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Rameshk

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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2022-05-28
  $Micron Technology(MU)$[OK]
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-08-02
  Good
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-08-01
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  Alphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow
  GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.Alphabet just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.On July 27, Alphabet, the pa
  Alphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-07-31
  Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-07-31
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  July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead
  KEY POINTS More than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs rep
  July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-07-27
  Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-07-27
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-07-27
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  Apple Earnings Face High Expectations
  After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we
  Apple Earnings Face High Expectations
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-07-01
  Got prize
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- RameshkRameshk
  ·2021-06-17
  Join to get Tesla share
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>[OK]&nbsp;","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$[OK]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3f26b6dc173cbd70181ec452fe355dc","width":"1080","height":"1457"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9025244483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805877810,"gmtCreate":1627873027530,"gmtModify":1703496941662,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805877810","repostId":"2156616381","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805056677,"gmtCreate":1627827242099,"gmtModify":1703496334314,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805056677","repostId":"1122171439","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122171439","pubTimestamp":1627786350,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122171439?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-01 10:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122171439","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.Alphabet just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow  grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.On July 27, Alphabet, the pa","content":"<blockquote>\n GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow (FCF) grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.</p>\n<p>On July 27, Alphabet, the parent of online search engine Google that makes most of its money from advertising, reported a huge 62% revenue gain on a year-0ver-year (YOY) basis. Even on a quarter-over-quarter basis, its revenue of $61.88 billion in Q2 grew by 11.87% from $55.314 billion in Q1.</p>\n<p>That implies an annualized run rate of 56.6%. So that coincides with its historical 62% YOY rate, implying that next year the company will show 57% YOY revenue growth.</p>\n<p>Of course, this assumes that advertising growth — and the economy in general — stay red hot.</p>\n<p><b>Estimating Google’s FCF</b></p>\n<p>But more importantly, its FCF rose to $16.394 billion, which can beseen on page 7of the earnings release. Alphabet is one of the few companies that help investors by calculating their own FCF figures. For example, last quarter its FCF was $13.347 billion (also onpage 7 of the Q1 report). This shows that its quarterly FCF growth was 22.83% just on a QOQ basis. That implies a huge run rate growth rate, although this is not what I will use to project out its future FCF.</p>\n<p>I think it is better to look at Alphabet’s FCF margins to forecast its future FCF. For example, in Q2 its $16.4 billion FCF represents 26.5% of its $61.88 billion in revenue. That is a huge gain over its FCF margins. Dividing $13.347 billion in Q1 FCF by revenue of $55.314 billion shows that Q1 FCF margins were just 24.1%.</p>\n<p>So, going forward let’s estimate that FCF will be 26.5% of its forecast revenue. For example,<i>Seeking Alpha</i>shows that analystsproject 2021 revenue of $250.29 billion. That implies its 2021 FCF will be $66.3 billion this year. But this is likely now already implied or discounted in the GOOG stock price.</p>\n<p>We should probably use 2022 estimates since the market will soon start valuing GOOG stock on its 2002 numbers. Seeking Alpha indicates $286.36 billion for 2022. Applying the 26.5% FCF margin to this estimate yields an FCF estimate of $75.89 billion. That is substantially higher than the estimates for 2021 FCF. We can now use this to value GOOG stock.</p>\n<p><b>What GOOG Stock Is Now Worth</b></p>\n<p>One way to value GOOG stock is to use its historical FCF yield and apply it to our future FCF estimate. For example, in the trailing 12 months (TTM) to June 30, Alphabet produced $58.536 billion in FCF. This can be seen on<i>Seeking Alpha’s</i>historical FCF pageby subtracting its TTM capex from its TTM cash flow from operations. Here is how we will use this.</p>\n<p>First, we calculate its historical TTM FCF yield. For example, the company now has a market capitalization of $1.826 trillion, according to<i>Yahoo! Finance</i>, which usually has the best calculations. Therefore, if we divide its TTM FCF of $58.536 by its $1,826 billion market cap, the FCF yield works out to 3.2%.</p>\n<p>Next, we can divide our forecast of $75.89 billion in 2022 FCF by its TTM FCF yield of 3.2%. That derives a new target market value of $2.37 trillion. In other words, GOOG stock has a target market cap that is 29.88% higher than today’s price. Therefore, using yesterday’s closing price of $2,730.81, its target price is $3,546 per share.</p>\n<p><b>What To Do With GOOG Stock</b></p>\n<p>In other words, starting with the company’s much higher FCF margins and projecting these out against 2022 revenue, GOOG stock should rise at least 30% sometime over the next year. That assumes a fairly high 3.2% FCF yield. It is very possible that the yield could rise, which would lower the target price.</p>\n<p>For example, consider this. Above, we projected that Alphabet will produce $66.3 billion in FCF this year. But that represents a higher 3.63% FCF yield on today’s $1,826 billion market cap. Applying this higher 3.63% FCF yield to its 2022 estimates would result in a lower price target than my 30% expected gain.</p>\n<p>I don’t think that is what will happen in reality. Don’t forget that we assume that the company will have a much higher FCF margin in 2022 than its historical TTM FCF. Therefore, the value of the company should be higher. That implies the FCF yield should be low such as the 3.2% FCF yield I used. If you are following me so far, this means that my projections are likely to come to pass on a historical basis, albeit in the future.</p>\n<p>Bottom line — GOOG stock is a buy, as it is likely to move at least 30% higher assuming its FCF stays as strong as just shown in Q2.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-01 10:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/07/goog-stock-is-worth-3554-or-30-percent-more-based-on-26-5-percent-fcf-margins/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.\n\nAlphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) just reported stellar second-quarter results,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/goog-stock-is-worth-3554-or-30-percent-more-based-on-26-5-percent-fcf-margins/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09086":"华夏纳指-U","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","03086":"华夏纳指","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/goog-stock-is-worth-3554-or-30-percent-more-based-on-26-5-percent-fcf-margins/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122171439","content_text":"GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.\n\nAlphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow (FCF) grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.\nOn July 27, Alphabet, the parent of online search engine Google that makes most of its money from advertising, reported a huge 62% revenue gain on a year-0ver-year (YOY) basis. Even on a quarter-over-quarter basis, its revenue of $61.88 billion in Q2 grew by 11.87% from $55.314 billion in Q1.\nThat implies an annualized run rate of 56.6%. So that coincides with its historical 62% YOY rate, implying that next year the company will show 57% YOY revenue growth.\nOf course, this assumes that advertising growth — and the economy in general — stay red hot.\nEstimating Google’s FCF\nBut more importantly, its FCF rose to $16.394 billion, which can beseen on page 7of the earnings release. Alphabet is one of the few companies that help investors by calculating their own FCF figures. For example, last quarter its FCF was $13.347 billion (also onpage 7 of the Q1 report). This shows that its quarterly FCF growth was 22.83% just on a QOQ basis. That implies a huge run rate growth rate, although this is not what I will use to project out its future FCF.\nI think it is better to look at Alphabet’s FCF margins to forecast its future FCF. For example, in Q2 its $16.4 billion FCF represents 26.5% of its $61.88 billion in revenue. That is a huge gain over its FCF margins. Dividing $13.347 billion in Q1 FCF by revenue of $55.314 billion shows that Q1 FCF margins were just 24.1%.\nSo, going forward let’s estimate that FCF will be 26.5% of its forecast revenue. For example,Seeking Alphashows that analystsproject 2021 revenue of $250.29 billion. That implies its 2021 FCF will be $66.3 billion this year. But this is likely now already implied or discounted in the GOOG stock price.\nWe should probably use 2022 estimates since the market will soon start valuing GOOG stock on its 2002 numbers. Seeking Alpha indicates $286.36 billion for 2022. Applying the 26.5% FCF margin to this estimate yields an FCF estimate of $75.89 billion. That is substantially higher than the estimates for 2021 FCF. We can now use this to value GOOG stock.\nWhat GOOG Stock Is Now Worth\nOne way to value GOOG stock is to use its historical FCF yield and apply it to our future FCF estimate. For example, in the trailing 12 months (TTM) to June 30, Alphabet produced $58.536 billion in FCF. This can be seen onSeeking Alpha’shistorical FCF pageby subtracting its TTM capex from its TTM cash flow from operations. Here is how we will use this.\nFirst, we calculate its historical TTM FCF yield. For example, the company now has a market capitalization of $1.826 trillion, according toYahoo! Finance, which usually has the best calculations. Therefore, if we divide its TTM FCF of $58.536 by its $1,826 billion market cap, the FCF yield works out to 3.2%.\nNext, we can divide our forecast of $75.89 billion in 2022 FCF by its TTM FCF yield of 3.2%. That derives a new target market value of $2.37 trillion. In other words, GOOG stock has a target market cap that is 29.88% higher than today’s price. Therefore, using yesterday’s closing price of $2,730.81, its target price is $3,546 per share.\nWhat To Do With GOOG Stock\nIn other words, starting with the company’s much higher FCF margins and projecting these out against 2022 revenue, GOOG stock should rise at least 30% sometime over the next year. That assumes a fairly high 3.2% FCF yield. It is very possible that the yield could rise, which would lower the target price.\nFor example, consider this. Above, we projected that Alphabet will produce $66.3 billion in FCF this year. But that represents a higher 3.63% FCF yield on today’s $1,826 billion market cap. Applying this higher 3.63% FCF yield to its 2022 estimates would result in a lower price target than my 30% expected gain.\nI don’t think that is what will happen in reality. Don’t forget that we assume that the company will have a much higher FCF margin in 2022 than its historical TTM FCF. Therefore, the value of the company should be higher. That implies the FCF yield should be low such as the 3.2% FCF yield I used. If you are following me so far, this means that my projections are likely to come to pass on a historical basis, albeit in the future.\nBottom line — GOOG stock is a buy, as it is likely to move at least 30% higher assuming its FCF stays as strong as just shown in Q2.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802903469,"gmtCreate":1627703446251,"gmtModify":1703494991147,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/802903469","repostId":"1106964638","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802903547,"gmtCreate":1627703437589,"gmtModify":1703494990653,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/802903547","repostId":"1106964638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106964638","pubTimestamp":1627689499,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106964638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106964638","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs rep","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJuly jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 07:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1106964638","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “game changer” since a strong number could encourage the Federal Reserve to tighten policy, while a weak number could delay it from paring back bond purchases.\n\nFriday’s jobs report could be a catalyst that helps determine whether markets are volatile or will trade like it’s the quiet dog days of August.\nMore than a quarter of theS&P 500report earnings in the coming week. The calendar includes companies in sectors such as consumer staples, insurance, pharma, travel and media. FromBooking HoldingstoViacomCBS,WayfairandKellogg, investors will be watching to see what companies say about reopening activity, supply chain disruptions and rising costs.\n“I think as much as 85% of the companies which are reporting earnings mentioned inflation on their earnings calls,” Franklin Templeton Fixed Income chief investment officer Sonal Desai said. “Inflation may not be a problem to policymakers and financial markets, which seem not to be concerned at all. It does seem to bother the people who have to buy stuff or people who produce stuff.”\nThe jobs factor\nThe Federal Reserve has said the sharp jump in inflation is just temporary, and many investors appear to be taking it in stride for now. The market is intensely focused on the central bank's other mandate: the labor market. Fed Chairman Jerome Powellsaid Wednesdayhe would like to seestrong jobs reportsbefore winding down the central bank's $120 billion a month bond-buying program.\nThe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release theJuly employment reporton the morning of Friday, Aug. 6. It's expected to show 788,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 850,000 in June, according to Dow Jones. The unemployment rate is expected to dip to 5.7% from 5.9%. Average hourly wages are expected to rise 3.9% year over year.\nIronsides Macroeconomics director of research Barry Knapp said he expects the next two monthly jobs reports will be strong, and the Fed should then be ready to announce in September that it is ready to start the slow unwind of its bond purchasing program.\nThat is an important step since it would be the first real move away from the central bank’s easy policies that were put in place in the pandemic. It would also mean the Fed would be open to raising interest rates once the tapering is completed.\n\nGame changer for markets\n\"Friday could be a game changer,\" Knapp said of the employment report. Before that, he expects stocks to trade in a narrow range.\nIf the number of jobs added in July is much higher than expected, at more than 1 million, Knapp said the market could immediately sell off on the idea the Fed would be ready to pare back its bond purchases.\nIf the number is weaker than expected, the market could rally. \"We are in a dead period after earnings, with concerns about the pace of the reopening. It's still a bit of a question mark. The bias would be higher after a weak number. ... Bad is good. Good is bad,\" said Knapp.\nLike some other strategists, he expects tosee a stock market correction,possibly later this summer.\n“I’m in the camp where I think we’re going to have our first major correction.” Knapp said. “What we’re likely to get is at least 10% or more. ... It could really happen when they [Fed officials] make the announcement in September.”\nWilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley said he expects just 350,000 jobs, based on the high frequency data he watches.\n“We think the run rate is about 500,000 jobs. Last month seems a little bit overcooked,” he said.\nReflation trade\nTheS&P 500was down 0.4% in the past week, finishing at 4,395, while the Nasdaq lost even more , down 1.1% at 14,672.\nCyclical stocks were among the best performers. Materials jumped 2.8% in the week, and energy shares were up 1.6%. Financials gained 0.7%. But tech fell 0.7%.\nKnapp said it now makes sense to hold stocks that are in the reflation trade, such as energy, industrials or materials.\nThe surge in the delta variant of the coronavirus has become a worry among investors and has been a factor holding down interest rates. The 10-year yield, which moves opposite price, has held at low levels and was at 1.23% on Friday, amid concern that the delta variant of the coronavirus could slow growth.\nInvestors will be watching other important data in the coming week, including theInstitute for Supply Management’smanufacturing data Monday, andjobless claimsand trade data Thursday.\nThe China trade\nChina was also a dominant market story in the past week and could continue to be. Hong Kong’sHang SengIndexfell5% for the week. Chinese regulators continued theircrackdown on internet companies, publicly traded education companies and other industries.\nStrategists say Beijing is trying to reclaim its biggest companies as its own and turn them away from listings in foreign markets. Officials were particularly upset withDidi Globalwhichreportedly went public even after being warned not toby Beijing.\nChinese regulators reportedly spoke with international banksafter their actions sparked a wave of selling in internet stocks and the broader Chinese stock market. The regulators saidcompanies could continue to go publicin the U.S. if they met listing requirements.\n“We will continue to see regulators try to calm the waters. I would say this was a communications misstep,” said Franklin Templeton’s Desai. “You don’t have massive swings without having negative impact.” She added it sent ripples through emerging markets.\n“This is China trying to gain control, and they tried to do it in a very heavy way, and they were surprised at the backlash,” Desai said.\nTheKraneShares CSI China Internet ETFhas lost about half its value from its peak in February, and was down another 2.6% Friday.\nInternet retailerAlibabais one of the ETF’s top holdings. The company is expected to announce earnings on Tuesday.\nWeek ahead calendarMonday\nEarnings:Take-Two Interactive,Mosaic,Vornado Realty,Eastman Chemical, Simon Property,Transocean,Pioneer Natural Resources, Reynolds Consumer Products, ON Semiconductor, NXP Semiconductor, AXA, Loews\n9:45 a.m. Manufacturing PMI\n10:00 a.m. ISM manufacturing\n10:00 a.m. Construction spending\n10:00 am. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren\n2:00 p.m. Senior loan officer survey\nTuesday\nEarnings:Alibaba,Amgen, Eli Lilly,Clorox, KKR,Under Armour, Eaton, Discovery, Pitney Bowes,Marriott,ConocoPhillips, Activision Blizzard,Avis Budget,Public Storage, Devon Energy, Jacobs Engineering, Bausch Health, Incyte, Philips 66,Ralph Lauren,Expeditors International,Nikola,Warner Music\n10:00 a.m. Factory orders\n11:00 a.m. New York Fed release on household debt and credit\nWednesday\nEarnings:Booking Holdings,CVS Health, GM, Etsy,MGM Resorts,Allstate,Uber,Fox Corp., Electronic Arts, Roku,Kraft Heinz,Toyota, Sony,AmerisourceBergen,Marathon Petroleum, BorgWarner, Entergy, Apollo Global Management, New York Times,Scotts Miracle-Gro, Tupperware,MetLife,IAC/Interactive\n8:15 a.m. ADP employment\n9:45 a.m. Services PMI\n10:00 a.m. ISM services\nThursday\nVehicle sales\nEarnings:Regeneron,ViacomCBS, Beyond Meat, DropBox,Expedia,Sprouts Farmers Market, TrueCar, Shake Shack,Square, TripAdvisor, Cushman and Wakefield,Kellogg,Cigna, Zillow, Lions Gate, Ambac, Virgin Galactic,Motorola Solutions,Zynga, Illumina, AIG, SeaWorld, Cardinal Health,Duke Energy, Thomson Reuters,Datadog,Eventbrite,NRG Energy,Choice Hotels,Parker-Hannifin,Wayfair,Zoetis\n8:30 a.m. Initial jobless claims\n8:30 a.m. International trade\nFriday\nEarnings:Liberty Broadband, Liberty Media, AMC Networks,Draftkings, Fluor, Gannett,Canopy Growth,Nuance Communiciations,Goodyear Tire\n8:30 a.m. Employment report\n10:00 a.m. Wholesale trade\n3:00 p.m. Consumer credit","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800475858,"gmtCreate":1627315569174,"gmtModify":1703487544386,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800475858","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800475195,"gmtCreate":1627315549117,"gmtModify":1703487545050,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800475195","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800476957,"gmtCreate":1627315371879,"gmtModify":1703487541410,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800476957","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100647798","pubTimestamp":1627313442,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100647798?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Face High Expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100647798","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple  for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>\n <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>\n <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p>\n<p>For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p>\n<p>Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p>\n<p>I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p>\n<p>I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p>\n<p>For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p>\n<p>I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p>\n<p>The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p>\n<p>A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p>\n<p>In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Face High Expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Face High Expectations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100647798","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.\nFor the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.\n(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)\nApple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.\nI'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.\nI'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.\nFor the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.\nI hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.\nThe major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.\nA strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151176217,"gmtCreate":1625069261839,"gmtModify":1703735512116,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Got prize","listText":"Got prize","text":"Got prize","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b5ea268e4ca403444e714aad4010526","width":"1080","height":"2732"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151176217","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161609878,"gmtCreate":1623920319794,"gmtModify":1703823526354,"author":{"id":"3586992646932529","authorId":"3586992646932529","name":"Rameshk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b692c259734238507568ecc164bb4f7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586992646932529","authorIdStr":"3586992646932529"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join to get Tesla share","listText":"Join to get Tesla share","text":"Join to get Tesla share","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efe6d96bb196c924551500a9be8844ee","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161609878","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}