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YauDK

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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-10-26
  💀🤷🏽‍♂️😑🤗🤷🏽‍♂️👍🏼☺️🙃🤥❤️🫠🥳🫣☺️🎉🎊😤
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-10-06
  Ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye e ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-02-01
  I think this article is useful for investing!
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-01-25
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  Tech Stocks Have Crashed: Buy Palantir?
  SummaryPalantir was once a high-flying tech angel trading at unrealistically high valuations.The rea
  Tech Stocks Have Crashed: Buy Palantir?
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-01-12
  $SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ 🫤🫤🫤
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-01-09
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  How NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst Report
  Wall Street analysts are expecting 2023 to be a good year for Nio shares. Let's break down one Nio b
  How NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst Report
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-01-05
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  Rivian: The Slim 2022 Production Miss Was A Surprise
  SummaryRivian missed its 2022 production target of 25,000 vehicles by a smidge.The miss was largely
  Rivian: The Slim 2022 Production Miss Was A Surprise
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-01-04
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  Bitcoin Will be a Show Me Asset in 2023
  Story HighlightsOnce the revelation of the global investment markets in 2021, Bitcoin suffered a cat
  Bitcoin Will be a Show Me Asset in 2023
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2023-01-02
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- YauDKYauDK
  ·2022-12-31
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ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye e ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye","listText":"Ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye e ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye","text":"Ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye e ye ye ye ye ye ye ye ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/227267664560216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955350047,"gmtCreate":1675225457190,"gmtModify":1676538985028,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I think this article is useful for investing!","listText":"I think this article is useful for investing!","text":"I think this article is useful for 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13:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Stocks Have Crashed: Buy Palantir?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2306141704","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir was once a high-flying tech angel trading at unrealistically high valuations.The rea","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Palantir was once a high-flying tech angel trading at unrealistically high valuations.</li><li>The reasons for the bubble made sense, as the company is arguably a leader in artificial intelligence.</li><li>With the crash in tech stocks, the valuation has been reset to one de-void of hype.</li><li>The company has a net cash balance sheet and is generating positive free cash flow, making it arguably one of the higher quality picks in the tech sector today.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d0fb41844cb6709d67733944693dded\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"674\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>ArtemisDiana</span></p><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) once traded to the stratosphere as it was seen to be a top pick on the growth of artificial intelligence. The enthusiasm has faded, with the stock crashing alongside a broader tech crash. It appears that the company hasnot proven immune to macro-headwinds, with management seemingly pulling back long-term guidance. That said, the company retains ample net cash on its balance sheet and continues to generate robust free cash flows. At current prices, one can buy PLTR from a promising long-term outlook without paying up for the hype.</p><h2>PLTR Stock Price</h2><p>PLTR came public to little fanfare but soon after soared as it got caught up amidst the pandemic bubble. The stock has since given up its gains and then some, as it is now trading around its $7.25 direct listing price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3a1e92fa904392a256b52366c6c4a9a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>I last covered PLTR in October, where I rated the stock a buy as it was trading at compelling valuations in spite of macro headwinds. The stock has fallen some more since then, helping to improve the value proposition even further.</p><h2>PLTR Stock Key Metrics</h2><p>The latest quarter saw PLTR deliver revenue growth of 21.9% to $477.88 million. That beat guidance of $475 million but reflected a meaningful deceleration from the 26% growth delivered in the second quarter and the greater than 30% growth rate that investors may be more accustomed to. PLTR saw strong 26% growth in its government business, as its trailing-twelve-month government business revenue exceeded $1 billion for the first time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f999c2ff82bb928c60f33faa094e6c36\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"662\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>In contrast, its enterprise revenues grew by only 17%. While the customer count continued to grow rapidly, customers often take quite some time to ramp up spending as it takes time to fully utilize the product for their personalized use cases.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06f982aa2cc63dd7602250608c5126b3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>Within that commercial segment, US commercial revenues grew by a robust 53%. That was not enough to pull up overall commercial revenue growth because it still made up only 18% of overall revenue. On the conference call, management noted that its international commerce business was roughly flat YOY as it was negatively affected by both macro conditions as well as the strengthening dollar.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82ba7796373ab795fae6c53c7d7f6135\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"663\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>PLTR generated a strong 119% net dollar retention rate in the quarter, in line with second quarter results.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b40d8ee85b2d296e501b075e7575c3b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>On an overall basis, PLTR grew its customer base by 66% YOY. Over time, as these customers use the product more and more, I expect the strong current customer growth to eventually lead to future accelerated revenue growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2caa072b1c24bb8d3f21c30d3464def3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"659\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>PLTR continued to generate non-GAAP operating profits, though margins compressed from 30% in the prior year to 17% in the latest quarter. Part of that margin contraction was attributed to more employees returning to work in the office as travel-related expenses increased. That 17% operating margin did beat management&#39;s guidance by 600 bps.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2ee5e50577d5d2c801878ae3b1fe94\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"673\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>PLTR maintains a fortress balance sheet with $2.4 billion in net cash, and the company is still generating ample free cash flow.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2e5bab1f6e9a3264286330d0fa3c60a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"673\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><p>Looking forward, PLTR reaffirmed guidance for up to $1.902 billion in revenue and $386 million of adjusted operating income for the full year. The fourth quarter is expected to see up to $505 million in revenue, representing just 16.6% YOY growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecb90bac5752ace53c7408f6e127e744\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"597\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>2022 Q3 Presentation</span></p><h2>Is PLTR Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h2><p>At one point, PLTR was trading at price to sales multiples well in excess of 30x. Those days are now long gone, with the stock now trading at under 8x sales. That is before accounting for the net cash making up 16% of the market cap.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ee19324a1c3577a626b28c07cc9a55\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"197\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>I should note that on the conference call, management made no reference or reaffirmation of its previous guidance for $4.5 billion of revenue by 2025. Incidentally, management had previously revised its guidance for 30% revenue growth through 2025 to that $4.5 billion target. While disappointing, it is understandable considering the uncertain macro conditions. I can see PLTR sustaining 30% net margins over the long term. Assuming 25% growth and a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio (&#39;PEG ratio&#39;), I could see PLTR trading at 11.3x sales, representing a stock price of at least $10 per share. The upside is more pronounced when viewed upon longer time horizons, as I expect artificial intelligence to be a growth story that persists over the next decade and longer. The multiple expansion potential paired with the 20% to 30% annual growth can make PLTR a strong stock performer over the long term.</p><p>What are the key risks? For starters, PLTR still commands some premium relative to tech peers as there are many tech stocks with 20% growth profiles trading at 4x to 5x sales. PLTR has historically sustained a premium, largely due to the attractive secular story and cash flow generation. This tech crash, however, has shown that such characteristics are not guarantees of sustained premiums. Another risk is that of competition. The bullish thesis relies on PLTR&#39;s ability to sustain robust growth rates over the long term (otherwise, how does one justify paying such a big premium relative to peers?). But artificial intelligence is a very popular secular theme, one that has attracted numerous competitors, including from the likes of the tech titans Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). That risk combined with macro risk underscore the possibility that PLTR issues disappointing guidance for the next year - the stock is likely to remain volatile over the near term given the weak investor appetite for tech stocks. As discussed with subscribers to Best of Breed Growth Stocks, a wide basket of undervalued quality tech stocks may be a top strategy to take advantage of the tech stock crash. PLTR fits right into such a basket, offering high secular growth backed by positive cash flow generation and a reasonable valuation.</p><p><i>This article is written by Julian Lin for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Stocks Have Crashed: Buy Palantir?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Stocks Have Crashed: Buy Palantir?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-25 13:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://news.google.com/__i/rss/rd/articles/CBMiTmh0dHBzOi8vc2Vla2luZ2FscGhhLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlLzQ1NzIwMDctdGVjaC1zdG9ja3MtaGF2ZS1jcmFzaGVkLWJ1eS1wYWxhbnRpctIBAA?oc=5><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir was once a high-flying tech angel trading at unrealistically high valuations.The reasons for the bubble made sense, as the company is arguably a leader in artificial intelligence.With ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.google.com/__i/rss/rd/articles/CBMiTmh0dHBzOi8vc2Vla2luZ2FscGhhLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlLzQ1NzIwMDctdGVjaC1zdG9ja3MtaGF2ZS1jcmFzaGVkLWJ1eS1wYWxhbnRpctIBAA?oc=5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4547":"WSB热门概念"},"source_url":"https://news.google.com/__i/rss/rd/articles/CBMiTmh0dHBzOi8vc2Vla2luZ2FscGhhLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlLzQ1NzIwMDctdGVjaC1zdG9ja3MtaGF2ZS1jcmFzaGVkLWJ1eS1wYWxhbnRpctIBAA?oc=5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2306141704","content_text":"SummaryPalantir was once a high-flying tech angel trading at unrealistically high valuations.The reasons for the bubble made sense, as the company is arguably a leader in artificial intelligence.With the crash in tech stocks, the valuation has been reset to one de-void of hype.The company has a net cash balance sheet and is generating positive free cash flow, making it arguably one of the higher quality picks in the tech sector today.ArtemisDianaPalantir (NYSE:PLTR) once traded to the stratosphere as it was seen to be a top pick on the growth of artificial intelligence. The enthusiasm has faded, with the stock crashing alongside a broader tech crash. It appears that the company hasnot proven immune to macro-headwinds, with management seemingly pulling back long-term guidance. That said, the company retains ample net cash on its balance sheet and continues to generate robust free cash flows. At current prices, one can buy PLTR from a promising long-term outlook without paying up for the hype.PLTR Stock PricePLTR came public to little fanfare but soon after soared as it got caught up amidst the pandemic bubble. The stock has since given up its gains and then some, as it is now trading around its $7.25 direct listing price.Data by YChartsI last covered PLTR in October, where I rated the stock a buy as it was trading at compelling valuations in spite of macro headwinds. The stock has fallen some more since then, helping to improve the value proposition even further.PLTR Stock Key MetricsThe latest quarter saw PLTR deliver revenue growth of 21.9% to $477.88 million. That beat guidance of $475 million but reflected a meaningful deceleration from the 26% growth delivered in the second quarter and the greater than 30% growth rate that investors may be more accustomed to. PLTR saw strong 26% growth in its government business, as its trailing-twelve-month government business revenue exceeded $1 billion for the first time.2022 Q3 PresentationIn contrast, its enterprise revenues grew by only 17%. While the customer count continued to grow rapidly, customers often take quite some time to ramp up spending as it takes time to fully utilize the product for their personalized use cases.2022 Q3 PresentationWithin that commercial segment, US commercial revenues grew by a robust 53%. That was not enough to pull up overall commercial revenue growth because it still made up only 18% of overall revenue. On the conference call, management noted that its international commerce business was roughly flat YOY as it was negatively affected by both macro conditions as well as the strengthening dollar.2022 Q3 PresentationPLTR generated a strong 119% net dollar retention rate in the quarter, in line with second quarter results.2022 Q3 PresentationOn an overall basis, PLTR grew its customer base by 66% YOY. Over time, as these customers use the product more and more, I expect the strong current customer growth to eventually lead to future accelerated revenue growth.2022 Q3 PresentationPLTR continued to generate non-GAAP operating profits, though margins compressed from 30% in the prior year to 17% in the latest quarter. Part of that margin contraction was attributed to more employees returning to work in the office as travel-related expenses increased. That 17% operating margin did beat management's guidance by 600 bps.2022 Q3 PresentationPLTR maintains a fortress balance sheet with $2.4 billion in net cash, and the company is still generating ample free cash flow.2022 Q3 PresentationLooking forward, PLTR reaffirmed guidance for up to $1.902 billion in revenue and $386 million of adjusted operating income for the full year. The fourth quarter is expected to see up to $505 million in revenue, representing just 16.6% YOY growth.2022 Q3 PresentationIs PLTR Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?At one point, PLTR was trading at price to sales multiples well in excess of 30x. Those days are now long gone, with the stock now trading at under 8x sales. That is before accounting for the net cash making up 16% of the market cap.Seeking AlphaI should note that on the conference call, management made no reference or reaffirmation of its previous guidance for $4.5 billion of revenue by 2025. Incidentally, management had previously revised its guidance for 30% revenue growth through 2025 to that $4.5 billion target. While disappointing, it is understandable considering the uncertain macro conditions. I can see PLTR sustaining 30% net margins over the long term. Assuming 25% growth and a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio ('PEG ratio'), I could see PLTR trading at 11.3x sales, representing a stock price of at least $10 per share. The upside is more pronounced when viewed upon longer time horizons, as I expect artificial intelligence to be a growth story that persists over the next decade and longer. The multiple expansion potential paired with the 20% to 30% annual growth can make PLTR a strong stock performer over the long term.What are the key risks? For starters, PLTR still commands some premium relative to tech peers as there are many tech stocks with 20% growth profiles trading at 4x to 5x sales. PLTR has historically sustained a premium, largely due to the attractive secular story and cash flow generation. This tech crash, however, has shown that such characteristics are not guarantees of sustained premiums. Another risk is that of competition. The bullish thesis relies on PLTR's ability to sustain robust growth rates over the long term (otherwise, how does one justify paying such a big premium relative to peers?). But artificial intelligence is a very popular secular theme, one that has attracted numerous competitors, including from the likes of the tech titans Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). That risk combined with macro risk underscore the possibility that PLTR issues disappointing guidance for the next year - the stock is likely to remain volatile over the near term given the weak investor appetite for tech stocks. As discussed with subscribers to Best of Breed Growth Stocks, a wide basket of undervalued quality tech stocks may be a top strategy to take advantage of the tech stock crash. PLTR fits right into such a basket, offering high secular growth backed by positive cash flow generation and a reasonable valuation.This article is written by Julian Lin for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951284141,"gmtCreate":1673491912183,"gmtModify":1676538845671,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$&nbsp;</a>🫤🫤🫤","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$&nbsp;</a>🫤🫤🫤","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ 🫤🫤🫤","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/75841ce29d38f7aae2b7b8034aaac2fc","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951284141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953634028,"gmtCreate":1673232475964,"gmtModify":1676538802994,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ye","listText":"Ye","text":"Ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953634028","repostId":"1198905382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198905382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673229758,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198905382?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-09 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198905382","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Wall Street analysts are expecting 2023 to be a good year for Nio shares. Let's break down one Nio b","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street analysts are expecting 2023 to be a good year for Nio shares. Let&#39;s break down one Nio bull&#39;s forecast for the Chinese electric vehicle maker.</p><p>The majority of analysts believe that buying <b>Nio</b> (<b>NIO</b>) shares at current price levels is a good idea. Of 13 analysts who recently rated the stock, only four have remained neutral, while the rest are all long on the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker.</p><p>In this article, we&#39;ll highlight the recent ratings report from <b>Morgan Stanley</b> analyst Tim Hsiao. Hsiao recently updated his position on Nio&#39;s stock, predicting an upside of nearly 50% for 2023.</p><p>How might this EV stock see such a sizable gain this year? And why did Hsiao cut his price target on Nio, despite his bullish forecast?</p><p>Let&#39;s dive in.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e02577e21bbe5050c06e380867eed17\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: How NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst Report</span></p><h2>Why Is Morgan Stanley Bullish on Nio?</h2><p>Morgan Stanley analysts have been bullish on Nio&#39;s stock for a few key reasons, including:</p><ul><li>Nio is a growth stock with long-term value being unwrapped amid recent operational progress.</li></ul><ul><li>The company has &#34;deep-enough pockets&#34; to finance its growth ambitions, coupled with a robust net cash position — Nio ended 2022 with about $6.2 billion in cash.</li></ul><ul><li>Nio has what it needs to meet its delivery estimates despite supply-chain issues and also sees next-generation power replenishment technology as key to its future growth.</li></ul><p>Why Hsiao Lowered His Price Target on Nio</p><p>Analyst Tim Hsiao&#39;s earlier bullish forecasts for Nio did not pan out. Last year, shares of the EV company plummeted nearly 70% thanks to a series of macro headwinds.</p><p>The previous time the Morgan Stanley analyst set a price target on the stock was after the company reported second-quarter earnings results in September 2022. At the time, Hsiao forecast a share price of $31 for Nio.</p><p>In Hsiao&#39;s latest rating, he maintained his &#34;overweight&#34; recommendation on the stock but cut his price target considerably — from $31 to $16.10 per share.</p><p>According to Hsiao, 2023 will be another eventful year for the Chinese electric vehicle maker. The company has already started it out with a bang, reporting that it had beaten its target of a 50% year-over-year increase in deliveries. In December 2022, the company delivered 15,815 vehicles.</p><p>At its &#34;2022 Nio Day&#34; event the company announced new models such as the ES8 and EC7 SUVs, as well as innovations in the area of power replenishment technology.</p><p>But Hsiao believes that we won&#39;t immediately see the effects of these initiatives and that instead, Nio&#39;s stock will be influenced mainly by volume delivery during the &#34;low season.&#34;</p><h2>Our Take</h2><p>2022 was a tough year for electric vehicle makers, due largely to supply-chain challenges. These headwinds escalated costs and impacted new vehicle deliveries.</p><p>The stock of Nio peer<b>Tesla</b> (<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Free Report plunged around 69%, while other EV companies saw even steeper drops. <b>Rivian</b> (<b>RIVN</b>) and <b>Lucid</b> (<b>LCID</b>) tumbled around 82% and 83%, respectively, in 2022.</p><p>The supply-chain challenges should persist throughout 2023. So movements in EV stocks will depend on how companies conduct their operations.</p><p>Nio&#39;s deliveries at the end of 2022 were a good indication of the company&#39;s current supply capacity.</p><p>And because Nio&#39;s stock climbed double digits after the release of the delivery results, we can assume that the market is pleased with what lies ahead in a less problematic 2023.</p><p>However, at least in the short term, high interest rates should continue to impact growth stocks like Nio. In addition, Nio is a Chinese stock, which means it runs the risk of regulatory pressures and even delisting from the New York Stock Exchange.</p><p>Nio has a bumpy road ahead of it, and even though the company offers long-term value, Hsiao&#39;s short-term upside forecast of nearly 50% looks pretty unlikely.</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-09 10:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/reddit-trends/how-nio-stock-could-jump-49-this-year-analyst-report><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street analysts are expecting 2023 to be a good year for Nio shares. Let's break down one Nio bull's forecast for the Chinese electric vehicle maker.The majority of analysts believe that buying ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/reddit-trends/how-nio-stock-could-jump-49-this-year-analyst-report\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/reddit-trends/how-nio-stock-could-jump-49-this-year-analyst-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198905382","content_text":"Wall Street analysts are expecting 2023 to be a good year for Nio shares. Let's break down one Nio bull's forecast for the Chinese electric vehicle maker.The majority of analysts believe that buying Nio (NIO) shares at current price levels is a good idea. Of 13 analysts who recently rated the stock, only four have remained neutral, while the rest are all long on the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker.In this article, we'll highlight the recent ratings report from Morgan Stanley analyst Tim Hsiao. Hsiao recently updated his position on Nio's stock, predicting an upside of nearly 50% for 2023.How might this EV stock see such a sizable gain this year? And why did Hsiao cut his price target on Nio, despite his bullish forecast?Let's dive in.Figure 1: How NIO Stock Could Jump 49% This Year: Analyst ReportWhy Is Morgan Stanley Bullish on Nio?Morgan Stanley analysts have been bullish on Nio's stock for a few key reasons, including:Nio is a growth stock with long-term value being unwrapped amid recent operational progress.The company has \"deep-enough pockets\" to finance its growth ambitions, coupled with a robust net cash position — Nio ended 2022 with about $6.2 billion in cash.Nio has what it needs to meet its delivery estimates despite supply-chain issues and also sees next-generation power replenishment technology as key to its future growth.Why Hsiao Lowered His Price Target on NioAnalyst Tim Hsiao's earlier bullish forecasts for Nio did not pan out. Last year, shares of the EV company plummeted nearly 70% thanks to a series of macro headwinds.The previous time the Morgan Stanley analyst set a price target on the stock was after the company reported second-quarter earnings results in September 2022. At the time, Hsiao forecast a share price of $31 for Nio.In Hsiao's latest rating, he maintained his \"overweight\" recommendation on the stock but cut his price target considerably — from $31 to $16.10 per share.According to Hsiao, 2023 will be another eventful year for the Chinese electric vehicle maker. The company has already started it out with a bang, reporting that it had beaten its target of a 50% year-over-year increase in deliveries. In December 2022, the company delivered 15,815 vehicles.At its \"2022 Nio Day\" event the company announced new models such as the ES8 and EC7 SUVs, as well as innovations in the area of power replenishment technology.But Hsiao believes that we won't immediately see the effects of these initiatives and that instead, Nio's stock will be influenced mainly by volume delivery during the \"low season.\"Our Take2022 was a tough year for electric vehicle makers, due largely to supply-chain challenges. These headwinds escalated costs and impacted new vehicle deliveries.The stock of Nio peerTesla (TSLA) -Get Free Report plunged around 69%, while other EV companies saw even steeper drops. Rivian (RIVN) and Lucid (LCID) tumbled around 82% and 83%, respectively, in 2022.The supply-chain challenges should persist throughout 2023. So movements in EV stocks will depend on how companies conduct their operations.Nio's deliveries at the end of 2022 were a good indication of the company's current supply capacity.And because Nio's stock climbed double digits after the release of the delivery results, we can assume that the market is pleased with what lies ahead in a less problematic 2023.However, at least in the short term, high interest rates should continue to impact growth stocks like Nio. In addition, Nio is a Chinese stock, which means it runs the risk of regulatory pressures and even delisting from the New York Stock Exchange.Nio has a bumpy road ahead of it, and even though the company offers long-term value, Hsiao's short-term upside forecast of nearly 50% looks pretty unlikely.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959199502,"gmtCreate":1672923567506,"gmtModify":1676538758292,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ye","listText":"Ye","text":"Ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959199502","repostId":"1159350887","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159350887","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672921004,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159350887?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-05 20:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian: The Slim 2022 Production Miss Was A Surprise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159350887","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryRivian missed its 2022 production target of 25,000 vehicles by a smidge.The miss was largely ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Rivian missed its 2022 production target of 25,000 vehicles by a smidge.</li><li>The miss was largely expected as we had previously highlighted that ramping up the much-needed second shift, which had only come online at the end of Q3, would be tough.</li><li>But meaningful progress in improving production run-rates through 2022 underscores increasing efficiency and easing supply chain bottlenecks that had previously been a primary culprit for deteriorating investors&#39; confidence in Rivian.</li></ul><p>Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) stock opened the year with steep declines of as much as 10% before paring losses to 6% at close (Jan. 3), as investors mull risks of demand destruction across the broader auto sector – including the more resilient EV industry based on market leaderTesla’s(TSLA) consecutive delivery miss – ahead of the looming economic downturn. But despite underperforming its annual production guidance, which we had largely expected, Rivian’s shares remained steady and even etched out gains in pre-market trading Wednesday (Jan. 4).</p><p>Rivian produced 10,020 vehicles in the fourth quarter, up 36% from the 7,363 vehicles produced during the third quarter. This brought full year production volumes to 24,337 vehicles, coming in just under the 25,000 it had guided. The stock’s pre-market trading resilience following reports of the miss not only aligns with stabilizing market trends following the year-opening risk-off sentiment, but also suggests investors might have already expected it. Given Rivian’s second shift on the production floor had only started near the end of the third quarter, it would have had to ramp up immediately to double the production run-rate and achieve the 25,000-vehicle annual production target by year-end at the time, which was expected to be a tough feat.</p><p>Having produced 10,020 vehicles in the fourth quarter, Rivian’s manufacturing line had ramped up its average weekly production run-rate to about 763 vehicles, up from about 560 vehicles (including consideration of weekends and holidays for comparison purposes) in the third quarter. The actual end-of-period production run-rate likely exceeds 763 vehicles, given consideration of continued ramp-up of its added shift.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfd9d43ebd056d07b8056a6b5a8c9c88\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Rivian 2022 Productions, Delivery, and Average Weekly Output Run-Rate(Author, with data from rivian.com/newsroom)</p><p>The improvements turn a new page for Rivian entering into the new year. It also corroborated industry observations for easing supply constraints, which was a primary bottleneck thwarting Rivian’s ramp-up progress considering earlier start of production delays in late 2021, as well as a tough decision earlier in 2022 to “cut its planned production in half in 2022 to 25,000 vehicles.&#34; But the positive ramp up progress made on production of its R1T pick-up trucks and R1S SUVs, alongside its electric commercial rigs in 2H22 salvages some of the previously lost investors’ confidence in the stock, in our view. Specifically, production ramp-up remains a key focus area for investors, especially as incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) come into play in 2023, and reasonable progress on its added production shift that had only come online during late stages of the third quarter continues to check the box.</p><p>Ramping up production will not only help Rivian convert its order backlog – which totaled about 100,000 vehicles (114,000 net pre-orders on R1 vehicles as of Nov. 7, less ~13,200 delivered vehicles from 4Q21 to 3Q22) during the third quarter, and likely grew in the fourth quarter considering resilient U.S. auto sales still in 2022 (more below) – into revenues, but also allow accelerated monetization flow-through on orders placed after itsprice hikeimplemented in early 2022, as well as the anticipated reinforcement of continued demand ahead of IRA incentives that came into effect Jan. 1, 2023. For now, delivery wait times for the R1T and R1S remain extended on new orders to at least late 2023 based on Rivian’s latest update on its reservation site:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ac6172e1b3e2fd0b4ab2819227679dd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Rivian Order Wait Time (Jan 2023)(rivian.com)</p><p>While looming recession risks remain a primary overhang on the broader auto sector, with fears spilling over to the more resilient EV segment as of late following Tesla’s ballooning inventory build-up, Americans are likely still in the market for a new rig. Recent research estimates that about4 million to 7 millionAmericans were either priced out or still-in-waiting when it comes to buying a car fit for their preferences. And with inventories coming back after two years of chip shortages and broader supply chain constraints show signs of structural easing, many are incentivized to return to auto show rooms this year.</p><p>But mass market and premium ($100,000-plus) segments are likely to prove more resilient ahead of the looming downturn, since affluent buyers remain relatively less sensitive to tightening financial conditions, while the majority of the 4 million to 7 million prospective buyers are likely in the market for cheaper options hence putting off on pulling the trigger on a new car over the past two years. Meanwhile, mid-range options face a trickier near-term outlook, as the typical middle-class household remains most recession-prone – more thanthree-quartersof American middle-class households have started to tighten their belts due to the weight of persistent inflation and rising interest rates. This is further corroborated by recent declines in dealership sticker prices, which not too long ago had benefited from supply shortages over the past two years. MSRP declines in the segment averaged$2,000in December, and will likely fall further in the months ahead, stripping mid-range auto dealerships of their “price maker” status as near-term demand wanes due to surging interest rates on auto loans (financing remains the top payment option for new car purchases, representing close to 10% of cumulative consumer debt among Americans).</p><p>And where does Rivian fit in all of this? Admittedly, priced as a mid-range to semi-premium offering, the R1 series’ order backlog might become increasingly prone to deceleration within the near term as their target consumers will likely punt off big ticket purchases until mounting macroeconomic uncertainties clear up. Although reservations today only require a $1,000 deposit that&#39;s fully refundable and does not require commitment until order configuration and confirmation, which likely will not come until late 2023 or early 2024, car purchases – especially lifestyle-specific ones like Rivian’s – are likely last on the average middle-class consumer’s mind. Even the $7,500 purchase incentive under the IRA, which Rivian will be eligible for, is unlikely to “meaningfully move the needle” on stimulating acceleration in retail demand within the near-term due to stiffening macroeconomic headwinds.</p><p>However, we believe the company remains well-positioned for resilient demand from fleet buyers – not so much from operators of commercial construction fleets, but rather rental fleets when it comes to the R1 series. As discussed in one of ourearlier coverageson the Rivian stock, the R1T pick-up trucks are lifestyle vehicles built to “keep the world adventurous forever,&#34; which effectively writes off much of the opportunities stemming fromheavy-duty workcategories. Yet, the R1 series make ideal options for car rental and ride-share programs and companies looking to diversify their fleets as EV adoption gains momentum, especially with extension of the $7,500 tax break under the IRA for said purchases. For instance, Hertz (HTZ) has made a name for itself in markets last year after associating the brand with EV monikers likeTeslaandPolestar(PSNY), underscoring further commitment from the rental car industry toaboard the transition to electric. Meanwhile, EV subscription start-upAutonomyalso is chiming in on the build-out of an electric fleet economy for the consumer market, which would entail further TAM expansion in the industry with added support under the IRA, and reinforce Rivian’s longer-term growth opportunities. Autonomy has already ordered 1,000 Rivian vehicles for its platform, a deal that is estimated to ring in $72.1 million for the EV start-up.</p><p>However, the timeline for Rivian deliveries to Autonomy remain uncertain and undisclosed, which circles back to our foregoing discussion that ramping up production remains a key investor focus area. Specifically, whether Rivian can capitalize on said growth opportunities continues to hinge on its ability in ramping up productions to meet demand and gain share in the burgeoning industry.</p><p>With its valuation coming back closer in line with the broader industry after rising interest rates and recurring execution mishaps within Rivian and across EV upstarts dulled the company’s “record-breaking IPO” premium from less than two years ago, the stock warrants another glance – perhaps later in the year when there is greater clarity on mounting macroeconomic uncertainties spanning protracted supply chain disruptions, persistent inflation, looming recession, and rising interest rates. For now, while we applaud Rivian on its consistent operating progress in the past year, its shares’ performance will likely remain highly vulnerable to further declines in tandem with the broader market given the combination of anticipated near-term growth risks across the auto industry, as well as its unprofitable and long-duration nature that continue to bode unfavorably under the currently risk-off market climate.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian: The Slim 2022 Production Miss Was A Surprise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian: The Slim 2022 Production Miss Was A Surprise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-05 20:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567808-rivian-slim-2022-production-miss-surprise><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRivian missed its 2022 production target of 25,000 vehicles by a smidge.The miss was largely expected as we had previously highlighted that ramping up the much-needed second shift, which had ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567808-rivian-slim-2022-production-miss-surprise\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567808-rivian-slim-2022-production-miss-surprise","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159350887","content_text":"SummaryRivian missed its 2022 production target of 25,000 vehicles by a smidge.The miss was largely expected as we had previously highlighted that ramping up the much-needed second shift, which had only come online at the end of Q3, would be tough.But meaningful progress in improving production run-rates through 2022 underscores increasing efficiency and easing supply chain bottlenecks that had previously been a primary culprit for deteriorating investors' confidence in Rivian.Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) stock opened the year with steep declines of as much as 10% before paring losses to 6% at close (Jan. 3), as investors mull risks of demand destruction across the broader auto sector – including the more resilient EV industry based on market leaderTesla’s(TSLA) consecutive delivery miss – ahead of the looming economic downturn. But despite underperforming its annual production guidance, which we had largely expected, Rivian’s shares remained steady and even etched out gains in pre-market trading Wednesday (Jan. 4).Rivian produced 10,020 vehicles in the fourth quarter, up 36% from the 7,363 vehicles produced during the third quarter. This brought full year production volumes to 24,337 vehicles, coming in just under the 25,000 it had guided. The stock’s pre-market trading resilience following reports of the miss not only aligns with stabilizing market trends following the year-opening risk-off sentiment, but also suggests investors might have already expected it. Given Rivian’s second shift on the production floor had only started near the end of the third quarter, it would have had to ramp up immediately to double the production run-rate and achieve the 25,000-vehicle annual production target by year-end at the time, which was expected to be a tough feat.Having produced 10,020 vehicles in the fourth quarter, Rivian’s manufacturing line had ramped up its average weekly production run-rate to about 763 vehicles, up from about 560 vehicles (including consideration of weekends and holidays for comparison purposes) in the third quarter. The actual end-of-period production run-rate likely exceeds 763 vehicles, given consideration of continued ramp-up of its added shift.Rivian 2022 Productions, Delivery, and Average Weekly Output Run-Rate(Author, with data from rivian.com/newsroom)The improvements turn a new page for Rivian entering into the new year. It also corroborated industry observations for easing supply constraints, which was a primary bottleneck thwarting Rivian’s ramp-up progress considering earlier start of production delays in late 2021, as well as a tough decision earlier in 2022 to “cut its planned production in half in 2022 to 25,000 vehicles.\" But the positive ramp up progress made on production of its R1T pick-up trucks and R1S SUVs, alongside its electric commercial rigs in 2H22 salvages some of the previously lost investors’ confidence in the stock, in our view. Specifically, production ramp-up remains a key focus area for investors, especially as incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) come into play in 2023, and reasonable progress on its added production shift that had only come online during late stages of the third quarter continues to check the box.Ramping up production will not only help Rivian convert its order backlog – which totaled about 100,000 vehicles (114,000 net pre-orders on R1 vehicles as of Nov. 7, less ~13,200 delivered vehicles from 4Q21 to 3Q22) during the third quarter, and likely grew in the fourth quarter considering resilient U.S. auto sales still in 2022 (more below) – into revenues, but also allow accelerated monetization flow-through on orders placed after itsprice hikeimplemented in early 2022, as well as the anticipated reinforcement of continued demand ahead of IRA incentives that came into effect Jan. 1, 2023. For now, delivery wait times for the R1T and R1S remain extended on new orders to at least late 2023 based on Rivian’s latest update on its reservation site:Rivian Order Wait Time (Jan 2023)(rivian.com)While looming recession risks remain a primary overhang on the broader auto sector, with fears spilling over to the more resilient EV segment as of late following Tesla’s ballooning inventory build-up, Americans are likely still in the market for a new rig. Recent research estimates that about4 million to 7 millionAmericans were either priced out or still-in-waiting when it comes to buying a car fit for their preferences. And with inventories coming back after two years of chip shortages and broader supply chain constraints show signs of structural easing, many are incentivized to return to auto show rooms this year.But mass market and premium ($100,000-plus) segments are likely to prove more resilient ahead of the looming downturn, since affluent buyers remain relatively less sensitive to tightening financial conditions, while the majority of the 4 million to 7 million prospective buyers are likely in the market for cheaper options hence putting off on pulling the trigger on a new car over the past two years. Meanwhile, mid-range options face a trickier near-term outlook, as the typical middle-class household remains most recession-prone – more thanthree-quartersof American middle-class households have started to tighten their belts due to the weight of persistent inflation and rising interest rates. This is further corroborated by recent declines in dealership sticker prices, which not too long ago had benefited from supply shortages over the past two years. MSRP declines in the segment averaged$2,000in December, and will likely fall further in the months ahead, stripping mid-range auto dealerships of their “price maker” status as near-term demand wanes due to surging interest rates on auto loans (financing remains the top payment option for new car purchases, representing close to 10% of cumulative consumer debt among Americans).And where does Rivian fit in all of this? Admittedly, priced as a mid-range to semi-premium offering, the R1 series’ order backlog might become increasingly prone to deceleration within the near term as their target consumers will likely punt off big ticket purchases until mounting macroeconomic uncertainties clear up. Although reservations today only require a $1,000 deposit that's fully refundable and does not require commitment until order configuration and confirmation, which likely will not come until late 2023 or early 2024, car purchases – especially lifestyle-specific ones like Rivian’s – are likely last on the average middle-class consumer’s mind. Even the $7,500 purchase incentive under the IRA, which Rivian will be eligible for, is unlikely to “meaningfully move the needle” on stimulating acceleration in retail demand within the near-term due to stiffening macroeconomic headwinds.However, we believe the company remains well-positioned for resilient demand from fleet buyers – not so much from operators of commercial construction fleets, but rather rental fleets when it comes to the R1 series. As discussed in one of ourearlier coverageson the Rivian stock, the R1T pick-up trucks are lifestyle vehicles built to “keep the world adventurous forever,\" which effectively writes off much of the opportunities stemming fromheavy-duty workcategories. Yet, the R1 series make ideal options for car rental and ride-share programs and companies looking to diversify their fleets as EV adoption gains momentum, especially with extension of the $7,500 tax break under the IRA for said purchases. For instance, Hertz (HTZ) has made a name for itself in markets last year after associating the brand with EV monikers likeTeslaandPolestar(PSNY), underscoring further commitment from the rental car industry toaboard the transition to electric. Meanwhile, EV subscription start-upAutonomyalso is chiming in on the build-out of an electric fleet economy for the consumer market, which would entail further TAM expansion in the industry with added support under the IRA, and reinforce Rivian’s longer-term growth opportunities. Autonomy has already ordered 1,000 Rivian vehicles for its platform, a deal that is estimated to ring in $72.1 million for the EV start-up.However, the timeline for Rivian deliveries to Autonomy remain uncertain and undisclosed, which circles back to our foregoing discussion that ramping up production remains a key investor focus area. Specifically, whether Rivian can capitalize on said growth opportunities continues to hinge on its ability in ramping up productions to meet demand and gain share in the burgeoning industry.With its valuation coming back closer in line with the broader industry after rising interest rates and recurring execution mishaps within Rivian and across EV upstarts dulled the company’s “record-breaking IPO” premium from less than two years ago, the stock warrants another glance – perhaps later in the year when there is greater clarity on mounting macroeconomic uncertainties spanning protracted supply chain disruptions, persistent inflation, looming recession, and rising interest rates. For now, while we applaud Rivian on its consistent operating progress in the past year, its shares’ performance will likely remain highly vulnerable to further declines in tandem with the broader market given the combination of anticipated near-term growth risks across the auto industry, as well as its unprofitable and long-duration nature that continue to bode unfavorably under the currently risk-off market climate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950448594,"gmtCreate":1672821744518,"gmtModify":1676538742537,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ye&nbsp;","listText":"Ye&nbsp;","text":"Ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950448594","repostId":"1152132050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152132050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672820379,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152132050?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-04 16:19","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Will be a Show Me Asset in 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152132050","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsOnce the revelation of the global investment markets in 2021, Bitcoin suffered a cat","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsOnce the revelation of the global investment markets in 2021, Bitcoin suffered a catastrophic decline in 2022. While some proponents may hold out hope for a recovery in the new year, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/bitcoin-will-be-show-me-asset-in-2023\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Will be a Show Me Asset in 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Will be a Show Me Asset in 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-04 16:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/bitcoin-will-be-show-me-asset-in-2023><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsOnce the revelation of the global investment markets in 2021, Bitcoin suffered a catastrophic decline in 2022. While some proponents may hold out hope for a recovery in the new year, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/bitcoin-will-be-show-me-asset-in-2023\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/bitcoin-will-be-show-me-asset-in-2023","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152132050","content_text":"Story HighlightsOnce the revelation of the global investment markets in 2021, Bitcoin suffered a catastrophic decline in 2022. While some proponents may hold out hope for a recovery in the new year, it’s important to realize that basic economic principles will likely determine BTC’s trajectory.With Bitcoin (BTC-USD) finally achieving the mainstream awareness that its longtime supporters craved, it’s only natural that its most dedicated adherents have remained unphased at BTC’s decline in 2022. Since cryptocurrencies carry a reputation for brutal volatility, Bitcoin is simply doing Bitcoin things. However, prospective investors will need to exercise greater sophistication in their analyses if they wish to navigate the turmoil successfully. Primarily, Bitcoin will become a so-called “show me” asset.No longer can investors rely on memes and the power of simply believing that BTC (and other cryptos) will climb. Admittedly, they got away with such naïve reasonings in 2021 precisely because the underlying circumstances (i.e., inflation) bolstered risk-on assets. Still, with the Federal Reserveswitching from an accommodative policy to a hawkish one, the paradigm shifted dramatically.Currently, the central bank aims to unwind prior monetary excesses. Arguably, the COVID-19 pandemic forced federal institutions to take decisive action, flooding the system with liquidity to prevent an implosion. However, with the economy largely stabilizing from the global health crisis, a wild expansion of the money supply was no longer necessary.Today, holding onto dollars may represent a far more sensible approach than acquiring Bitcoin or any other crypto. That’s because the Fed seeks to have fewer dollars chasing after more goods. Besides, with greenbacks enjoying the backing of the U.S. government as opposed to speculation based on thegreater fool theory, BTC suffers from a credibility headwind.Bitcoin Must Prove Its IndependenceSince its invention, Bitcoin has attracted everyone, from market speculators to libertarian philosophers, because of its vanguard approach. Rather than forwarding a new innovation within the same tired financial ecosystem, cryptos – proponents argue – represent an entirely new ecosystem. With this supposed independence, virtual currencies run outside the clutches of existing financial and monetary networks.In some ways, this narrative rings true. When people conduct banking transactions, the process runs through multiple layers of security and verification protocols. Responsible for such protocols are centralized financial institutions. With Bitcoin (and other cryptos), a decentralized network of public verifiers conducts the aforementioned transactional mechanisms.In that sense, BTC certainly ranks as independent from the mainstream financial system. Stated differently, if a major banking institution fails, it probably won’t impact Bitcoin’s blockchain architecture. However, transactional independence represents a different framework than the independence of valuation. As the events of last year confirmed, mainstream economic headwinds undoubtedly affect Bitcoin and the virtual currency complex.When juxtaposing BTC’s price action and the real M2 money stock, the two metrics share a statistically strong, direct correlation. As the money supply increases (inflationary), Bitcoin does as well, and when the money supply decreases (deflationary), the crypto coin follows suit. Therefore, the Bitcoin community doesn’t ultimately adjudicate the underlying asset’s trajectory – the Fed does.Now, it could be that Bitcoin disassociates from the Fed’s monetary policy as its directional arbiter. Nevertheless, such a dissociation must be proven. Again, investors should let the crypto market show that it’s serious about being a truly independent ecosystem. Otherwise, more hot air could lead to more losses.A Shocking Credibility Crisis May Impose Lingering EffectsAnyone following Bitcoin to any extent will surely be aware ofFTX and its subsequent implosion. Once praised as a genius, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried now faces the scorn of the public and serious legal troubles. Despite the obvious reputational damage, some crypto advocates may view this crisis as a long-term positive.As TipRanks contributor Reuben Jackson stated, FTX and other embarrassing failures allowed the blockchain ecosystem to flush out toxicities. Jackson wrote recently, “the downfall of FTX and Sam Bankman-Fried enabled Binance to position itself at the center of the crypto ecosystem.”It’s a fair point. However, a main objection to this notion is that the FTX bankruptcy scared off would-be speculators from cryptos altogether. Let’s face reality. FTX wasn’t the first blockchain-related failure, and it might not be the last. Unfortunately, then, the concept of investors losing everything they had because of one person’s recklessness may be a stain too deep to ignore.As well, with Bitcoin and similar assets rising on the greater fool theory, a cataclysmic scare like the FTX bankruptcy will lead to fewer fools buying cryptos. You might say that FTX provided a much-needed wake-up call. Unfortunately, such a wake-up call probably means cryptos will be deflated for quite some time.Bitcoin Will Do One of Two ThingsAt the end of the day, Bitcoin will do one of two things: it will prove worthy of speculation of your hard-earned dollars, or it will not. As an agnostic investor, you must accept whatever answer the market provides and respond accordingly – no more, no less.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950391304,"gmtCreate":1672666037308,"gmtModify":1676538717138,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ye","listText":"Ye","text":"Ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950391304","repostId":"1105874821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927654660,"gmtCreate":1672483782551,"gmtModify":1676538696737,"author":{"id":"3580072870029753","authorId":"3580072870029753","name":"YauDK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e00c10df4000c04392220903422d15f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580072870029753","authorIdStr":"3580072870029753"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ye","listText":"Ye","text":"Ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927654660","repostId":"1182042433","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}