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shoude

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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-09
  //@carroll: Halo
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-08
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-07
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  The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets
  SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a h
  The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-06
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-05
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  U.S. Jobs Picture Mixed As Fed Policymakers Ponder Rate-Hike Pivot
  (Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers were provided only a few signs of encouragement on Friday as new data showed another month of robust U.S. job gains, underscoring concerns their campaign to hi
  U.S. Jobs Picture Mixed As Fed Policymakers Ponder Rate-Hike Pivot
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-03
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-11-01
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  3 Warren Buffett Stocks That Are Screaming Buys in November
  The Oracle of Omaha's investment portfolio has three surefire bargains hiding in plain sight.
  3 Warren Buffett Stocks That Are Screaming Buys in November
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-10-31
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-10-30
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  Is Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?
  SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up d
  Is Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?
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- shoudeshoude
  ·2022-10-28
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please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987687981","repostId":"1185151450","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987941375,"gmtCreate":1667801605397,"gmtModify":1676537965824,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987941375","repostId":"2281610820","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281610820","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667807101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281610820?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-07 15:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281610820","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a h","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.</li><li>That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.</li><li>That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a hot CPI report this week.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cc42f1e635803106456c259f171cff8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>nonnie192</span></p><p>With the consumer price index on deck, it will be another big week for markets. The CPI report has been a market-moving event for the last few months, and the October report comes Thursday, November 10.</p><h2>Estimates MayBe Too Low</h2><p>Consensus estimates may prove too low again for both headline and core CPI. For October, CPI is estimated to have risen by 7.9%, down from September&#39;s reading of 8.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI is estimated to have increased by 6.5%, down from September&#39;s 6.6%. The problem is that CPI and core CPI have met or beaten estimates in 10 out of the last 12 months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd4688576daa932d914779de59158c90\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>The Cleveland Fed is forecasting much higher inflation than current consensus estimates. For headline CPI, the Cleveland Fed indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.1%; for core CPI, it estimates 6.6%. If the Cleveland Fed is correct, analysts&#39; consensus estimates may prove too low and by as much as 0.2% for CPI and 0.1% for core CPI.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac2f0dc543236e7ac4387176c853c7c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>The problem is that the Cleveland Fed has historically underestimated the actual CPI results. Over the last 19 months&#39; headline, CPI has beaten the Cleveland Fed estimates 16 times, and core CPI has come hotter than the Cleveland Fed estimates 14 times.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34974181aab4ed5c801839bab47acdca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>So if the consensus estimates for headline inflation are 7.9% and the Cleveland Fed is at 8.1%, there is a good chance that headline CPI could come in significantly higher than the consensus and may even be higher than the Cleveland Fed&#39;s estimates.</p><p>Meanwhile, consensus estimates for core CPI are 6.5%, and the Cleveland Fed estimates 6.6%; there is a good chance that core also beats.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/680999db70541d03d341c9074f1a2a8e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><h2>Markets Appear Under-Hedged</h2><p>So another hotter-than-expected CPI would undoubtedly be a shocker to markets and could create a lot of volatility. The difference between this month&#39;s CPI reading and last month&#39;s reading is that the market doesn&#39;t seem as hedged going into this month&#39;s inflation readout. So a hotter-than-expected CPI could have a much different outcome than last month&#39;s more than 2% decline at the open, followed by a &#34;flash rally&#34; due to melting implied volatility and short-covering; in that case, the market appears to have been over-hedged.</p><p>Going into last month&#39;s CPI reading, the VIX was trading well above 30. This month the VIX is trading around 25. The only time this value was lower since April was heading into the August CPI report when it was trading around 20. Perhaps because the market feels that the next FOMC meeting isn&#39;t for a month, there is no need to worry about monetary policy impacts. However, a hotter-than-expected CPI will likely ramp up the hawkish rhetoric and could even put a 75 bps rate hike for December back on the table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3da64ebd4e74bb6dcf4dddf886a4f609\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>Following the hotter-than-expected September reading, the market started to price in odds for a 75 bps rate hike at the December meeting. But that expectation began to cool around October 20.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d064e948d4a633e9434c5251626603d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>However, a hotter-than-expected print would likely put the discussion for a 75 bps rate back on the table. Because the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 13 and 14, and the next CPI release date is scheduledfor December 13.</p><p>The problem is that the Cleveland Fed doesn&#39;t see CPI for November coming down. Currently, the estimates for November are 8.1%. This means that a reading that comes in below expectations for November is unlikely to have much influence at that point because the Fed will want to see consecutive months of falling inflation rates before thinking differently about monetary policy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/538a1e63e167d56ab3086a446dae2147\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>That would suggest that following a hotter-than-expected October CPI, investors are likely to scramble to buy longer-dated hedges than what they have done currently. Based on the S&amp;P 500 current implied volatility term structure, it would appear that investors are hedging for the risk of a hotter-than-expected inflation reading but doing so using the November 10 S&amp;P 500 expiration date.</p><p>Implied volatility for the November 10 S&amp;P 500 expiration date for an at-the-money option is elevated relative to the volatility of the dates before and after the CPI report. The market is currently thinking only about the actual CPI print but not thinking about the potential impacts of what comes after the report.</p><p>It is also potentially why the VIX is depressed, as investors hedge for the day of risk but not after the fact risk. This means if the next CPI report and the FOMC are at the same time, investors may scramble to buy that protection 30 days from now, pushing the VIX index up.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a91b7d0316f0ed9a2c0b6df36a775367\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>Should investors scramble to put hedges in place after a hotter-than-expected CPI report, it is a potential headwind for stocks, as rising implied volatility pushes equity prices lower.</p><p>At this point, the market may be overlooking the risk of this October CPI report this Thursday. And should it come in hotter than expected, the downside risk to equity markets is significant, and the VIX would likely surge much higher.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-07 15:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","VIX":"标普500波动率指数",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281610820","content_text":"SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a hot CPI report this week.nonnie192With the consumer price index on deck, it will be another big week for markets. The CPI report has been a market-moving event for the last few months, and the October report comes Thursday, November 10.Estimates MayBe Too LowConsensus estimates may prove too low again for both headline and core CPI. For October, CPI is estimated to have risen by 7.9%, down from September's reading of 8.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI is estimated to have increased by 6.5%, down from September's 6.6%. The problem is that CPI and core CPI have met or beaten estimates in 10 out of the last 12 months.BloombergThe Cleveland Fed is forecasting much higher inflation than current consensus estimates. For headline CPI, the Cleveland Fed indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.1%; for core CPI, it estimates 6.6%. If the Cleveland Fed is correct, analysts' consensus estimates may prove too low and by as much as 0.2% for CPI and 0.1% for core CPI.BloombergThe problem is that the Cleveland Fed has historically underestimated the actual CPI results. Over the last 19 months' headline, CPI has beaten the Cleveland Fed estimates 16 times, and core CPI has come hotter than the Cleveland Fed estimates 14 times.BloombergSo if the consensus estimates for headline inflation are 7.9% and the Cleveland Fed is at 8.1%, there is a good chance that headline CPI could come in significantly higher than the consensus and may even be higher than the Cleveland Fed's estimates.Meanwhile, consensus estimates for core CPI are 6.5%, and the Cleveland Fed estimates 6.6%; there is a good chance that core also beats.BloombergMarkets Appear Under-HedgedSo another hotter-than-expected CPI would undoubtedly be a shocker to markets and could create a lot of volatility. The difference between this month's CPI reading and last month's reading is that the market doesn't seem as hedged going into this month's inflation readout. So a hotter-than-expected CPI could have a much different outcome than last month's more than 2% decline at the open, followed by a \"flash rally\" due to melting implied volatility and short-covering; in that case, the market appears to have been over-hedged.Going into last month's CPI reading, the VIX was trading well above 30. This month the VIX is trading around 25. The only time this value was lower since April was heading into the August CPI report when it was trading around 20. Perhaps because the market feels that the next FOMC meeting isn't for a month, there is no need to worry about monetary policy impacts. However, a hotter-than-expected CPI will likely ramp up the hawkish rhetoric and could even put a 75 bps rate hike for December back on the table.BloombergFollowing the hotter-than-expected September reading, the market started to price in odds for a 75 bps rate hike at the December meeting. But that expectation began to cool around October 20.BloombergHowever, a hotter-than-expected print would likely put the discussion for a 75 bps rate back on the table. Because the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 13 and 14, and the next CPI release date is scheduledfor December 13.The problem is that the Cleveland Fed doesn't see CPI for November coming down. Currently, the estimates for November are 8.1%. This means that a reading that comes in below expectations for November is unlikely to have much influence at that point because the Fed will want to see consecutive months of falling inflation rates before thinking differently about monetary policy.BloombergThat would suggest that following a hotter-than-expected October CPI, investors are likely to scramble to buy longer-dated hedges than what they have done currently. Based on the S&P 500 current implied volatility term structure, it would appear that investors are hedging for the risk of a hotter-than-expected inflation reading but doing so using the November 10 S&P 500 expiration date.Implied volatility for the November 10 S&P 500 expiration date for an at-the-money option is elevated relative to the volatility of the dates before and after the CPI report. The market is currently thinking only about the actual CPI print but not thinking about the potential impacts of what comes after the report.It is also potentially why the VIX is depressed, as investors hedge for the day of risk but not after the fact risk. This means if the next CPI report and the FOMC are at the same time, investors may scramble to buy that protection 30 days from now, pushing the VIX index up.BloombergShould investors scramble to put hedges in place after a hotter-than-expected CPI report, it is a potential headwind for stocks, as rising implied volatility pushes equity prices lower.At this point, the market may be overlooking the risk of this October CPI report this Thursday. And should it come in hotter than expected, the downside risk to equity markets is significant, and the VIX would likely surge much higher.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984466665,"gmtCreate":1667709754157,"gmtModify":1676537955040,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984466665","repostId":"1150175524","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984205870,"gmtCreate":1667632629491,"gmtModify":1676537947284,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984205870","repostId":"2280889266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2280889266","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1667576518,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280889266?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-04 23:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Jobs Picture Mixed As Fed Policymakers Ponder Rate-Hike Pivot","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280889266","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers were provided only a few signs of encouragement on Friday as new data showed another month of robust U.S. job gains, underscoring concerns their campaign to hi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers were provided only a few signs of encouragement on Friday as new data showed another month of robust U.S. job gains, underscoring concerns their campaign to hike interest rates to bring down high inflation has yet to really bite in the labor market or wider economy.</p><p>The United States added 261,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report, well above the 200,000 gain expected by economists in a Reuters poll. Data for September was revised higher to show 315,000 jobs created instead of the previously reported 263,000, but the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.7% from 3.5%.</p><p>&#34;The data are still showing strong positive momentum in the labor market, which is not yet showing much adjustment in response to a rapid tightening of monetary policy. These data will keep the Fed on track to keep raising rates into restrictive territory,&#34; said Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.</p><p>The U.S. central bank on Wednesday raised rates by 75 basis points for the fourth consecutive meeting, but signaled it hoped to shift to smaller hikes in borrowing costs as soon as its next meeting in December as it allows time for the economy to absorb the swiftest tightening of monetary policy in 40 years.</p><p>However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell tempered that message with a warning that rate increases, while possibly smaller, will persist long enough that rates will ultimately rest higher than policymakers previously thought and that any talk of a pause was &#34;very premature.&#34; The Fed&#39;s key policy rate currently sits in a 3.75%-4.00% range.</p><p>Investors in futures contracts tied to the Fed&#39;s benchmark overnight interest rate kept their bets that a 50-basis-point rate hike in December is slightly more likely than another 75-basis-point hike following the employment report, and though traders are still are wagering on that rate rising to a 5.00%-5.25% range by March of next year, they have eased off bets of it climbing higher than that level.</p><h3>DELICATE BALANCING ACT</h3><p>The Fed is trying to thread the needle on softening the labor market enough to tamp down high job vacancy rates and wage growth, which have helped fuel inflation, without causing a sharp spike in unemployment which would see it having to ease off the throttle sooner than desired.</p><p>Persistently strong job gains also make it difficult for the central bank to let up, increasing the likelihood it has to lift borrowing costs so much that it upends the economy and triggers a painful recession.</p><p>For months the labor market has remained buoyant even as interest rates have risen and barely a dent has been made in bringing down the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. By the Fed&#39;s preferred measure, it is running more than three times the central bank&#39;s 2% target.</p><p>Friday&#39;s employment report offered some indications of progress, most notably the slowdown of job gains in some sectors. The household survey portion of the report also showed a sharp fall in employment, while the rise in the unemployment rate suggests some loosening in labor market conditions.</p><p>Annual wage growth also appears to have peaked even as average hourly earnings rose more than expected in October on a monthly basis to the highest reading since July.</p><p>That gives some weight to a closely watched forward-looking labor costs report last Friday which showed a considerable slowdown in private-sector wage growth in the third quarter, suggesting wage pressures may have peaked.</p><p>But overall pressures remain. Earlier this week, separate government reports showed U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose in September while the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week. There are still 1.9 job openings for every unemployed worker.</p><p>The wage growth data released on Friday &#34;is still too fast to be consistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation target, and with employment growth still surprisingly resilient ... this release will do little to alter the Fed&#39;s resolute hawkishness,&#34; said Michael Pearce, a senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Jobs Picture Mixed As Fed Policymakers Ponder Rate-Hike Pivot</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Jobs Picture Mixed As Fed Policymakers Ponder Rate-Hike Pivot\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-04 23:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers were provided only a few signs of encouragement on Friday as new data showed another month of robust U.S. job gains, underscoring concerns their campaign to hike interest rates to bring down high inflation has yet to really bite in the labor market or wider economy.</p><p>The United States added 261,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report, well above the 200,000 gain expected by economists in a Reuters poll. Data for September was revised higher to show 315,000 jobs created instead of the previously reported 263,000, but the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.7% from 3.5%.</p><p>&#34;The data are still showing strong positive momentum in the labor market, which is not yet showing much adjustment in response to a rapid tightening of monetary policy. These data will keep the Fed on track to keep raising rates into restrictive territory,&#34; said Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.</p><p>The U.S. central bank on Wednesday raised rates by 75 basis points for the fourth consecutive meeting, but signaled it hoped to shift to smaller hikes in borrowing costs as soon as its next meeting in December as it allows time for the economy to absorb the swiftest tightening of monetary policy in 40 years.</p><p>However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell tempered that message with a warning that rate increases, while possibly smaller, will persist long enough that rates will ultimately rest higher than policymakers previously thought and that any talk of a pause was &#34;very premature.&#34; The Fed&#39;s key policy rate currently sits in a 3.75%-4.00% range.</p><p>Investors in futures contracts tied to the Fed&#39;s benchmark overnight interest rate kept their bets that a 50-basis-point rate hike in December is slightly more likely than another 75-basis-point hike following the employment report, and though traders are still are wagering on that rate rising to a 5.00%-5.25% range by March of next year, they have eased off bets of it climbing higher than that level.</p><h3>DELICATE BALANCING ACT</h3><p>The Fed is trying to thread the needle on softening the labor market enough to tamp down high job vacancy rates and wage growth, which have helped fuel inflation, without causing a sharp spike in unemployment which would see it having to ease off the throttle sooner than desired.</p><p>Persistently strong job gains also make it difficult for the central bank to let up, increasing the likelihood it has to lift borrowing costs so much that it upends the economy and triggers a painful recession.</p><p>For months the labor market has remained buoyant even as interest rates have risen and barely a dent has been made in bringing down the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. By the Fed&#39;s preferred measure, it is running more than three times the central bank&#39;s 2% target.</p><p>Friday&#39;s employment report offered some indications of progress, most notably the slowdown of job gains in some sectors. The household survey portion of the report also showed a sharp fall in employment, while the rise in the unemployment rate suggests some loosening in labor market conditions.</p><p>Annual wage growth also appears to have peaked even as average hourly earnings rose more than expected in October on a monthly basis to the highest reading since July.</p><p>That gives some weight to a closely watched forward-looking labor costs report last Friday which showed a considerable slowdown in private-sector wage growth in the third quarter, suggesting wage pressures may have peaked.</p><p>But overall pressures remain. Earlier this week, separate government reports showed U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose in September while the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week. There are still 1.9 job openings for every unemployed worker.</p><p>The wage growth data released on Friday &#34;is still too fast to be consistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation target, and with employment growth still surprisingly resilient ... this release will do little to alter the Fed&#39;s resolute hawkishness,&#34; said Michael Pearce, a senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280889266","content_text":"(Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers were provided only a few signs of encouragement on Friday as new data showed another month of robust U.S. job gains, underscoring concerns their campaign to hike interest rates to bring down high inflation has yet to really bite in the labor market or wider economy.The United States added 261,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report, well above the 200,000 gain expected by economists in a Reuters poll. Data for September was revised higher to show 315,000 jobs created instead of the previously reported 263,000, but the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.7% from 3.5%.\"The data are still showing strong positive momentum in the labor market, which is not yet showing much adjustment in response to a rapid tightening of monetary policy. These data will keep the Fed on track to keep raising rates into restrictive territory,\" said Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.The U.S. central bank on Wednesday raised rates by 75 basis points for the fourth consecutive meeting, but signaled it hoped to shift to smaller hikes in borrowing costs as soon as its next meeting in December as it allows time for the economy to absorb the swiftest tightening of monetary policy in 40 years.However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell tempered that message with a warning that rate increases, while possibly smaller, will persist long enough that rates will ultimately rest higher than policymakers previously thought and that any talk of a pause was \"very premature.\" The Fed's key policy rate currently sits in a 3.75%-4.00% range.Investors in futures contracts tied to the Fed's benchmark overnight interest rate kept their bets that a 50-basis-point rate hike in December is slightly more likely than another 75-basis-point hike following the employment report, and though traders are still are wagering on that rate rising to a 5.00%-5.25% range by March of next year, they have eased off bets of it climbing higher than that level.DELICATE BALANCING ACTThe Fed is trying to thread the needle on softening the labor market enough to tamp down high job vacancy rates and wage growth, which have helped fuel inflation, without causing a sharp spike in unemployment which would see it having to ease off the throttle sooner than desired.Persistently strong job gains also make it difficult for the central bank to let up, increasing the likelihood it has to lift borrowing costs so much that it upends the economy and triggers a painful recession.For months the labor market has remained buoyant even as interest rates have risen and barely a dent has been made in bringing down the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. By the Fed's preferred measure, it is running more than three times the central bank's 2% target.Friday's employment report offered some indications of progress, most notably the slowdown of job gains in some sectors. The household survey portion of the report also showed a sharp fall in employment, while the rise in the unemployment rate suggests some loosening in labor market conditions.Annual wage growth also appears to have peaked even as average hourly earnings rose more than expected in October on a monthly basis to the highest reading since July.That gives some weight to a closely watched forward-looking labor costs report last Friday which showed a considerable slowdown in private-sector wage growth in the third quarter, suggesting wage pressures may have peaked.But overall pressures remain. Earlier this week, separate government reports showed U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose in September while the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week. There are still 1.9 job openings for every unemployed worker.The wage growth data released on Friday \"is still too fast to be consistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target, and with employment growth still surprisingly resilient ... this release will do little to alter the Fed's resolute hawkishness,\" said Michael Pearce, a senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985492615,"gmtCreate":1667436708138,"gmtModify":1676537917370,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985492615","repostId":"1121002610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985105892,"gmtCreate":1667339745016,"gmtModify":1676537898860,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985105892","repostId":"2280956963","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2280956963","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1667316358,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280956963?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-01 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Warren Buffett Stocks That Are Screaming Buys in November","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280956963","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The Oracle of Omaha's investment portfolio has three surefire bargains hiding in plain sight.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The investing track record of <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (BRK.A) (BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett suggests he might know a thing or two about the stock market and identifying value. Since taking the helm of Berkshire in 1965, he&#39;s created approximately $660 billion in value for shareholders (himself included) and has delivered a jaw-dropping 20.1% average annual return for his company&#39;s Class A shares (BRK.A).</p><p>Given how successful the Oracle of Omaha has been for more than a half-century, everyone from professional to everyday investors pays close attention to what he&#39;s buying and selling in Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s investment portfolio.</p><p>Buffett&#39;s portfolio is also a great place to start when you&#39;re looking for stock-buying ideas during a bear market pullback. Though Berkshire Hathaway holds around four dozen securities in its investment portfolio, three Warren Buffett stocks stand out as plain-as-day screaming buys in November.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></h2><p>The first Warren Buffett stock just begging to be bought as we near the home stretch of 2022 is healthcare juggernaut <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a>, or J&amp;J for short. Although J&amp;J is contending with poor investor sentiment, it&#39;s a company that continues to fire on all cylinders.</p><p>Healthcare stocks are one of the smartest places to put your money to work during a bear market. No matter how poorly the U.S. economy performs or how negative investor sentiment turns, we don&#39;t have the ability to control when we get sick or what ailment(s) we develop. There will always be demand for prescription drugs, medical devices, and healthcare services, which means J&amp;J is predominantly inflation-and-recession-proof.</p><p>Though a stronger U.S. dollar is hurting sales for multinational companies like Johnson &amp; Johnson, a deeper dive reveals that everything is fine from an operating standpoint. Excluding currency movements, pharmaceutical and medical technology (MedTech) segment sales are respectively higher by 10.2% and 6.6% through the first nine months of 2022.</p><p>One of the primary reasons J&amp;J has been able to deliver adjusted sales growth and earnings growth in the high single digits for such a long time is its diverse operating segments. For instance, the company has shifted its focus to higher-margin drug sales over the past decade. But since brand-name drugs have relatively short periods of sales exclusivity, the company can rely on its MedTech segment to pick up the slack when certain therapies are exposed to biosimilar or generic competition.</p><p>Another reason J&amp;J is such a rock-solid investment is its capital-return program and balance sheet. Johnson &amp; Johnson has raised its base annual dividend for 60 consecutive years, and is one of only two publicly traded companies that sports the highest credit rating (AAA) issued by Standard &amp; Poor&#39;s, a division of <b>S&amp;P Global</b>. J&amp;J&#39;s credit rating is higher than that of the U.S. federal government.</p><p>At a time when investors are looking for safety and value, Johnson &amp; Johnson&#39;s sub-17 forward price-to-earnings ratio and 2.6% dividend yield stand out like a beacon.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USB\">U.S. Bancorp</a></h2><p>A second Warren Buffett stock that&#39;s a screaming buy in November is <b>U.S. Bancorp</b> (USB), the parent company of U.S. Bank. Despite recessionary fears weighing on cyclical sectors, such as financials, U.S. Bancorp is one of a handful of financial stocks positioned to thrive, even in a challenging economic environment.</p><p>One of the biggest tailwinds for bank stocks at the moment is Federal Reserve monetary policy. Normally, a weaker economy and/or plunging stock market would encourage the nation&#39;s central bank to ease interest rates or offer some form of quantitative easing measures. But with inflation hitting four-decade highs in June, the Fed has had no choice but to aggressively raise rates into a bear market.</p><p>Banks with outstanding variable-rate loans are benefiting via widening net interest margin and higher net interest income. In U.S. Bancorp&#39;s case, its net interest income jumped nearly 21% year over year in the August-ended quarter.</p><p>Another important factor working in U.S. Bancorp&#39;s favor is the fiscal prudence of its management team. During the financial crisis between 2007 and 2009, most money-center banks were clobbered by riskier derivative investments they&#39;d made that ultimately backfired.</p><p>U.S. Bancorp largely avoided this mess thanks to its focus on what I call the bread and butter of banking: growing loans and deposits. While growing loans and deposits isn&#39;t necessarily an exciting operating model, it&#39;s a profitable one for U.S. Bancorp that&#39;s led to superior return on assets when compared to other big banks.</p><p>U.S. Bancorp is also setting the standard when it comes to digital engagement. By the end of August, 82% of the company&#39;s total active customers were banking online or via mobile app. Equally important, 62% of loan sales were completed digitally. For banks, digital sales cost a fraction of what in-person or phone-based interactions run. This sizable digital presence has allowed the company to consolidate some of its branches and minimize increases in noninterest expenses.</p><p>Investors have an opportunity to buy one of the best-run banks on the planet for less than 9 times forward earnings, and they&#39;ll receive a 4.5% annual dividend yield for their patience. That&#39;s a steal of a deal.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a></h2><p>The third Warren Buffett stock that&#39;s a screaming buy in November is FAANG stock <b>Amazon</b> (AMZN). Although the company&#39;s third-quarter operating results signaled some near-term struggles, Wall Street and investors seem to be overlooking the key performance indicators that matter most.</p><p>For most investors and consumers, Amazon&#39;s dominant online marketplace is what comes to mind when the &#34;Amazon&#34; name is brought up. This year, Amazon should account for more U.S. online retail sales revenue than its next 14-closest competitors, <i>combined</i>. However, retail demand is slowing as high inflation bites into the pocketbooks of low-earning workers, which is why the company&#39;s fourth-quarter sales forecast badly missed the mark.</p><p>But even though Amazon&#39;s online marketplace is its top revenue producer, it&#39;s not a particularly important segment when it comes to operating cash flow. Online retail sales margins are usually very low. Rather, it&#39;s the company&#39;s higher-margin trio of Amazon Web Services (AWS), advertising services, and subscription services that are key to operating cash flow growth.</p><p>Cloud infrastructure segment AWS commands nearly a third of global cloud-service spending, according to Canalys. Cloud growth is still in its early stages, and the high margins associated with the cloud lead to significant operating income for Amazon. Through the first nine months of 2022, AWS has accounted for 16% of the company&#39;s net sales, as well as all of its operating income (since the retail segments have produced operating losses).</p><p>Likewise, subscription services (e.g., Prime) and advertising services are growing by double-digit percentages. Excluding currency movements, subscription service and advertising service sales grew by 14% and 30%, respectively, in the recently ended quarter. The segments that really matter to Amazon&#39;s cash flow are doing just fine.</p><p>That brings me to the final point: Amazon&#39;s cash flow. Though earnings per share is a common tool used by investors to value publicly traded companies, it works poorly with Amazon, given that the company reinvests most of its operating cash flow back into the business. During the 2010s, investors willingly paid a median end-year multiple of 30 times cash flow to own Amazon stock. You can buy shares today for about 9 times Wall Street&#39;s forecast cash flow for the company in 2025. That&#39;s incredibly cheap for a winner like Amazon.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Warren Buffett Stocks That Are Screaming Buys in November</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Warren Buffett Stocks That Are Screaming Buys in November\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-01 23:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/01/3-warren-buffett-stocks-screaming-buys-in-november/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The investing track record of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett suggests he might know a thing or two about the stock market and identifying value. Since taking the helm of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/01/3-warren-buffett-stocks-screaming-buys-in-november/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","AMZN":"亚马逊","USB":"美国合众银行"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/01/3-warren-buffett-stocks-screaming-buys-in-november/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280956963","content_text":"The investing track record of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett suggests he might know a thing or two about the stock market and identifying value. Since taking the helm of Berkshire in 1965, he's created approximately $660 billion in value for shareholders (himself included) and has delivered a jaw-dropping 20.1% average annual return for his company's Class A shares (BRK.A).Given how successful the Oracle of Omaha has been for more than a half-century, everyone from professional to everyday investors pays close attention to what he's buying and selling in Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio.Buffett's portfolio is also a great place to start when you're looking for stock-buying ideas during a bear market pullback. Though Berkshire Hathaway holds around four dozen securities in its investment portfolio, three Warren Buffett stocks stand out as plain-as-day screaming buys in November.Johnson & JohnsonThe first Warren Buffett stock just begging to be bought as we near the home stretch of 2022 is healthcare juggernaut Johnson & Johnson, or J&J for short. Although J&J is contending with poor investor sentiment, it's a company that continues to fire on all cylinders.Healthcare stocks are one of the smartest places to put your money to work during a bear market. No matter how poorly the U.S. economy performs or how negative investor sentiment turns, we don't have the ability to control when we get sick or what ailment(s) we develop. There will always be demand for prescription drugs, medical devices, and healthcare services, which means J&J is predominantly inflation-and-recession-proof.Though a stronger U.S. dollar is hurting sales for multinational companies like Johnson & Johnson, a deeper dive reveals that everything is fine from an operating standpoint. Excluding currency movements, pharmaceutical and medical technology (MedTech) segment sales are respectively higher by 10.2% and 6.6% through the first nine months of 2022.One of the primary reasons J&J has been able to deliver adjusted sales growth and earnings growth in the high single digits for such a long time is its diverse operating segments. For instance, the company has shifted its focus to higher-margin drug sales over the past decade. But since brand-name drugs have relatively short periods of sales exclusivity, the company can rely on its MedTech segment to pick up the slack when certain therapies are exposed to biosimilar or generic competition.Another reason J&J is such a rock-solid investment is its capital-return program and balance sheet. Johnson & Johnson has raised its base annual dividend for 60 consecutive years, and is one of only two publicly traded companies that sports the highest credit rating (AAA) issued by Standard & Poor's, a division of S&P Global. J&J's credit rating is higher than that of the U.S. federal government.At a time when investors are looking for safety and value, Johnson & Johnson's sub-17 forward price-to-earnings ratio and 2.6% dividend yield stand out like a beacon.U.S. BancorpA second Warren Buffett stock that's a screaming buy in November is U.S. Bancorp (USB), the parent company of U.S. Bank. Despite recessionary fears weighing on cyclical sectors, such as financials, U.S. Bancorp is one of a handful of financial stocks positioned to thrive, even in a challenging economic environment.One of the biggest tailwinds for bank stocks at the moment is Federal Reserve monetary policy. Normally, a weaker economy and/or plunging stock market would encourage the nation's central bank to ease interest rates or offer some form of quantitative easing measures. But with inflation hitting four-decade highs in June, the Fed has had no choice but to aggressively raise rates into a bear market.Banks with outstanding variable-rate loans are benefiting via widening net interest margin and higher net interest income. In U.S. Bancorp's case, its net interest income jumped nearly 21% year over year in the August-ended quarter.Another important factor working in U.S. Bancorp's favor is the fiscal prudence of its management team. During the financial crisis between 2007 and 2009, most money-center banks were clobbered by riskier derivative investments they'd made that ultimately backfired.U.S. Bancorp largely avoided this mess thanks to its focus on what I call the bread and butter of banking: growing loans and deposits. While growing loans and deposits isn't necessarily an exciting operating model, it's a profitable one for U.S. Bancorp that's led to superior return on assets when compared to other big banks.U.S. Bancorp is also setting the standard when it comes to digital engagement. By the end of August, 82% of the company's total active customers were banking online or via mobile app. Equally important, 62% of loan sales were completed digitally. For banks, digital sales cost a fraction of what in-person or phone-based interactions run. This sizable digital presence has allowed the company to consolidate some of its branches and minimize increases in noninterest expenses.Investors have an opportunity to buy one of the best-run banks on the planet for less than 9 times forward earnings, and they'll receive a 4.5% annual dividend yield for their patience. That's a steal of a deal.AmazonThe third Warren Buffett stock that's a screaming buy in November is FAANG stock Amazon (AMZN). Although the company's third-quarter operating results signaled some near-term struggles, Wall Street and investors seem to be overlooking the key performance indicators that matter most.For most investors and consumers, Amazon's dominant online marketplace is what comes to mind when the \"Amazon\" name is brought up. This year, Amazon should account for more U.S. online retail sales revenue than its next 14-closest competitors, combined. However, retail demand is slowing as high inflation bites into the pocketbooks of low-earning workers, which is why the company's fourth-quarter sales forecast badly missed the mark.But even though Amazon's online marketplace is its top revenue producer, it's not a particularly important segment when it comes to operating cash flow. Online retail sales margins are usually very low. Rather, it's the company's higher-margin trio of Amazon Web Services (AWS), advertising services, and subscription services that are key to operating cash flow growth.Cloud infrastructure segment AWS commands nearly a third of global cloud-service spending, according to Canalys. Cloud growth is still in its early stages, and the high margins associated with the cloud lead to significant operating income for Amazon. Through the first nine months of 2022, AWS has accounted for 16% of the company's net sales, as well as all of its operating income (since the retail segments have produced operating losses).Likewise, subscription services (e.g., Prime) and advertising services are growing by double-digit percentages. Excluding currency movements, subscription service and advertising service sales grew by 14% and 30%, respectively, in the recently ended quarter. The segments that really matter to Amazon's cash flow are doing just fine.That brings me to the final point: Amazon's cash flow. Though earnings per share is a common tool used by investors to value publicly traded companies, it works poorly with Amazon, given that the company reinvests most of its operating cash flow back into the business. During the 2010s, investors willingly paid a median end-year multiple of 30 times cash flow to own Amazon stock. You can buy shares today for about 9 times Wall Street's forecast cash flow for the company in 2025. That's incredibly cheap for a winner like Amazon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982420998,"gmtCreate":1667234215115,"gmtModify":1676537882294,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982420998","repostId":"1152317142","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982358716,"gmtCreate":1667100975535,"gmtModify":1676537861248,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982358716","repostId":"1144002858","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144002858","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667099313,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144002858?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-10-30 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144002858","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up d","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>NVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.</li><li>NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness Oracle’s deep data repositories.</li><li>NVDA’s forward valuations look attractive and the risk-reward on the weekly chart does not look too bad.</li><li>However, institutions still continue to shun the stock, and it does not look like it will be an apt rotation candidate for those fishing in the semiconductor or AI arenas.</li></ul><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p>NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), a trailblazer in accelerated computing reports under five divisions. Over the years, the Data Center segment has grown to become a vital fulcrum of the overall story. In Q2, this division contributed $3.8bn of revenue (that is more than any other division), accounting for 57% of NVDA’s overall topline.</p><p>When things were moving along quite smoothly here, it was rather dispiriting to note that the company had become a victim of geopolitical tensions between China and the US; in late August/early September, the US government imposed new license requirements which would hinder the ability of NVIDIA to export its A100 and upcoming H100 GPUs without much encumbrances. NVDA is now in the process of working out alternative solutions to mitigate this impact, but the initial reading is that this development could prove to impact revenues to the tune of $400 mper quarter. That would imply a roughly 11% impact on the data center business which is certainly not ideal, particularly when the other large division- gaming, continues to slow down every quarter.</p><p><b>The Implications Of The Nvidia and Oracle Partnership</b></p><p>Whilst NVIDIA continues to figure out the best course of action for the Chinese market going forward, it was heartening to read about another development a few days back- the expansion of an ongoing multiyear alliance with Oracle(ORCL), which is designed to enhance Oracle Cloud Infrastructure’s (OCI) positioning with its enterprise clients (these clients will now have access to all of NVDA’s AI platforms). Needless to say, this will also provide added visibility for NVIDIA’s AI, which can only be good for further and rapid adoption from other parties.</p><p>As part of the<i>“multi-year</i>” deal, OCI will be adding<i>“tens of thousands more NVIDIA GPUs, including the A100 and upcoming H100”.</i>I believe this could be a very symbiotic connection for both entities; we know that ORCL’s databases attract a plethora of companies that use them to store chunks and chunks of raw enterprise data. But just having the data isn’t enough; you need the requisite AI-ready infrastructure, and there are not too many companies that can offer what NVDA does.</p><p>Leave aside the H100 for now, which is still in the works, but using the A100 80GB GPU, OCI could cater to a diverse set of AI workloads for its clients, particularly deep learning training, and the creation of data frames, at 3x the level of an A100 40GB GPU. One can combine the A100 GPU with Oracle’s innate low latency cluster networks and you get a landscape where enterprise clients could potentially host around 500GPUs in a cluster. The “pace” and “scale” at which this mammoth data is harnessed and made sense of (how best can we address gaps in the market, how can we speed up product development, etc.) will likely make this one of the most glimmering partnerships in the industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/998a86b67eade99a5ece0dc7df4cf263\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"598\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NVIDIA Website</p><p>I also feel this partnership with ORCL could more than negate the adverse impact of the recent geopolitical events, although, given the paucity of publicly disclosed numbers, one can’t be too certain of a definitive contract figure.</p><p>For instance, we don’t know the mix of A100 and H100 GPUs this Oracle partnership calls for; to be conservative, I’m considering only the A100 Tensor Core 80GB GPU which is priced at $13,999 as per public data (the H100 which could typically facilitate AI training at 9x the speed of an A100 GPU, will no doubt be priced at much superior rates). Then, “tens of thousands” could be any number from 10000 units to 99000 units, but assuming the A100 80GB GPU pricing, you’re looking at a potential boost of anything from $140m to $1400m. This is also unlikely to be limited to just hardware. There could also be a few additional millions linked to enterprise support work designed to make the AI software run more efficiently, across the subscription period, which could extend for a few years. We&#39;d have to wait for more clarity for the nuances of this deal, and one may likely get it on the 16th of November when they announceQ3results.</p><p><b>Closing Thoughts- Is NVDA Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>After gauging some of the other sub-plots related to the NVIDIA story, it’s fair to say that we’re looking at a rather mixed picture.</p><p>After giving up close to two-thirds of its value from lifetime highs, the forward valuations for NVDA&#39;s stock certainly look a lot more palatable. We know that the FY Jan 2023numberswill likely be nothing to write home about, with flattish revenue growth (roughly $27bn yet again) and a 24% decline in the EPS YoY.</p><p>For the FY Jan 2024 though, the narrative is likely to perk up, with expected revenue of $31.3bn and an EPS of $4.47; this would translate into a forward P/E of roughly 29x, which I believe is quite a steal when you consider that the 5-year average is a lot higher at52x! The current multiple also puts it a lot closer to the lower end of the 5-year forward P/E band of 25-99x.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46f823f616774134a1d1a57a341e959\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>The attractive valuation backdrop can be further substantiated by the level of earnings growth you’re getting at this multiple. An expected EPS of $4.47 translates to 33% bottom line growth, and with a P/E of just 29x, you’re staring at a forward PEG ratio of less than 1x! This feels criminally low for an enterprise which is at the forefront of bringing through critical next-generation tech. I remain doubtful if we will see too many instances where NVDA’s forward P/E is lower than the earnings growth on offer (just for some additional context the 5-year PEG average is above8x).</p><p>When I shift focus to NVIDIA’s weekly chart, there’s no evidence yet of a reversal from the downtrend that has been in play for close to a year. But, if you’re looking for green shoots, there’s decent probability that the stock attempts to build some sort of floor around the current levels, as it coincides with the congestion zone of $120-$160, last seen during August 2020-May 2021. Even if you’re bearish about NVIDIA’s prospects over the long-run, and think the descending channel pattern could continue to persist, the stock still offers decent risk-reward at current levels, as it is a long way from the upper boundary of the descending channel.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdbfeb274e7ac0d1691c9c38a222901\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Investing</p><p>Having said that, I suspect, for the stock to make big moves on the upside you would need the spending power of the institutional cohort; but so far, they’ve shown little inclination to get on board. In fact, the latest data shows that these guys continue to bail on the stock, with the aggregate shares owned by them, declining for yet another month, to $2.579bn.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c41d8d212f6ff24660fe36147fc3a7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>Besides, based solely on the relative strength ratio of the NVIDIA stock and other options in the semi space, it doesn’t look like the former will be a prime rotational candidate; as you can see from the image below, despite correction from the +1 levels, the current RS ratio of NVDA and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is still above the mid-point (0.55x) of the long-term range.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a844d2391e727795028c14003148672\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stockcharts</p><p>A similar takeaway can be gleaned from the image below which measures NVDA’s strength vs its peers from the robotic and AI space as represented by the Global X Robotics and AI ETF (BOTZ).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/554e89baac0ca64e463574c05c60fbaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stockcharts</p><p>To conclude, the NVDA stock is a HOLD.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-30 11:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550012-is-nvidia-oracle-partnership-expansion-good-for-outlook><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550012-is-nvidia-oracle-partnership-expansion-good-for-outlook\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550012-is-nvidia-oracle-partnership-expansion-good-for-outlook","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144002858","content_text":"SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness Oracle’s deep data repositories.NVDA’s forward valuations look attractive and the risk-reward on the weekly chart does not look too bad.However, institutions still continue to shun the stock, and it does not look like it will be an apt rotation candidate for those fishing in the semiconductor or AI arenas.IntroductionNVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), a trailblazer in accelerated computing reports under five divisions. Over the years, the Data Center segment has grown to become a vital fulcrum of the overall story. In Q2, this division contributed $3.8bn of revenue (that is more than any other division), accounting for 57% of NVDA’s overall topline.When things were moving along quite smoothly here, it was rather dispiriting to note that the company had become a victim of geopolitical tensions between China and the US; in late August/early September, the US government imposed new license requirements which would hinder the ability of NVIDIA to export its A100 and upcoming H100 GPUs without much encumbrances. NVDA is now in the process of working out alternative solutions to mitigate this impact, but the initial reading is that this development could prove to impact revenues to the tune of $400 mper quarter. That would imply a roughly 11% impact on the data center business which is certainly not ideal, particularly when the other large division- gaming, continues to slow down every quarter.The Implications Of The Nvidia and Oracle PartnershipWhilst NVIDIA continues to figure out the best course of action for the Chinese market going forward, it was heartening to read about another development a few days back- the expansion of an ongoing multiyear alliance with Oracle(ORCL), which is designed to enhance Oracle Cloud Infrastructure’s (OCI) positioning with its enterprise clients (these clients will now have access to all of NVDA’s AI platforms). Needless to say, this will also provide added visibility for NVIDIA’s AI, which can only be good for further and rapid adoption from other parties.As part of the“multi-year” deal, OCI will be adding“tens of thousands more NVIDIA GPUs, including the A100 and upcoming H100”.I believe this could be a very symbiotic connection for both entities; we know that ORCL’s databases attract a plethora of companies that use them to store chunks and chunks of raw enterprise data. But just having the data isn’t enough; you need the requisite AI-ready infrastructure, and there are not too many companies that can offer what NVDA does.Leave aside the H100 for now, which is still in the works, but using the A100 80GB GPU, OCI could cater to a diverse set of AI workloads for its clients, particularly deep learning training, and the creation of data frames, at 3x the level of an A100 40GB GPU. One can combine the A100 GPU with Oracle’s innate low latency cluster networks and you get a landscape where enterprise clients could potentially host around 500GPUs in a cluster. The “pace” and “scale” at which this mammoth data is harnessed and made sense of (how best can we address gaps in the market, how can we speed up product development, etc.) will likely make this one of the most glimmering partnerships in the industry.NVIDIA WebsiteI also feel this partnership with ORCL could more than negate the adverse impact of the recent geopolitical events, although, given the paucity of publicly disclosed numbers, one can’t be too certain of a definitive contract figure.For instance, we don’t know the mix of A100 and H100 GPUs this Oracle partnership calls for; to be conservative, I’m considering only the A100 Tensor Core 80GB GPU which is priced at $13,999 as per public data (the H100 which could typically facilitate AI training at 9x the speed of an A100 GPU, will no doubt be priced at much superior rates). Then, “tens of thousands” could be any number from 10000 units to 99000 units, but assuming the A100 80GB GPU pricing, you’re looking at a potential boost of anything from $140m to $1400m. This is also unlikely to be limited to just hardware. There could also be a few additional millions linked to enterprise support work designed to make the AI software run more efficiently, across the subscription period, which could extend for a few years. We'd have to wait for more clarity for the nuances of this deal, and one may likely get it on the 16th of November when they announceQ3results.Closing Thoughts- Is NVDA Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?After gauging some of the other sub-plots related to the NVIDIA story, it’s fair to say that we’re looking at a rather mixed picture.After giving up close to two-thirds of its value from lifetime highs, the forward valuations for NVDA's stock certainly look a lot more palatable. We know that the FY Jan 2023numberswill likely be nothing to write home about, with flattish revenue growth (roughly $27bn yet again) and a 24% decline in the EPS YoY.For the FY Jan 2024 though, the narrative is likely to perk up, with expected revenue of $31.3bn and an EPS of $4.47; this would translate into a forward P/E of roughly 29x, which I believe is quite a steal when you consider that the 5-year average is a lot higher at52x! The current multiple also puts it a lot closer to the lower end of the 5-year forward P/E band of 25-99x.YChartsThe attractive valuation backdrop can be further substantiated by the level of earnings growth you’re getting at this multiple. An expected EPS of $4.47 translates to 33% bottom line growth, and with a P/E of just 29x, you’re staring at a forward PEG ratio of less than 1x! This feels criminally low for an enterprise which is at the forefront of bringing through critical next-generation tech. I remain doubtful if we will see too many instances where NVDA’s forward P/E is lower than the earnings growth on offer (just for some additional context the 5-year PEG average is above8x).When I shift focus to NVIDIA’s weekly chart, there’s no evidence yet of a reversal from the downtrend that has been in play for close to a year. But, if you’re looking for green shoots, there’s decent probability that the stock attempts to build some sort of floor around the current levels, as it coincides with the congestion zone of $120-$160, last seen during August 2020-May 2021. Even if you’re bearish about NVIDIA’s prospects over the long-run, and think the descending channel pattern could continue to persist, the stock still offers decent risk-reward at current levels, as it is a long way from the upper boundary of the descending channel.InvestingHaving said that, I suspect, for the stock to make big moves on the upside you would need the spending power of the institutional cohort; but so far, they’ve shown little inclination to get on board. In fact, the latest data shows that these guys continue to bail on the stock, with the aggregate shares owned by them, declining for yet another month, to $2.579bn.YChartsBesides, based solely on the relative strength ratio of the NVIDIA stock and other options in the semi space, it doesn’t look like the former will be a prime rotational candidate; as you can see from the image below, despite correction from the +1 levels, the current RS ratio of NVDA and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is still above the mid-point (0.55x) of the long-term range.StockchartsA similar takeaway can be gleaned from the image below which measures NVDA’s strength vs its peers from the robotic and AI space as represented by the Global X Robotics and AI ETF (BOTZ).StockchartsTo conclude, the NVDA stock is a HOLD.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986626607,"gmtCreate":1666947401110,"gmtModify":1676537837100,"author":{"id":"3587029173183468","authorId":"3587029173183468","name":"shoude","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587029173183468","authorIdStr":"3587029173183468"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986626607","repostId":"1111381357","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}