To The Moon

Downturn in stock markets around the world including in Singapore since the start of 2022 might decrease our portfolio value, but on the flip side, it increases opportunities to “buy wonderful companies at a fair price”, to quote Warren Buffett, one of the greatest investors of our times.How do we uncover such wonderful companies in Singapore, one might ask? ROIC vs WACCWell, Buffett uses Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) that looks at companies efficiency in allocating capital under their control to generate returns (see formula below):ROIC Formula and Comparing ROIC – WACC of SGX (S68), Venture Corp (V03) and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (BS6). Data source: GuruFocusNext, compare ROIC with Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), the average cost of capital from all sources, common stock, pr

When Singapore’s PM Lawrence Wong toured    Beijing’s Humanoid Robot Innovation Center this week, something clicked for me. This isn’t just another tech fad - this is the real deal. As someone who’s weathered the dot-com crash, survived 2008, and actually made money during the pandemic (thank you, stay-at-home stocks), I’ve learned (hopefully) to spot the difference between hype and genuine opportunity. The humanoid robotics space is giving me the same vibes I had when I bought Tesla at $180 post-2020 split.  The Numbers Are Actually Amazing Okay, so here’s what got my attention. Goldman Sachs just completely revised their humanoid robot market projections - from $6 billion to $38 billion by 2035. That’s not a typo. They literally increased their forecast by six times.

This hits too close to home! 1. $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ is going to crash! I’ve been investing for 15+ years and thought I knew better. When $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ doubled on listing, I immediately thought “another overhyped IPO destined to crash.” Been burned by many IPOs that skyrocketed then plummeted. So I waited for the “inevitable” correction. Watched CRCL climb past $31, then $62 to $199, thinking “unsustainable.” The irony? I actually use Circle’s services and believed in their potential. But past disasters made me overly cautious. Finally bought at $248 thinking I was smart, only to watch it pull back. Classic case of fighting the last war instead of analysing the current situation. Sometimes experience makes you

My Most Embarrassing Defense Stock Win Let me share my cringe-worthy investment story from the Ukraine crisis. March 2022, I’m having coffee in Raffles Place, scrolling through Ukraine news. Everyone on Bloomberg is talking about defense stocks, so I decide to jump on this trend. But instead of proper analysis, I googled “top defense companies” and picked $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ because I remembered their old B-2 stealth bombers from documentaries. That was my entire thesis - “war means defense stocks go up.” I bought shares in early 2022 without reading their annual report. My mother would be absolutely horrified - she’s the type who researches every single purchase for weeks, comparing prices at three different supermarkets before buying rice. Sh

Are you bullish on China stocks' continued rally? The recent policy move by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) is clearly bearish for Chinese shares in the short run. The 0.5 percentage point RRR reduction releasing 1 trillion yuan of liquidity, along with upcoming SME finance stimulus, represents significant monetary stimulus. This tends to provide an immediate boost to equity markets. But I'm optimistic but cautiously so, instead of being extremely bullish. To sustain a rally, China must resolve more systemic economic issues over and above liquidity injections, such as: - Weakness in the property sector - Consumer confidence problems - Regulatory uncertainties persisting - Strtuctural growth problems The initial market response is encouraging, but long-term momentum will hinge on whether

$SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG)$ not as good as index performance but still positive 

Maybe he is just early. Trade safe! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ on Wed down 60.91 to close at 4186 is confluence of support and daily 200 SMA at 4180.  Could bounce hard, but if breaks support, watch out below 

n

[Smile] 

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  first move likely fake then....

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  likely down or too many eyes watching and reverse occurs