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runningjames

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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·02-22
  $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ buy when it dip below 700, at least 30% gain soonest!
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-11-11
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-11-02
  Too optimistic! Sell when it high..
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-11-01
  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-07-19
  50bp to direct shoot kill inflation target to 2% then next Q start reduce interest rates accordingly [Cool]
  Fed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say
  BENGALURU, July 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 5.25%-5.50% range on July 26, according to all 106 economists polled
  Fed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-07-17
  Any blue chips affected by this small fries who registered or even corruption??? [Facepalm]
  Singapore House Speaker Resigns in New Blow to Ruling Party
  PM Lee accepts resignations from House Speaker, lawmakerTransport Minister was earlier arrested in graft probeSingapore’s ruling People’s Action Party was rocked by two resignations, including that of
  Singapore House Speaker Resigns in New Blow to Ruling Party
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-07-01
  Sell on news!
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-06-30
  Fed to rise 0.5% in Jul to cool inflation further
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-06-26
  Good!
  Cathie Wood Sells $7M Tesla Stock Friday Amid Pullback
  ZINGER KEY POINTSArk offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla shares Friday, taking the total sales fo
  Cathie Wood Sells $7M Tesla Stock Friday Amid Pullback
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- runningjamesrunningjames
  ·2023-06-22
  Agreed, fair below 230. Maybe next week will get a chance to see it
  Tesla Stock: Time To Take A Break?
  SummaryThe thesis is to explain why I believe the current Tesla stock price has reached a near-term
  Tesla Stock: Time To Take A Break?
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ </a> buy when it dip below 700, at least 30% gain soonest!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ </a> buy when it dip below 700, at least 30% gain soonest!","text":"$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ buy when it dip below 700, at least 30% gain soonest!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/276484324765736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":240092442943576,"gmtCreate":1699635459254,"gmtModify":1699635462705,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/240092442943576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236978130485448,"gmtCreate":1698891685342,"gmtModify":1698891689645,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too optimistic! Sell when it high..","listText":"Too optimistic! Sell when it high..","text":"Too optimistic! Sell when it high..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236978130485448","repostId":"2380096621","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236820651524272,"gmtCreate":1698853271865,"gmtModify":1698853276038,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236820651524272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199460521591024,"gmtCreate":1689731660764,"gmtModify":1689731664144,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"50bp to direct shoot kill inflation target to 2% then next Q start reduce interest rates accordingly&nbsp; [Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"50bp to direct shoot kill inflation target to 2% then next Q start reduce interest rates accordingly&nbsp; [Cool]&nbsp;","text":"50bp to direct shoot kill inflation target to 2% then next Q start reduce interest rates accordingly [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199460521591024","repostId":"2352809775","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2352809775","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1689729984,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2352809775?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-19 09:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2352809775","media":"Reuters","summary":"BENGALURU, July 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 5.25%-5.50% range on July 26, according to all 106 economists polled ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">BENGALURU, July 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 5.25%-5.50% range on July 26, according to all 106 economists polled by Reuters, with a majority still saying that will be the last increase of the current tightening cycle.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A resilient economy and historically low unemployment well over a year since the Fed began one of its most aggressive rate hiking campaigns in history has repeatedly confounded analysts and investors.</p><p>Inflation is falling, with the headline consumer price index (CPI) measure slowing to 3.0% in June from 4.0% in May. That led many observers on Wall Street to conclude inflation might soon be tamed, prompting some to renew bets that rate cuts could happen by as soon as the end of 2023.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The current debate is whether more rate increases might be needed to ensure &#34;disinflation&#34; continues or if doing more could cause unnecessary damage to the economy.</p><p>But underlying inflation has remained sticky and Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have said more tightening is coming, even though they decided to pause the rate hikes at last month&#39;s policy meeting.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The view that rates will stay higher for longer appears to be gaining traction, with the share of respondents polled during the July 13-18 period who predicted at least one rate cut by the end of March next year down sharply to 55% from 78% last month.</p><p>&#34;For the Fed, despite the soft CPI print, we still anticipate a hike in July ... (and) while we hope the softness in inflation persists, it is unwise from a policymaking standpoint to bank on that,&#34; said Jan Nevruzi, U.S. rates strategist at NatWest Markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;We do not want to rush ahead and say the fight against inflation has been won, as we have seen head-fakes in the past.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists and financial market traders appear to still be slightly out of step with the Fed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The latest &#34;dot-plot&#34; projections from members of the central bank&#39;s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee suggest the benchmark overnight interest rate will peak at 5.50%-5.75%, but only 19 of 106 economists polled by Reuters forecast it will reach that range.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Expectations the Fed is nearing the end of its hiking cycle have pushed the dollar to its lowest level in more than a year against major currencies. A weaker greenback is likely to make imports costlier and keep price pressures elevated.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Indeed, economists are still concerned that inflation might not come down quickly enough.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, will be only slightly lower or remain around the current level of just under 5% by the end of the year, 20 of 29 respondents to an additional question in the poll said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed targets inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), for its 2% target. Core PCE was last reported at 3.8% for May.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But none of the inflation gauges polled by Reuters - CPI, core CPI, PCE and core PCE - were expected to reach 2% until 2025 at the earliest.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;While the latest figures are encouraging, the real battle begins now, as the easy base effects are now behind us,&#34; said Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, referring to the fact inflation plunged so much in June partly because it was so elevated at the same time last year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;As the disinflationary force of lower energy prices fades, that will leave us dealing with the underlying 4% trend in core ... (and) to truly crack core will likely require a more significant slowing in the economy.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The strong labor market is only expected to loosen slightly, nudging up the unemployment rate to 4.0% from the current 3.6% by the end of 2023, the poll showed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A slight majority of economists who answered an additional question, 14 of 23, said wage inflation would be the most sticky component of core inflation.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nearly two-thirds of respondents to a separate question, 27 of 41, expected a U.S. recession within the next year, with 85% of them saying it would start at some point in 2023.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Still, the economy was expected to grow 1.5% this year, up from the 1.2% predicted a month ago, and then slow to 0.7% next year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-07-19 09:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">BENGALURU, July 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 5.25%-5.50% range on July 26, according to all 106 economists polled by Reuters, with a majority still saying that will be the last increase of the current tightening cycle.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A resilient economy and historically low unemployment well over a year since the Fed began one of its most aggressive rate hiking campaigns in history has repeatedly confounded analysts and investors.</p><p>Inflation is falling, with the headline consumer price index (CPI) measure slowing to 3.0% in June from 4.0% in May. That led many observers on Wall Street to conclude inflation might soon be tamed, prompting some to renew bets that rate cuts could happen by as soon as the end of 2023.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The current debate is whether more rate increases might be needed to ensure &#34;disinflation&#34; continues or if doing more could cause unnecessary damage to the economy.</p><p>But underlying inflation has remained sticky and Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have said more tightening is coming, even though they decided to pause the rate hikes at last month&#39;s policy meeting.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The view that rates will stay higher for longer appears to be gaining traction, with the share of respondents polled during the July 13-18 period who predicted at least one rate cut by the end of March next year down sharply to 55% from 78% last month.</p><p>&#34;For the Fed, despite the soft CPI print, we still anticipate a hike in July ... (and) while we hope the softness in inflation persists, it is unwise from a policymaking standpoint to bank on that,&#34; said Jan Nevruzi, U.S. rates strategist at NatWest Markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;We do not want to rush ahead and say the fight against inflation has been won, as we have seen head-fakes in the past.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists and financial market traders appear to still be slightly out of step with the Fed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The latest &#34;dot-plot&#34; projections from members of the central bank&#39;s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee suggest the benchmark overnight interest rate will peak at 5.50%-5.75%, but only 19 of 106 economists polled by Reuters forecast it will reach that range.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Expectations the Fed is nearing the end of its hiking cycle have pushed the dollar to its lowest level in more than a year against major currencies. A weaker greenback is likely to make imports costlier and keep price pressures elevated.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Indeed, economists are still concerned that inflation might not come down quickly enough.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, will be only slightly lower or remain around the current level of just under 5% by the end of the year, 20 of 29 respondents to an additional question in the poll said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed targets inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), for its 2% target. Core PCE was last reported at 3.8% for May.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But none of the inflation gauges polled by Reuters - CPI, core CPI, PCE and core PCE - were expected to reach 2% until 2025 at the earliest.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;While the latest figures are encouraging, the real battle begins now, as the easy base effects are now behind us,&#34; said Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, referring to the fact inflation plunged so much in June partly because it was so elevated at the same time last year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;As the disinflationary force of lower energy prices fades, that will leave us dealing with the underlying 4% trend in core ... (and) to truly crack core will likely require a more significant slowing in the economy.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The strong labor market is only expected to loosen slightly, nudging up the unemployment rate to 4.0% from the current 3.6% by the end of 2023, the poll showed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A slight majority of economists who answered an additional question, 14 of 23, said wage inflation would be the most sticky component of core inflation.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nearly two-thirds of respondents to a separate question, 27 of 41, expected a U.S. recession within the next year, with 85% of them saying it would start at some point in 2023.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Still, the economy was expected to grow 1.5% this year, up from the 1.2% predicted a month ago, and then slow to 0.7% next year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4141":"半导体产品","LU0321505868.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4512":"苹果概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0321505439.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Acc SGD","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=21921416","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2352809775","content_text":"BENGALURU, July 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 5.25%-5.50% range on July 26, according to all 106 economists polled by Reuters, with a majority still saying that will be the last increase of the current tightening cycle.A resilient economy and historically low unemployment well over a year since the Fed began one of its most aggressive rate hiking campaigns in history has repeatedly confounded analysts and investors.Inflation is falling, with the headline consumer price index (CPI) measure slowing to 3.0% in June from 4.0% in May. That led many observers on Wall Street to conclude inflation might soon be tamed, prompting some to renew bets that rate cuts could happen by as soon as the end of 2023.The current debate is whether more rate increases might be needed to ensure \"disinflation\" continues or if doing more could cause unnecessary damage to the economy.But underlying inflation has remained sticky and Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have said more tightening is coming, even though they decided to pause the rate hikes at last month's policy meeting.The view that rates will stay higher for longer appears to be gaining traction, with the share of respondents polled during the July 13-18 period who predicted at least one rate cut by the end of March next year down sharply to 55% from 78% last month.\"For the Fed, despite the soft CPI print, we still anticipate a hike in July ... (and) while we hope the softness in inflation persists, it is unwise from a policymaking standpoint to bank on that,\" said Jan Nevruzi, U.S. rates strategist at NatWest Markets.\"We do not want to rush ahead and say the fight against inflation has been won, as we have seen head-fakes in the past.\"Economists and financial market traders appear to still be slightly out of step with the Fed.The latest \"dot-plot\" projections from members of the central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee suggest the benchmark overnight interest rate will peak at 5.50%-5.75%, but only 19 of 106 economists polled by Reuters forecast it will reach that range.Expectations the Fed is nearing the end of its hiking cycle have pushed the dollar to its lowest level in more than a year against major currencies. A weaker greenback is likely to make imports costlier and keep price pressures elevated.Indeed, economists are still concerned that inflation might not come down quickly enough.Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, will be only slightly lower or remain around the current level of just under 5% by the end of the year, 20 of 29 respondents to an additional question in the poll said.The Fed targets inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), for its 2% target. Core PCE was last reported at 3.8% for May.But none of the inflation gauges polled by Reuters - CPI, core CPI, PCE and core PCE - were expected to reach 2% until 2025 at the earliest.\"While the latest figures are encouraging, the real battle begins now, as the easy base effects are now behind us,\" said Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, referring to the fact inflation plunged so much in June partly because it was so elevated at the same time last year.\"As the disinflationary force of lower energy prices fades, that will leave us dealing with the underlying 4% trend in core ... (and) to truly crack core will likely require a more significant slowing in the economy.\"The strong labor market is only expected to loosen slightly, nudging up the unemployment rate to 4.0% from the current 3.6% by the end of 2023, the poll showed.A slight majority of economists who answered an additional question, 14 of 23, said wage inflation would be the most sticky component of core inflation.Nearly two-thirds of respondents to a separate question, 27 of 41, expected a U.S. recession within the next year, with 85% of them saying it would start at some point in 2023.Still, the economy was expected to grow 1.5% this year, up from the 1.2% predicted a month ago, and then slow to 0.7% next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198857528991752,"gmtCreate":1689583376141,"gmtModify":1689583426971,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Any blue chips affected by this small fries who registered or even corruption???&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"Any blue chips affected by this small fries who registered or even corruption???&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"Any blue chips affected by this small fries who registered or even corruption??? [Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198857528991752","repostId":"1111906990","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111906990","pubTimestamp":1689581963,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111906990?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-17 16:19","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore House Speaker Resigns in New Blow to Ruling Party","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111906990","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"PM Lee accepts resignations from House Speaker, lawmakerTransport Minister was earlier arrested in graft probeSingapore’s ruling People’s Action Party was rocked by two resignations, including that of","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>PM Lee accepts resignations from House Speaker, lawmaker</p></li><li><p>Transport Minister was earlier arrested in graft probe</p></li></ul><p>Singapore’s ruling People’s Action Party was rocked by two resignations, including that of parliament speaker Tan Chuan-Jin, in what is shaping up to be the biggest slew of scandals in the city-state’s political history.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“I have accepted Mr Tan’s resignation from the People’s Action Party,” Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said in a statement on Monday. “His resignation is necessary, to maintain the high standards of propriety and personal conduct which the PAP has upheld all these years.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b47d560f1c574b8182d7c258e0093bf2\" alt=\"Tan Chuan-JinPhotographer: Yong Teck Lim/Getty Images\" title=\"Tan Chuan-JinPhotographer: Yong Teck Lim/Getty Images\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"/><span>Tan Chuan-JinPhotographer: Yong Teck Lim/Getty Images</span></p><p>Tan apologized to an opposition member of parliament last week for using “unparliamentary language.” Tan said he was muttering to himself but his “private thoughts” were caught during a recording of the parliament hearing.</p><p>Lee also accepted the resignation of another member of parliament, Cheng Li Hui, who also stepped aside as a member of the People’s Action Party. No reason was given for her resignation.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The resignations add to a series of scandals that have rocked the ruling PAP in recent weeks. The city-state said separately on Friday it arrested Transport Minister S. Iswaran and property tycoon Ong Beng Seng in a graft probe that has challenged the city-state’s reputation for clean governance.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore House Speaker Resigns in New Blow to Ruling Party</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore House Speaker Resigns in New Blow to Ruling Party\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-17 16:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-17/singapore-s-house-speaker-tan-chuan-jin-resigns?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>PM Lee accepts resignations from House Speaker, lawmakerTransport Minister was earlier arrested in graft probeSingapore’s ruling People’s Action Party was rocked by two resignations, including that of...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-17/singapore-s-house-speaker-tan-chuan-jin-resigns?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-17/singapore-s-house-speaker-tan-chuan-jin-resigns?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111906990","content_text":"PM Lee accepts resignations from House Speaker, lawmakerTransport Minister was earlier arrested in graft probeSingapore’s ruling People’s Action Party was rocked by two resignations, including that of parliament speaker Tan Chuan-Jin, in what is shaping up to be the biggest slew of scandals in the city-state’s political history.“I have accepted Mr Tan’s resignation from the People’s Action Party,” Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said in a statement on Monday. “His resignation is necessary, to maintain the high standards of propriety and personal conduct which the PAP has upheld all these years.”Tan Chuan-JinPhotographer: Yong Teck Lim/Getty ImagesTan apologized to an opposition member of parliament last week for using “unparliamentary language.” Tan said he was muttering to himself but his “private thoughts” were caught during a recording of the parliament hearing.Lee also accepted the resignation of another member of parliament, Cheng Li Hui, who also stepped aside as a member of the People’s Action Party. No reason was given for her resignation.The resignations add to a series of scandals that have rocked the ruling PAP in recent weeks. The city-state said separately on Friday it arrested Transport Minister S. Iswaran and property tycoon Ong Beng Seng in a graft probe that has challenged the city-state’s reputation for clean governance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193293612384400,"gmtCreate":1688220353493,"gmtModify":1688220357205,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sell on news!","listText":"Sell on news!","text":"Sell on news!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193293612384400","repostId":"1164950140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192915224821880,"gmtCreate":1688127971650,"gmtModify":1688129874060,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fed to rise 0.5% in Jul to cool inflation further","listText":"Fed to rise 0.5% in Jul to cool inflation further","text":"Fed to rise 0.5% in Jul to cool inflation further","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192915224821880","repostId":"1178382847","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191352899252472,"gmtCreate":1687735382622,"gmtModify":1687735386294,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!","listText":"Good!","text":"Good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191352899252472","repostId":"1120098263","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120098263","pubTimestamp":1687734982,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120098263?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-26 07:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Sells $7M Tesla Stock Friday Amid Pullback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120098263","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER KEY POINTSArk offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla shares Friday, taking the total sales fo","content":"<html><head></head><body><h4 style=\"text-align: start;\">ZINGER KEY POINTS</h4><ul><li><p><strong>Ark offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla shares Friday, taking the total sales for the week to $15.81 million.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>The firm also sold shares of Shopify and DraftKings</strong></p></li></ul><p><strong>Cathie Wood&#39;s Ark Invest </strong>offloaded more <strong>Tesla Inc. </strong>shares on Friday even as it amassed this crypto-linked stock for a second straight day.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Tesla Selling Spree:</strong> Ark, through its <strong>Ark Innovation ETF </strong>and <strong>Ark Next Generation Internet ETF</strong>, sold 27,841 shares of Tesla. The sale would have fetched the fund $7.14 million, based on the $256.60 at which the stock closed on Friday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On Tuesday, Ark offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla, as it took some profit off the table following the stock&#39;s run-up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For the week, Ark&#39;s cumulative sale of Tesla was at $15.81 million.</p><p>Tesla has been volatile in recent sessions after a strong rally led it to an intraday high of $276.99 on Wednesday. The stock has come off this high since then. The downside was in part due to back-to-back downgrades the stock suffered this week.</p><p><strong>Ark&#39;s major disposals Friday included:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Canadian e-commerce retailer <strong>Shopify Inc.</strong>: 78,676 shares valued at $5.02 million</p></li><li><p>Sports betting company <strong>DraftKings Inc.</strong>: 122,556 shares valued at $3.07 million.</p></li><li><p>Cancer-focused biotech <strong>Surface Oncology Inc.</strong>: 499,030 shares valued at $414,195</p></li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Sells $7M Tesla Stock Friday Amid Pullback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Sells $7M Tesla Stock Friday Amid Pullback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-26 07:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/23/06/32996024/cathie-wood-sells-7m-tesla-stock-friday-amid-pullback-bets-big-on-this-crypto-linke><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ZINGER KEY POINTSArk offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla shares Friday, taking the total sales for the week to $15.81 million.The firm also sold shares of Shopify and DraftKingsCathie Wood's Ark ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/23/06/32996024/cathie-wood-sells-7m-tesla-stock-friday-amid-pullback-bets-big-on-this-crypto-linke\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","SURF":"Surface Oncology","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/23/06/32996024/cathie-wood-sells-7m-tesla-stock-friday-amid-pullback-bets-big-on-this-crypto-linke","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120098263","content_text":"ZINGER KEY POINTSArk offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla shares Friday, taking the total sales for the week to $15.81 million.The firm also sold shares of Shopify and DraftKingsCathie Wood's Ark Invest offloaded more Tesla Inc. shares on Friday even as it amassed this crypto-linked stock for a second straight day.Tesla Selling Spree: Ark, through its Ark Innovation ETF and Ark Next Generation Internet ETF, sold 27,841 shares of Tesla. The sale would have fetched the fund $7.14 million, based on the $256.60 at which the stock closed on Friday.On Tuesday, Ark offloaded $8.67 million worth of Tesla, as it took some profit off the table following the stock's run-up.For the week, Ark's cumulative sale of Tesla was at $15.81 million.Tesla has been volatile in recent sessions after a strong rally led it to an intraday high of $276.99 on Wednesday. The stock has come off this high since then. The downside was in part due to back-to-back downgrades the stock suffered this week.Ark's major disposals Friday included:Canadian e-commerce retailer Shopify Inc.: 78,676 shares valued at $5.02 millionSports betting company DraftKings Inc.: 122,556 shares valued at $3.07 million.Cancer-focused biotech Surface Oncology Inc.: 499,030 shares valued at $414,195","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189980452208912,"gmtCreate":1687407471057,"gmtModify":1687407475531,"author":{"id":"4117336023184202","authorId":"4117336023184202","name":"runningjames","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3467c93ce8ec8c583f28f405e68f0c00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117336023184202","authorIdStr":"4117336023184202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agreed, fair below 230. Maybe next week will get a chance to see it","listText":"Agreed, fair below 230. Maybe next week will get a chance to see it","text":"Agreed, fair below 230. Maybe next week will get a chance to see it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189980452208912","repostId":"2345278473","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2345278473","pubTimestamp":1687405581,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2345278473?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-22 11:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Time To Take A Break?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2345278473","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe thesis is to explain why I believe the current Tesla stock price has reached a near-term ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>The thesis is to explain why I believe the current Tesla stock price has reached a near-term peak.</p></li><li><p>And as such, I am seeing more downside risks than upside potential for new buyers in the short term.</p></li><li><p>My main concerns include technical signals and the market’s overenthusiasm surrounding the recent supercharging station&#39;s announcements.</p></li><li><p>Insider trading activities, which are completely dominated by selling recently, are also worth noting.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5debcce6ce814984636d90633d044799\" alt=\"SimonSkafar\" title=\"SimonSkafar\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>SimonSkafar</span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Thesis</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Readers following my writing know that I have been a long-term bull for <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA). However, over the past month or so, I have become concerned that its prices have risen ahead of its fundamentals. Since my last bullish article on it about 1 month ago, the stock price has rallied by more than 44% (see the chart below), while the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) rose by 5.19%. Under the background, the thesis of this article is to argue for a downgrade from “buy” to “hold.” I see the stock prices currently at a near-term peak. And new buyers would face much more downside risks than upside potential. The risk calculus for existing holders to sell is a bit different if you have capital gain taxes to consider.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e331c5198b69482051aaa2bb9f9d459d\" alt=\"Source: Seeking Alpha\" title=\"Source: Seeking Alpha\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"302\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In the remainder of this article, I will detail my concerns, and they fall into the following 3 buckets:</p><ul><li><p>On the technical front, the stock is very overbought, and the current rally is not supported by large volumes.</p></li><li><p>A large reason for the recent rally is catalyzed by Ford (F) and General Motors’ (GM) announcement surrounding the supercharging stations, in my mind. And I will argue why the market reaction is overly optimistic.</p></li><li><p>Finally, its insider trading activities have been dominated by selling recently. And I will explain why I interpret these activities as a sign for ordinary investors to stop adding/buying TSLA shares too.</p></li></ul><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Technical signs</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">On the technical front, there are a few signs that the stock price has reached a near-term peak. As seen in the chart below, the Relative Strength Index (“RSI”) has been above 70 since around June. And it currently hovers around 86, which is considered to be squarely in overbought territory. The rapid rise really is not accompanied by large/expanding trading volume, either. The current trading volume is substantially lower than that seen in the February rally earlier in the year. In the past six months, the price range with the most trading volume is around $190 to $200, far below the current price of $260.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23bece305be2c1ea83fece4308cd69be\" alt=\"Source: stockcharts.com\" title=\"Source: stockcharts.com\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"383\"/><span>Source: stockcharts.com</span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Overreaction to the supercharge station news</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As aforementioned, a crucial catalyst for the latest price surge is the spate of announcements surrounding TSLA Supercharger stations, in my opinion (see the chart above). General Motors announced on June 8th (see this New York Times report for more details) that its electric vehicles will adopt Tesla&#39;s Superchargers. And Ford also announced a similar move shortly afterward. These announcements were interpreted as a sign that Tesla&#39;s charging stations have now become the industry standard for electric vehicles in the United States, paving the way for our EV future.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">There are certainly merits in such an interpretation. TSLA CEO Elon Musk himself commented that such unification “is going to be a fundamentally great thing for the advancement of E.V. adoption.” However, I view the degree of the stock price advancement to be an overly optimistic reaction. It is important to remember that the charge station is just one piece of the EV puzzle. Tesla still faces a number of challenges, including the need to continue to improve its vehicles and manufacturing processes, and the need to compete with other automakers that are also investing heavily in EVs.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Even just on the charge station department itself, it is also worth noting that the announcement did not come with any specific details about how Tesla and GM/F would work together to make it happen. For example, it is not clear how much Tesla will charge GM/F to use its Superchargers, or how many Superchargers will be made available to GM/F drivers. These details could have a significant impact on the financial impact of the agreement for Tesla.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">And Tesla has a long way to go to expand its Supercharger station network, requiring a substantial amount of CAPEX investments in the years to come. Take the Richmond, VA, area as an example. This is where I live and have first-hand information (well, you may call it second-hand information). In an area of about 50 miles by 100 miles, there is only a handful of TSLA charge stations (see the chart below). We (my friends and myself) constantly complain about the lack of availability, and most of us are not brave enough to drive out of the area (yet).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c01388c36be23833bbd4d362cf132052\" alt=\"Source: Google maps\" title=\"Source: Google maps\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"422\"/><span>Source: Google maps</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Now, taking a more global view outside my neighborhood, the company recently reported having about a total of 45,000 charging stalls installed globally. It’s an impressive number which makes it the biggest charging network. However, my view is that the network also suffers insufficient availability, very similar to my neighborhood. Out of its current 45k charging stalls, about 5k was added in the last 5 months and about 10k in the past 10 months. Looking ahead, I see the need for it to at least double the number of charging stalls in the next 1~2 years. It’s a demanding task that will cost substantial financial CAPEX, political capital, and also management attention.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65ad9ec435212e8c4c29fb81814e0452\" alt=\"Source: InsideEVs\" title=\"Source: InsideEVs\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"296\"/><span>Source: InsideEVs</span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Tesla’s insider selling activities</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Finally, the insiders’ activities are dominated by selling. Usually, I do not interpret insider selling as a bearish sign. Insiders can sell for a range of reasons unrelated to business fundamentals (buying a new house/yacht, divorce, et al). However, when the activities are so dominated by selling, I have to pay attention.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">To wit, in the past 12 months, there have been a total of 241 insider transactions (see the chart below). All of them have been selling activities, with a sizable cumulative amount of $14.5 billion. In June 2023 alone, there had been a total of 8 insider selling activities between prices of $200 and $260.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93a95f52b0262b81add30bd9db231a76\" alt=\"Source: DataRoma\" title=\"Source: DataRoma\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"/><span>Source: DataRoma</span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Other risks and final thoughts</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">There are a few other downside and upside risks besides those analyzed above. The global semiconductor shortage continues to beset the automotive industry, and TSLA is no exception. In addition, TSLA has a large exposure to China, both as a key market and also a manufacturing site. </p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Due to these uncertainties, TSLA may not be able to achieve its manufacturing and delivery goals for 2023. At the same time, raw material prices are currently hovering at elevated levels and like to remain so as inflation remains relatively high, and the Russian/Ukraine situation continues to bottleneck supply. Considering these uncertainties, my model for its growth and profitability is based on a set of more conservative delivery and margin assumptions as shown in the chart below (more details of this model can be found in one of my earlier articles). Also as seen, under these parameters, Tesla&#39;s current valuation is quite expensive. Its EV/EBITDA multiple sits around 46x. It is quite close to the target 40x~50x range assigned by leading institutions such as Bank of America. In terms of upside risk, market momentum really is the main one I see at this point. My view is that the current market price has already factored in all the near-term catalysts.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">All told, TSLA has been one of the most successful bull theses I’ve developed recently. However, currently, I see its stock prices reaching a short-term peak. As a result, in the near term, I am seeing more downside risks than upside potential for new buyers. My main concerns about Tesla, Inc. stock include technical signals, the market enthusiasm triggered by the announcements surrounding the supercharging stations, and insider trading activities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87290a6613a56bf2327ca78c9b1d552f\" alt=\"Source: Author\" title=\"Source: Author\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"295\"/><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><em>This article is written by </em><strong><em>Envision Research</em></strong><em> for reference only. Please note the risks.</em></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Time To Take A Break?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Time To Take A Break?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-22 11:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4612768-tesla-stock-time-to-take-a-break-rating-downgrade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe thesis is to explain why I believe the current Tesla stock price has reached a near-term peak.And as such, I am seeing more downside risks than upside potential for new buyers in the short ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4612768-tesla-stock-time-to-take-a-break-rating-downgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4612768-tesla-stock-time-to-take-a-break-rating-downgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2345278473","content_text":"SummaryThe thesis is to explain why I believe the current Tesla stock price has reached a near-term peak.And as such, I am seeing more downside risks than upside potential for new buyers in the short term.My main concerns include technical signals and the market’s overenthusiasm surrounding the recent supercharging station's announcements.Insider trading activities, which are completely dominated by selling recently, are also worth noting.SimonSkafarThesisReaders following my writing know that I have been a long-term bull for Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA). However, over the past month or so, I have become concerned that its prices have risen ahead of its fundamentals. Since my last bullish article on it about 1 month ago, the stock price has rallied by more than 44% (see the chart below), while the S&P 500 (SP500) rose by 5.19%. Under the background, the thesis of this article is to argue for a downgrade from “buy” to “hold.” I see the stock prices currently at a near-term peak. And new buyers would face much more downside risks than upside potential. The risk calculus for existing holders to sell is a bit different if you have capital gain taxes to consider.Source: Seeking AlphaIn the remainder of this article, I will detail my concerns, and they fall into the following 3 buckets:On the technical front, the stock is very overbought, and the current rally is not supported by large volumes.A large reason for the recent rally is catalyzed by Ford (F) and General Motors’ (GM) announcement surrounding the supercharging stations, in my mind. And I will argue why the market reaction is overly optimistic.Finally, its insider trading activities have been dominated by selling recently. And I will explain why I interpret these activities as a sign for ordinary investors to stop adding/buying TSLA shares too.Technical signsOn the technical front, there are a few signs that the stock price has reached a near-term peak. As seen in the chart below, the Relative Strength Index (“RSI”) has been above 70 since around June. And it currently hovers around 86, which is considered to be squarely in overbought territory. The rapid rise really is not accompanied by large/expanding trading volume, either. The current trading volume is substantially lower than that seen in the February rally earlier in the year. In the past six months, the price range with the most trading volume is around $190 to $200, far below the current price of $260.Source: stockcharts.comOverreaction to the supercharge station newsAs aforementioned, a crucial catalyst for the latest price surge is the spate of announcements surrounding TSLA Supercharger stations, in my opinion (see the chart above). General Motors announced on June 8th (see this New York Times report for more details) that its electric vehicles will adopt Tesla's Superchargers. And Ford also announced a similar move shortly afterward. These announcements were interpreted as a sign that Tesla's charging stations have now become the industry standard for electric vehicles in the United States, paving the way for our EV future.There are certainly merits in such an interpretation. TSLA CEO Elon Musk himself commented that such unification “is going to be a fundamentally great thing for the advancement of E.V. adoption.” However, I view the degree of the stock price advancement to be an overly optimistic reaction. It is important to remember that the charge station is just one piece of the EV puzzle. Tesla still faces a number of challenges, including the need to continue to improve its vehicles and manufacturing processes, and the need to compete with other automakers that are also investing heavily in EVs.Even just on the charge station department itself, it is also worth noting that the announcement did not come with any specific details about how Tesla and GM/F would work together to make it happen. For example, it is not clear how much Tesla will charge GM/F to use its Superchargers, or how many Superchargers will be made available to GM/F drivers. These details could have a significant impact on the financial impact of the agreement for Tesla.And Tesla has a long way to go to expand its Supercharger station network, requiring a substantial amount of CAPEX investments in the years to come. Take the Richmond, VA, area as an example. This is where I live and have first-hand information (well, you may call it second-hand information). In an area of about 50 miles by 100 miles, there is only a handful of TSLA charge stations (see the chart below). We (my friends and myself) constantly complain about the lack of availability, and most of us are not brave enough to drive out of the area (yet).Source: Google mapsNow, taking a more global view outside my neighborhood, the company recently reported having about a total of 45,000 charging stalls installed globally. It’s an impressive number which makes it the biggest charging network. However, my view is that the network also suffers insufficient availability, very similar to my neighborhood. Out of its current 45k charging stalls, about 5k was added in the last 5 months and about 10k in the past 10 months. Looking ahead, I see the need for it to at least double the number of charging stalls in the next 1~2 years. It’s a demanding task that will cost substantial financial CAPEX, political capital, and also management attention.Source: InsideEVsTesla’s insider selling activitiesFinally, the insiders’ activities are dominated by selling. Usually, I do not interpret insider selling as a bearish sign. Insiders can sell for a range of reasons unrelated to business fundamentals (buying a new house/yacht, divorce, et al). However, when the activities are so dominated by selling, I have to pay attention.To wit, in the past 12 months, there have been a total of 241 insider transactions (see the chart below). All of them have been selling activities, with a sizable cumulative amount of $14.5 billion. In June 2023 alone, there had been a total of 8 insider selling activities between prices of $200 and $260.Source: DataRomaOther risks and final thoughtsThere are a few other downside and upside risks besides those analyzed above. The global semiconductor shortage continues to beset the automotive industry, and TSLA is no exception. In addition, TSLA has a large exposure to China, both as a key market and also a manufacturing site. Due to these uncertainties, TSLA may not be able to achieve its manufacturing and delivery goals for 2023. At the same time, raw material prices are currently hovering at elevated levels and like to remain so as inflation remains relatively high, and the Russian/Ukraine situation continues to bottleneck supply. Considering these uncertainties, my model for its growth and profitability is based on a set of more conservative delivery and margin assumptions as shown in the chart below (more details of this model can be found in one of my earlier articles). Also as seen, under these parameters, Tesla's current valuation is quite expensive. Its EV/EBITDA multiple sits around 46x. It is quite close to the target 40x~50x range assigned by leading institutions such as Bank of America. In terms of upside risk, market momentum really is the main one I see at this point. My view is that the current market price has already factored in all the near-term catalysts.All told, TSLA has been one of the most successful bull theses I’ve developed recently. However, currently, I see its stock prices reaching a short-term peak. As a result, in the near term, I am seeing more downside risks than upside potential for new buyers. My main concerns about Tesla, Inc. stock include technical signals, the market enthusiasm triggered by the announcements surrounding the supercharging stations, and insider trading activities.Source: AuthorThis article is written by Envision Research for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}