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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2024-02-04
$Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$
$Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2024-01-21
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2024-01-21
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$
the long wait, yes!
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2024-01-18
$Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2024-01-16
$Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2024-01-16
$Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2022-10-09
Ok
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
·
2022-10-09
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Why Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed "Pivot" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom
Should you buy stocks now, or wait?Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever
Why Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed "Pivot" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2022-10-04
O
Singapore Bourse Poised To Reverse Monday's Losses
The Singapore stock market headed south again on Monday, one session after ending the five-day losin
Singapore Bourse Poised To Reverse Monday's Losses
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snowpine2005
snowpine2005
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2022-10-03
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Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week
The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barre
Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week
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Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1665281908,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2274280347?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-09 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed \"Pivot\" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2274280347","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Should you buy stocks now, or wait?Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Should you buy stocks now, or wait?</p><p>Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since stocks began their decline by roughly 25% in January of this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Federal Reserve follows through with plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% or higher, as market-based indicators and the Fed's latest batch of projections anticipate.</p><p>Global markets are on edge about the possibility of an emerging-markets crisis resulting from higher interest rates and a U.S. dollar at a 20 year high, or a slump in the housing market due to rising mortgage rates, or the collapse of a financial institution due to the worst bond market chaos in a generation.</p><p>Fears that the Fed could cause something in the global economy or financial system to "break" have inspired some to question whether the Fed can successfully whip inflation by hiking interest rates by the most aggressive pace in decades without causing collateral damage.</p><p>The Fed's efforts are already whipsawing markets almost on a daily basis.</p><p>Ongoing volatility in markets makes it difficult to ascertain when buying opportunities might arrive, said Bill Sterling, the global strategist at GW&K Investment Management.</p><h2>The peak in interest rates matters for stocks</h2><p>A look back at how the Fed has managed monetary policy compared with its own projections offers good reason to be skeptical of expectations surrounding when the Fed will shift back toward a policy of monetary easing.</p><p>It's important to remember that stocks have often reacted positively when the Fed has shifted back to cutting interest rates. Dating back to August 1984, the S&P 500 indexhas risen on average more than 17% in the 12 months (see chart) that followed a peak in the fed-funds rate range, according toSterling at GW&Kand Fed data.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e8a987c0e4f62de3ba0cd8d5759ac7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"478\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The chart also shows the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply in the year after the Fed's brought interest rates to their peak levels in prior monetary policy tightening cycles over roughly the past 40 years.</p><p>The same holds true for bonds, which have historically outperformed after the Fed's interest rate hiking-cycle reached its apex. Sterling said yields historically retreated by, on average, one-fifth of their value, in the 12 months after Fed benchmark rates peaked.</p><p>Still a factor that differentiates modern times from the persistent inflation of the 1980s is the elevated level of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. As Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, said, the weakening U.S. economy, plus fears of a crisis breaking out somewhere in global markets, are complicating the outlook for monetary policy.</p><p>But as investors watch markets and economic data, Sterling said that "backward-looking" measures like the U.S. consumer-price index and the personal-consumption expenditures index, aren't nearly as helpful as "forward looking" gauges, like the breakeven spreads generated by Treasury inflation-protected securities, or survey data like the University of Michigan inflation expectations indicator.</p><p>"The market is caught between these forward looking and encouraging signs that inflation could come off in the next year as seen in the [Treasury inflation-protected securities] yields," Sterling said.</p><p>Stocks kicked off the past week and fourth quarter with a two-day rally after major indexes ended Sept. 30 at their lowest since 2020. Those gains faded over the course of the week as Fed officials and economic data undercut investor expectations around a potential Fed "pivot" away from its program of aggressive interest-rate increases. Stocks ended the week higher, but with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up just 2% from its Sept. 30 low, while the S&P 500 trimmed its weekly rise to 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced just 0.7%.</p><p>Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Fed Governor Christopher Waller have said that policy makers have no intention of abandoning their interest-rate hiking plan, in what were only the latest round of hawkish comments made by senior Federal Reserve officials.</p><p>However, some on Wall Street are paying less attention to what senior Fed officials are saying and more attention to market-based indicators like Treasury spreads, relative moves in sovereign bond yields, and credit-default spreads, including those of Credit Suisse Inc. (CSGN.EB).</p><p>Costa at Crescat Capital said he sees a growing "disconnect" between the state of markets and the Fed's aggressive rhetoric, with the odds of a crash growing by the day.</p><p>Because of this, he's waiting for "the other shoe to drop," which could be an important turning point for markets.</p><p>He anticipates a blowup will finally force the Fed and other global central banks to back off their policy-tightening agenda, like the Bank of England briefly did last month when it decided to inject billions of dollars of liquidity into the gilts market -- although the BoE is preparing to continue raising interest rates to battle inflation</p><p>But before that happens, he expects trading in fixed-income to become as disorderly as it was during the spring of 2020, when the Fed was forced to intervene to avert a bond market collapse at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p>"Just look at the differential between Treasury yields compared with junk-bond yields. We have yet to see that spike driven by default risk, which is a sign of a totally dysfunctional market," Costa said.</p><p>See: Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitable</p><p>A simple look in the rearview mirror shows that the Fed's plans for interest-rate hikes rarely pan out like the central bank expects. Take the last year for example.</p><p>The median projection for the level of the fed-funds rate in September 2021 was just 30 basis points one year ago, according to the Fed's survey of projections. Turns out, those projections were off by nearly three whole percentage points.</p><p>"Don't take the Federal Reserve at its word when trying to anticipate the direction of Fed policy over the next year," Sterling said.</p><h2>Looking ahead to next week</h2><p>Looking ahead to next week, investors will receive some more insight into the state of the U.S. economy, and, by extension, the Fed's thinking.</p><p>U.S. inflation data will be front and center for markets, with the September consumer-price index due on Thursday. On Friday investors will receive an update from the University of Michigan's on consumer sentiment survey and its inflation expectations survey.</p><p>The inflation data will be scrutinized especially closely as investors grapple with signs that the U.S. labor market may indeed be starting to weaken, according to Krishna Guha and Peter Williams, two U.S. economists at Evercore ISI.</p><p>The September jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 263,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.55 to 3.7%, but job growth slowed from 537,000 in July, and 315, 000 in August.</p><p>But will inflation show signs of peaking or slowing its rise? Many fear that the crude oil production-quota cuts imposed by OPEC+ earlier this week could push prices higher later in the year.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed funds futures market, which allows investors to place bets on the pace of Fed interest rate hikes, anticipates another 75 basis-point rate hike on Nov. 3.</p><p>Beyond that, traders expect the fed-funds rate will top out in February or March at 4.75%, according to the Fed's FedWatch tool.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed \"Pivot\" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed \"Pivot\" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-09 10:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Should you buy stocks now, or wait?</p><p>Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since stocks began their decline by roughly 25% in January of this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Federal Reserve follows through with plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% or higher, as market-based indicators and the Fed's latest batch of projections anticipate.</p><p>Global markets are on edge about the possibility of an emerging-markets crisis resulting from higher interest rates and a U.S. dollar at a 20 year high, or a slump in the housing market due to rising mortgage rates, or the collapse of a financial institution due to the worst bond market chaos in a generation.</p><p>Fears that the Fed could cause something in the global economy or financial system to "break" have inspired some to question whether the Fed can successfully whip inflation by hiking interest rates by the most aggressive pace in decades without causing collateral damage.</p><p>The Fed's efforts are already whipsawing markets almost on a daily basis.</p><p>Ongoing volatility in markets makes it difficult to ascertain when buying opportunities might arrive, said Bill Sterling, the global strategist at GW&K Investment Management.</p><h2>The peak in interest rates matters for stocks</h2><p>A look back at how the Fed has managed monetary policy compared with its own projections offers good reason to be skeptical of expectations surrounding when the Fed will shift back toward a policy of monetary easing.</p><p>It's important to remember that stocks have often reacted positively when the Fed has shifted back to cutting interest rates. Dating back to August 1984, the S&P 500 indexhas risen on average more than 17% in the 12 months (see chart) that followed a peak in the fed-funds rate range, according toSterling at GW&Kand Fed data.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e8a987c0e4f62de3ba0cd8d5759ac7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"478\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The chart also shows the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply in the year after the Fed's brought interest rates to their peak levels in prior monetary policy tightening cycles over roughly the past 40 years.</p><p>The same holds true for bonds, which have historically outperformed after the Fed's interest rate hiking-cycle reached its apex. Sterling said yields historically retreated by, on average, one-fifth of their value, in the 12 months after Fed benchmark rates peaked.</p><p>Still a factor that differentiates modern times from the persistent inflation of the 1980s is the elevated level of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. As Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, said, the weakening U.S. economy, plus fears of a crisis breaking out somewhere in global markets, are complicating the outlook for monetary policy.</p><p>But as investors watch markets and economic data, Sterling said that "backward-looking" measures like the U.S. consumer-price index and the personal-consumption expenditures index, aren't nearly as helpful as "forward looking" gauges, like the breakeven spreads generated by Treasury inflation-protected securities, or survey data like the University of Michigan inflation expectations indicator.</p><p>"The market is caught between these forward looking and encouraging signs that inflation could come off in the next year as seen in the [Treasury inflation-protected securities] yields," Sterling said.</p><p>Stocks kicked off the past week and fourth quarter with a two-day rally after major indexes ended Sept. 30 at their lowest since 2020. Those gains faded over the course of the week as Fed officials and economic data undercut investor expectations around a potential Fed "pivot" away from its program of aggressive interest-rate increases. Stocks ended the week higher, but with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up just 2% from its Sept. 30 low, while the S&P 500 trimmed its weekly rise to 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced just 0.7%.</p><p>Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Fed Governor Christopher Waller have said that policy makers have no intention of abandoning their interest-rate hiking plan, in what were only the latest round of hawkish comments made by senior Federal Reserve officials.</p><p>However, some on Wall Street are paying less attention to what senior Fed officials are saying and more attention to market-based indicators like Treasury spreads, relative moves in sovereign bond yields, and credit-default spreads, including those of Credit Suisse Inc. (CSGN.EB).</p><p>Costa at Crescat Capital said he sees a growing "disconnect" between the state of markets and the Fed's aggressive rhetoric, with the odds of a crash growing by the day.</p><p>Because of this, he's waiting for "the other shoe to drop," which could be an important turning point for markets.</p><p>He anticipates a blowup will finally force the Fed and other global central banks to back off their policy-tightening agenda, like the Bank of England briefly did last month when it decided to inject billions of dollars of liquidity into the gilts market -- although the BoE is preparing to continue raising interest rates to battle inflation</p><p>But before that happens, he expects trading in fixed-income to become as disorderly as it was during the spring of 2020, when the Fed was forced to intervene to avert a bond market collapse at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p>"Just look at the differential between Treasury yields compared with junk-bond yields. We have yet to see that spike driven by default risk, which is a sign of a totally dysfunctional market," Costa said.</p><p>See: Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitable</p><p>A simple look in the rearview mirror shows that the Fed's plans for interest-rate hikes rarely pan out like the central bank expects. Take the last year for example.</p><p>The median projection for the level of the fed-funds rate in September 2021 was just 30 basis points one year ago, according to the Fed's survey of projections. Turns out, those projections were off by nearly three whole percentage points.</p><p>"Don't take the Federal Reserve at its word when trying to anticipate the direction of Fed policy over the next year," Sterling said.</p><h2>Looking ahead to next week</h2><p>Looking ahead to next week, investors will receive some more insight into the state of the U.S. economy, and, by extension, the Fed's thinking.</p><p>U.S. inflation data will be front and center for markets, with the September consumer-price index due on Thursday. On Friday investors will receive an update from the University of Michigan's on consumer sentiment survey and its inflation expectations survey.</p><p>The inflation data will be scrutinized especially closely as investors grapple with signs that the U.S. labor market may indeed be starting to weaken, according to Krishna Guha and Peter Williams, two U.S. economists at Evercore ISI.</p><p>The September jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 263,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.55 to 3.7%, but job growth slowed from 537,000 in July, and 315, 000 in August.</p><p>But will inflation show signs of peaking or slowing its rise? Many fear that the crude oil production-quota cuts imposed by OPEC+ earlier this week could push prices higher later in the year.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed funds futures market, which allows investors to place bets on the pace of Fed interest rate hikes, anticipates another 75 basis-point rate hike on Nov. 3.</p><p>Beyond that, traders expect the fed-funds rate will top out in February or March at 4.75%, according to the Fed's FedWatch tool.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2274280347","content_text":"Should you buy stocks now, or wait?Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since stocks began their decline by roughly 25% in January of this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Federal Reserve follows through with plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% or higher, as market-based indicators and the Fed's latest batch of projections anticipate.Global markets are on edge about the possibility of an emerging-markets crisis resulting from higher interest rates and a U.S. dollar at a 20 year high, or a slump in the housing market due to rising mortgage rates, or the collapse of a financial institution due to the worst bond market chaos in a generation.Fears that the Fed could cause something in the global economy or financial system to \"break\" have inspired some to question whether the Fed can successfully whip inflation by hiking interest rates by the most aggressive pace in decades without causing collateral damage.The Fed's efforts are already whipsawing markets almost on a daily basis.Ongoing volatility in markets makes it difficult to ascertain when buying opportunities might arrive, said Bill Sterling, the global strategist at GW&K Investment Management.The peak in interest rates matters for stocksA look back at how the Fed has managed monetary policy compared with its own projections offers good reason to be skeptical of expectations surrounding when the Fed will shift back toward a policy of monetary easing.It's important to remember that stocks have often reacted positively when the Fed has shifted back to cutting interest rates. Dating back to August 1984, the S&P 500 indexhas risen on average more than 17% in the 12 months (see chart) that followed a peak in the fed-funds rate range, according toSterling at GW&Kand Fed data.The chart also shows the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply in the year after the Fed's brought interest rates to their peak levels in prior monetary policy tightening cycles over roughly the past 40 years.The same holds true for bonds, which have historically outperformed after the Fed's interest rate hiking-cycle reached its apex. Sterling said yields historically retreated by, on average, one-fifth of their value, in the 12 months after Fed benchmark rates peaked.Still a factor that differentiates modern times from the persistent inflation of the 1980s is the elevated level of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. As Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, said, the weakening U.S. economy, plus fears of a crisis breaking out somewhere in global markets, are complicating the outlook for monetary policy.But as investors watch markets and economic data, Sterling said that \"backward-looking\" measures like the U.S. consumer-price index and the personal-consumption expenditures index, aren't nearly as helpful as \"forward looking\" gauges, like the breakeven spreads generated by Treasury inflation-protected securities, or survey data like the University of Michigan inflation expectations indicator.\"The market is caught between these forward looking and encouraging signs that inflation could come off in the next year as seen in the [Treasury inflation-protected securities] yields,\" Sterling said.Stocks kicked off the past week and fourth quarter with a two-day rally after major indexes ended Sept. 30 at their lowest since 2020. Those gains faded over the course of the week as Fed officials and economic data undercut investor expectations around a potential Fed \"pivot\" away from its program of aggressive interest-rate increases. Stocks ended the week higher, but with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up just 2% from its Sept. 30 low, while the S&P 500 trimmed its weekly rise to 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced just 0.7%.Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Fed Governor Christopher Waller have said that policy makers have no intention of abandoning their interest-rate hiking plan, in what were only the latest round of hawkish comments made by senior Federal Reserve officials.However, some on Wall Street are paying less attention to what senior Fed officials are saying and more attention to market-based indicators like Treasury spreads, relative moves in sovereign bond yields, and credit-default spreads, including those of Credit Suisse Inc. (CSGN.EB).Costa at Crescat Capital said he sees a growing \"disconnect\" between the state of markets and the Fed's aggressive rhetoric, with the odds of a crash growing by the day.Because of this, he's waiting for \"the other shoe to drop,\" which could be an important turning point for markets.He anticipates a blowup will finally force the Fed and other global central banks to back off their policy-tightening agenda, like the Bank of England briefly did last month when it decided to inject billions of dollars of liquidity into the gilts market -- although the BoE is preparing to continue raising interest rates to battle inflationBut before that happens, he expects trading in fixed-income to become as disorderly as it was during the spring of 2020, when the Fed was forced to intervene to avert a bond market collapse at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.\"Just look at the differential between Treasury yields compared with junk-bond yields. We have yet to see that spike driven by default risk, which is a sign of a totally dysfunctional market,\" Costa said.See: Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitableA simple look in the rearview mirror shows that the Fed's plans for interest-rate hikes rarely pan out like the central bank expects. Take the last year for example.The median projection for the level of the fed-funds rate in September 2021 was just 30 basis points one year ago, according to the Fed's survey of projections. Turns out, those projections were off by nearly three whole percentage points.\"Don't take the Federal Reserve at its word when trying to anticipate the direction of Fed policy over the next year,\" Sterling said.Looking ahead to next weekLooking ahead to next week, investors will receive some more insight into the state of the U.S. economy, and, by extension, the Fed's thinking.U.S. inflation data will be front and center for markets, with the September consumer-price index due on Thursday. On Friday investors will receive an update from the University of Michigan's on consumer sentiment survey and its inflation expectations survey.The inflation data will be scrutinized especially closely as investors grapple with signs that the U.S. labor market may indeed be starting to weaken, according to Krishna Guha and Peter Williams, two U.S. economists at Evercore ISI.The September jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 263,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.55 to 3.7%, but job growth slowed from 537,000 in July, and 315, 000 in August.But will inflation show signs of peaking or slowing its rise? Many fear that the crude oil production-quota cuts imposed by OPEC+ earlier this week could push prices higher later in the year.Meanwhile, the Fed funds futures market, which allows investors to place bets on the pace of Fed interest rate hikes, anticipates another 75 basis-point rate hike on Nov. 3.Beyond that, traders expect the fed-funds rate will top out in February or March at 4.75%, according to the Fed's FedWatch tool.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912225801,"gmtCreate":1664843536604,"gmtModify":1676537517075,"author":{"id":"4104801378187350","authorId":"4104801378187350","name":"snowpine2005","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/30cc314b08db312a03020e5b08d11966","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104801378187350","authorIdStr":"4104801378187350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912225801","repostId":"1124410442","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124410442","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664841928,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124410442?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 08:05","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Bourse Poised To Reverse Monday's Losses","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124410442","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market headed south again on Monday, one session after ending the five-day losin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market headed south again on Monday, one session after ending the five-day losing streak in which it had stumbled almost 150 points or 4.8 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just beneath the 3,110-point plateau although it figures to rebound again on Tuesday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asian markets is upbeat, supported by bargain hunting, rising oil prices and falling treasury yields. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are expected to open in similar fashion.</p><p>The STI finished modestly lower on Monday following losses from the plantations, financials and industrials, while the properties were mixed.</p><p>For the day, the index sank 23.15 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 3,107.09 after trading between 3,102.90 and 3,126.98. Volume was 1.1 billion shares worth 1.09 billion Singapore dollars. There were 337 decliners and 175 gainers.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT slumped 1.86 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dropped 1.04 percent, CapitaLand Investment tumbled 2.59 percent, City Developments and SATS both fell 0.66 percent, Comfort DelGro surrendered 2.27 percent, DBS Group lost 0.72 percent, Emperador retreated 2.04 percent, Hongkong Land jumped 1.58 percent, Keppel Corp skidded 1.29 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust dipped 0.58 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust weakened 1.68 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust stumbled 1.92 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation slid 0.59 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering plunged 2.79 percent, SingTel declined 2.26 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.83 percent, United Overseas Bank eased 0.34 percent, Wilmar International plummeted 3.39 percent, Yangzijiang Financial tanked 2.67 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding sank 0.97 percent and Genting Singapore and SembCorp Industries were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is broadly positive as the major averages opened higher on Monday and accelerated as the session progressed, ending near daily highs.</p><p>The Dow surged 765.38 points or 2.66 percent to finish at 29,490.89, while the NASDAQ soared 239.82 points or 2.27 percent to end at 10,815.43 and the S&P 500 jumped 92.81 points or 2.59 percent to close at 3,678.43.</p><p>The rally on Wall Street was largely due to hectic bargain hunting after recent sharp losses. Data showing that U.S. manufacturing activity slowed to its weakest pace in 30 months also helped ease concerns about aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.</p><p>Also boosting stocks, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell after British Prime Minister Liz Truss was forced to reverse course on a tax cut for the highest rate.</p><p>Crude oil prices rose sharply on Monday amid speculation that OPEC will discuss cutting crude output at their upcoming meeting on Wednesday. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for November ended higher by $4.14 or 5.2 percent at $83.63 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Bourse Poised To Reverse Monday's Losses</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Bourse Poised To Reverse Monday's Losses\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 08:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3315036/singapore-bourse-poised-to-reverse-monday-s-losses.aspx?type=acom><strong>RTTNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market headed south again on Monday, one session after ending the five-day losing streak in which it had stumbled almost 150 points or 4.8 percent. The Straits Times Index now ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3315036/singapore-bourse-poised-to-reverse-monday-s-losses.aspx?type=acom\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3315036/singapore-bourse-poised-to-reverse-monday-s-losses.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124410442","content_text":"The Singapore stock market headed south again on Monday, one session after ending the five-day losing streak in which it had stumbled almost 150 points or 4.8 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just beneath the 3,110-point plateau although it figures to rebound again on Tuesday.The global forecast for the Asian markets is upbeat, supported by bargain hunting, rising oil prices and falling treasury yields. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are expected to open in similar fashion.The STI finished modestly lower on Monday following losses from the plantations, financials and industrials, while the properties were mixed.For the day, the index sank 23.15 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 3,107.09 after trading between 3,102.90 and 3,126.98. Volume was 1.1 billion shares worth 1.09 billion Singapore dollars. There were 337 decliners and 175 gainers.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT slumped 1.86 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dropped 1.04 percent, CapitaLand Investment tumbled 2.59 percent, City Developments and SATS both fell 0.66 percent, Comfort DelGro surrendered 2.27 percent, DBS Group lost 0.72 percent, Emperador retreated 2.04 percent, Hongkong Land jumped 1.58 percent, Keppel Corp skidded 1.29 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust dipped 0.58 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust weakened 1.68 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust stumbled 1.92 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation slid 0.59 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering plunged 2.79 percent, SingTel declined 2.26 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.83 percent, United Overseas Bank eased 0.34 percent, Wilmar International plummeted 3.39 percent, Yangzijiang Financial tanked 2.67 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding sank 0.97 percent and Genting Singapore and SembCorp Industries were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is broadly positive as the major averages opened higher on Monday and accelerated as the session progressed, ending near daily highs.The Dow surged 765.38 points or 2.66 percent to finish at 29,490.89, while the NASDAQ soared 239.82 points or 2.27 percent to end at 10,815.43 and the S&P 500 jumped 92.81 points or 2.59 percent to close at 3,678.43.The rally on Wall Street was largely due to hectic bargain hunting after recent sharp losses. Data showing that U.S. manufacturing activity slowed to its weakest pace in 30 months also helped ease concerns about aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.Also boosting stocks, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell after British Prime Minister Liz Truss was forced to reverse course on a tax cut for the highest rate.Crude oil prices rose sharply on Monday amid speculation that OPEC will discuss cutting crude output at their upcoming meeting on Wednesday. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for November ended higher by $4.14 or 5.2 percent at $83.63 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912353127,"gmtCreate":1664760133169,"gmtModify":1676537503438,"author":{"id":"4104801378187350","authorId":"4104801378187350","name":"snowpine2005","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/30cc314b08db312a03020e5b08d11966","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104801378187350","authorIdStr":"4104801378187350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912353127","repostId":"1181872738","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1181872738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664751653,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181872738?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181872738","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barre","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e13c744516b1471c295a870f510c9ac1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed out a three-quarter losing streak for the first time since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted a third-straight losing quarter, its first such time since 2015.</p><p>At 269 days and counting, the benchmark S&P 500 is now in its longest correction, peak to trough, since March 2009, according to figures from Compound Advisors’ Charlie Bilello. The current 8-month bear market is the longest since 2007-2009’s downturn, with the average length of a bear market since 1929 standing at 14 months.</p><p>A survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed 60% of retail investors hold a bearish view of the stock market, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth most pessimistic reading in the 35 years the survey has been conducted.</p><p>The Labor Department’s September employment data is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday morning. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 250,000 last month, per consensus estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the figure would mark an anticipated moderation for Federal Reserve policymakers trying to tamp down the labor market in their battle against inflation – but not enough for officials to scale back on their rate hiking plans.</p><p>Strong labor market readings have stoked worries that Fed officials will stay on path with aggressive rate hikes and over tighten monetary conditions. And while strategists anticipated the impact of rate hikes showing up in employment data, figures have so far surprised to the upside. On Thursday, Labor Department data showed initial jobless claims slid to 193,000, the lowest since April, for the week that ended on Sept. 24.</p><p>Analysts at Bank of America said in a Friday note they expect strong payroll growth to continue, with indicators of labor market activity — like initial jobless claims and the Conference Board's labor market differential — that feed into the institutions projections remaining red-hot since August’s report.</p><p>“Investors are hunting for confirmation bias that inflation is abating but strong jobs data has dashed all hopes,” Thornburg Investment Management portfolio manager Sean Sun said in emailed commentary.</p><p>“While there are some signs of disinflation out there, the strong jobless claims data is as if the Fed is trying to step on the brakes of a car that still hurtling downhill at a steep angle,” Sun added. “Investors shouldn't ask if the Fed will pivot, but rather how deep into the recession we'll find ourselves before they finally act.”</p><p>Other labor market readings due out through Friday include the ADP’s employment report, which measures levels of non-farm private employment, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and the Challenger Job-Cut report, which offers information on the number of tracked corporate layoffs by industry and region.</p><p>Elsewhere in economic releases on the docket this week are ISM manufacturing and services data, construction spending figures, and a reading on total vehicle sales.</p><p>The corporate calendar will be light before a new earnings season gets underway, but some notable names on the docket include Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and McCormick (MKC).</p><p>After a brutal September — worse for the Dow than even September 2008 — some Wall Street optimists look ahead to October, which based on seasonal trends has been dubbed a “bear-market killer” due to historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years. Every time the S&P 500 has dropped 7% or more in September, stocks have done well in October, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick noted.</p><p>However, even if markets get a reprieve, a high-stakes earnings season is likely to prove any bounce fleeting, with analysts rushing to slash their year-end forecasts amid worsening fundamentals tied to persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing growth.</p><p>“Now I think for us it’s not about inflation and central banks; it’s about earnings,” Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. “The focus will be on earnings because we’re going from a moderation shock, with higher interest rates, to a growth shock. This is where we feel more worried, and next earnings season is going to be really critical.”</p><p>—</p><p>Economic Calendar</p><p>Monday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September final (51.8 expected, 51.8 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, August (-0.2% expected, -0.4% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, September (52.1 expected, 52.8 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, September (52.0 expected, 52.5 prior month); ISM New Orders, September (50.5 expected, 51.3 during prior month); ISM Employment, September (53.0 expected, 54.2 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, September (13.50 million expected, 13.18 million prior month)</p><p>Tuesday: Factory Orders Excluding Transportation, August (0.2% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Factory Orders, August (0.2 expected, -1.1% during prior month); Durable Goods Orders, August final (-0.2% during prior month); Durables Excluding Transportation, August final (0.2% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding aircraft, August final (1.3% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Shipments Excluding Aircraft, August final (0.3% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (11.075 million expected, 11.239 million during prior month)</p><p>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Sep. 30 (-3.7% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (200,000 expected, 132,000 during prior month); Trade Balance, August (-$68.0 billion expected, -$70.7 billion during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, September final (49.2 expected, 49.2 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, September final (49.3 expected, 49.3 during prior month); ISM Services Index, September (56.0 expected, 56.9 during prior month)</p><p>Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (30.3% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Oct. 1 (203,000 expected, 193,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Sep. 24 (1.387 million expected, 1.347 million during prior week)</p><p>Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, September (-107,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, September (250,000 expected, 315,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, September (275,000 expected, 308,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, September (20,000 expected, 22,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, September (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, September (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, September (62.4% expected, 62.4% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, September (7.0% prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.3% expected, 1.3% during prior month); Wholesale Trade Sales, month-over-month, August (0.5% expected, -1.4% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings Calendar</p><p>Monday: No notable reports scheduled for release.</p><p>Tuesday: Acuity Brands (AYI)</p><p>Wednesday: Helen of Troy (HELE)</p><p>Thursday: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Conagra (CAG), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), McCormick (MKC)</p><p>Friday: Tilray (TLRY)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQ4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 07:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.On Friday...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181872738","content_text":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed out a three-quarter losing streak for the first time since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted a third-straight losing quarter, its first such time since 2015.At 269 days and counting, the benchmark S&P 500 is now in its longest correction, peak to trough, since March 2009, according to figures from Compound Advisors’ Charlie Bilello. The current 8-month bear market is the longest since 2007-2009’s downturn, with the average length of a bear market since 1929 standing at 14 months.A survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed 60% of retail investors hold a bearish view of the stock market, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth most pessimistic reading in the 35 years the survey has been conducted.The Labor Department’s September employment data is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday morning. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 250,000 last month, per consensus estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the figure would mark an anticipated moderation for Federal Reserve policymakers trying to tamp down the labor market in their battle against inflation – but not enough for officials to scale back on their rate hiking plans.Strong labor market readings have stoked worries that Fed officials will stay on path with aggressive rate hikes and over tighten monetary conditions. And while strategists anticipated the impact of rate hikes showing up in employment data, figures have so far surprised to the upside. On Thursday, Labor Department data showed initial jobless claims slid to 193,000, the lowest since April, for the week that ended on Sept. 24.Analysts at Bank of America said in a Friday note they expect strong payroll growth to continue, with indicators of labor market activity — like initial jobless claims and the Conference Board's labor market differential — that feed into the institutions projections remaining red-hot since August’s report.“Investors are hunting for confirmation bias that inflation is abating but strong jobs data has dashed all hopes,” Thornburg Investment Management portfolio manager Sean Sun said in emailed commentary.“While there are some signs of disinflation out there, the strong jobless claims data is as if the Fed is trying to step on the brakes of a car that still hurtling downhill at a steep angle,” Sun added. “Investors shouldn't ask if the Fed will pivot, but rather how deep into the recession we'll find ourselves before they finally act.”Other labor market readings due out through Friday include the ADP’s employment report, which measures levels of non-farm private employment, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and the Challenger Job-Cut report, which offers information on the number of tracked corporate layoffs by industry and region.Elsewhere in economic releases on the docket this week are ISM manufacturing and services data, construction spending figures, and a reading on total vehicle sales.The corporate calendar will be light before a new earnings season gets underway, but some notable names on the docket include Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and McCormick (MKC).After a brutal September — worse for the Dow than even September 2008 — some Wall Street optimists look ahead to October, which based on seasonal trends has been dubbed a “bear-market killer” due to historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years. Every time the S&P 500 has dropped 7% or more in September, stocks have done well in October, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick noted.However, even if markets get a reprieve, a high-stakes earnings season is likely to prove any bounce fleeting, with analysts rushing to slash their year-end forecasts amid worsening fundamentals tied to persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing growth.“Now I think for us it’s not about inflation and central banks; it’s about earnings,” Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. “The focus will be on earnings because we’re going from a moderation shock, with higher interest rates, to a growth shock. This is where we feel more worried, and next earnings season is going to be really critical.”—Economic CalendarMonday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September final (51.8 expected, 51.8 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, August (-0.2% expected, -0.4% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, September (52.1 expected, 52.8 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, September (52.0 expected, 52.5 prior month); ISM New Orders, September (50.5 expected, 51.3 during prior month); ISM Employment, September (53.0 expected, 54.2 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, September (13.50 million expected, 13.18 million prior month)Tuesday: Factory Orders Excluding Transportation, August (0.2% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Factory Orders, August (0.2 expected, -1.1% during prior month); Durable Goods Orders, August final (-0.2% during prior month); Durables Excluding Transportation, August final (0.2% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding aircraft, August final (1.3% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Shipments Excluding Aircraft, August final (0.3% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (11.075 million expected, 11.239 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Sep. 30 (-3.7% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (200,000 expected, 132,000 during prior month); Trade Balance, August (-$68.0 billion expected, -$70.7 billion during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, September final (49.2 expected, 49.2 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, September final (49.3 expected, 49.3 during prior month); ISM Services Index, September (56.0 expected, 56.9 during prior month)Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (30.3% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Oct. 1 (203,000 expected, 193,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Sep. 24 (1.387 million expected, 1.347 million during prior week)Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, September (-107,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, September (250,000 expected, 315,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, September (275,000 expected, 308,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, September (20,000 expected, 22,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, September (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, September (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, September (62.4% expected, 62.4% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, September (7.0% prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.3% expected, 1.3% during prior month); Wholesale Trade Sales, month-over-month, August (0.5% expected, -1.4% during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: Acuity Brands (AYI)Wednesday: Helen of Troy (HELE)Thursday: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Conagra (CAG), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), McCormick (MKC)Friday: Tilray (TLRY)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}