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Lancelotz

    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·11-11
      CoreWeave literally just said in their Q3 2025 earnings call (Nov 10) that they’re recontracting older GPUs like A100s for new inference workloads. In plain English - the “old” hardware is still making money. So if Burry’s out there saying hyperscalers are understating depreciation, he probably hasn’t read that call yet. The stuff he thinks is “depreciating” is actually getting rented out again. He should be panicking for the opposite reason , these assets are lasting longer than anyone expected.

      Michael Burry Warns of $176 Billion Depreciation Understatement by Tech Giants

      Michael Burry, the investor known for predicting the 2008 housing crisis, has raised concerns about major tech companies potentially understating depreciation by extending the useful life of...
      Michael Burry Warns of $176 Billion Depreciation Understatement by Tech Giants
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·11-05
      Burry’s short positions on PLTR and NVDA (via puts) were taken sometime last quarter based on his latest 13F as of September 30, 2025. Depending on when he entered, those trades are almost certainly deep underwater today. Both stocks are up roughly 10 to 15 percent since the end of Q3, and theta decay isn’t doing him any favors. He has made many short calls in the past. Some were legendary, but plenty didn’t work out. You be the judge. A lot of people like to compare the current AI boom to the dot-com bubble. I keep saying they’re not the same. Back in 2000, when the dot-com crash happened, very few people were actually buying things online. The market was full of brand-new companies with no revenue and no real business model. Investors were throwing money at anything with “.com” in the na
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·11-04
      Burry’s short positions on PLTR and NVDA (via put options) were established sometime last quarter, based on his latest 13F filing as of September 30, 2025.  Depending on when he entered those trades, they’re likely deep underwater now, especially with both stocks up 10-15% since the end of Q3, not to mention theta decay eating away at the options’ value.   Burry’s made plenty of short bets in the past, but many haven’t played out in his favor. You be the judge.

      Michael Burry Challenges the AI Trade with Big Short Bets on Nvidia and Palantir

      Michael Burry, hedge fund manager of “The Big Short” fame, is calling the top in two of the stock market’s favorite plays — and somewhat contradicting himself in the process.
      Michael Burry Challenges the AI Trade with Big Short Bets on Nvidia and Palantir
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·10-06
      There is no AI bubble. Bubble means over valuation without people using or paying for the service. Most AI compute are in high demand - meaning real companies or people are paying for the service. You can listen to hyscalers earnings call and you know demand far exceed supply now. Give it another 18 months perhaps to re-look at this "bubble". 

      How Much Longer Can the AI Bubble Last? Inside Wall Street's Great Debate

      The fun parts about blowing a bubble are seeing how big it can get -- and how long it takes to pop. The same appears to be true for investors witnessing tech stocks' increasingly stretched valuations, thanks to the artificial-intelligence revolution.The market knows the AI bubble has to burst eventually, but the question is how much longer it can inflate before the chewing gum splatters on traders' faces. Timing exactly when a bubble will burst, however, is never easy.Nvidia, the world's most valuable company, now has a market value of $4.5 trillion. Meanwhile, Sam Altman's OpenAI recently raised a round of financing that values the ChatGPT creator at $500 billion, making it the world's most valuable private company, topping Elon Musk's SpaceX.The Technology Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund -- which owns Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, and Palantir as its top five holdings -- now trades about 28 times next year's earnings estimates. That's up from around 21 times back in lat
      How Much Longer Can the AI Bubble Last? Inside Wall Street's Great Debate
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·10-03
      Interesting analysis. Amazon’s use of first-party shopping data for targeted advertising is exactly the kind of practice regulators in the U.S. and Europe are scrutinizing. I'm sure Googe and meta have their fair share of anti trust lawsuit to face 

      Amazon's "Crown Jewel" Is This Business That Doesn't Get Nearly Enough Attention

      Amazon's highly profitable ad division is the key to funding the company's future growth, according to a Needham analyst.Amazon.com Inc. is renowned for its retail and cloud-computing divisions, but...
      Amazon's "Crown Jewel" Is This Business That Doesn't Get Nearly Enough Attention
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·09-09
      $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ took a quarter profit at $48. Should I take another quarter profit?
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·08-09
      $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ hidden GeM in AI trade 
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·05-11
      a “total reset” after one meeting in Switzerland. That’s all it takes, right? A quick sit-down and suddenly decades of complex U.S.-China relations are magically smoothed over. “Much agreed to,” he says—no details, no explanations, just big, shiny words and lots of enthusiasm. Classic. It’s almost impressive how every meeting he has somehow turns into the greatest breakthrough in history. 

      Trump Says US and China Negotiated "Total Reset" in Geneva Talks

      U.S. President Donald Trump hailed talks with China in Switzerland on Saturday, saying the two sides had negotiated "a total reset ... in a friendly, but constructive, manner.""A very good meeting today with China, in Switzerland. Many things discussed, much agreed to," Trump posted on his Truth Social platform, adding: "We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., an opening up of China to American business. GREAT PROGRESS MADE!!!
      Trump Says US and China Negotiated "Total Reset" in Geneva Talks
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·05-03
      What if WP won the majority vote and become the gahmen? Is that a good outcome ?
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    • LancelotzLancelotz
      ·04-09
      One analyst article will only lift the stock temporarily. Global uncertainties will drag down the market for the next few months. 

      Tesla's Troubles Are Overblown, Analyst Says. This Is Why The Stock Could Rebound.

      Tesla's recent stock pullback and sales declines, while significant, are overblown, according to Benchmark analyst Mickey Legg. Tesla Inc. has had a tough few months, with Chief Executive Elon Musk at the center of a political maelstrom and the EV giant facing declining sales and intensifying competition, particularly in China, its second-largest market."We believe the recent stock pullback and sales declines, while significant, are overblown considering the near-term issues impacting the company and the scope of opportunities around the corner," Benchmark analyst Mickey Legg wrote in a note released Wednesday. "After appreciating over 90% to a high of $488 after the Presidential election, the stock has pulled back to sub-$300 levels.". Tesla shares have fallen 45.1% in 2025 amid the ongoing backlash against Musk over his key role in the Trump administration's controversial Department of Government Efficiency. Musk's leadership position in the so-called DOGE has seen the company's sto
      Tesla's Troubles Are Overblown, Analyst Says. This Is Why The Stock Could Rebound.
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