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zhangming

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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2023-12-13
  Can't stop trading Options? You may be addicted Addiction is the inability to stop consuming a chemical or pursuing an activity despite causing harm. Very much the same happens to people who trade. Can we define trading addiction as a crossing a line between being passionate about investing and losing the ability to stop trading. The problem focuses on the brain and understanding how its reward systems can train you to trade compulsively and dangerously.” Here are some signs of addiction You spend far too much of your free time trading. You are trading stocks at work (and it isn’t your job) The “high” of trying to find the next “moonshot” is the focus of attention. You have feelings for
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2023-10-25
  Good luck
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2022-12-07
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2022-11-09
  .
  Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
  SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales
  Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2022-05-13
  Good luck
  Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Jump Nearly 2%; Tesla Rallies 5.7%
  U.S. stock index futures rebounded on Friday at the end of a bumpy week marked by rising concerns ov
  Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Jump Nearly 2%; Tesla Rallies 5.7%
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2022-04-28
  $Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$sold early
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2021-09-03
  $Apple(AAPL)$nice
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2021-09-03
  $Ocean Power(OPTT)$gg
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2021-09-02
  $Ocean Power(OPTT)$gg
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- zhangmingzhangming
  ·2021-09-02
  $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$yes
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stop trading Options? You may be addicted Addiction is the inability to stop consuming a chemical or pursuing an activity despite causing harm. Very much the same happens to people who trade. Can we define trading addiction as a crossing a line between being passionate about investing and losing the ability to stop trading. The problem focuses on the brain and understanding how its reward systems can train you to trade compulsively and dangerously.” Here are some signs of addiction You spend far too much of your free time trading. You are trading stocks at work (and it isn’t your job) The “high” of trying to find the next “moonshot” is the focus of attention. You have feelings for&nbsp;","listText":"Can't stop trading Options? You may be addicted Addiction is the inability to stop consuming a chemical or pursuing an activity despite causing harm. Very much the same happens to people who trade. Can we define trading addiction as a crossing a line between being passionate about investing and losing the ability to stop trading. The problem focuses on the brain and understanding how its reward systems can train you to trade compulsively and dangerously.” Here are some signs of addiction You spend far too much of your free time trading. You are trading stocks at work (and it isn’t your job) The “high” of trying to find the next “moonshot” is the focus of attention. You have feelings for&nbsp;","text":"Can't stop trading Options? You may be addicted Addiction is the inability to stop consuming a chemical or pursuing an activity despite causing harm. Very much the same happens to people who trade. Can we define trading addiction as a crossing a line between being passionate about investing and losing the ability to stop trading. The problem focuses on the brain and understanding how its reward systems can train you to trade compulsively and dangerously.” Here are some signs of addiction You spend far too much of your free time trading. You are trading stocks at work (and it isn’t your job) The “high” of trying to find the next “moonshot” is the focus of attention. You have feelings for","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251520448180384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234298344550520,"gmtCreate":1698210733061,"gmtModify":1698210738334,"author":{"id":"3582333701245743","authorId":"3582333701245743","name":"zhangming","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952e7023506539855846cdfc155e2969","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582333701245743","idStr":"3582333701245743"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck","listText":"Good luck","text":"Good luck","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8e00895cb1cbed020e1bf8f9183a92de","width":"1080","height":"1072"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234298344550520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920948952,"gmtCreate":1670425040876,"gmtModify":1676538365278,"author":{"id":"3582333701245743","authorId":"3582333701245743","name":"zhangming","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952e7023506539855846cdfc155e2969","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582333701245743","idStr":"3582333701245743"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920948952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987774875,"gmtCreate":1668008461998,"gmtModify":1676537998185,"author":{"id":"3582333701245743","authorId":"3582333701245743","name":"zhangming","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952e7023506539855846cdfc155e2969","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582333701245743","idStr":"3582333701245743"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987774875","repostId":"1157692624","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1157692624","pubTimestamp":1668008277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157692624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157692624","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.</li><li>Rising interest rates, Q3&#39;s revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.</li><li>The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.</li><li>The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.</li><li>The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.</li></ul><p>Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed96ee922a9178151466be6bb913196e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.</p><p>Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.</p><p>The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddbc4100fa6280bf6fcc0ef8b86d03a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Trailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.</p><p>Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.</p><p>I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&amp;P 500 (not including dividends).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c08822d1f3055ab12bf6e9e8a7ea386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Previous analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&amp;P 500 above.</p><p>For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.</p><p>With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.</p><p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>ETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615c8d0e04e8918e25b7385e2bad7c26\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"855\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797d6141699490e50d24fb2784e632e1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.</p><p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>I have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.</p><p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f689bc8494e22307e8401f8fcc1ac2\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.</p><p>To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67eb2da8e00a45afb6a60092265c1c8c\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.</p><p>Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f17528781a49f411c10295d132d77cf\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>Tesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157692624","content_text":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).Seeking Alpha12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.ETradeTrailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&P 500 (not including dividends).Seeking AlphaPrevious analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&P 500 above.For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLAETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).ETradeWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.Seeking AlphaWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.Market-Implied Outlook for TSLAI have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.SummaryTesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9067829768,"gmtCreate":1652444802054,"gmtModify":1676535101746,"author":{"id":"3582333701245743","authorId":"3582333701245743","name":"zhangming","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952e7023506539855846cdfc155e2969","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582333701245743","idStr":"3582333701245743"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck","listText":"Good luck","text":"Good luck","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9067829768","repostId":"1177993409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177993409","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1652443291,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177993409?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-13 20:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Jump Nearly 2%; Tesla Rallies 5.7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177993409","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures rebounded on Friday at the end of a bumpy week marked by rising concerns ov","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures rebounded on Friday at the end of a bumpy week marked by rising concerns over tighter monetary policy and slowing economic growth, while Twitter plunged after Elon Musk put his deal for the social media company on hold.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 272 points, or 0.86%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 49.75 points, or 1.27%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 228.5 points, or 1.91%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3788a18af2b470dc904437f894ac9c7\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> – Twitter tumbled 10% in premarket trading after Elon Musk tweeted that his deal to buy the company was “temporarily” on hold, as he awaits details on the number of fake and spam accounts on the platform.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings</a> – Affirm reported a quarterly loss of 19 cents per share, smaller than the 51 cent loss that analysts were anticipating, with the fintech company’s revenue beating forecasts. Affirm also raised its full-year revenue outlook and announced the extension of its ongoing partnership with e-commerce platform operator Shopify. The stock rocketed 33.8% higher in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOST\">Toast</a> – Toast added 3.2% in the premarket after the restaurant-focused technology platform company reported a smaller than expected quarterly loss as well as revenue that beat Street forecasts. It also raised its full-year revenue forecast, as more restaurants adopt Toast’s technology.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a> – MicroStrategy rallied 13.9% in premarket action in what’s been a volatile week for the business analytics company. MicroStrategy, which has extensive bitcoin holdings, saw its stock fall more than 25% on both Monday and Wednesday before rising yesterday.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROP\">Roper Technologies</a> – The software and engineered products company is near a deal to sell its process-technology unit to private equity firm Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice for about $3 billion, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HNST\">The Honest Company</a> – The Honest Company’s stock rose 3.1% in premarket trading after it reaffirmed its full-year revenue outlook. The personal care and household products company also reported a quarterly loss and revenue numbers that were both in line with Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DUOL\">Duolingo</a> – The language software provider’s stock surged 15.3% in the premarket after it reported a narrower quarterly loss and better than expected revenue. Duolingo said active user numbers are at an all-time high, and it issued upbeat current quarter revenue guidance.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FIGS\">Figs </a> – The health care apparel company saw its stock plummet 25.2% in premarket trading after it missed estimates with its latest quarterly results and issued weaker than expected full-year guidance.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POSH\">Poshmark </a> – The online apparel marketplace operator reported a loss of 18 cents per share, 4 cents smaller than Wall Street had anticipated, with revenue also beating estimates. That helped send its stock up 2.1% in premarket action, even though Poshmark issued a weaker than expected current quarter revenue forecast.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>Elon Musk Says Twitter Deal Temporarily on Hold</b></p><p>Elon Musk&#39;s deal to buy <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> is temporarily on hold pending details, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> founder tweeted Friday.</p><p>&#34;Twitter deal temporarily on hold pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users,&#34; Musk said.</p><p>He quote tweeted a Reuters story from May 2 that referenced Twitter&#39;s 10-Q filing noting that spam and on fake accounts account for fewer than 5% of monetizable daily active users.</p><p><b>Berkshire Hathaway Buys 901,774 Occidental Petroleum Shares for about $51.7 Mln - SEC Filing</b></p><p>In a filing late Thursday, Warren Buffett&#39;s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed it bought another 901,774 shares of Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) common shares at $57.32-$57.34.</p><p>The latest purchase brings the stake to 143,162,392 common shares and 100,000 Series A Preferred shares.</p><p>The value of the latest purchase was $51.7 million and the common stock portion is now worth around $8.5 billion.</p><p><b>Moderna&#39;s COVID Vaccine Spikevax Authorized in Switzerland for Kids Aged 6 to 11</b></p><p>Swissmedic authorized <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna</a>&#39;s COVID-19 vaccine Spikevax for expanded use in children aged six to 11 years.</p><p>Children in this age group will receive two half doses (50 micrograms), at an interval of four weeks.</p><p>The Swiss drug regulator added that vaccination is particularly beneficial for children with previous illnesses in whom the risk of severe COVID-19 is increased.</p><p>The agency said that a main study in children aged 6 to 11 years found that the immune response triggered by the vaccine against COVID-19 causing virus was comparable with that in young adults.</p><p><b>Nio will hike prices of its ET7 sedans from May 23 due to an increase in global raw material prices</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio Inc</a> is raising the price of its premium electric sedan ET7 from May 23 onwards due to an increase in global raw material prices, CnEVPost reported on Friday.</p><p>The electric vehicle maker said it will hike the starting prices of all ET7 models by $1,470 on May 23.</p><p><b>Rivian recalls R1T electric truck amid faulty airbag sensors</b></p><p>As per a a report filed with National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive</a> is recalling some of its R1T electric pickup trucks over faulty airbag systems.</p><p>Wall Street Journal cites that the recall covers 502 R1T trucks from the 2022 model year that were produced late September 2021 through early April 2022.</p><p>In its first ever vehicle recall, Rivian said in its report, &#34;Occupant Classification System may not deactivate the air bag when a child or child seat occupies the front passenger seat.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Jump Nearly 2%; Tesla Rallies 5.7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Jump Nearly 2%; Tesla Rallies 5.7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-13 20:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures rebounded on Friday at the end of a bumpy week marked by rising concerns over tighter monetary policy and slowing economic growth, while Twitter plunged after Elon Musk put his deal for the social media company on hold.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 272 points, or 0.86%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 49.75 points, or 1.27%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 228.5 points, or 1.91%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3788a18af2b470dc904437f894ac9c7\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> – Twitter tumbled 10% in premarket trading after Elon Musk tweeted that his deal to buy the company was “temporarily” on hold, as he awaits details on the number of fake and spam accounts on the platform.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings</a> – Affirm reported a quarterly loss of 19 cents per share, smaller than the 51 cent loss that analysts were anticipating, with the fintech company’s revenue beating forecasts. Affirm also raised its full-year revenue outlook and announced the extension of its ongoing partnership with e-commerce platform operator Shopify. The stock rocketed 33.8% higher in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOST\">Toast</a> – Toast added 3.2% in the premarket after the restaurant-focused technology platform company reported a smaller than expected quarterly loss as well as revenue that beat Street forecasts. It also raised its full-year revenue forecast, as more restaurants adopt Toast’s technology.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a> – MicroStrategy rallied 13.9% in premarket action in what’s been a volatile week for the business analytics company. MicroStrategy, which has extensive bitcoin holdings, saw its stock fall more than 25% on both Monday and Wednesday before rising yesterday.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROP\">Roper Technologies</a> – The software and engineered products company is near a deal to sell its process-technology unit to private equity firm Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice for about $3 billion, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HNST\">The Honest Company</a> – The Honest Company’s stock rose 3.1% in premarket trading after it reaffirmed its full-year revenue outlook. The personal care and household products company also reported a quarterly loss and revenue numbers that were both in line with Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DUOL\">Duolingo</a> – The language software provider’s stock surged 15.3% in the premarket after it reported a narrower quarterly loss and better than expected revenue. Duolingo said active user numbers are at an all-time high, and it issued upbeat current quarter revenue guidance.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FIGS\">Figs </a> – The health care apparel company saw its stock plummet 25.2% in premarket trading after it missed estimates with its latest quarterly results and issued weaker than expected full-year guidance.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POSH\">Poshmark </a> – The online apparel marketplace operator reported a loss of 18 cents per share, 4 cents smaller than Wall Street had anticipated, with revenue also beating estimates. That helped send its stock up 2.1% in premarket action, even though Poshmark issued a weaker than expected current quarter revenue forecast.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>Elon Musk Says Twitter Deal Temporarily on Hold</b></p><p>Elon Musk&#39;s deal to buy <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> is temporarily on hold pending details, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> founder tweeted Friday.</p><p>&#34;Twitter deal temporarily on hold pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users,&#34; Musk said.</p><p>He quote tweeted a Reuters story from May 2 that referenced Twitter&#39;s 10-Q filing noting that spam and on fake accounts account for fewer than 5% of monetizable daily active users.</p><p><b>Berkshire Hathaway Buys 901,774 Occidental Petroleum Shares for about $51.7 Mln - SEC Filing</b></p><p>In a filing late Thursday, Warren Buffett&#39;s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed it bought another 901,774 shares of Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) common shares at $57.32-$57.34.</p><p>The latest purchase brings the stake to 143,162,392 common shares and 100,000 Series A Preferred shares.</p><p>The value of the latest purchase was $51.7 million and the common stock portion is now worth around $8.5 billion.</p><p><b>Moderna&#39;s COVID Vaccine Spikevax Authorized in Switzerland for Kids Aged 6 to 11</b></p><p>Swissmedic authorized <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna</a>&#39;s COVID-19 vaccine Spikevax for expanded use in children aged six to 11 years.</p><p>Children in this age group will receive two half doses (50 micrograms), at an interval of four weeks.</p><p>The Swiss drug regulator added that vaccination is particularly beneficial for children with previous illnesses in whom the risk of severe COVID-19 is increased.</p><p>The agency said that a main study in children aged 6 to 11 years found that the immune response triggered by the vaccine against COVID-19 causing virus was comparable with that in young adults.</p><p><b>Nio will hike prices of its ET7 sedans from May 23 due to an increase in global raw material prices</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio Inc</a> is raising the price of its premium electric sedan ET7 from May 23 onwards due to an increase in global raw material prices, CnEVPost reported on Friday.</p><p>The electric vehicle maker said it will hike the starting prices of all ET7 models by $1,470 on May 23.</p><p><b>Rivian recalls R1T electric truck amid faulty airbag sensors</b></p><p>As per a a report filed with National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive</a> is recalling some of its R1T electric pickup trucks over faulty airbag systems.</p><p>Wall Street Journal cites that the recall covers 502 R1T trucks from the 2022 model year that were produced late September 2021 through early April 2022.</p><p>In its first ever vehicle recall, Rivian said in its report, &#34;Occupant Classification System may not deactivate the air bag when a child or child seat occupies the front passenger seat.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177993409","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures rebounded on Friday at the end of a bumpy week marked by rising concerns over tighter monetary policy and slowing economic growth, while Twitter plunged after Elon Musk put his deal for the social media company on hold.Market SnapshotAt 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 272 points, or 0.86%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 49.75 points, or 1.27%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 228.5 points, or 1.91%.Pre-Market MoversTwitter – Twitter tumbled 10% in premarket trading after Elon Musk tweeted that his deal to buy the company was “temporarily” on hold, as he awaits details on the number of fake and spam accounts on the platform.Affirm Holdings – Affirm reported a quarterly loss of 19 cents per share, smaller than the 51 cent loss that analysts were anticipating, with the fintech company’s revenue beating forecasts. Affirm also raised its full-year revenue outlook and announced the extension of its ongoing partnership with e-commerce platform operator Shopify. The stock rocketed 33.8% higher in the premarket.Toast – Toast added 3.2% in the premarket after the restaurant-focused technology platform company reported a smaller than expected quarterly loss as well as revenue that beat Street forecasts. It also raised its full-year revenue forecast, as more restaurants adopt Toast’s technology.MicroStrategy – MicroStrategy rallied 13.9% in premarket action in what’s been a volatile week for the business analytics company. MicroStrategy, which has extensive bitcoin holdings, saw its stock fall more than 25% on both Monday and Wednesday before rising yesterday.Roper Technologies – The software and engineered products company is near a deal to sell its process-technology unit to private equity firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice for about $3 billion, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.The Honest Company – The Honest Company’s stock rose 3.1% in premarket trading after it reaffirmed its full-year revenue outlook. The personal care and household products company also reported a quarterly loss and revenue numbers that were both in line with Wall Street forecasts.Duolingo – The language software provider’s stock surged 15.3% in the premarket after it reported a narrower quarterly loss and better than expected revenue. Duolingo said active user numbers are at an all-time high, and it issued upbeat current quarter revenue guidance.Figs  – The health care apparel company saw its stock plummet 25.2% in premarket trading after it missed estimates with its latest quarterly results and issued weaker than expected full-year guidance.Poshmark  – The online apparel marketplace operator reported a loss of 18 cents per share, 4 cents smaller than Wall Street had anticipated, with revenue also beating estimates. That helped send its stock up 2.1% in premarket action, even though Poshmark issued a weaker than expected current quarter revenue forecast.Market NewsElon Musk Says Twitter Deal Temporarily on HoldElon Musk's deal to buy Twitter is temporarily on hold pending details, the Tesla founder tweeted Friday.\"Twitter deal temporarily on hold pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users,\" Musk said.He quote tweeted a Reuters story from May 2 that referenced Twitter's 10-Q filing noting that spam and on fake accounts account for fewer than 5% of monetizable daily active users.Berkshire Hathaway Buys 901,774 Occidental Petroleum Shares for about $51.7 Mln - SEC FilingIn a filing late Thursday, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway disclosed it bought another 901,774 shares of Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) common shares at $57.32-$57.34.The latest purchase brings the stake to 143,162,392 common shares and 100,000 Series A Preferred shares.The value of the latest purchase was $51.7 million and the common stock portion is now worth around $8.5 billion.Moderna's COVID Vaccine Spikevax Authorized in Switzerland for Kids Aged 6 to 11Swissmedic authorized Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine Spikevax for expanded use in children aged six to 11 years.Children in this age group will receive two half doses (50 micrograms), at an interval of four weeks.The Swiss drug regulator added that vaccination is particularly beneficial for children with previous illnesses in whom the risk of severe COVID-19 is increased.The agency said that a main study in children aged 6 to 11 years found that the immune response triggered by the vaccine against COVID-19 causing virus was comparable with that in young adults.Nio will hike prices of its ET7 sedans from May 23 due to an increase in global raw material pricesNio Inc is raising the price of its premium electric sedan ET7 from May 23 onwards due to an increase in global raw material prices, CnEVPost reported on Friday.The electric vehicle maker said it will hike the starting prices of all ET7 models by $1,470 on May 23.Rivian recalls R1T electric truck amid faulty airbag sensorsAs per a a report filed with National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Rivian Automotive is recalling some of its R1T electric pickup trucks over faulty airbag systems.Wall Street Journal cites that the recall covers 502 R1T trucks from the 2022 model year that were produced late September 2021 through early April 2022.In its first ever vehicle recall, Rivian said in its report, \"Occupant Classification System may not deactivate the air bag when a child or child seat occupies the front passenger seat.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060647414,"gmtCreate":1651147213344,"gmtModify":1676534858605,"author":{"id":"3582333701245743","authorId":"3582333701245743","name":"zhangming","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952e7023506539855846cdfc155e2969","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582333701245743","idStr":"3582333701245743"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>sold early","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>sold early","text":"$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$sold 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