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- WilliamLai_WilliamLai_
  ·2021-05-25
  Like And comment
  Robert Shiller: "In Real Terms, Home Prices Have Never Been So High"
  "In real terms, home prices have never been so high. My data goes back over 100 years, so this is so
  Robert Shiller: "In Real Terms, Home Prices Have Never Been So High"
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- WilliamLai_WilliamLai_
  ·2021-05-25
  Nice
  Twitter's Stock Looks Ready For A Gap Fill
  Twitter Inc(NASDAQ:TWTR) printed a big beat on its first-quarter 2021 earnings but gapped down almos
  Twitter's Stock Looks Ready For A Gap Fill
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- WilliamLai_WilliamLai_
  ·2021-05-25
  Super
  Why once-hot hedge-fund stock picks are now the 'pain trade' of 2021
  Reflects shift in market leadership toward 'riskier value and cyclical recovery plays': RBC. The re
  Why once-hot hedge-fund stock picks are now the 'pain trade' of 2021
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- WilliamLai_WilliamLai_
  ·2021-05-25
  Good
  Tesla initiated at Wells Fargo, and there are 3 reasons analyst Colin Langan isn’t bullish
  Stock bounces more than 5%, after falling the past five weeks.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said
  Tesla initiated at Wells Fargo, and there are 3 reasons analyst Colin Langan isn’t bullish
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And comment","listText":"Like And comment","text":"Like And comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138838565","repostId":"1175412440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175412440","pubTimestamp":1621923415,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175412440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 14:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Robert Shiller: \"In Real Terms, Home Prices Have Never Been So High\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175412440","media":"zerohedge","summary":"\"In real terms, home prices have never been so high. My data goes back over 100 years, so this is so","content":"<p>\"In real terms, home prices have never been so high. My data goes back over 100 years, so this is something,\" Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller toldCNBC's \"Trading Nation.\"</p>\n<p>Shiller is the co-founder of the S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index. He is worried about a housing bubble forming where the \"Wild West\" mentality pushes prices higher. He also is concerned about stocks and cryptocurrencies.</p>\n<p>\"I don't think that the whole thing is explained by central bank policy. There is something about the sociology of markets that are happening,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Shiller has noticed that housing starts drive home prices. But last week, despite a shortage of homes and buildable property, home builders are easing production, paralyzed by surging commodity prices.</p>\n<p>In April, single-family housing starts plunged 13% compared with March. This was thesharpest downwardmove since last April when the pandemic began. Despite Shiller's euphoric housing bubble warning, the latest data shows an emerging pattern in housing starts that is quite ominous from the past.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d67a6bf8f65d5a702e3695828be059\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"281\">However, Shiller points out there's \"a lot of upward momentum in housing markets and prices may not come down in a year.\" He believes the current housing market environment is similar to 2003, five years before the housing market crash in 2008.</p>\n<p>\"If you go out three or five years, I could imagine they'd [prices] be substantially lower than they are now, and maybe that's a good thing,\" he added. \"Not from the standpoint of a homeowner, but it's from the standpoint of a prospective homeowner. It's a good thing. If we have more houses, we're better off.\"</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, on an intermediate basis, Glenn Kelman, CEO at Redfin, told Bloomberg last week thathousing prices are set to cool. He said the housing market is in a frenzy, with most houses selling above the asking prices, which has never happened before.</p>\n<p>After record gains in the first quarter, some home prices may stall.</p>\n<p>According to the National Association of Realtors, nationwide, the median existing-home sales price rose 16.2% in the first quarter to $319,200, a&nbsp;record high&nbsp;in data going back to 1989.</p>\n<p>According to the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, we recently&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that home sales prices in the country's hottest markets had risen by their highest level since 2006. The index showed home prices in 20 major cities are up a shocking 11.10% year-over-year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11a3971e095dbf2eb81e0db08c3d21dd\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\">But outside the major metro markets,demand was even more robust, translating into the most significant YoY increase&nbsp;in median sales since 2006.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/433121e4c3f841a1c956c3cdcb75ef50\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\">Kelman warned: \"I think you're going to see a little bit of air come out of the ballon,\"&nbsp;referring to the housing market bubble the Federal Reserve engineered by sending mortgage rates to record lows at the start of the virus pandemic in 2020.</p>\n<p>Shiller's and Kelman's warning comes as home-buying sentiment has&nbsp;collapsed&nbsp;to its weakest since 1983...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7946a5a3b070a2eb2748b1e8990bd64c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"261\"></p>\n<p>Between Shiller and Kelman, both believe housing prices are in a frenzy. However, Kelman's view is that housing prices will cool on an intermediate timeframe, and Shiller is on a&nbsp;multi-year view.&nbsp;The broad consensus is that today's environment is not sustainable. But as we all know, the Fed can sometimes maintain bubbles for quite sometime.</p>\n<p>... and who may deflate today's housing bubble?</p>\n<p><i>Well, the Fed, of course, who&nbsp;has been hinting abouttaperingof bond purchases.</i></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Robert Shiller: \"In Real Terms, Home Prices Have Never Been So High\" </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRobert Shiller: \"In Real Terms, Home Prices Have Never Been So High\" \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-25 14:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/robert-shiller-real-terms-home-prices-have-never-been-so-high><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>\"In real terms, home prices have never been so high. My data goes back over 100 years, so this is something,\" Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller toldCNBC's \"Trading Nation.\"\nShiller is the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/robert-shiller-real-terms-home-prices-have-never-been-so-high\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/robert-shiller-real-terms-home-prices-have-never-been-so-high","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175412440","content_text":"\"In real terms, home prices have never been so high. My data goes back over 100 years, so this is something,\" Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller toldCNBC's \"Trading Nation.\"\nShiller is the co-founder of the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index. He is worried about a housing bubble forming where the \"Wild West\" mentality pushes prices higher. He also is concerned about stocks and cryptocurrencies.\n\"I don't think that the whole thing is explained by central bank policy. There is something about the sociology of markets that are happening,\" he said.\nShiller has noticed that housing starts drive home prices. But last week, despite a shortage of homes and buildable property, home builders are easing production, paralyzed by surging commodity prices.\nIn April, single-family housing starts plunged 13% compared with March. This was thesharpest downwardmove since last April when the pandemic began. Despite Shiller's euphoric housing bubble warning, the latest data shows an emerging pattern in housing starts that is quite ominous from the past.\nHowever, Shiller points out there's \"a lot of upward momentum in housing markets and prices may not come down in a year.\" He believes the current housing market environment is similar to 2003, five years before the housing market crash in 2008.\n\"If you go out three or five years, I could imagine they'd [prices] be substantially lower than they are now, and maybe that's a good thing,\" he added. \"Not from the standpoint of a homeowner, but it's from the standpoint of a prospective homeowner. It's a good thing. If we have more houses, we're better off.\"\nMeanwhile, on an intermediate basis, Glenn Kelman, CEO at Redfin, told Bloomberg last week thathousing prices are set to cool. He said the housing market is in a frenzy, with most houses selling above the asking prices, which has never happened before.\nAfter record gains in the first quarter, some home prices may stall.\nAccording to the National Association of Realtors, nationwide, the median existing-home sales price rose 16.2% in the first quarter to $319,200, a record high in data going back to 1989.\nAccording to the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, we recently reported that home sales prices in the country's hottest markets had risen by their highest level since 2006. The index showed home prices in 20 major cities are up a shocking 11.10% year-over-year.\nBut outside the major metro markets,demand was even more robust, translating into the most significant YoY increase in median sales since 2006.\nKelman warned: \"I think you're going to see a little bit of air come out of the ballon,\" referring to the housing market bubble the Federal Reserve engineered by sending mortgage rates to record lows at the start of the virus pandemic in 2020.\nShiller's and Kelman's warning comes as home-buying sentiment has collapsed to its weakest since 1983...\n\nBetween Shiller and Kelman, both believe housing prices are in a frenzy. However, Kelman's view is that housing prices will cool on an intermediate timeframe, and Shiller is on a multi-year view. The broad consensus is that today's environment is not sustainable. But as we all know, the Fed can sometimes maintain bubbles for quite sometime.\n... and who may deflate today's housing bubble?\nWell, the Fed, of course, who has been hinting abouttaperingof bond purchases.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138833637,"gmtCreate":1621924203029,"gmtModify":1704364529098,"author":{"id":"3584582622795312","authorId":"3584582622795312","name":"WilliamLai_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c166919fed165fa0c85f46d21e1fd5d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584582622795312","idStr":"3584582622795312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138833637","repostId":"1136664271","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136664271","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621908224,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136664271?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Twitter's Stock Looks Ready For A Gap Fill","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136664271","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Twitter Inc(NASDAQ:TWTR) printed a big beat on its first-quarter 2021 earnings but gapped down almos","content":"<p><b>Twitter Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TWTR) printed a big beat on its first-quarter 2021 earnings but gapped down almost 14% the following day after issuing disappointing second-quarter guidance.</p>\n<p>The social media companyreported revenueof $1.04 billion and earnings per share of 16 cents. Second-quarter guidance of $980 million to $1.08 billion disappointed investors, however, as the consensus is for revenue to reach $1.06 billion.</p>\n<p>The gap down has left opportunity for traders, because gaps fill 90% of the time, and it looks as though Twitter is getting ready to rise up and fill the gap.</p>\n<p><b>The Twitter Chart:</b>&nbsp;Twitter found a bottom near the $49 level after its steep sell-off and created a bullish double bottom pattern on May 11 and 13. On Friday, Twitter’s stock printed a bullish hammer candlestick on the daily and continued upwards momentum should pop Twitter up over resistance and into gap fill territory.</p>\n<p>Twitter has spent the last 16 trading days in a sideways channel between support at $49.12 and resistance at $55.45</p>\n<p>On May 18, Twitter’s stock regained the support of the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is bullish and the stock is trading, and being supported by, the 200-day simple moving average indicating that overall sentiment in the stock is also bullish. Twitter is trading slightly below the 21-day EMA, however, which is slightly bearish.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f28ca2bddc1547488b3e94b0014ee1af\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\">Bulls want to see Twitter’s stock regain the $55 area as support, which will also allow it to trade back above the 21-day EMA. If Twitter’s stock can pop over $55.45, there's not much resistance, in the form of price history, to stop its stock from completely filling the gap and reaching the $64 area.</p>\n<p>Bears want to see Twitter’s stock smacked down at the $55 level and for it to retrace back towards support of $49.12. If the stock was unable to maintain that level as support, it could trade down toward $44.40 before potentially bouncing.</p>\n<p><b>TWTR Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Shares of Twitter were trading higher by 3.5% to $56.36 at publication time.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twitter's Stock Looks Ready For A Gap Fill</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwitter's Stock Looks Ready For A Gap Fill\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-25 10:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Twitter Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TWTR) printed a big beat on its first-quarter 2021 earnings but gapped down almost 14% the following day after issuing disappointing second-quarter guidance.</p>\n<p>The social media companyreported revenueof $1.04 billion and earnings per share of 16 cents. Second-quarter guidance of $980 million to $1.08 billion disappointed investors, however, as the consensus is for revenue to reach $1.06 billion.</p>\n<p>The gap down has left opportunity for traders, because gaps fill 90% of the time, and it looks as though Twitter is getting ready to rise up and fill the gap.</p>\n<p><b>The Twitter Chart:</b>&nbsp;Twitter found a bottom near the $49 level after its steep sell-off and created a bullish double bottom pattern on May 11 and 13. On Friday, Twitter’s stock printed a bullish hammer candlestick on the daily and continued upwards momentum should pop Twitter up over resistance and into gap fill territory.</p>\n<p>Twitter has spent the last 16 trading days in a sideways channel between support at $49.12 and resistance at $55.45</p>\n<p>On May 18, Twitter’s stock regained the support of the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is bullish and the stock is trading, and being supported by, the 200-day simple moving average indicating that overall sentiment in the stock is also bullish. Twitter is trading slightly below the 21-day EMA, however, which is slightly bearish.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f28ca2bddc1547488b3e94b0014ee1af\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\">Bulls want to see Twitter’s stock regain the $55 area as support, which will also allow it to trade back above the 21-day EMA. If Twitter’s stock can pop over $55.45, there's not much resistance, in the form of price history, to stop its stock from completely filling the gap and reaching the $64 area.</p>\n<p>Bears want to see Twitter’s stock smacked down at the $55 level and for it to retrace back towards support of $49.12. If the stock was unable to maintain that level as support, it could trade down toward $44.40 before potentially bouncing.</p>\n<p><b>TWTR Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Shares of Twitter were trading higher by 3.5% to $56.36 at publication time.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136664271","content_text":"Twitter Inc(NASDAQ:TWTR) printed a big beat on its first-quarter 2021 earnings but gapped down almost 14% the following day after issuing disappointing second-quarter guidance.\nThe social media companyreported revenueof $1.04 billion and earnings per share of 16 cents. Second-quarter guidance of $980 million to $1.08 billion disappointed investors, however, as the consensus is for revenue to reach $1.06 billion.\nThe gap down has left opportunity for traders, because gaps fill 90% of the time, and it looks as though Twitter is getting ready to rise up and fill the gap.\nThe Twitter Chart: Twitter found a bottom near the $49 level after its steep sell-off and created a bullish double bottom pattern on May 11 and 13. On Friday, Twitter’s stock printed a bullish hammer candlestick on the daily and continued upwards momentum should pop Twitter up over resistance and into gap fill territory.\nTwitter has spent the last 16 trading days in a sideways channel between support at $49.12 and resistance at $55.45\nOn May 18, Twitter’s stock regained the support of the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is bullish and the stock is trading, and being supported by, the 200-day simple moving average indicating that overall sentiment in the stock is also bullish. Twitter is trading slightly below the 21-day EMA, however, which is slightly bearish.\nBulls want to see Twitter’s stock regain the $55 area as support, which will also allow it to trade back above the 21-day EMA. If Twitter’s stock can pop over $55.45, there's not much resistance, in the form of price history, to stop its stock from completely filling the gap and reaching the $64 area.\nBears want to see Twitter’s stock smacked down at the $55 level and for it to retrace back towards support of $49.12. If the stock was unable to maintain that level as support, it could trade down toward $44.40 before potentially bouncing.\nTWTR Price Action: Shares of Twitter were trading higher by 3.5% to $56.36 at publication time.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138102464,"gmtCreate":1621915032858,"gmtModify":1704364368953,"author":{"id":"3584582622795312","authorId":"3584582622795312","name":"WilliamLai_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c166919fed165fa0c85f46d21e1fd5d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584582622795312","idStr":"3584582622795312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Super&nbsp;","listText":"Super&nbsp;","text":"Super","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138102464","repostId":"2138159964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138159964","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1621912080,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138159964?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why once-hot hedge-fund stock picks are now the 'pain trade' of 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138159964","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Reflects shift in market leadership toward 'riskier value and cyclical recovery plays': RBC.\n\nThe re","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Reflects shift in market leadership toward 'riskier value and cyclical recovery plays': RBC.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The reflation trade -- a bet that assets that benefit from a post-pandemic surge in growth and inflation will outperform their traditionally safer peers -- is putting the hurt on tech and other growth-oriented shares that have been popular with big hedge funds.</p>\n<p>That finding comes from the latest look by RBC Capital Markets at a basket of stocks it dubs \"hedge-fund hot dogs,\" a roster of the most popular holdings among hedge funds based on their quarterly 13-F filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Funds must disclose long positions held at the end of each quarter within 45 days.</p>\n<p>\"Our primary list of the most popular stocks in hedge funds (Hot Dogs) has underperformed sharply in 2021, with relative performance trends in place [year to date] that echo the sizable underperformance seen in 2016,\" wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy, in a Monday report. \"This is largely due to the shift inmarket leadership away from safer secular growers and back towards riskier value and cyclical recovery plays.\"</p>\n<p>As reflected in the left-hand chart above, the basket's underperformance has been particularly sharp for the past several months. While the basket of hot dogs turned in a strong performance in 2020, its outperformance relative to the S&amp;P 500 peaked last August, Calvasina said.</p>\n<p>That is \"a reminder that the pain trade in popular hedge-fund holdings has been under way for quite some time, essentially since the reflation trade took off in earnest,\" she said.</p>\n<p>Calvasina and company don't expect the pressure on those names to let up as long as value leadership remains intact.</p>\n<p>The table below shows the current basket of most popular holdings by dollar value owned.</p>\n<p>Expectations for an acceleration in economic activity as the U.S. and the rest of the world begin to move beyond the COVID-19 pandemic have been credited for sparking a rotation away from the highflying, tech-oriented companies toward stocks more sensitive to the economic cycle.</p>\n<p>That is translated into outperformance for value investments, seen as undervalued relative to a variety of price metrics, versus growth stocks, which are shares of companies expected to grow earnings and revenue more quickly than their peers. For the year to date, the Russell 1000 Value Index is up 17.3% versus a 6.1% gain for the Russell 1000 Growth Index .</p>\n<p>Stocks were pushing to the upside on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 240 points, or 0.7%, while the S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 1.7%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why once-hot hedge-fund stock picks are now the 'pain trade' of 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy once-hot hedge-fund stock picks are now the 'pain trade' of 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-25 11:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Reflects shift in market leadership toward 'riskier value and cyclical recovery plays': RBC.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The reflation trade -- a bet that assets that benefit from a post-pandemic surge in growth and inflation will outperform their traditionally safer peers -- is putting the hurt on tech and other growth-oriented shares that have been popular with big hedge funds.</p>\n<p>That finding comes from the latest look by RBC Capital Markets at a basket of stocks it dubs \"hedge-fund hot dogs,\" a roster of the most popular holdings among hedge funds based on their quarterly 13-F filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Funds must disclose long positions held at the end of each quarter within 45 days.</p>\n<p>\"Our primary list of the most popular stocks in hedge funds (Hot Dogs) has underperformed sharply in 2021, with relative performance trends in place [year to date] that echo the sizable underperformance seen in 2016,\" wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy, in a Monday report. \"This is largely due to the shift inmarket leadership away from safer secular growers and back towards riskier value and cyclical recovery plays.\"</p>\n<p>As reflected in the left-hand chart above, the basket's underperformance has been particularly sharp for the past several months. While the basket of hot dogs turned in a strong performance in 2020, its outperformance relative to the S&amp;P 500 peaked last August, Calvasina said.</p>\n<p>That is \"a reminder that the pain trade in popular hedge-fund holdings has been under way for quite some time, essentially since the reflation trade took off in earnest,\" she said.</p>\n<p>Calvasina and company don't expect the pressure on those names to let up as long as value leadership remains intact.</p>\n<p>The table below shows the current basket of most popular holdings by dollar value owned.</p>\n<p>Expectations for an acceleration in economic activity as the U.S. and the rest of the world begin to move beyond the COVID-19 pandemic have been credited for sparking a rotation away from the highflying, tech-oriented companies toward stocks more sensitive to the economic cycle.</p>\n<p>That is translated into outperformance for value investments, seen as undervalued relative to a variety of price metrics, versus growth stocks, which are shares of companies expected to grow earnings and revenue more quickly than their peers. For the year to date, the Russell 1000 Value Index is up 17.3% versus a 6.1% gain for the Russell 1000 Growth Index .</p>\n<p>Stocks were pushing to the upside on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 240 points, or 0.7%, while the S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 1.7%.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138159964","content_text":"Reflects shift in market leadership toward 'riskier value and cyclical recovery plays': RBC.\n\nThe reflation trade -- a bet that assets that benefit from a post-pandemic surge in growth and inflation will outperform their traditionally safer peers -- is putting the hurt on tech and other growth-oriented shares that have been popular with big hedge funds.\nThat finding comes from the latest look by RBC Capital Markets at a basket of stocks it dubs \"hedge-fund hot dogs,\" a roster of the most popular holdings among hedge funds based on their quarterly 13-F filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Funds must disclose long positions held at the end of each quarter within 45 days.\n\"Our primary list of the most popular stocks in hedge funds (Hot Dogs) has underperformed sharply in 2021, with relative performance trends in place [year to date] that echo the sizable underperformance seen in 2016,\" wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy, in a Monday report. \"This is largely due to the shift inmarket leadership away from safer secular growers and back towards riskier value and cyclical recovery plays.\"\nAs reflected in the left-hand chart above, the basket's underperformance has been particularly sharp for the past several months. While the basket of hot dogs turned in a strong performance in 2020, its outperformance relative to the S&P 500 peaked last August, Calvasina said.\nThat is \"a reminder that the pain trade in popular hedge-fund holdings has been under way for quite some time, essentially since the reflation trade took off in earnest,\" she said.\nCalvasina and company don't expect the pressure on those names to let up as long as value leadership remains intact.\nThe table below shows the current basket of most popular holdings by dollar value owned.\nExpectations for an acceleration in economic activity as the U.S. and the rest of the world begin to move beyond the COVID-19 pandemic have been credited for sparking a rotation away from the highflying, tech-oriented companies toward stocks more sensitive to the economic cycle.\nThat is translated into outperformance for value investments, seen as undervalued relative to a variety of price metrics, versus growth stocks, which are shares of companies expected to grow earnings and revenue more quickly than their peers. For the year to date, the Russell 1000 Value Index is up 17.3% versus a 6.1% gain for the Russell 1000 Growth Index .\nStocks were pushing to the upside on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 240 points, or 0.7%, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 1.7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138102097,"gmtCreate":1621914979019,"gmtModify":1704364367500,"author":{"id":"3584582622795312","authorId":"3584582622795312","name":"WilliamLai_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c166919fed165fa0c85f46d21e1fd5d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584582622795312","idStr":"3584582622795312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138102097","repostId":"1199043784","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199043784","pubTimestamp":1621913041,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199043784?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla initiated at Wells Fargo, and there are 3 reasons analyst Colin Langan isn’t bullish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199043784","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock bounces more than 5%, after falling the past five weeks.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said ","content":"<blockquote><b>Stock bounces more than 5%, after falling the past five weeks.</b></blockquote><p>Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said Tesla Inc. should keep beating deliveries expectations over the near term, but there are “three notable concerns” for him to not recommend investors buy the stock at current prices.</p><p>Langan initiated coverage of the electric vehicle (EV) maker on Monday with an equal weight rating and a stock price target of $590, which is 3.5% below current prices.</p><p>The stockTSLA,+4.40%,which hiked up 5.3% in afternoon trading Monday, fell 1.5% last week to suffer the fifth straight weekly decline. It had lost 21.5% during its weekly losing steak, and currently sits about 31% below its Jan. 26 record close of $883.09.</p><p>Langan said even after the recent selloff, and the potential for increased EV credits, he estimates the stock is pricing in the delivery of more than 12 million vehicles in 10 years, which is more than any global auto maker currently delivers. While he expects Tesla’s deliveries to keep surprising to the upside, the following are the reasons he isn’t currently bullish on the stock:</p><ul><li>“<b>If Tesla builds it, will customers come?</b>” Langan is concerned that once Model 3 and Model Y production capacity comes fully online in 2022, there may not be enough demand for the approximately 1.7 million in capacity available for these vehicles as it would imply record volume for luxury sedans and SUVs.</li></ul><p>“[C]hina drove all of [Tesla’s] market share gains over the last year; therefore, recent negative press followinga protest at the Shanghai Auto Showis a concern,” Langan wrote in a note to clients. “Moreover, global EV competition is accelerating with the number of available EV models expected to double in the U.S. this year.”</p><ul><li><b>Key battery raw material costs are up more than 50% in the past year</b>. Langan estimates that the increase in costs will add nearly $1,400 to the price of each vehicle once contracts reset.</li></ul><p>Industry experts suggest battery costs have increased from $105 per kilowatt-hour to $130/kWh to $150/kWh, Langan said.</p><p>“Fortunately, Tesla typically locks in longer-term contracts for these materials mitigating the near-term impact and putting the total impact at the lower end of the range,” Langan wrote. “However, as these contracts renew, there should be an additional $1,375 cost per vehicle from this rise, which would cut into margins.”</p><ul><li><b>Regulatory risk around Autopilot is rising</b>. Langan is concerned that the failure to add driver monitoring heightens the risk that changes will be mandated by U.S. regulators. “In a worst case, [Tesla] could be forced to disable the systems,” Langan wrote.</li></ul><p>He said there has always been concerns over the “Autopilot” name and its safety, but scrutiny has increased with the recent release ofa letter from the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)regarding the safety of automated driving systems (ADS) and the importance of driver engagement.</p><p>“Limitations of this key selling feature would be a negative for current owners, and could limit planned features in the full self-driving (FDS) roll out,” Langan wrote.</p><p>Langan is bullish on the longer-term prospects for Tesla and the EV market, in which Tesla is clearly the leader, but he noted that the economics of the industry “are still surprisingly tough,” as government support remains the biggest driver of battery EV sales.</p><p>He said possible near-term catalysts for the stock include new capacity plans, release of FDS and the announcement of any new products, as well as any news on battery cost trends and regulatory concerns.</p><p>Of the 38 analysts surveyed by FactSet who cover Tesla, Langan is one of the 13 who rate the stock the equivalent of hold, while 16 rate it the equivalent of buy and 9 rate it the equivalent of sell. The average price target is $598.92.</p><p>The stock has lost 13.4% year to date, but has still soared 274.3% over the past 12 months. In comparison, the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.99%has gained 12.0% this year, and rallied 42.4% over the past year.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla initiated at Wells Fargo, and there are 3 reasons analyst Colin Langan isn’t bullish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla initiated at Wells Fargo, and there are 3 reasons analyst Colin Langan isn’t bullish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-25 11:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-initiated-at-wells-fargo-and-there-are-3-reasons-analyst-colin-langan-isnt-bullish-11621861470?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock bounces more than 5%, after falling the past five weeks.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said Tesla Inc. should keep beating deliveries expectations over the near term, but there are “three ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-initiated-at-wells-fargo-and-there-are-3-reasons-analyst-colin-langan-isnt-bullish-11621861470?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-initiated-at-wells-fargo-and-there-are-3-reasons-analyst-colin-langan-isnt-bullish-11621861470?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1199043784","content_text":"Stock bounces more than 5%, after falling the past five weeks.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said Tesla Inc. should keep beating deliveries expectations over the near term, but there are “three notable concerns” for him to not recommend investors buy the stock at current prices.Langan initiated coverage of the electric vehicle (EV) maker on Monday with an equal weight rating and a stock price target of $590, which is 3.5% below current prices.The stockTSLA,+4.40%,which hiked up 5.3% in afternoon trading Monday, fell 1.5% last week to suffer the fifth straight weekly decline. It had lost 21.5% during its weekly losing steak, and currently sits about 31% below its Jan. 26 record close of $883.09.Langan said even after the recent selloff, and the potential for increased EV credits, he estimates the stock is pricing in the delivery of more than 12 million vehicles in 10 years, which is more than any global auto maker currently delivers. While he expects Tesla’s deliveries to keep surprising to the upside, the following are the reasons he isn’t currently bullish on the stock:“If Tesla builds it, will customers come?” Langan is concerned that once Model 3 and Model Y production capacity comes fully online in 2022, there may not be enough demand for the approximately 1.7 million in capacity available for these vehicles as it would imply record volume for luxury sedans and SUVs.“[C]hina drove all of [Tesla’s] market share gains over the last year; therefore, recent negative press followinga protest at the Shanghai Auto Showis a concern,” Langan wrote in a note to clients. “Moreover, global EV competition is accelerating with the number of available EV models expected to double in the U.S. this year.”Key battery raw material costs are up more than 50% in the past year. Langan estimates that the increase in costs will add nearly $1,400 to the price of each vehicle once contracts reset.Industry experts suggest battery costs have increased from $105 per kilowatt-hour to $130/kWh to $150/kWh, Langan said.“Fortunately, Tesla typically locks in longer-term contracts for these materials mitigating the near-term impact and putting the total impact at the lower end of the range,” Langan wrote. “However, as these contracts renew, there should be an additional $1,375 cost per vehicle from this rise, which would cut into margins.”Regulatory risk around Autopilot is rising. Langan is concerned that the failure to add driver monitoring heightens the risk that changes will be mandated by U.S. regulators. “In a worst case, [Tesla] could be forced to disable the systems,” Langan wrote.He said there has always been concerns over the “Autopilot” name and its safety, but scrutiny has increased with the recent release ofa letter from the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)regarding the safety of automated driving systems (ADS) and the importance of driver engagement.“Limitations of this key selling feature would be a negative for current owners, and could limit planned features in the full self-driving (FDS) roll out,” Langan wrote.Langan is bullish on the longer-term prospects for Tesla and the EV market, in which Tesla is clearly the leader, but he noted that the economics of the industry “are still surprisingly tough,” as government support remains the biggest driver of battery EV sales.He said possible near-term catalysts for the stock include new capacity plans, release of FDS and the announcement of any new products, as well as any news on battery cost trends and regulatory concerns.Of the 38 analysts surveyed by FactSet who cover Tesla, Langan is one of the 13 who rate the stock the equivalent of hold, while 16 rate it the equivalent of buy and 9 rate it the equivalent of sell. The average price target is $598.92.The stock has lost 13.4% year to date, but has still soared 274.3% over the past 12 months. In comparison, the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.99%has gained 12.0% this year, and rallied 42.4% over the past year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}