Profile - To The Moon

Thengz

Posts · 317Posts · 317
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- ThengzThengz
  ·01-24
  $PLTR 20240216 25.0 CALL$
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2023-10-25
  Blah blah blah blah blah blah
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2023-05-24
  Palantir Technologies Inc. is a software company that specializes in data analytics and has been in the news recently due to its initial public offering (IPO) in September 2020. The company's shares have been volatile since its IPO, and investors are curious about the outlook for the rest of the calendar year. This essay will discuss Palantir's share outlook for the rest of the year. Palantir's shares have been on a rollercoaster ride since its IPO. The company's shares opened at $10 per share, and within a month, the shares had surged to $29.23. However, the shares have since fallen, and as of August 2021, the shares are trading at around $23 per share. The volatility in the share price can be attributed to several factors, including the company's financial performance, market conditions,
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-11-16
  Ok
  TSM Surged 11% in Morning Trading After Buffett Took a $5 Billion Stake in It
  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing surged 11% in morning trading after Buffett took a $5 billion sta
  TSM Surged 11% in Morning Trading After Buffett Took a $5 Billion Stake in It
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-10-11
  Ok
  IMF Cuts 2023 Growth Outlook Amid Colliding Global Shocks
  The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023 amid colliding pr
  IMF Cuts 2023 Growth Outlook Amid Colliding Global Shocks
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-09-23
  Ok
  Vinco Ventures: A Gamble Not Likely To Pay Off Anytime Soon
  SummaryA major question facing BBIG is whether or not its balance sheet will help it through the man
  Vinco Ventures: A Gamble Not Likely To Pay Off Anytime Soon
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-08-02
  Ok
  S&P 500: Taking Profit On The Long Positions
  SummaryI am taking profits on the tactical long positions.At this point, I am neutral, with a bearis
  S&P 500: Taking Profit On The Long Positions
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-07-14
  Ok
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-06-07
  $GlaxoSmithKline PLC(GSK)$Coins
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- ThengzThengz
  ·2022-06-06
  $Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$Coins
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blah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234412205121624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970444571,"gmtCreate":1684883292593,"gmtModify":1684883301798,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Palantir Technologies Inc. is a software company that specializes in data analytics and has been in the news recently due to its initial public offering (IPO) in September 2020. 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This essay will discuss Palantir's share outlook for the rest of the year. Palantir's shares have been on a rollercoaster ride since its IPO. The company's shares opened at $10 per share, and within a month, the shares had surged to $29.23. However, the shares have since fallen, and as of August 2021, the shares are trading at around $23 per share. The volatility in the share price can be attributed to several factors, including the company's financial performance, market conditions,","text":"Palantir Technologies Inc. is a software company that specializes in data analytics and has been in the news recently due to its initial public offering (IPO) in September 2020. The company's shares have been volatile since its IPO, and investors are curious about the outlook for the rest of the calendar year. This essay will discuss Palantir's share outlook for the rest of the year. Palantir's shares have been on a rollercoaster ride since its IPO. The company's shares opened at $10 per share, and within a month, the shares had surged to $29.23. However, the shares have since fallen, and as of August 2021, the shares are trading at around $23 per share. 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charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSM Surged 11% in Morning Trading After Buffett Took a $5 Billion Stake in It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSM Surged 11% in Morning Trading After Buffett Took a $5 Billion Stake in It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-15 22:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> surged 11% in morning trading after Buffett took a $5 billion stake in it.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e461891932d573b70ae8fe01647c58\" tg-width=\"837\" tg-height=\"842\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166351757","content_text":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing surged 11% in morning trading after Buffett took a $5 billion stake in it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917681384,"gmtCreate":1665499331648,"gmtModify":1676537617181,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917681384","repostId":"1103545080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103545080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665493900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103545080?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-11 21:11","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"IMF Cuts 2023 Growth Outlook Amid Colliding Global Shocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103545080","media":"Reuters","summary":"The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023 amid colliding pr","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023 amid colliding pressures from the war in Ukraine, high energy and food prices, inflation and sharply higher interest rates, warning that conditions could worsen significantly next year.</p><p>The Fund said its latest World Economic Outlook forecasts show that a third of the world economy will likely contract by next year, marking a sobering start to the first in-person IMF and World Bank annual meetings in three years.</p><p>&#34;The three largest economies, the United States, China and the euro area will continue to stall,&#34; IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said in a statement. &#34;In short, the worst is yet to come, and for many people, 2023 will feel like a recession.&#34;</p><p>The IMF said global GDP growth next year will slow to 2.7%, compared to a 2.9% forecast in July, as higher interest rates slow the U.S. economy, Europe struggles with spiking gas prices and China contends with continued COVID-19 lockdowns and a weakening property sector.</p><p>The Fund is keeping its 2022 growth forecast at 3.2%, reflecting stronger-than-expected output in Europe but a weaker performance in the United States, after torrid 6.0% global growth in 2021.</p><p>U.S. growth this year will be a meager 1.6% - a 0.7 percentage point downgrade from July, reflecting an unexpected second-quarter GDP contraction. The IMF kept its 2023 U.S. growth forecast unchanged at 1.0%.</p><p>A U.S. Treasury official said before the release of the IMF forecasts that the U.S. economy &#34;remains quite resilient, even in the face of some significant global headwinds.&#34;</p><p>PRIORITY: INFLATION</p><p>The IMF said its outlook was subject to a delicate balancing act by central banks to fight inflation without over-tightening, which could push the global economy into an &#34;unnecessarily severe recession&#34; and cause disruptions to financial markets and pain for developing countries. But it pointed squarely at controlling inflation as the bigger priority.</p><p>&#34;The hard-won credibility of central banks could be undermined if they misjudge yet again the stubborn persistence of inflation,&#34; Gourinchas said. &#34;This would prove much more detrimental to future macroeconomic stability.&#34;</p><p>The Fund forecast headline consumer price inflation peaking at 9.5% in the third quarter of 2022, declining to 4.7% by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p>A &#34;plausible combination of shocks&#34; including a 30% spike in oil prices from current levels could darken the outlook considerably, the IMF said, pushing global growth down to 1.0% next year - a level associated with widely falling real incomes.</p><p>Other components of this &#34;downside scenario&#34; include a steep drop-off in Chinese property sector investment, a sharp tightening of financial conditions brought on by emerging market currency depreciations and labor markets remaining overheated resulting in lower potential output.</p><p>The IMF put a 25% probability of global growth falling below 2% next year - a phenomenon that has occurred only five times since 1970 - and said there was a more than 10% chance of a global GDP contraction.</p><p>DOLLAR PRESSURES</p><p>These shocks could keep inflation elevated for longer, which in turn could keep upward pressure on the U.S. dollar, now at its strongest since the early 2000s. The IMF said this is pressuring emerging markets, and further dollar strength could increase the likelihood of debt distress for some countries.</p><p>Emerging market debt relief is expected to be a major topic of discussion among the world&#39;s global financial policymakers at the Washington meetings, and Gourinchas said now was the time for emerging markets to &#34;batten down the hatches&#34; to prepare for more difficult conditions. The appropriate policy for most was prioritizing monetary policy for price stability, letting currencies adjust and &#34;conserving valuable foreign exchange reserves for when financial conditions really worsen.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IMF Cuts 2023 Growth Outlook Amid Colliding Global Shocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIMF Cuts 2023 Growth Outlook Amid Colliding Global Shocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-11 21:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/imf-cuts-2023-growth-outlook-130551366.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023 amid colliding pressures from the war in Ukraine, high energy and food prices, inflation and sharply higher interest ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/imf-cuts-2023-growth-outlook-130551366.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/imf-cuts-2023-growth-outlook-130551366.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103545080","content_text":"The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023 amid colliding pressures from the war in Ukraine, high energy and food prices, inflation and sharply higher interest rates, warning that conditions could worsen significantly next year.The Fund said its latest World Economic Outlook forecasts show that a third of the world economy will likely contract by next year, marking a sobering start to the first in-person IMF and World Bank annual meetings in three years.\"The three largest economies, the United States, China and the euro area will continue to stall,\" IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said in a statement. \"In short, the worst is yet to come, and for many people, 2023 will feel like a recession.\"The IMF said global GDP growth next year will slow to 2.7%, compared to a 2.9% forecast in July, as higher interest rates slow the U.S. economy, Europe struggles with spiking gas prices and China contends with continued COVID-19 lockdowns and a weakening property sector.The Fund is keeping its 2022 growth forecast at 3.2%, reflecting stronger-than-expected output in Europe but a weaker performance in the United States, after torrid 6.0% global growth in 2021.U.S. growth this year will be a meager 1.6% - a 0.7 percentage point downgrade from July, reflecting an unexpected second-quarter GDP contraction. The IMF kept its 2023 U.S. growth forecast unchanged at 1.0%.A U.S. Treasury official said before the release of the IMF forecasts that the U.S. economy \"remains quite resilient, even in the face of some significant global headwinds.\"PRIORITY: INFLATIONThe IMF said its outlook was subject to a delicate balancing act by central banks to fight inflation without over-tightening, which could push the global economy into an \"unnecessarily severe recession\" and cause disruptions to financial markets and pain for developing countries. But it pointed squarely at controlling inflation as the bigger priority.\"The hard-won credibility of central banks could be undermined if they misjudge yet again the stubborn persistence of inflation,\" Gourinchas said. \"This would prove much more detrimental to future macroeconomic stability.\"The Fund forecast headline consumer price inflation peaking at 9.5% in the third quarter of 2022, declining to 4.7% by the fourth quarter of 2023.A \"plausible combination of shocks\" including a 30% spike in oil prices from current levels could darken the outlook considerably, the IMF said, pushing global growth down to 1.0% next year - a level associated with widely falling real incomes.Other components of this \"downside scenario\" include a steep drop-off in Chinese property sector investment, a sharp tightening of financial conditions brought on by emerging market currency depreciations and labor markets remaining overheated resulting in lower potential output.The IMF put a 25% probability of global growth falling below 2% next year - a phenomenon that has occurred only five times since 1970 - and said there was a more than 10% chance of a global GDP contraction.DOLLAR PRESSURESThese shocks could keep inflation elevated for longer, which in turn could keep upward pressure on the U.S. dollar, now at its strongest since the early 2000s. The IMF said this is pressuring emerging markets, and further dollar strength could increase the likelihood of debt distress for some countries.Emerging market debt relief is expected to be a major topic of discussion among the world's global financial policymakers at the Washington meetings, and Gourinchas said now was the time for emerging markets to \"batten down the hatches\" to prepare for more difficult conditions. The appropriate policy for most was prioritizing monetary policy for price stability, letting currencies adjust and \"conserving valuable foreign exchange reserves for when financial conditions really worsen.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913381896,"gmtCreate":1663912138816,"gmtModify":1676537362225,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913381896","repostId":"2269171051","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269171051","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663902817,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269171051?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 11:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Vinco Ventures: A Gamble Not Likely To Pay Off Anytime Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269171051","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA major question facing BBIG is whether or not its balance sheet will help it through the man","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>A major question facing BBIG is whether or not its balance sheet will help it through the many challenges the company faces.</li><li>Vinco Ventures has yet to file its quarterly report on Form 10-Q.</li><li>We have no idea of the performance of Vinco since it released the numbers for Q1 2022, which ended March 31, 2022.</li><li>BBIG stock also recently fell below the $1.00 mark, pointing to a risk of getting a delisting notice from Nasdaq.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdfb6b9a191cc12681929e54b5d13d0a\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"498\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Cristian Storto Fotografia/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>Vinco Ventures (NASDAQ:BBIG) has been facing numerous challenges, including the company fending off a hostile takeover which ended up with a restraining order being put in place, was directed to accept a CEO by court order, hasn&#39;t issued any earnings reports from the end of Q1, now has 3 co-CEOs, received a Deficiency Notice from Nasdaq concerning filing its quarterly report on form 10-Q, and after recently falling under $1.00 per share, is in danger of receiving another notice from Nasdaq concerning that issue.</p><p>My conclusion is this company is difficult to analyze at this time because there are no recent earnings reports to look at. That&#39;s significant because the company suffered a heavy net loss that its balance could struggle to compensate for, depending on what the unreported numbers are for the last reporting period.</p><p>In this article we&#39;ll look at the underlying challenges facing BBIG, and why investors should at the very least wait until the company&#39;s next earnings report in order to get some clarity on where things stand before considering taking a position.</p><h2>The restraining order</h2><p>A press release by Vinco Ventures on August 10, 2022, revealed the context of the temporary restraining order it was granted by a district court Judge of Nevada. Here&#39;s what it stated:</p><blockquote>On August 5, 2022, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBIG\">Vinco Ventures, Inc.</a> (BBIG) (&#34;Vinco Ventures,&#34; &#34;Vinco,&#34; or the &#34;Company&#34;), a Nevada corporation, was granted a temporary restraining order (the &#34;TRO&#34;) from the district court Judge of Nevada (District Court Clark-County, Nevada Case No: A-22-856404-B.) against Theodore Farnsworth, Lisa King, Roderick Vanderbilt, and Eric Noble (collectively, the &#34;Farnsworth Group&#34;). The Farnsworth Group is &#34;enjoined from holding themselves out internally or externally as employed by the Company or acting on its behalf in any capacity; is enjoined from accessing Company&#39;s premises or servers; and is required to relinquish control, or to direct those persons working with or under them to relinquish control, over the Company&#39;s SEC filing passcodes and cooperate to return SEC codes to the Company&#39;s dominion and control under John Colucci and return all Company personal devices, passwords, servers, documents (whether in paper or electronic format), payment and payroll systems, and emails and email servers related to any business of the Company and its affiliates.&#34;</blockquote><p>While that provides the framework for the TRO, what the company explains next is concerning to me. It would suggest not just an attempted takeover in the sense of making a bid for the company or building coalitions to take majority control, rather, it gives the impression of unethical activity rather than an actual takeover.</p><p>It&#39;s explained this way:</p><blockquote>In the process of this attempted hostile takeover attempt, the Farnsworth Group has ignored legally taken Board actions, made inaccurate SEC filings, posted inaccurate and misleading information on social media sites and YouTube, refused to leave after being fired by the Board, blocked the Company&#39;s SEC filings, held illegal board meetings, blocked emails, taken over administrative rights on email and other systems, taken over HR systems and blocked a reduction in force, put the Interim CEO and CFO on &#34;administrative leave,&#34; and harassed and bullied staff to get access to bank accounts, payroll and payment systems.</blockquote><p>If the Farnsworth Group were not representatives of the company, how did they allegedly obtain passcodes and other proprietary data that allowed them to take the actions they did? How could they allegedly bully staff in order &#34;to get access to bank accounts, payroll and payment systems&#34; if they weren&#39;t considered to have some type of legitimate authority? These are questions potential investors should ask themselves.</p><p>It seems on the management side things have settled down for now, but investors should carefully watch how the three co-CEOs work together in the months ahead.</p><p>With the deep challenges the company is facing, they must work in unison if the company has any chance of improving its performance.</p><h2>I wish I could give you Vinco Ventures&#39; recent numbers</h2><p>As a result of falling behind in its reporting requirements, we have no idea where BBIG stands today.</p><p>For example, in the first quarter, Lomotif have over 225 million people that downloaded and used Lomotif. As of the first quarter the service was enjoying growth momentum. It&#39;s vital that investors find out whether or not the momentum has continued on, or growth has slowed.</p><p>Concerning its balance sheet, it was pretty solid at the end of Q1 2022, with cash and cash equivalents, including restricted cash, surpassing $210 million. At the time, the company&#39;s cash holdings reflected over 50 percent of its overall market cap; that of course suggests the company could be undervalued.</p><p>With the acquisition of AdRizer, revenue in the reporting period was $11.5 million, up close to 350 percent. Where is it today? We have no idea.</p><p>The good news in all of this is, if BBIG still has a solid cash position near what it was in the first quarter, it does have time to ride out the weak economic conditions it&#39;s operating in, along with the internal struggles at the leadership level.</p><h2>Lomotif has the most long-term potential</h2><p>Lomotif is an app that allows creators to design videos, which with built-in editing and mixing capabilities, allows users to express themselves in a wide variety of ways. It has a similar feel to TikTok and has been growing rapidly. It can be used on not only TikTok, but also on Facebook, Instagram and Twitter.</p><p>As of the first quarter, it had over 225 million people download and use the app. One competitive advantage it has against TikTok is it has a presence in India via its partnership with Socialkyte, which TikTok is banned from operating in. Lomotif stated it garnered over 40 million active users in India in only a few months.</p><p>The company decided to tackle the Indian market by focusing on everyday users rather than some of the livestreaming events like Shaq&#39;s Fun House and others, that helped boost its user base in the U.S. in particular.</p><p>While I don&#39;t see Lomotif having near the user base TikTok has, I do believe it has the potential for some significant upside in the future, assuming it&#39;s able execute on its business plan and continue to grow its user base in the large Indian market.</p><p>At the macro level, like all tech companies, BBIG has taken a big hit as a result of the actions taken by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation. This results in discounted free cash flow which has brought about the sell-off that has disproportionately pummeled tech companies and other risky assets.</p><p>Once inflation comes under control and the Fed signals it&#39;s going to ease up on interest rate hikes, this will bring back a lot of investors wanting to take advantage of the rebound in the tech sector. BBIG should participate in the renewed interest of investors in potential high-growth stocks.</p><p>If Lotomif takes off and investor sentiment improves, BBIG is very likely to return to sustainable growth. I don&#39;t believe that&#39;s going to happen anytime soon, but things will be much clearer at the end of 2022 and early 2023.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>In order for BBIG to turn things around it must show that its three co-CEO management team is able to not only work together well but execute the business plan it has in place.</p><p>Other major concerns are the ongoing weak global economy, high interest rates that lower the outlook for future free cash flow, the Nasdaq notice concerning its Form 10-Q, and the company exposing itself to another Nasdaq notice as the result of its share price falling under $1.00.</p><p>While the company had plenty of cash on hand as of the end of the first quarter, investors won&#39;t know where things stand until the company reports its earnings. Nonetheless, if Nasdaq gives the company an extension (assuming it seeks one), it could be months before there is any visibility concerning the company&#39;s performance. This is important because we need to know if the company is maintaining momentum, or if its growth trajectory has bogged down.</p><p>For that reason, for now, I think investors should consider BBIG only as a meme play that a trader gets in and out of quickly. If its share price continues to plummet, it could become a short squeeze that would reward investors very well.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Vinco Ventures: A Gamble Not Likely To Pay Off Anytime Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVinco Ventures: A Gamble Not Likely To Pay Off Anytime Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 11:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542507-vinco-ventures-gamble-unlikely-to-pay-off-anytime-soon><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA major question facing BBIG is whether or not its balance sheet will help it through the many challenges the company faces.Vinco Ventures has yet to file its quarterly report on Form 10-Q.We ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542507-vinco-ventures-gamble-unlikely-to-pay-off-anytime-soon\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBIG":"Vinco Ventures, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542507-vinco-ventures-gamble-unlikely-to-pay-off-anytime-soon","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269171051","content_text":"SummaryA major question facing BBIG is whether or not its balance sheet will help it through the many challenges the company faces.Vinco Ventures has yet to file its quarterly report on Form 10-Q.We have no idea of the performance of Vinco since it released the numbers for Q1 2022, which ended March 31, 2022.BBIG stock also recently fell below the $1.00 mark, pointing to a risk of getting a delisting notice from Nasdaq.Cristian Storto Fotografia/iStock via Getty ImagesVinco Ventures (NASDAQ:BBIG) has been facing numerous challenges, including the company fending off a hostile takeover which ended up with a restraining order being put in place, was directed to accept a CEO by court order, hasn't issued any earnings reports from the end of Q1, now has 3 co-CEOs, received a Deficiency Notice from Nasdaq concerning filing its quarterly report on form 10-Q, and after recently falling under $1.00 per share, is in danger of receiving another notice from Nasdaq concerning that issue.My conclusion is this company is difficult to analyze at this time because there are no recent earnings reports to look at. That's significant because the company suffered a heavy net loss that its balance could struggle to compensate for, depending on what the unreported numbers are for the last reporting period.In this article we'll look at the underlying challenges facing BBIG, and why investors should at the very least wait until the company's next earnings report in order to get some clarity on where things stand before considering taking a position.The restraining orderA press release by Vinco Ventures on August 10, 2022, revealed the context of the temporary restraining order it was granted by a district court Judge of Nevada. Here's what it stated:On August 5, 2022, Vinco Ventures, Inc. (BBIG) (\"Vinco Ventures,\" \"Vinco,\" or the \"Company\"), a Nevada corporation, was granted a temporary restraining order (the \"TRO\") from the district court Judge of Nevada (District Court Clark-County, Nevada Case No: A-22-856404-B.) against Theodore Farnsworth, Lisa King, Roderick Vanderbilt, and Eric Noble (collectively, the \"Farnsworth Group\"). The Farnsworth Group is \"enjoined from holding themselves out internally or externally as employed by the Company or acting on its behalf in any capacity; is enjoined from accessing Company's premises or servers; and is required to relinquish control, or to direct those persons working with or under them to relinquish control, over the Company's SEC filing passcodes and cooperate to return SEC codes to the Company's dominion and control under John Colucci and return all Company personal devices, passwords, servers, documents (whether in paper or electronic format), payment and payroll systems, and emails and email servers related to any business of the Company and its affiliates.\"While that provides the framework for the TRO, what the company explains next is concerning to me. It would suggest not just an attempted takeover in the sense of making a bid for the company or building coalitions to take majority control, rather, it gives the impression of unethical activity rather than an actual takeover.It's explained this way:In the process of this attempted hostile takeover attempt, the Farnsworth Group has ignored legally taken Board actions, made inaccurate SEC filings, posted inaccurate and misleading information on social media sites and YouTube, refused to leave after being fired by the Board, blocked the Company's SEC filings, held illegal board meetings, blocked emails, taken over administrative rights on email and other systems, taken over HR systems and blocked a reduction in force, put the Interim CEO and CFO on \"administrative leave,\" and harassed and bullied staff to get access to bank accounts, payroll and payment systems.If the Farnsworth Group were not representatives of the company, how did they allegedly obtain passcodes and other proprietary data that allowed them to take the actions they did? How could they allegedly bully staff in order \"to get access to bank accounts, payroll and payment systems\" if they weren't considered to have some type of legitimate authority? These are questions potential investors should ask themselves.It seems on the management side things have settled down for now, but investors should carefully watch how the three co-CEOs work together in the months ahead.With the deep challenges the company is facing, they must work in unison if the company has any chance of improving its performance.I wish I could give you Vinco Ventures' recent numbersAs a result of falling behind in its reporting requirements, we have no idea where BBIG stands today.For example, in the first quarter, Lomotif have over 225 million people that downloaded and used Lomotif. As of the first quarter the service was enjoying growth momentum. It's vital that investors find out whether or not the momentum has continued on, or growth has slowed.Concerning its balance sheet, it was pretty solid at the end of Q1 2022, with cash and cash equivalents, including restricted cash, surpassing $210 million. At the time, the company's cash holdings reflected over 50 percent of its overall market cap; that of course suggests the company could be undervalued.With the acquisition of AdRizer, revenue in the reporting period was $11.5 million, up close to 350 percent. Where is it today? We have no idea.The good news in all of this is, if BBIG still has a solid cash position near what it was in the first quarter, it does have time to ride out the weak economic conditions it's operating in, along with the internal struggles at the leadership level.Lomotif has the most long-term potentialLomotif is an app that allows creators to design videos, which with built-in editing and mixing capabilities, allows users to express themselves in a wide variety of ways. It has a similar feel to TikTok and has been growing rapidly. It can be used on not only TikTok, but also on Facebook, Instagram and Twitter.As of the first quarter, it had over 225 million people download and use the app. One competitive advantage it has against TikTok is it has a presence in India via its partnership with Socialkyte, which TikTok is banned from operating in. Lomotif stated it garnered over 40 million active users in India in only a few months.The company decided to tackle the Indian market by focusing on everyday users rather than some of the livestreaming events like Shaq's Fun House and others, that helped boost its user base in the U.S. in particular.While I don't see Lomotif having near the user base TikTok has, I do believe it has the potential for some significant upside in the future, assuming it's able execute on its business plan and continue to grow its user base in the large Indian market.At the macro level, like all tech companies, BBIG has taken a big hit as a result of the actions taken by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation. This results in discounted free cash flow which has brought about the sell-off that has disproportionately pummeled tech companies and other risky assets.Once inflation comes under control and the Fed signals it's going to ease up on interest rate hikes, this will bring back a lot of investors wanting to take advantage of the rebound in the tech sector. BBIG should participate in the renewed interest of investors in potential high-growth stocks.If Lotomif takes off and investor sentiment improves, BBIG is very likely to return to sustainable growth. I don't believe that's going to happen anytime soon, but things will be much clearer at the end of 2022 and early 2023.ConclusionIn order for BBIG to turn things around it must show that its three co-CEO management team is able to not only work together well but execute the business plan it has in place.Other major concerns are the ongoing weak global economy, high interest rates that lower the outlook for future free cash flow, the Nasdaq notice concerning its Form 10-Q, and the company exposing itself to another Nasdaq notice as the result of its share price falling under $1.00.While the company had plenty of cash on hand as of the end of the first quarter, investors won't know where things stand until the company reports its earnings. Nonetheless, if Nasdaq gives the company an extension (assuming it seeks one), it could be months before there is any visibility concerning the company's performance. This is important because we need to know if the company is maintaining momentum, or if its growth trajectory has bogged down.For that reason, for now, I think investors should consider BBIG only as a meme play that a trader gets in and out of quickly. If its share price continues to plummet, it could become a short squeeze that would reward investors very well.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906080971,"gmtCreate":1659453560796,"gmtModify":1705980518177,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906080971","repostId":"1110799720","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110799720","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659454654,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110799720?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-02 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500: Taking Profit On The Long Positions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110799720","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryI am taking profits on the tactical long positions.At this point, I am neutral, with a bearis","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>I am taking profits on the tactical long positions.</li><li>At this point, I am neutral, with a bearish bias.</li><li>The fundamentals have deteriorated, while stocks sharply bounced.</li></ul><p><b>Recent Recommendations of S&amp;P 500</b></p><p>Here is my recent record on S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) (SP500) (SPX):</p><ul><li>After being a long-term bull, I turned bearish and recommended asellonSPYon March 25th 2022, at 451 on SPY. My bearish thesis was very simple: I anticipated that the Fed would increase the interest rates aggressively to combat the rising inflation, which will cause a recession and the recessionary bear market.</li><li>On April 22, I reiterated the expectation that the Fed would aggressively raise interest rates in 2022, when I recommended a sell on SP500 with the index value at 4271.</li><li>On May 3rd, I pointed out that the liquidity risk due to expectations of monetary policy tightening is easing and that monetary policy expectations are priced in (the peak Fed hawkishness) and I suggested covering short positions and going neutral on SPY at around 415.</li><li>On May 30, I recommended to start buying S&amp;P 500, with SPY at 413, and continued to recommend buying S&amp;P 500 on June 27with SPY at 388, and July 18 with SPY at 388. The bullish thesis was also very simple: we were past the peak inflation and expected to be past the peak headline inflation given the falling commodity prices, and thus, past the Fed hawkishness. Further, given the still positive yield curve spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond and the 3-month Treasury Bill, the probability of an imminent recession was very low. Thus, I expected at least a nice (and significant) counter-trend summer rally.</li></ul><p><b>Downgrade from buy to neutral</b></p><p>Since reaching the (cycle) bottom on June 16th, S&amp;P 500 is up almost 13%, and SPY is currently at 411 near the breakeven of my May 30th buying point, and significantly higher than my June 27th and July 18th buying points. I am willing to take profits on these long positions. Here is the SPY chart that illustrates the significant countertrend bounce to the top range:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8922eaf1a5e1edfdacb69e1c401c3bc9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY data by YCharts</p><p>I am downgrading SPY to neutral for these reasons:</p><p>1) The 10Y-3mo spread has significantly narrowed to 0.26%, which is although still positive, getting really close to inversion. Thus, the probability of an imminent recession is too high to ignore now. Here is the chart;</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d6a289024ab1fe23863cb2e03cafdaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>2) Even more problematic is that the narrowing of the 10Y-3mo is also created by the falling 10Y yields, which signals the economic slowdown. More importantly, the 10Y yields are falling due to the falling real rates, which is signaling a possible flight to quality and expectations on policy easing (not tightening). Here is the chart of 10Y TIPS (real interest rates), which have fallen towards the zero percent level (0.20%):</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3a40a5667fce1317ab25f12a2362313\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>3) The credit risk is rising. The spread between BBB-10Y is reaching the cyclical high at 2.42%. Although this spread is still modest and requires the rise above 3% to be considered high, the trend is to the upside.</p><p>4) The market is now pricing that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in July of 2023, which indicates the expectations of a possible recession in 2023. Here are the current monetary policy expectations, based on Global Academic View report:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1a4d5b38a7bfe1df8cb60589bfba130\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"138\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global Academic View</p><p>Considering the point 2 (falling real interest rates) and 4 (expectations on interest rate cuts), the market is likely to respond negatively to slowing economic data and start pricing the <b>Phase 2</b>of the bear market - an imminent recession selloff.</p><p>Thus, I am willing to take profit on the summer rally bounce and evaluate what exactly the market is pricing next and initiate the new positions accordingly.</p><p><b>The Bearish case</b></p><p>The bearish case is now the baseline expectations, as long as the 10y-3mo spreads invert, and the 10Y continues to fall. The bearish case is the Phase 2 of the full bear market - the pricing of an imminent recession, where the economic data slows and corporate earnings get downgraded.</p><p><b>The Bullish case</b></p><p>The bullish case is the soft landing case, where the Fed makes the full dovish pivot and does not increase interest rates above the 10Y yields.</p><p><b>The Neutral case</b></p><p>The fact is, we still don&#39;t have enough information with respect to the bearish case or the bullish case. We don&#39;t know how is the Fed reacting to the potential rising unemployment, with still elevated inflation. Will the Fed tolerate a higher inflation to prevent a rising unemployment? Will the Fed specifically acknowledge that the 10Y yields are the celling for the Federal Funds rate?</p><p>The Fed Chair Powell indicated that the Fed is currently in the neutral, but also that further interest rate hikes are warranted. Well, this will invert the 10y-3mo curve and likely cause a recession.</p><p>More importantly, the S&amp;P500 is now rising, and many are likely to start buying, while the shorts are likely to be forced to cover. So, the summer rally could continue - despite the worsening fundamentals.</p><p>I view this technical picture more as an opportunity to initiate short positions (if the bear case prevails). Thus, at this point, the neutral position means, I am not buying the summer rally anymore, and taking profits and tactical longs. It also means, I am waiting to initiate new positions, as the new set up emerges.</p><p><b>Note on recent SPY performance</b></p><p>Over the last month, SPY, which is the ETF that tracks S&amp;P500, is up by 8.16%, led by Consumer Discretionary sector (XLY) up by 16.7% and Technology (XLK) up by 12%. Both of these are cyclical sectors that have bounced from the deep sell-offs, but given the expectations of an imminent recession, the performance of these sectors is unsustainable. It is likely that the recent performance is just a bounce, meaning, as the economy starts to visibly slow down, these cyclical sectors are more likely to continue to sell off, dragging the SPY to the next leg lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2ecfe935e912e330cbe58152e9c0c7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500: Taking Profit On The Long Positions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500: Taking Profit On The Long Positions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-02 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528449-sp500-taking-profit-on-long-positions><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryI am taking profits on the tactical long positions.At this point, I am neutral, with a bearish bias.The fundamentals have deteriorated, while stocks sharply bounced.Recent Recommendations of S&...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528449-sp500-taking-profit-on-long-positions\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528449-sp500-taking-profit-on-long-positions","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110799720","content_text":"SummaryI am taking profits on the tactical long positions.At this point, I am neutral, with a bearish bias.The fundamentals have deteriorated, while stocks sharply bounced.Recent Recommendations of S&P 500Here is my recent record on S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) (SP500) (SPX):After being a long-term bull, I turned bearish and recommended asellonSPYon March 25th 2022, at 451 on SPY. My bearish thesis was very simple: I anticipated that the Fed would increase the interest rates aggressively to combat the rising inflation, which will cause a recession and the recessionary bear market.On April 22, I reiterated the expectation that the Fed would aggressively raise interest rates in 2022, when I recommended a sell on SP500 with the index value at 4271.On May 3rd, I pointed out that the liquidity risk due to expectations of monetary policy tightening is easing and that monetary policy expectations are priced in (the peak Fed hawkishness) and I suggested covering short positions and going neutral on SPY at around 415.On May 30, I recommended to start buying S&P 500, with SPY at 413, and continued to recommend buying S&P 500 on June 27with SPY at 388, and July 18 with SPY at 388. The bullish thesis was also very simple: we were past the peak inflation and expected to be past the peak headline inflation given the falling commodity prices, and thus, past the Fed hawkishness. Further, given the still positive yield curve spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond and the 3-month Treasury Bill, the probability of an imminent recession was very low. Thus, I expected at least a nice (and significant) counter-trend summer rally.Downgrade from buy to neutralSince reaching the (cycle) bottom on June 16th, S&P 500 is up almost 13%, and SPY is currently at 411 near the breakeven of my May 30th buying point, and significantly higher than my June 27th and July 18th buying points. I am willing to take profits on these long positions. Here is the SPY chart that illustrates the significant countertrend bounce to the top range:SPY data by YChartsI am downgrading SPY to neutral for these reasons:1) The 10Y-3mo spread has significantly narrowed to 0.26%, which is although still positive, getting really close to inversion. Thus, the probability of an imminent recession is too high to ignore now. Here is the chart;FRED2) Even more problematic is that the narrowing of the 10Y-3mo is also created by the falling 10Y yields, which signals the economic slowdown. More importantly, the 10Y yields are falling due to the falling real rates, which is signaling a possible flight to quality and expectations on policy easing (not tightening). Here is the chart of 10Y TIPS (real interest rates), which have fallen towards the zero percent level (0.20%):FRED3) The credit risk is rising. The spread between BBB-10Y is reaching the cyclical high at 2.42%. Although this spread is still modest and requires the rise above 3% to be considered high, the trend is to the upside.4) The market is now pricing that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in July of 2023, which indicates the expectations of a possible recession in 2023. Here are the current monetary policy expectations, based on Global Academic View report:Global Academic ViewConsidering the point 2 (falling real interest rates) and 4 (expectations on interest rate cuts), the market is likely to respond negatively to slowing economic data and start pricing the Phase 2of the bear market - an imminent recession selloff.Thus, I am willing to take profit on the summer rally bounce and evaluate what exactly the market is pricing next and initiate the new positions accordingly.The Bearish caseThe bearish case is now the baseline expectations, as long as the 10y-3mo spreads invert, and the 10Y continues to fall. The bearish case is the Phase 2 of the full bear market - the pricing of an imminent recession, where the economic data slows and corporate earnings get downgraded.The Bullish caseThe bullish case is the soft landing case, where the Fed makes the full dovish pivot and does not increase interest rates above the 10Y yields.The Neutral caseThe fact is, we still don't have enough information with respect to the bearish case or the bullish case. We don't know how is the Fed reacting to the potential rising unemployment, with still elevated inflation. Will the Fed tolerate a higher inflation to prevent a rising unemployment? Will the Fed specifically acknowledge that the 10Y yields are the celling for the Federal Funds rate?The Fed Chair Powell indicated that the Fed is currently in the neutral, but also that further interest rate hikes are warranted. Well, this will invert the 10y-3mo curve and likely cause a recession.More importantly, the S&P500 is now rising, and many are likely to start buying, while the shorts are likely to be forced to cover. So, the summer rally could continue - despite the worsening fundamentals.I view this technical picture more as an opportunity to initiate short positions (if the bear case prevails). Thus, at this point, the neutral position means, I am not buying the summer rally anymore, and taking profits and tactical longs. It also means, I am waiting to initiate new positions, as the new set up emerges.Note on recent SPY performanceOver the last month, SPY, which is the ETF that tracks S&P500, is up by 8.16%, led by Consumer Discretionary sector (XLY) up by 16.7% and Technology (XLK) up by 12%. Both of these are cyclical sectors that have bounced from the deep sell-offs, but given the expectations of an imminent recession, the performance of these sectors is unsustainable. It is likely that the recent performance is just a bounce, meaning, as the economy starts to visibly slow down, these cyclical sectors are more likely to continue to sell off, dragging the SPY to the next leg lower.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078721507,"gmtCreate":1657755897409,"gmtModify":1676536055563,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078721507","repostId":"9068316704","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9051029131,"gmtCreate":1654611153823,"gmtModify":1676535477907,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GSK\">$GlaxoSmithKline PLC(GSK)$</a>Coins","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GSK\">$GlaxoSmithKline PLC(GSK)$</a>Coins","text":"$GlaxoSmithKline PLC(GSK)$Coins","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e07a26f0bca91b28865721f9b528b4c1","width":"828","height":"1995"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051029131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053843342,"gmtCreate":1654522447886,"gmtModify":1676535461589,"author":{"id":"3579207760920564","authorId":"3579207760920564","name":"Thengz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb87a2ba614bf594d49c299bab92466e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579207760920564","authorIdStr":"3579207760920564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLRY\">$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$</a>Coins","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLRY\">$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$</a>Coins","text":"$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$Coins","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9c5cdb30cff0967bc9d0aea4660a21c","width":"828","height":"1875"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053843342","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}