，全球三大评级机构中的标普、穆迪，将重新评估英国政府的信用评级。若财政状况持续紧张，英国主权信用评级可能遭到下调。一旦信用评级遭下调，将对英国的外债形成巨大压力，外界向英国提供债务融资将面临“额外风险”，或将再度对英国金融市场造成冲击。而在此前，标普已经将英国的评级展望由“稳定”下调为“负面”。另外，英国政局的不确定性也在迅速增加。当地时间10月5日，YouGov发布的最新民意调查显示，特拉斯的支持率已骤降至-59，这一数字比鲍里斯（-53）和科尔宾（-55）的历史最低点还要糟糕。调查还发现，今年9月中旬时，大多数保守党选民对特拉斯的评价都是正面的，而现在大多数人对她持负面看法。尽管特拉斯当选英国首相的时间不长，但在英国市场却掀起了巨浪。据彭博社整理的数据显示，自9月2日收盘以来（保守党选择特拉斯为党魁的最后一个交易日），英国富时350指数累计蒸发约770亿英镑的市值；另外，彭博的金边债券（亦称“优等证券”，英国政府发行的公债券）和与通胀挂钩的金边债券指数的市值累计蒸发2000亿英镑，以英镑计价的投资债券累计蒸发260亿英镑。意味着，英国股市和债市在一个月内合计蒸发近3000亿英镑（约合人民币24000亿元）。关键时刻，特拉斯的表态也引发市场关注。据央视新闻6日消息，当地时间10月5日，特拉斯在伯明翰举行的保守党年会上发表演讲，其再次强调，保守党一直支持低税率，减税在道德和经济层面都是正确的做法，减税将有利于提高英国的国际竞争力，吸引更多人才。欧洲能源市场再传噩耗欧洲能源局势再度传来噩耗，欧洲最大的天然气田面临关闭风险。近日，荷兰政府表示，格罗宁根气田的产量将限制在28亿立方米，最迟将于2024年完全结束天然气生产工作。据荷兰广播公司NOS报道，天然气开采导致当地频繁发生地震，引发了荷兰居民强烈反对，并爆发了抗议活动，因此荷兰政府正在关闭格罗宁根气田。即使欧洲正准备迎接可能是二战以来最艰难的一个冬天，荷兰政府也不愿意增产，甚至开始推进关闭工作。值得一提的是，格罗宁根气田位于荷兰北部，是世界上最大的气田之一，曾经每年产生超过400亿立方米的天然气，相当于欧盟消费量的10%。即使已经运行了半个世纪，格罗宁根地下可开采天然气的储量仍有4500亿立方米，价值约1万亿美元，格罗宁根一度被称为“欧洲唯一潜在的游戏规则改变者”。目前，欧洲正面临欧洲天然气危机，荷兰也受到了来自欧盟的压力。在最近的一次演讲中，欧盟内部市场专员Thierry Breton表示，荷兰应该重新考虑关闭格罗宁根的决定。即便如此，荷兰仍然坚守着不扩产的立场。荷兰首相马克·吕特称，不会完全排除使用格罗宁根来加强供应，但只有在一切都出了问题的极端情况下，而现在还不需要。荷兰矿业部长Hans Vijlbrief也表示，继续生产是危险的，但也不能忽视欧洲其他地方的危机，天然气的缺乏，可能会迫使荷兰做出扩大生产的决定。当地时间10月5日，国际能源署署长(IEA)法提赫·比罗尔表示，即便2022年能顺利过冬，如果情况没有改变，2023年冬季欧洲各国将更难熬。比罗尔表示，经过一个冬季的天然气消耗，预计到2023年2月至3月，欧洲各国天然气储备将消耗至库存的25%到30%。届时，如果欧洲天然气供应仍得不到有效解决，那么明年冬天将更加难熬，欧洲国家将会面临更加严峻的能源形势，需要尽早做好准备。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IEA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915646522,"gmtCreate":1665028517866,"gmtModify":1676537546995,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915646522","repostId":"2273482122","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916367716,"gmtCreate":1664513668536,"gmtModify":1676537469693,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916367716","repostId":"1139505037","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139505037","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664508328,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139505037?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-30 11:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Large options orders | Tesla options trading volume climbs! Apple's target price has been slashed, and the PUT big bet is $120!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139505037","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"一、市场概览 （29/09）美东时间周四，经历了周三的短暂反弹后，对经济放缓的担忧情绪再次主导市场，三大指数急剧下跌，截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.54%，报29,225.61点；标普500指数跌2.11","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Market Overview (29/09)</b></p><p>On Thursday, Eastern Time, after a brief rebound on Wednesday, concerns about an economic slowdown once again dominated the market, and the three major indexes fell sharply. As of the close, the Dow Jones index fell 1.54% to 29,225.61 points; The S&P 500 fell 2.11% to 3,640.47 points; The Nasdaq fell 2.84% to 10,737.51 points.</p><p>The total trading volume of the options market reached 38,531,268 contracts, higher than the 90-day average trading volume, of which call and put options each accounted for 50%.</p><p>S&P Index ETF-SPY options traded 8.68 million contracts, a decrease from the previous trading day, of which put options accounted for 58.3%.</p><p><b>2. Total option transaction volume TOP10</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf59276483496b8d180742290a53749\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"2141\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It closed down 6.81% at $268.21 on Thursday. 2.422 million options contracts were traded, a sharp increase of 65% from the previous trading day; Call options account for 51.5% of all options trades. Among them, the $270 strike put expiring September 30, 2022 saw particularly high volume with 123,405 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdb28daa6b4841e524ed891b8bbc231\" tg-width=\"1579\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Nasdaq 100 ETF</a>It closed down 2.88% at $271.87 on Thursday. 2.572 million options contracts were traded, a decrease of 30% from the previous trading day; Put options accounted for 55.4% of all options trades. Among them, the $265 strike put expiring September 30, 2022 saw particularly high volume with 88,512 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bf423aa5841552ca7a4d219cd3ad028\" tg-width=\"1580\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3. Observation of changes</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21e00fd786d405224f12c61be402fd61\" tg-width=\"1318\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>It closed down 4.91% at $142.48 on Thursday. 2.421 million options contracts were traded; Put options account for 51% of all options trades. It is worth noting that Apple has two large buys with bets expiring on November 18, 2022, with an exercise price of $120; 20,500 and 10,500 contracts were sold respectively, with a turnover of US $4.981 million and US $2.551 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cf4670634314025fb59e68c4f721e5a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"2539\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Related information:</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2271715619\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Weak consumer demand raises concerns, Bank of America rarely downgrades Apple's rating to \"neutral\"</b></a></p><p>Amid concerns about weak consumer demand,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Rarely downgraded the<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Stock rating.<b>Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan lowered his rating on Apple from \"buy\" to \"neutral\" and lowered his price target from $185 to $160</b>, and also lowered its performance forecast for Apple in fiscal year 2023.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>It closed down nearly 2% on Thursday at $50.01. In terms of news, Q1 guidance fell short of expectations, once again triggering concerns about declining demand for PCs and smartphones. Volume was particularly high for the $53 call option with an expiration September 30, 2022 strike price, with 9,906 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40877d00a15608e23d71eb7f512f1784\" tg-width=\"1577\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>Shares plunged more than 9% to $86.41 after hours on Thursday. According to the news, Q1 net profit in fiscal year 2023 fell by 22% year-on-year, and the decline in gross profit margin and high inventory worried the market. Volume was particularly high on the $75 put option with an expiration September 30, 2022, with 4,292 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df39b6a5bf8b7e2f3fee68bb1c6ea5ee\" tg-width=\"1579\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Large options orders | Tesla options trading volume climbs! Apple's target price has been slashed, and the PUT big bet is $120!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLarge options orders | Tesla options trading volume climbs! Apple's target price has been slashed, and the PUT big bet is $120!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-30 11:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Market Overview (29/09)</b></p><p>On Thursday, Eastern Time, after a brief rebound on Wednesday, concerns about an economic slowdown once again dominated the market, and the three major indexes fell sharply. As of the close, the Dow Jones index fell 1.54% to 29,225.61 points; The S&P 500 fell 2.11% to 3,640.47 points; The Nasdaq fell 2.84% to 10,737.51 points.</p><p>The total trading volume of the options market reached 38,531,268 contracts, higher than the 90-day average trading volume, of which call and put options each accounted for 50%.</p><p>S&P Index ETF-SPY options traded 8.68 million contracts, a decrease from the previous trading day, of which put options accounted for 58.3%.</p><p><b>2. Total option transaction volume TOP10</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf59276483496b8d180742290a53749\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"2141\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It closed down 6.81% at $268.21 on Thursday. 2.422 million options contracts were traded, a sharp increase of 65% from the previous trading day; Call options account for 51.5% of all options trades. Among them, the $270 strike put expiring September 30, 2022 saw particularly high volume with 123,405 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdb28daa6b4841e524ed891b8bbc231\" tg-width=\"1579\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Nasdaq 100 ETF</a>It closed down 2.88% at $271.87 on Thursday. 2.572 million options contracts were traded, a decrease of 30% from the previous trading day; Put options accounted for 55.4% of all options trades. Among them, the $265 strike put expiring September 30, 2022 saw particularly high volume with 88,512 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bf423aa5841552ca7a4d219cd3ad028\" tg-width=\"1580\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3. Observation of changes</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21e00fd786d405224f12c61be402fd61\" tg-width=\"1318\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>It closed down 4.91% at $142.48 on Thursday. 2.421 million options contracts were traded; Put options account for 51% of all options trades. It is worth noting that Apple has two large buys with bets expiring on November 18, 2022, with an exercise price of $120; 20,500 and 10,500 contracts were sold respectively, with a turnover of US $4.981 million and US $2.551 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cf4670634314025fb59e68c4f721e5a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"2539\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Related information:</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2271715619\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Weak consumer demand raises concerns, Bank of America rarely downgrades Apple's rating to \"neutral\"</b></a></p><p>Amid concerns about weak consumer demand,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Rarely downgraded the<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Stock rating.<b>Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan lowered his rating on Apple from \"buy\" to \"neutral\" and lowered his price target from $185 to $160</b>, and also lowered its performance forecast for Apple in fiscal year 2023.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>It closed down nearly 2% on Thursday at $50.01. In terms of news, Q1 guidance fell short of expectations, once again triggering concerns about declining demand for PCs and smartphones. Volume was particularly high for the $53 call option with an expiration September 30, 2022 strike price, with 9,906 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40877d00a15608e23d71eb7f512f1784\" tg-width=\"1577\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>Shares plunged more than 9% to $86.41 after hours on Thursday. According to the news, Q1 net profit in fiscal year 2023 fell by 22% year-on-year, and the decline in gross profit margin and high inventory worried the market. Volume was particularly high on the $75 put option with an expiration September 30, 2022, with 4,292 contracts traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df39b6a5bf8b7e2f3fee68bb1c6ea5ee\" tg-width=\"1579\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","AAPL":"苹果","TSLA":"特斯拉","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139505037","content_text":"一、市场概览 （29/09）美东时间周四，经历了周三的短暂反弹后，对经济放缓的担忧情绪再次主导市场，三大指数急剧下跌，截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.54%，报29,225.61点；标普500指数跌2.11%，报3,640.47点；纳斯达克指数跌2.84%，报10,737.51点。期权市场总成交量达38,531,268张合约，高于90日平均成交量，其中，看涨、看跌期权各占50%。标普指数ETF-SPY期权成交868万张合约，较前一交易日有所下降，其中，看跌期权占比58.3%。二、期权成交总量TOP10特斯拉周四收跌6.81%，报268.21美元。期权合约成交242.2万张，环比前一交易日大幅上涨65%；看涨期权占全部期权交易的51.5%。其中2022年9月30日到期的270美元行使价看跌期权的成交量特别高，成交量为123,405张。纳指100ETF周四收跌2.88%，报271.87美元。期权合约成交257.2万张，环比前一交易日下降30%；看跌期权占全部期权交易的55.4%。其中2022年9月30日到期的265美元行使价看跌期权的成交量特别高，成交量为88,512张。三、异动观察苹果周四收跌4.91%，报142.48美元。期权合约成交242.1万张；看跌期权占全部期权交易的51%。值得注意的是，苹果出现两笔押注2022年11月18日到期，行权价为120美元的大单买入；分别成交2.05万、1.05万张，成交额为498.1万美元、255.1万美元。相关资讯：消费者需求疲软惹担忧，美银罕见下调苹果评级至“中性”由于担心消费者需求疲软，美国银行罕见地下调了对苹果的股票评级。美银分析师Wamsi Mohan将对苹果的评级由“买入”下调至“中性”，目标价由185美元下调至160美元，同时还下调了对苹果在2023财年的业绩预期。美光科技周四收跌近2%，报50.01美元。消息面，Q1指引不及预期，再次引发了人们对PC和智能手机需求下降的担忧。2022年9月30日到期行权价为53美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为9,906张。耐克周四盘后股价重挫逾9%，报86.41美元。消息面，2023财年Q1净利润同比下降22%，毛利率下降和库存高企令市场担忧。2022年9月30日到期行权价为75美元看跌期权的成交量特别高，成交量为4,292张。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NKE":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"MU":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911788376,"gmtCreate":1664261111695,"gmtModify":1676537421129,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911788376","repostId":"2270310291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270310291","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664258333,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270310291?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-27 13:58","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"Morgan Stanley, \"Sister Wood\", and Allianz chief warned at the same time: the soaring dollar will end in a crisis","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270310291","media":"金十数据","summary":"周一，美联储公布的数据显示，贸易加权名义美元指数上周突破了2020年3月创下的高点。过去5天美指上涨4%，涨幅为2020年3月新冠恐慌顶峰以来最大。同日，追踪包含石油、铜等工业金属和小麦等食品各种期货","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, the Federal Reserve released data showing that,<b>Trade-weighted nominal<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">The US Dollar Index</a>The highs set in March 2020 were broken last week</b>。 The U.S. index has risen 4% in the past five days, the largest increase since the peak of the new crown panic in March 2020. On the same day, track various futures contracts including industrial metals such as oil and copper and food products such as wheat<b>The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index fell 1.6% to its lowest close since January 24 this year</b>。 The index has fallen nearly 22% since its peak in June, erasing gains since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>One of Wall Street's most vocal bears says the dollar's recent rally is creating an \"indefensible situation\" for risky assets, including equities, and in the past this level of dollar strength has led to some sort of financial or economic crisis. The US Dollar Index is up 19% so far this year, while U.S. stocks have plunged 23%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Chief U.S. equity strategist Michael Wilson wrote in a note:</p><p>\"While it is difficult to predict such'events, 'the conditions are in place.\" Wilson pointed to the 2008 global financial crisis, the 2012 sovereign debt crisis and the bursting of the tech stock bubble in 2000.</p><p><b>Wilson believes the \"final low\" of the S&P 500 will reach 3,000 to 3,400 levels later this year or early next year. This implies a 13% downside at the midpoint of the range.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a574b9aa6943a837463361a6134a758\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The surge in the dollar has hurt the international sales profits of American companies, Morgan Stanley calculated,<b>For every 1% increase in the US Dollar Index, profits will fall by 0.5%.</b>Wilson said that in addition to other issues such as soaring input costs, a stronger dollar will weaken the S&P 500's fourth-quarter earnings by about 10%.</p><p>The strategist, who correctly predicted the U.S. stock market crash this year, said that<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>The reaction to warnings issued by companies earlier this month suggests that consensus expectations have not yet reflected a huge earnings slide.</p><p>Coincidentally, the head of Ark Investment<b>Cathy Wood</b>(Cathie Wood) also said a few days ago,<b>The soaring dollar has had devastating effects on the rest of the world</b>Although the appreciation of the US dollar is conducive to reducing import costs, thereby alleviating domestic inflationary pressures in the United States, the United States cannot survive the global market turmoil alone, and the impact of the appreciation of the US dollar on the global economy will also bring spillover risks to the United States, thereby forcing the Federal Reserve to turn.</p><p>Allianz Chief Economic Adviser Mohamed El-<b>Erian</b>(Mohamed A. El-Erian) on Monday also once again discussed the possible impact of the dollar's surge<b>Catastrophic consequences</b>Issue a warning. He pointed to the recent strength of the US dollar as another manifestation of three key global shifts: global central bank tightening policy, global economic slowdown and global deflation receding. He said these shifts made the likelihood of a global recession \"worryingly high\". He called on the government and central bank to stop exacerbating market volatility so as not to cause market chaos, which was considered to allude to Britain's new tax cuts and aid plans.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley, \"Sister Wood\", and Allianz chief warned at the same time: the soaring dollar will end in a crisis</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley, \"Sister Wood\", and Allianz chief warned at the same time: the soaring dollar will end in a crisis\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-27 13:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, the Federal Reserve released data showing that,<b>Trade-weighted nominal<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">The US Dollar Index</a>The highs set in March 2020 were broken last week</b>。 The U.S. index has risen 4% in the past five days, the largest increase since the peak of the new crown panic in March 2020. On the same day, track various futures contracts including industrial metals such as oil and copper and food products such as wheat<b>The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index fell 1.6% to its lowest close since January 24 this year</b>。 The index has fallen nearly 22% since its peak in June, erasing gains since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>One of Wall Street's most vocal bears says the dollar's recent rally is creating an \"indefensible situation\" for risky assets, including equities, and in the past this level of dollar strength has led to some sort of financial or economic crisis. The US Dollar Index is up 19% so far this year, while U.S. stocks have plunged 23%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Chief U.S. equity strategist Michael Wilson wrote in a note:</p><p>\"While it is difficult to predict such'events, 'the conditions are in place.\" Wilson pointed to the 2008 global financial crisis, the 2012 sovereign debt crisis and the bursting of the tech stock bubble in 2000.</p><p><b>Wilson believes the \"final low\" of the S&P 500 will reach 3,000 to 3,400 levels later this year or early next year. This implies a 13% downside at the midpoint of the range.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a574b9aa6943a837463361a6134a758\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The surge in the dollar has hurt the international sales profits of American companies, Morgan Stanley calculated,<b>For every 1% increase in the US Dollar Index, profits will fall by 0.5%.</b>Wilson said that in addition to other issues such as soaring input costs, a stronger dollar will weaken the S&P 500's fourth-quarter earnings by about 10%.</p><p>The strategist, who correctly predicted the U.S. stock market crash this year, said that<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>The reaction to warnings issued by companies earlier this month suggests that consensus expectations have not yet reflected a huge earnings slide.</p><p>Coincidentally, the head of Ark Investment<b>Cathy Wood</b>(Cathie Wood) also said a few days ago,<b>The soaring dollar has had devastating effects on the rest of the world</b>Although the appreciation of the US dollar is conducive to reducing import costs, thereby alleviating domestic inflationary pressures in the United States, the United States cannot survive the global market turmoil alone, and the impact of the appreciation of the US dollar on the global economy will also bring spillover risks to the United States, thereby forcing the Federal Reserve to turn.</p><p>Allianz Chief Economic Adviser Mohamed El-<b>Erian</b>(Mohamed A. El-Erian) on Monday also once again discussed the possible impact of the dollar's surge<b>Catastrophic consequences</b>Issue a warning. He pointed to the recent strength of the US dollar as another manifestation of three key global shifts: global central bank tightening policy, global economic slowdown and global deflation receding. He said these shifts made the likelihood of a global recession \"worryingly high\". He called on the government and central bank to stop exacerbating market volatility so as not to cause market chaos, which was considered to allude to Britain's new tax cuts and aid plans.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-27/doc-imqqsmrp0658362.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21e136ce4e27586f0bca6b38743d02a","relate_stocks":{"UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-27/doc-imqqsmrp0658362.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270310291","content_text":"周一，美联储公布的数据显示，贸易加权名义美元指数上周突破了2020年3月创下的高点。过去5天美指上涨4%，涨幅为2020年3月新冠恐慌顶峰以来最大。同日，追踪包含石油、铜等工业金属和小麦等食品各种期货合约的彭博商品现货指数下跌1.6%，创今年1月24日以来的最低收盘。该指数自6月峰值已下跌近22%，抹去俄乌冲突爆发以来的涨幅。华尔街最直言不讳的空头之一表示，美元近期的上涨正在给包括股票在内的风险资产造成“站不住脚的局面”，而在过去，这种级别的美元走强导致了某种金融或经济危机。今年至今美元指数上涨了19%，而美国股市则暴跌了23%。摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师Michael Wilson在一份报告中写道：“虽然很难预测此类‘事件’，但条件已经具备。”Wilson提到了2008年全球金融危机、2012年主权债务危机和2000年科技股泡沫破灭。Wilson认为标普500指数的“最终低点”将在今年晚些时候或明年初达到3000至3400点水平。这意味着在区间中点有13%的下跌空间。美元飙升损害了美国公司的国际销售利润，摩根士丹利计算得出，美元指数每上涨1%，利润会下跌0.5%。Wilson表示，除了投入成本飙升等其他问题外，美元走强将令标普500指数第四季度的收益削弱约10%。这位正确预测了今年美国股市暴跌的策略师表示，对联邦快递公司本月早些时候发出的警告的反应表明，市场普遍预期尚未反映巨大的收益下滑。无独有偶，方舟投资掌门人凯茜•伍德（Cathie Wood）日前也表示，美元飙升对世界其它地区造成了毁灭性的影响，虽然美元升值有利于降低进口成本，从而缓解美国国内的通胀压力，但美国无法在全球市场动荡中独善其身，美元升值对全球经济造成的打击也将给美国带来溢出风险，从而迫使美联储转向。安联首席经济顾问穆罕默德·埃尔-埃里安（Mohamed A． El-Erian）周一也再次就美元飙升可能带来的灾难性后果发出警告。他指出，美元近期走强是三个全球关键转变的又一体现：全球央行收紧政策、全球经济放缓和全球通缩消退。他说这些转变令全球衰退的可能性“高到令人担忧”。他呼吁政府和央行停止加剧市场波动性，以免造成市场混乱，此言被认为暗指英国的新减税和援助计划。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UUP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911880873,"gmtCreate":1664171734892,"gmtModify":1676537402368,"author":{"id":"3578352381862815","authorId":"3578352381862815","name":"yoyo6969","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578352381862815","idStr":"3578352381862815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911880873","repostId":"1186630621","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186630621","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664171594,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186630621?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 13:53","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Three departments: The vehicle purchase tax exemption policy for new energy vehicles will be extended until the end of 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186630621","media":"财政部","summary":"财政部、税务总局、工业和信息化部发布关于延续新能源汽车免征车辆购置税政策的公告，对购置日期在2023年1月1日至2023年12月31日期间内的新能源汽车，免征车辆购置税。免征车辆购置税的新能源汽车，通","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The Ministry of Finance, the State Administration of Taxation, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an announcement on extending the policy of exempting new energy vehicles from vehicle purchase tax. For new energy vehicles whose purchase date is between January 1, 2023 and December 31, 2023, Exemption from vehicle purchase tax. New energy vehicles exempt from vehicle purchase tax are managed through the \"Catalogue of New Energy Vehicle Models Exempted from Vehicle Purchase Tax\" issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration of Taxation. Pure electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid (including extended-range) vehicles, and fuel cell vehicles purchased from the date of publication of the Catalog and listed in the Catalog are new energy vehicles that meet tax exemption conditions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b63ee319a216a096867bb72160b197ae\" tg-width=\"1392\" tg-height=\"681\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"lsy1618996764339","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Three departments: The vehicle purchase tax exemption policy for new energy vehicles will be extended until the end of 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThree departments: The vehicle purchase tax exemption policy for new energy vehicles will be extended until the end of 2023\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">财政部</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-26 13:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The Ministry of Finance, the State Administration of Taxation, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an announcement on extending the policy of exempting new energy vehicles from vehicle purchase tax. For new energy vehicles whose purchase date is between January 1, 2023 and December 31, 2023, Exemption from vehicle purchase tax. New energy vehicles exempt from vehicle purchase tax are managed through the \"Catalogue of New Energy Vehicle Models Exempted from Vehicle Purchase Tax\" issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration of Taxation. Pure electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid (including extended-range) vehicles, and fuel cell vehicles purchased from the date of publication of the Catalog and listed in the Catalog are new energy vehicles that meet tax exemption conditions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b63ee319a216a096867bb72160b197ae\" tg-width=\"1392\" tg-height=\"681\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://szs.mof.gov.cn/zhengcefabu/202209/t20220926_3842633.htm\">财政部</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47b6fbfe38edb1202883a645549da7f6","relate_stocks":{"002594":"比亚迪"},"source_url":"http://szs.mof.gov.cn/zhengcefabu/202209/t20220926_3842633.htm","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186630621","content_text":"财政部、税务总局、工业和信息化部发布关于延续新能源汽车免征车辆购置税政策的公告，对购置日期在2023年1月1日至2023年12月31日期间内的新能源汽车，免征车辆购置税。免征车辆购置税的新能源汽车，通过工业和信息化部、税务总局发布《免征车辆购置税的新能源汽车车型目录》实施管理。自《目录》发布之日起购置的，列入《目录》的纯电动汽车、插电式混合动力（含增程式）汽车、燃料电池汽车，属于符合免税条件的新能源汽车。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"002594":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}