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NyanML

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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2023-06-29
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2023-05-25
  $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2022-04-04
  Ok Good read.
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2022-04-03
  Thanks
  Want $2,000 in Passive Income? Invest $10,000 in These 3 Monster Dividend Stocks and Wait 5 Years
  The market has rebounded, but no one knows if the sell-off is over.
  Want $2,000 in Passive Income? Invest $10,000 in These 3 Monster Dividend Stocks and Wait 5 Years
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2022-03-28
  Thanks
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2022-03-27
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  Stock-Market Investors Should Watch the "Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead"
  Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of p
  Stock-Market Investors Should Watch the "Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead"
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2022-03-24
  Thanks
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- NyanMLNyanML
  ·2022-03-14
  Ok
  Warren Buffett Isn't Done Buying Occidental Petroleum: How Many More Shares Did Berkshire Pick Up?
  An SEC filing on Friday revealed Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B) CEO Warren Buffett p
  Warren Buffett Isn't Done Buying Occidental Petroleum: How Many More Shares Did Berkshire Pick Up?
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192478714454176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970789761,"gmtCreate":1684975505354,"gmtModify":1684975507192,"author":{"id":"4108870550247850","authorId":"4108870550247850","name":"NyanML","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e62974025a8567f6f337320a76a33efd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108870550247850","authorIdStr":"4108870550247850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970789761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9018630502,"gmtCreate":1649031103636,"gmtModify":1676534438041,"author":{"id":"4108870550247850","authorId":"4108870550247850","name":"NyanML","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e62974025a8567f6f337320a76a33efd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108870550247850","authorIdStr":"4108870550247850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok Good read.","listText":"Ok Good read.","text":"Ok Good 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09:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want $2,000 in Passive Income? Invest $10,000 in These 3 Monster Dividend Stocks and Wait 5 Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2224232249","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The market has rebounded, but no one knows if the sell-off is over.","content":"<div>\n<p>Since March 14, the Nasdaq Composite has rallied 13%, the S&P 500 is up 8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 5% as investors digest rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and other ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/want-2000-in-passive-income-invest-10000-in-these/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want $2,000 in Passive Income? Invest $10,000 in These 3 Monster Dividend Stocks and Wait 5 Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant $2,000 in Passive Income? Invest $10,000 in These 3 Monster Dividend Stocks and Wait 5 Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-03 09:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/want-2000-in-passive-income-invest-10000-in-these/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Since March 14, the Nasdaq Composite has rallied 13%, the S&P 500 is up 8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 5% as investors digest rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and other ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/want-2000-in-passive-income-invest-10000-in-these/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLX":"高乐氏","SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/want-2000-in-passive-income-invest-10000-in-these/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2224232249","content_text":"Since March 14, the Nasdaq Composite has rallied 13%, the S&P 500 is up 8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 5% as investors digest rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and other market challenges. Meanwhile, the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index is down 35%, signaling less fear in the stock market.Investors who are concerned about volatility picking back up and are interested in safe stocks that generate passive income have come to the right place.Investing in equal parts Kinder Morgan, Starbucks, and Clorox stocks gives an investor an average dividend yield of 3.9% and exposure to the energy sector, the consumer discretionary sector, and the consumer staples sector. After a period of five years, an investor could expect a $10,000 investment to earn over $2,000 in passive dividend income. Here's what makes each dividend stock a great buy now.Image source: Getty Images. Kinder Morgan isn't the same company it used to beThe majority of readers may be unfamiliar with Kinder Morgan, which is one of the largest pipeline operators and energy infrastructure companies in North America. But folks that have been investing in oil and gas for seven-plus years may remember when the company cut its dividend by 75%.It's a rocky past that Kinder Morgan is trying to permanently put behind it -- and it's off to a good start. Since the cut, Kinder Morgan's dividend has more than doubled as it seeks to reward shareholders through a dividend supported by cash flow.Kinder Morgan has transformed itself from an aggressive growth strategy to a defensive preservation strategy -- which is bad news for oil and gas bulls but great news for investors looking for a reliable dividend stock. In the past few years, Kinder Morgan has dramatically reduced its spending and paid off debt. Over 90% of its business is tied to stable take-or-pay and fee-based contracts that go years out, which protects against downside risk at the expense of limiting upside potential.Kinder Morgan is unlikely to outperform other oil and gas stocks when prices are rising. But it's also much better positioned to earn strong cash flows in lower price environments as we saw in 2020. Given the stability of its businesses, Kinder Morgan is a worthy high-yield dividend stock worth considering now.Throw some beans into your passive income streamStarbucks often finds itself left out of dividend discussions due to outdated perceptions that the company is still a growth stock. It's not, and it hasn't been for years.The Starbucks of today is a much more boring and stable business. Over the past five years, Starbucks has grown revenue at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of just 6.4%. But over that same period, it grew net income at a CAGR of 8.3% and its dividend at a CAGR of 14.4%.Paying the dividend is a big part of Starbucks' strategy. So much so that the company released its most aggressive dividend and buyback program in company history. In the three-year period between fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2024, Starbucks plans to spend $20 billion on dividends and share repurchases. To put that number into perspective, consider that Starbucks spent a little over $2 billion in fiscal 2021 on dividends.Investors looking for a strong and recognizable brand that is also an excellent dividend stock should look no further than Starbucks.Clorox's dividend is safeClorox has had a rough go of it as of late, and these difficulties are reflected in the company's stock price. After blasting to a fresh all-time high in 2020, share prices of Clorox stock are now hovering around a three-year low and are down over 40% from that high.Clorox's problems all boil down to shrinking profit margins in the face of higher inflation. The company is confident that its brands, such as Clorox, Glad trash bags, Burt's Bees, and Kingsford charcoal are leaders in their respective product categories. But higher costs, higher advertising spending, and supply chain challenges paint an uncertain picture of the quarters to come.In addition to declining margins, Clorox's growth rate could be negative in fiscal 2022 as the company struggles to lap quarters that were less affected by inflation.All told, Clorox is in for a multi-year period of weak growth. The silver lining is that all of this bad news is already public, so new investors considering Clorox now can buy the stock with all of these headwinds already digested by Wall Street.The bull argument for Clorox would be that the company will recover over time, it's a consumer staple company that is resistant to a recession, and it is likely to continue paying and raising its dividend every year. Clorox is a Dividend Aristocrat, which is a member of the S&P 500 that has paid and raised its dividend for at least 25 consecutive years. With a dividend yield of 3.4%, Clorox produces a healthy passive income stream.A hands-off approachKinder Morgan, Starbucks, and Clorox may not have anything in common as companies. But as stocks, all three could be great additions to a diversified portfolio. No matter if the stock market has rebounded and is off to the races -- or if the sell-off gets even worse from here -- investors can take solace knowing that these three companies will produce income without the need to sell stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLX":0.9,"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010492937,"gmtCreate":1648441449471,"gmtModify":1676534338269,"author":{"id":"4108870550247850","authorId":"4108870550247850","name":"NyanML","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e62974025a8567f6f337320a76a33efd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108870550247850","authorIdStr":"4108870550247850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010492937","repostId":"1133083183","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010835503,"gmtCreate":1648336760916,"gmtModify":1676534327766,"author":{"id":"4108870550247850","authorId":"4108870550247850","name":"NyanML","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e62974025a8567f6f337320a76a33efd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108870550247850","authorIdStr":"4108870550247850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010835503","repostId":"1196027616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196027616","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648255536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196027616?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-26 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock-Market Investors Should Watch the \"Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196027616","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns.</p><p>They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though.</p><p>“Yield curve inversion, and flatting, has been at the forefront for everyone,” said Pete Duffy, chief investment officer at Penn Capital Management Company, in Philadelphia, by phone.</p><p>“That’s because the Fed is so active and rates suddenly have gone up so quickly.”</p><p>An inversion of the yield curve happens when rates on longer bonds fall below those of shorter-term debt, a sign that investors think economic woes could lie ahead. Fears of an economic slowdown have been mounting as the Federal Reserve starts to tighten financial conditions while Russia’s Ukraine invasion threatens to keep key drivers of U.S. inflation high.</p><p>Lately, the attention has been on the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 2.478% and shorter 2-year yield, where the spread fell to 13 basis points on Tuesday, up from a high of about 130 basis points five months ago.</p><p>Read: The yield curve is speeding toward inversion — here’s what investors need to know</p><p>But that’s not the only plot on the Treasury yield curve investors closely watch. The Treasury Department sells securities that mature in a range from a few days to 30 years, providing a lot of plots on the curve to follow.</p><p>“The focus has been on the 10s and 2s,” said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, in Horsham, Penn, a northern suburb of Philadelphia.</p><p>“I will hold out until the 10s to 3-month bills inverts before I turn too negative on the economic outlook,” he said, calling it “the best leading indicator of trouble ahead.”</p><h2>Watch 10-year, 3-month</h2><p>Instead of falling, that spread climbed in March, continuing its path higher since turning negative two years ago at the onset of the pandemic (see chart).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fe28818cd1806ee5afd5519332cf483\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"579\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>The 3-month to 10-year yield spread is climbing Bloomberg data, Goelzer Investment Management</span></p><p>“The 3-month Treasury bill really tracks the Federal Reserve’s target rate,” said Gavin Stephens, director of portfolio management at Goelzer Investment Management in Indiana, by phone.</p><p>“So it gives you a more immediate picture of if the Federal Reserve has entered a restrictive state in terms of monetary policy and, thus, giving the possibility that economic growth is going to contract, which would be bad for stocks.”</p><p>Stocks were lower Friday, but with the S&amp;P 500 index SPX, +0.51% and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.16% still up about 1.2% on the week. The three major indexes were 4.5% to 10.1% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet.</p><p>By watching the 10s and 2s TMUBMUSD02Y, 2.280% spread, “You are looking at the expectations of where Fed Reserve interest rate policy is going to be over a period of two years,” Stephens said. “So, effectively, it’s working with a lag.”</p><p>On average, from the time the 10s and 2s curve inverts, until “there’s a recession, it’s almost two years,” he said, predicting that with unemployment recently pegged around 3.8% that, “this curve is going to invert when the economy is really strong.”</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco also called the 3-month TMUBMUSD03M, 0.535% and 10-year curve relationship its “preferred spread measure because it has the strongest predictive power for future recessions,” such as in 2019, back when the yield curve was more regularly flashing recession warning signs.</p><p>“Did it see COVID coming?” Duffy said, of earlier yield curve inversions.</p><p>A more likely catalyst was that investors already were on a recession watch, with the American economy in its longest expansion period on record.</p><p>“There are a number of these curves that you need to look at in totality,” Duffy said. “We’ve always said look at many signals.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock-Market Investors Should Watch the \"Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock-Market Investors Should Watch the \"Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-26 08:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-part-of-the-treasury-yield-curve-may-be-the-best-leading-indicator-of-trouble-ahead-11648210025?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns.They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though.“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-part-of-the-treasury-yield-curve-may-be-the-best-leading-indicator-of-trouble-ahead-11648210025?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-part-of-the-treasury-yield-curve-may-be-the-best-leading-indicator-of-trouble-ahead-11648210025?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196027616","content_text":"Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns.They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though.“Yield curve inversion, and flatting, has been at the forefront for everyone,” said Pete Duffy, chief investment officer at Penn Capital Management Company, in Philadelphia, by phone.“That’s because the Fed is so active and rates suddenly have gone up so quickly.”An inversion of the yield curve happens when rates on longer bonds fall below those of shorter-term debt, a sign that investors think economic woes could lie ahead. Fears of an economic slowdown have been mounting as the Federal Reserve starts to tighten financial conditions while Russia’s Ukraine invasion threatens to keep key drivers of U.S. inflation high.Lately, the attention has been on the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 2.478% and shorter 2-year yield, where the spread fell to 13 basis points on Tuesday, up from a high of about 130 basis points five months ago.Read: The yield curve is speeding toward inversion — here’s what investors need to knowBut that’s not the only plot on the Treasury yield curve investors closely watch. The Treasury Department sells securities that mature in a range from a few days to 30 years, providing a lot of plots on the curve to follow.“The focus has been on the 10s and 2s,” said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, in Horsham, Penn, a northern suburb of Philadelphia.“I will hold out until the 10s to 3-month bills inverts before I turn too negative on the economic outlook,” he said, calling it “the best leading indicator of trouble ahead.”Watch 10-year, 3-monthInstead of falling, that spread climbed in March, continuing its path higher since turning negative two years ago at the onset of the pandemic (see chart).The 3-month to 10-year yield spread is climbing Bloomberg data, Goelzer Investment Management“The 3-month Treasury bill really tracks the Federal Reserve’s target rate,” said Gavin Stephens, director of portfolio management at Goelzer Investment Management in Indiana, by phone.“So it gives you a more immediate picture of if the Federal Reserve has entered a restrictive state in terms of monetary policy and, thus, giving the possibility that economic growth is going to contract, which would be bad for stocks.”Stocks were lower Friday, but with the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.51% and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.16% still up about 1.2% on the week. The three major indexes were 4.5% to 10.1% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet.By watching the 10s and 2s TMUBMUSD02Y, 2.280% spread, “You are looking at the expectations of where Fed Reserve interest rate policy is going to be over a period of two years,” Stephens said. “So, effectively, it’s working with a lag.”On average, from the time the 10s and 2s curve inverts, until “there’s a recession, it’s almost two years,” he said, predicting that with unemployment recently pegged around 3.8% that, “this curve is going to invert when the economy is really strong.”The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco also called the 3-month TMUBMUSD03M, 0.535% and 10-year curve relationship its “preferred spread measure because it has the strongest predictive power for future recessions,” such as in 2019, back when the yield curve was more regularly flashing recession warning signs.“Did it see COVID coming?” Duffy said, of earlier yield curve inversions.A more likely catalyst was that investors already were on a recession watch, with the American economy in its longest expansion period on record.“There are a number of these curves that you need to look at in totality,” Duffy said. “We’ve always said look at many signals.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9037243406,"gmtCreate":1648127608190,"gmtModify":1676534307047,"author":{"id":"4108870550247850","authorId":"4108870550247850","name":"NyanML","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e62974025a8567f6f337320a76a33efd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108870550247850","authorIdStr":"4108870550247850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9037243406","repostId":"1137376008","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036763496,"gmtCreate":1647218435934,"gmtModify":1676534203815,"author":{"id":"4108870550247850","authorId":"4108870550247850","name":"NyanML","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e62974025a8567f6f337320a76a33efd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108870550247850","authorIdStr":"4108870550247850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036763496","repostId":"1151548915","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151548915","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1647214806,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151548915?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-14 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Isn't Done Buying Occidental Petroleum: How Many More Shares Did Berkshire Pick Up?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151548915","media":"Benzinga","summary":"An SEC filing on Friday revealed Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B) CEO Warren Buffett p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>An SEC filing on Friday revealed <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B) CEO <b>Warren Buffett</b> purchased an additional 27.1 million shares of <b>Occidental Petroleum</b>(NYSE: OXY) worth about $1.6 billion from Wednesday through Friday of last week.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b> The additional shares were picked up after Berkshire spent around $4.5 billion the previous week to purchase 91.2 million shares of the oil company.</p><p>Berkshire now holds 118.3 million shares of Occidental, which amounts to a 12.7% stake in the company. Since Berkshire owns more than 10% of Occidental, it is required to report transactions in the stock within two business days.</p><p><b>Why It Matters:</b> Buffett&#39;s increasing stake in Occidental comes as billionaire activist investor <b>Carl Icahn</b> has sold the last of, what was at one time, a nearly 10% stake in the company. Icahn cited Occidental&#39;s ill-timed $38-billion buyout of Anadarko Petroleum in May 2019 as the reason for his exit.</p><p>Occidental has been challenged by high debt since the purchase, but it has been rapidly paying it down, aided by the spike in energy prices. Occidental CEO <b>Vicki Holub</b> said the company is on track to get its net debt down to under $25 billion by the end of the first quarter.</p><p>Occidental produces about 1.2 million barrels of oil equivalent daily, the company shares are up nearly 90% over the last 12 months as oil prices have surged.</p><p>Shares of OXY closed down 0.31% on Friday at $57.95.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Isn't Done Buying Occidental Petroleum: How Many More Shares Did Berkshire Pick Up?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Isn't Done Buying Occidental Petroleum: How Many More Shares Did Berkshire Pick Up?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-14 07:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>An SEC filing on Friday revealed <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B) CEO <b>Warren Buffett</b> purchased an additional 27.1 million shares of <b>Occidental Petroleum</b>(NYSE: OXY) worth about $1.6 billion from Wednesday through Friday of last week.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b> The additional shares were picked up after Berkshire spent around $4.5 billion the previous week to purchase 91.2 million shares of the oil company.</p><p>Berkshire now holds 118.3 million shares of Occidental, which amounts to a 12.7% stake in the company. Since Berkshire owns more than 10% of Occidental, it is required to report transactions in the stock within two business days.</p><p><b>Why It Matters:</b> Buffett&#39;s increasing stake in Occidental comes as billionaire activist investor <b>Carl Icahn</b> has sold the last of, what was at one time, a nearly 10% stake in the company. Icahn cited Occidental&#39;s ill-timed $38-billion buyout of Anadarko Petroleum in May 2019 as the reason for his exit.</p><p>Occidental has been challenged by high debt since the purchase, but it has been rapidly paying it down, aided by the spike in energy prices. Occidental CEO <b>Vicki Holub</b> said the company is on track to get its net debt down to under $25 billion by the end of the first quarter.</p><p>Occidental produces about 1.2 million barrels of oil equivalent daily, the company shares are up nearly 90% over the last 12 months as oil prices have surged.</p><p>Shares of OXY closed down 0.31% on Friday at $57.95.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","OXY":"西方石油","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151548915","content_text":"An SEC filing on Friday revealed Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B) CEO Warren Buffett purchased an additional 27.1 million shares of Occidental Petroleum(NYSE: OXY) worth about $1.6 billion from Wednesday through Friday of last week.What Happened: The additional shares were picked up after Berkshire spent around $4.5 billion the previous week to purchase 91.2 million shares of the oil company.Berkshire now holds 118.3 million shares of Occidental, which amounts to a 12.7% stake in the company. Since Berkshire owns more than 10% of Occidental, it is required to report transactions in the stock within two business days.Why It Matters: Buffett's increasing stake in Occidental comes as billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn has sold the last of, what was at one time, a nearly 10% stake in the company. Icahn cited Occidental's ill-timed $38-billion buyout of Anadarko Petroleum in May 2019 as the reason for his exit.Occidental has been challenged by high debt since the purchase, but it has been rapidly paying it down, aided by the spike in energy prices. Occidental CEO Vicki Holub said the company is on track to get its net debt down to under $25 billion by the end of the first quarter.Occidental produces about 1.2 million barrels of oil equivalent daily, the company shares are up nearly 90% over the last 12 months as oil prices have surged.Shares of OXY closed down 0.31% on Friday at $57.95.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OXY":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}