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- WendylowsjWendylowsj
  ·2021-07-02
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  NIO Vs BYD Auto: Which EV Stock Is A Good Buy?
  China is a leading EV market, and it looks like Chinese players will have it easier in their home market compared to foreign companies.Both NIO and BYD have attractive offerings on the market and employ strategies that differentiate them from competitors.NIO is the higher-growth pick, while BYD is the better value play. Both could be attractive picks for the long run.That is about half as much as the gains experienced by NIO, but slightly more than the gains experienced by Tesla. Overall, a 300%
  NIO Vs BYD Auto: Which EV Stock Is A Good Buy?
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- WendylowsjWendylowsj
  ·2021-06-29
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Both could be attractive picks for the long run.That is about half as much as the gains experienced by NIO, but slightly more than the gains experienced by Tesla. Overall, a 300%","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>China is a leading EV market, and it looks like Chinese players will have it easier in their home market compared to foreign companies.</li>\n <li>Both NIO and BYD have attractive offerings on the market and employ strategies that differentiate them from competitors.</li>\n <li>NIO is the higher-growth pick, while BYD is the better value play. Both could be attractive picks for the long run.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85f5123d1a2c682db80316343dba1e5b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>baona/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>EV stocks have been strong performers in 2020 on the back of strong market growth and helpful government policies. China has turned into one of the most important markets for electric vehicles, and since the Chinese government is oftentimes accommodating to Chinese companies, it makes sense to look among Chinese EV players for exposure to this high-growth market. Both BYD Company(OTCPK:BYDDY)(OTCPK:BYDDF)and NIO Inc.(NYSE:NIO)fit that description, and they both generate compelling growth and are on a strong trajectory. They differ, however, when it comes to the strategies they utilize in order to fuel growth, and there are differences in the respective valuation as well. Depending on your investment approach, you may either favor BYD or NIO.</p>\n<p><b>NIO Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>NIO saw its shares rally massively over the last year, as they delivered gains of 600% in just twelve months:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8bdb6f898b23023b1240e557370891c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>This was easily more than what the broad market generated, and also outperformed peers such as Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA), which gained about 240% over the same time frame. It should, however, be noted that NIO experienced a steep selloff in spring 2021, as its shares declined by close to 50% between January and May, before starting to climb again in recent weeks. When we take a look at current analyst price targets, NIO has an upside of around 20%, as analysts have a target price of $60, versus a current share price of $50.</p>\n<p>When looking at NIO's valuation, we can't really use an earnings multiple here, as NIO is not yet profitable. It is pretty clear, however, that NIO, with a market capitalization of $81 billion, is priced for a lot of future growth -- which holds true for other EV pureplays as well. For reference, that is a higher market capitalization than that of many legacy auto companies, including Ford(NYSE:F)and BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY), which indicates that NIO may be aggressively valued right here, considering that it sells way fewer cars than these two companies.</p>\n<p><b>BYDDY Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>BYD Company has, like other EV players, benefitted a lot from growing EV enthusiasm over the last year, as its shares rose by 300% in twelve months:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d77e1b86412ba77229dd4779269265a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>That is about half as much as the gains experienced by NIO, but slightly more than the gains experienced by Tesla. Overall, a 300% gain in one year is, of course, outstanding -- and investors should not expect this to repeat in future years. Like NIO, BYD has experienced a steep selloff in spring, but BYD has also recovered most of that in recent weeks. Unlike NIO, BYD is profitable already, although only marginally. Shares are trading for around 130x trailing earnings today, which isn't a low valuation at all, but which compares favorably to the valuations some other EV stocks are trading at, such as Tesla, which trades for more than 600x trailing net profits.</p>\n<p><b>NIO Vs BYD Auto: Which Is The Better EV Stock?</b></p>\n<p>The EV segment of the global automobile industry experiences rapid growth, and that naturally makes EV stocks attractive as growth investments. It should, however, be noted that valuations should always be considered when investing, and depending on the price one pays for a growth investment, it may take quite some time to see gains. Investors that chased high-growth tech stocks during the dot.com bubble, for example, had to wait years for their investments to pay off if they bought at the highs. All the growth in the EV space may thus be for naught if investors chase stocks and pay a price that is too high.</p>\n<p>On top of that, the global automobile industry is, generally speaking, competitive, capital intensive, cyclical, and margins for most players are relatively low. That being said, the large growth runway for EVs means that quality EV companies will likely see their revenues and profits grow at a strong pace for many years, and thus a long-term oriented investor may still be intrigued by these stocks.</p>\n<p>NIO and BYD are employing different strategies when it comes to the EV market, and both of those strategies have merit, I believe. NIO is focused on higher-end, quality passenger EVs that are primarily sold in China, although NIO is also entering the European car market this summer. The company offers a range of different models, from sports cars to SUVs. Due to strong built quality and the usage of high-end materials, NIO cars are seen as premium products worthy of a high price in China. NIO has, despite its relatively young history, managed to build a strong brand in its home market already, which positions the company well for future success in the Chinese EV space.</p>\n<p>NIO also offers a unique Battery-as-a-Service product that allows customers to swap batteries at NIO's battery-swapping stations. This reduces the time to recharge to a couple of minutes, which compares very favorably to the significantly longer charging times of other EV models. For those that are reluctant to buy an EV because they worry about a lot of downtime, NIO's cars could thus be an EV offering that they might still consider. I see this USP as a potential long-term growth driver for NIO that should help the company gain market share in this highly competitive market. It should, however, be noted that building out these battery-swapping stations in all relevant markets will cost a lot of money, thus capital expenditures for NIO will likely be higher than those of other EV players. NIO delivered&nbsp;500%+&nbsp;revenue growth in Q1 and will deliver strong revenue growth going forward, too:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef4405a87e449cbbef819ea69e868d1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Current consensus estimates call for a 125% revenue increase this year, while revenues will grow by 63% next year and by 47% in 2023. This represents strong growth and is significantly more than what analysts expect from the current market leader Tesla, although it should be noted that NIO is growing from a smaller base.</p>\n<p>BYD is a lesser-known Chinese EV player that is nevertheless pursuing an attractive strategy as well. BYD is not focused on higher-end passenger vehicles alone, but instead is offering a wide range of commercial EVs on top of that. Its offerings include electricity-powered trucks and electricity-powered busses, for example, which have a lot of potential over the coming years. Getting rid of diesel-powered busses could lead to better air quality in dense cities, and due to low average speeds and low average distances that are driven by busses, range is not too much of a concern. BYD is also offering other electric technologies, however, including a monorail system called Skyrail that is being built in China, but also in overseas markets such as Brazil.</p>\n<p>BYD also is a major battery manufacturer, which naturally gives BYD exposure to the EV space as a whole. Even when other manufacturers are selling EVs, they oftentimes are not producing their own batteries, but instead they buy those from companies such as BYD. BYD can thus, unlike many other EV companies, also profit from the growth of its competitors. This is especially great since it is not yet known which EV company will ultimately lead the market a decade or two from now -- but it is guaranteed that the market leader will need batteries to manufacture its vehicles.</p>\n<p>BYD does, however, also produce its own passenger EVs (hybrids and BEVs), which means that it is not solely a supplier. Its Han model has been&nbsp;quite successful&nbsp;in its home market, making BYD a lesser-known but pretty successful contender for EV market share. Unlike NIO, BYD is profitable already, and its valuation seems to be one of the lowest in the EV space. This is, I believe, at least partially the result of an understaffed investor relations department. Contrasting how much information (in English) is available on NIO with how much information English-speaking investors can get on BYD shows a wide discrepancy, which likely explains why NIO is followed more widely -- despite being the smaller company. BYD generated revenue of $22 billion in 2020, and that amount is forecasted to grow to $29 billion this year, and to $34 billion in 2022. BYD is thus forecasted to grow at a rate that is somewhat slower than NIO's growth rate, but BYD's forecasted revenue for 2022 is about 4x as high as that of NIO. It thus may come as a surprise that BYD's market capitalization of $100 billion is only slightly higher than that of NIO, despite being a much larger, and more profitable, enterprise. Once again, I believe that this is at least partially caused by the fact that BYD is just not as well-known outside of China, and that many retail investors thus flock to the better-known, more prominent NIO.</p>\n<p><b>Should You Buy NIO Or BYD Auto</b></p>\n<p>As stated earlier, investing in high-growth companies will not automatically lead to steep returns, as valuations play a major role as well. NIO is the higher-growth pick, and its BaaS service and strong brand position it well for future success, I believe. On the other hand, NIO's shares are quite expensive, trading for close to 10x next year's revenue right now. BYD is a lower-growth pick, but its diversified operations across passenger EVs, commercial EVs, and its battery business will likely lead to ample revenue and earnings growth for many years nevertheless. BYD is, as one of just a few EV players profitable already, which naturally is a major plus, and BYD's much lower valuation also makes shares look attractive. Shares trade for ~3x next year's revenue, which does not seem unreasonable, considering that many other EV stocks are trading for 10x revenue or even more. The fact that BYD is backed by Buffett's Berkshire(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is also a nice-to-have.</p>\n<p>Depending on whether you prioritize growth or value, you may either prefer NIO or BYD -- both companies seem like picks with ample long-term potential, although neither are guaranteed winners, which is why don't rate either a screaming buy.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Vs BYD Auto: Which EV Stock Is A Good Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Vs BYD Auto: Which EV Stock Is A Good Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 22:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437449-nio-vs-byd-ev-stock-good-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nChina is a leading EV market, and it looks like Chinese players will have it easier in their home market compared to foreign companies.\nBoth NIO and BYD have attractive offerings on the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437449-nio-vs-byd-ev-stock-good-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","01211":"比亚迪股份","NIO":"蔚来","002594":"比亚迪"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437449-nio-vs-byd-ev-stock-good-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131141642","content_text":"Summary\n\nChina is a leading EV market, and it looks like Chinese players will have it easier in their home market compared to foreign companies.\nBoth NIO and BYD have attractive offerings on the market and employ strategies that differentiate them from competitors.\nNIO is the higher-growth pick, while BYD is the better value play. Both could be attractive picks for the long run.\n\nbaona/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nEV stocks have been strong performers in 2020 on the back of strong market growth and helpful government policies. China has turned into one of the most important markets for electric vehicles, and since the Chinese government is oftentimes accommodating to Chinese companies, it makes sense to look among Chinese EV players for exposure to this high-growth market. Both BYD Company(OTCPK:BYDDY)(OTCPK:BYDDF)and NIO Inc.(NYSE:NIO)fit that description, and they both generate compelling growth and are on a strong trajectory. They differ, however, when it comes to the strategies they utilize in order to fuel growth, and there are differences in the respective valuation as well. Depending on your investment approach, you may either favor BYD or NIO.\nNIO Stock Price\nNIO saw its shares rally massively over the last year, as they delivered gains of 600% in just twelve months:\nData by YCharts\nThis was easily more than what the broad market generated, and also outperformed peers such as Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA), which gained about 240% over the same time frame. It should, however, be noted that NIO experienced a steep selloff in spring 2021, as its shares declined by close to 50% between January and May, before starting to climb again in recent weeks. When we take a look at current analyst price targets, NIO has an upside of around 20%, as analysts have a target price of $60, versus a current share price of $50.\nWhen looking at NIO's valuation, we can't really use an earnings multiple here, as NIO is not yet profitable. It is pretty clear, however, that NIO, with a market capitalization of $81 billion, is priced for a lot of future growth -- which holds true for other EV pureplays as well. For reference, that is a higher market capitalization than that of many legacy auto companies, including Ford(NYSE:F)and BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY), which indicates that NIO may be aggressively valued right here, considering that it sells way fewer cars than these two companies.\nBYDDY Stock Price\nBYD Company has, like other EV players, benefitted a lot from growing EV enthusiasm over the last year, as its shares rose by 300% in twelve months:\nData by YCharts\nThat is about half as much as the gains experienced by NIO, but slightly more than the gains experienced by Tesla. Overall, a 300% gain in one year is, of course, outstanding -- and investors should not expect this to repeat in future years. Like NIO, BYD has experienced a steep selloff in spring, but BYD has also recovered most of that in recent weeks. Unlike NIO, BYD is profitable already, although only marginally. Shares are trading for around 130x trailing earnings today, which isn't a low valuation at all, but which compares favorably to the valuations some other EV stocks are trading at, such as Tesla, which trades for more than 600x trailing net profits.\nNIO Vs BYD Auto: Which Is The Better EV Stock?\nThe EV segment of the global automobile industry experiences rapid growth, and that naturally makes EV stocks attractive as growth investments. It should, however, be noted that valuations should always be considered when investing, and depending on the price one pays for a growth investment, it may take quite some time to see gains. Investors that chased high-growth tech stocks during the dot.com bubble, for example, had to wait years for their investments to pay off if they bought at the highs. All the growth in the EV space may thus be for naught if investors chase stocks and pay a price that is too high.\nOn top of that, the global automobile industry is, generally speaking, competitive, capital intensive, cyclical, and margins for most players are relatively low. That being said, the large growth runway for EVs means that quality EV companies will likely see their revenues and profits grow at a strong pace for many years, and thus a long-term oriented investor may still be intrigued by these stocks.\nNIO and BYD are employing different strategies when it comes to the EV market, and both of those strategies have merit, I believe. NIO is focused on higher-end, quality passenger EVs that are primarily sold in China, although NIO is also entering the European car market this summer. The company offers a range of different models, from sports cars to SUVs. Due to strong built quality and the usage of high-end materials, NIO cars are seen as premium products worthy of a high price in China. NIO has, despite its relatively young history, managed to build a strong brand in its home market already, which positions the company well for future success in the Chinese EV space.\nNIO also offers a unique Battery-as-a-Service product that allows customers to swap batteries at NIO's battery-swapping stations. This reduces the time to recharge to a couple of minutes, which compares very favorably to the significantly longer charging times of other EV models. For those that are reluctant to buy an EV because they worry about a lot of downtime, NIO's cars could thus be an EV offering that they might still consider. I see this USP as a potential long-term growth driver for NIO that should help the company gain market share in this highly competitive market. It should, however, be noted that building out these battery-swapping stations in all relevant markets will cost a lot of money, thus capital expenditures for NIO will likely be higher than those of other EV players. NIO delivered 500%+ revenue growth in Q1 and will deliver strong revenue growth going forward, too:\nData by YCharts\nCurrent consensus estimates call for a 125% revenue increase this year, while revenues will grow by 63% next year and by 47% in 2023. This represents strong growth and is significantly more than what analysts expect from the current market leader Tesla, although it should be noted that NIO is growing from a smaller base.\nBYD is a lesser-known Chinese EV player that is nevertheless pursuing an attractive strategy as well. BYD is not focused on higher-end passenger vehicles alone, but instead is offering a wide range of commercial EVs on top of that. Its offerings include electricity-powered trucks and electricity-powered busses, for example, which have a lot of potential over the coming years. Getting rid of diesel-powered busses could lead to better air quality in dense cities, and due to low average speeds and low average distances that are driven by busses, range is not too much of a concern. BYD is also offering other electric technologies, however, including a monorail system called Skyrail that is being built in China, but also in overseas markets such as Brazil.\nBYD also is a major battery manufacturer, which naturally gives BYD exposure to the EV space as a whole. Even when other manufacturers are selling EVs, they oftentimes are not producing their own batteries, but instead they buy those from companies such as BYD. BYD can thus, unlike many other EV companies, also profit from the growth of its competitors. This is especially great since it is not yet known which EV company will ultimately lead the market a decade or two from now -- but it is guaranteed that the market leader will need batteries to manufacture its vehicles.\nBYD does, however, also produce its own passenger EVs (hybrids and BEVs), which means that it is not solely a supplier. Its Han model has been quite successful in its home market, making BYD a lesser-known but pretty successful contender for EV market share. Unlike NIO, BYD is profitable already, and its valuation seems to be one of the lowest in the EV space. This is, I believe, at least partially the result of an understaffed investor relations department. Contrasting how much information (in English) is available on NIO with how much information English-speaking investors can get on BYD shows a wide discrepancy, which likely explains why NIO is followed more widely -- despite being the smaller company. BYD generated revenue of $22 billion in 2020, and that amount is forecasted to grow to $29 billion this year, and to $34 billion in 2022. BYD is thus forecasted to grow at a rate that is somewhat slower than NIO's growth rate, but BYD's forecasted revenue for 2022 is about 4x as high as that of NIO. It thus may come as a surprise that BYD's market capitalization of $100 billion is only slightly higher than that of NIO, despite being a much larger, and more profitable, enterprise. Once again, I believe that this is at least partially caused by the fact that BYD is just not as well-known outside of China, and that many retail investors thus flock to the better-known, more prominent NIO.\nShould You Buy NIO Or BYD Auto\nAs stated earlier, investing in high-growth companies will not automatically lead to steep returns, as valuations play a major role as well. NIO is the higher-growth pick, and its BaaS service and strong brand position it well for future success, I believe. On the other hand, NIO's shares are quite expensive, trading for close to 10x next year's revenue right now. BYD is a lower-growth pick, but its diversified operations across passenger EVs, commercial EVs, and its battery business will likely lead to ample revenue and earnings growth for many years nevertheless. BYD is, as one of just a few EV players profitable already, which naturally is a major plus, and BYD's much lower valuation also makes shares look attractive. Shares trade for ~3x next year's revenue, which does not seem unreasonable, considering that many other EV stocks are trading for 10x revenue or even more. The fact that BYD is backed by Buffett's Berkshire(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is also a nice-to-have.\nDepending on whether you prioritize growth or value, you may either prefer NIO or BYD -- both companies seem like picks with ample long-term potential, although neither are guaranteed winners, which is why don't rate either a screaming buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159053991,"gmtCreate":1624932427513,"gmtModify":1703848241213,"author":{"id":"4088004004027750","authorId":"4088004004027750","name":"Wendylowsj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/778e914d73b54f867bf6111cb5584be9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088004004027750","authorIdStr":"4088004004027750"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/159053991","repostId":"1186859089","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}