Option Witch | PDD at Risk of Margin Shortfall, Quarterly Revenue Likely Increases 30%
$PDD Holdings(PDD)$ is drawing attention as the Chinese multinational online commerce group and retailer prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results before the U.S. market opens on Thursday, Mar 20. So far, PDD stock has gained 12% this year.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings ReportPDD at Risk of Margin ShortfallPDD's 4Q adjusted operating margin is expected to be 25.94%, a 6.19% decline compared with the same period of 2023. That's if, like Alibaba's international digital commerce unit (AIDC), Temu incurred more costs than expected to entice both merchants and shoppers in newer overseas markets to transact on its platform. This resulted in larger-than-expected October-December losses for AIDC, including a 36% shortfall in Cainiao's profit v
Option Witch | NIO's Q4 Losses Likely Widened, Will Cost Control Drives Profitability This Year?
$NIO(NIO)$ stock is drawing attention as the EV maker prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results before the U.S. market opens on Friday, Mar 21. So far, NIO stock has gained 12% this year.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings ReportNIO’s Q4 Losses Likely WidenedAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, NIO to post revenue of 20.13 billion yuan for 2024Q4; Adjusted EPS is estimated to be -2.60 yuan. Nio's 4Q operating loss could have widened vs. 3Q's 5.2 billion yuan. Vehicle deliveries were up 18% sequentially, yet average selling prices maybe 5-10% lower, as the cheaper Onvo brand accounted for 27% of unit sales. A less favorable product mix likely curbed gross margin gains despite narrower retail discounts and higher plant utilization
Option Witch | Will Nvidia Stock Dip to $100 or Signal a Buying Opportunity ahead of GTC Conference? Five Options Strategies to Consider
Nvidia stock has fallen about 13% this month, with its stock price closing at $108.76 as of Mar 11. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate. On the other hand, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to buy the dip. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Nvidia stock.1. Moderately BearishTariff Anxiety Has Fueled Volatility in Global MarketsInvestors worried about a potential recession down the road. That exacerbated various fears in the tech sector, including around tariff threats and whether the ever-rising spending budgets pledged toward artificial-intelligence projects are sustainable.Trump’s move to widen his trade offensive comes at a hazardous juncture seven weeks into his second term. His rapid effort to
Option Witch | Tesla Stock Gets a Boost From Trump's Car Loan Interest Deduction, While "Buyers Strike" Is Still a Problem
Tesla stock dropped in recent trading days as investors considered tariffs, weak Chinese sales data, and the impact of a "buyers strike" on the electric-vehicle maker. However, it’s not all bad news for Tesla as Trump says he wants to make interest payments on car loans tax deductible if the cars are made in America. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Tesla stock.1. Bullish OutlookTrump to Make Interest Payments on Car Loans Tax DeductiblePresident Donald Trump delivered the biggest speech of his presidency yet, he stopped short of saying if he would claw back some of this week’s levies on Canada and Mexico, though Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has suggested a partial reprieve from the duties could be coming.On taxation, Trump proposed sweeping
$Sea Limited(SE)$ stock is drawing attention as the Singapore-based internet services company is scheduled to report fourth-quarter 2024 results before the US market opens on Tuesday, March 4. Shares have gained about 20% as of Mar 2 this year. Key Factors to Note Ahead of Q4 ResultsQ4 Revenue is Expected to Increase 29% YoYAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, Sea Ltd to post to report a 29% increase in revenue to $4.66 billion from $3.62 billion a year ago; Adjusted EPS is estimated to be $0.72, swings to profit YoY.Sea Limited is expected to have benefited from a strong e-commerce performance despite a highly competitive environment, maintaining its mid-20% GMV growth guidance for the year. The holiday season, a key online shopping dem
Option Witch | Nuclear Stocks Roll up and Down on AI Revolution. Smart Options Play With Modest Investment
Nuclear energy stocks rolled up and down this week. $Oklo(OKLO)$, $NANO Nuclear Energy(NNE)$, and $NRG Energy(NRG)$ all saw their shares jump around 10% on Wednesday. However, stocks tumbled in previous trading sessions on news that the demand for power from one big tech player may not be as high as expected.Since these stocks are volatile and speculative, they might be a smart place to park a modest investment to play options related to them.1. Bullish OutlookInvestors are excited about the nuclear energy outlook. Energy demand is on the rise, partly due to the rapid buildout of AI data centers. These technology campuses can use as much electricity as small cities
Option Witch | Is Microsoft’s Stock Drop a Misread? Here's What We Could Do Amid Data Center Concerns
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ stock dropped in three consective trading days. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate as it cancelled leases for AI data centers. On the other hand, falling stock price may just be a “misread” story. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Microsoft stock.1. Moderately BearishMicrosoft stock is trading between $397.9 and $418.98 this month. A bear put spread strategy may be less risky if you are not optimistic about Microsoft’s near-future performance.Microsoft Cancels Leases for AI Data CentersMicrosoft Corp. has begun canceling leases for a substantial amount of datacenter capacity in the US, a move that may reflect concerns about whether it’s buildi
Option Witch | Will Tesla Stock Dip Below $300 or Just Signal a Prime Buying Opportunity?
Tesla stock has fallen 18.3% this month, with its stock price closing at $330.53 as of Feb 24. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate. On the other hand, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to buy the dip. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Tesla stock.1. Moderately BearishWhile Tesla’s technicals and sentiment skew bearish on weak sales, a sharp drop below $300 within a month (requiring 9% decline) would need a catalyst. The options market just assigns a 21% probability to this scenario. A bear put spread strategy may be less risky if you are not optimistic about Tesla’s future performance.Tesla Sales Fall 45% in Europe as Rivals’ EV Registrations SoarTesla Inc.’s sales plunged 45% last month across Eur
$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ stock is drawing attention as the Southeast Asian ride-hailing and food delivery company prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results after the U.S. market closes on Wednesday, February 19. So far, Grab stock has gained 16% in February.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings Report:Q4 Revenue is Expected to Increase 16% YoYAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, Grab to post revenue of $757.8 million for 2024Q4, up around 16% YoY; EPS is estimated to be USD-<0.01, swings to loss YoY.Grab's upgraded 2024 guidance calls for a 2-8% sequential increase in group adjusted Ebitda in 4Q, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of sustained growth, anchored by low-to mid-single-digit revenue gains. The mobility segment coul
Option Witch | Could BigBear.ai be Next Palantir? Don't Miss This Rising AI Star!
$BigBear.ai(BBAI)$ stock has gained nearly 120% this year. This round of rally was not purely driven by speculation as the gain primarily stemmed from the company’s recent contract awards from the Department of Defense (DoD). On the other hand, optimism around Palantir’s strong 2025 outlook also lift the AI stock.Like Palantir, BigBear.ai is in the field of data analytics and AI. More specifically, the company provides different forms of predictive analytic technology. This can be used for Defense applications, but also within the Enterprise segment to optimize operations.BBAI is similar to Palantir but lacks profitability and a compelling product portfolio, making it a risky investment.Since BigBear.ai has had a strong rally this year, it’s reaso