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- Hannankh87Hannankh87
  ·2023-01-12
  Stay put on the noise. Inflation will subside .. Chinareopening is the main catalyst as of now
  Why Thursday’s U.S. CPI Report Might Kill Stock Market’s Hope of Inflation Melting Away
  Stock-market optimism that the peak of inflation is behind us leaves little room for error, says Kra
  Why Thursday’s U.S. CPI Report Might Kill Stock Market’s Hope of Inflation Melting Away
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Inflation will subside .. Chinareopening is the main catalyst as of now","listText":"Stay put on the noise. Inflation will subside .. Chinareopening is the main catalyst as of now","text":"Stay put on the noise. Inflation will subside .. Chinareopening is the main catalyst as of now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951253125","repostId":"2302817558","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2302817558","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1673482764,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2302817558?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2023-01-12 08:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Thursday’s U.S. CPI Report Might Kill Stock Market’s Hope of Inflation Melting Away","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302817558","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stock-market optimism that the peak of inflation is behind us leaves little room for error, says Kra","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market optimism that the peak of inflation is behind us leaves little room for error, says Kramer of Mott Capital Management</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/987a22bd97ab2795885bd6b97e9a21b7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Brandon Bell/Getty Images</span></p><p>A mild stock market rally to kick off the new year will be put to the test Thursday when investors face a highly-awaited U.S. inflation reading which could well help determine the size of the Federal Reserve&#39;s next interest-rate increase.</p><p>The December CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, is expected to show a 6.5% rise from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.1% year-over-year rise seen in the previous month, according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones. The core price measure that strips out volatile food and fuel costs, is expected to rise 0.3% from November, or 5.7% year over year.</p><p>The December CPI will be particularly important for influencing the Fed&#39;s decision in its upcoming meeting which concludes February 1, said economists at Pimco. They expect the inflation and lsabor market data will have moderated sufficiently will push the central bank to pause rate hikes before their May meeting.</p><p>&#34;After hiking 50 basis points at the December meeting, we expect the Fed moves to a 25bp hiking pace in early February, and ultimately pause around 5%,&#34; wrote Pimco&#39;s economists Tiffany Wilding and Allison Boxer, in a Tuesday note.</p><p>However, since the Fed&#39;s December meeting, officials have relentlessly signaled the central bank will need to raise interest rates above 5% in order to get inflation to the 2% target, with no interest rate cuts expected this year. Fed funds futures traders now see a 78% likelihood of a 25 basis point hike at its February meeting, and a 68% chance of another in March, which would bring the terminal rate to merely 4.75-5% by mid-year, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>After two lower-than-expected CPI readings, which have given the market hope that inflation will melt away quickly, the December reading for inflation is essential to keep alive the market&#39;s hopes for falling inflation, Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management said in a Monday note.</p><p>&#34;Inflation swaps currently see inflation falling below 2.5% by the summer of 2023, which seems hopeful,&#34; Kramer said. &#34;This week&#39;s CPI reading will be essential in maintaining that view and could prove disastrous if CPI comes in hotter than expected, veering market-based inflation expectations off course.&#34;</p><p>The stock market is looking for an &#34;around 5%&#34; increase in December&#39;s core inflation, said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management. &#34;If you get a number in the low four [percent], the stock-market rally will continue. The market is very hyper-focused on data points.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks had a positive start to 2023 with hopes that cooling inflation and a potential recession may persuade the central bank to ease off the pace at which it is raising its policy interest rate.</p><p>Williams thinks inflation is coming down but it will not hit the central bank&#39;s 2% mark by summer 2023.</p><p>&#34;I think at some point the markets will realize, &#39;oh we can&#39;t get to 2%,&#34; and then the markets probably do sell off on that. I think maybe in short term [the stocks go] up and then in the second quarter, they go back down as people realize that 2% is not realistic,&#34; Williams told MarketWatch via phone.</p><p>U.S. stock indexes ended higher on Wednesday. The S&amp;P 500 was up 1.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.8%.</p><p>Also Read: </p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2302886853\" target=\"_blank\">Traders Lose Trust in CPI Data Security in Wake of Volume Shock</a>  </p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2302647076\" target=\"_blank\">Forget Core CPI, Market Pros Are Searching for Supercore Inflation</a></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Thursday’s U.S. CPI Report Might Kill Stock Market’s Hope of Inflation Melting Away</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Thursday’s U.S. CPI Report Might Kill Stock Market’s Hope of Inflation Melting Away\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-12 08:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market optimism that the peak of inflation is behind us leaves little room for error, says Kramer of Mott Capital Management</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/987a22bd97ab2795885bd6b97e9a21b7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Brandon Bell/Getty Images</span></p><p>A mild stock market rally to kick off the new year will be put to the test Thursday when investors face a highly-awaited U.S. inflation reading which could well help determine the size of the Federal Reserve&#39;s next interest-rate increase.</p><p>The December CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, is expected to show a 6.5% rise from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.1% year-over-year rise seen in the previous month, according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones. The core price measure that strips out volatile food and fuel costs, is expected to rise 0.3% from November, or 5.7% year over year.</p><p>The December CPI will be particularly important for influencing the Fed&#39;s decision in its upcoming meeting which concludes February 1, said economists at Pimco. They expect the inflation and lsabor market data will have moderated sufficiently will push the central bank to pause rate hikes before their May meeting.</p><p>&#34;After hiking 50 basis points at the December meeting, we expect the Fed moves to a 25bp hiking pace in early February, and ultimately pause around 5%,&#34; wrote Pimco&#39;s economists Tiffany Wilding and Allison Boxer, in a Tuesday note.</p><p>However, since the Fed&#39;s December meeting, officials have relentlessly signaled the central bank will need to raise interest rates above 5% in order to get inflation to the 2% target, with no interest rate cuts expected this year. Fed funds futures traders now see a 78% likelihood of a 25 basis point hike at its February meeting, and a 68% chance of another in March, which would bring the terminal rate to merely 4.75-5% by mid-year, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>After two lower-than-expected CPI readings, which have given the market hope that inflation will melt away quickly, the December reading for inflation is essential to keep alive the market&#39;s hopes for falling inflation, Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management said in a Monday note.</p><p>&#34;Inflation swaps currently see inflation falling below 2.5% by the summer of 2023, which seems hopeful,&#34; Kramer said. &#34;This week&#39;s CPI reading will be essential in maintaining that view and could prove disastrous if CPI comes in hotter than expected, veering market-based inflation expectations off course.&#34;</p><p>The stock market is looking for an &#34;around 5%&#34; increase in December&#39;s core inflation, said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management. &#34;If you get a number in the low four [percent], the stock-market rally will continue. The market is very hyper-focused on data points.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks had a positive start to 2023 with hopes that cooling inflation and a potential recession may persuade the central bank to ease off the pace at which it is raising its policy interest rate.</p><p>Williams thinks inflation is coming down but it will not hit the central bank&#39;s 2% mark by summer 2023.</p><p>&#34;I think at some point the markets will realize, &#39;oh we can&#39;t get to 2%,&#34; and then the markets probably do sell off on that. I think maybe in short term [the stocks go] up and then in the second quarter, they go back down as people realize that 2% is not realistic,&#34; Williams told MarketWatch via phone.</p><p>U.S. stock indexes ended higher on Wednesday. The S&amp;P 500 was up 1.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.8%.</p><p>Also Read: </p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2302886853\" target=\"_blank\">Traders Lose Trust in CPI Data Security in Wake of Volume Shock</a>  </p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2302647076\" target=\"_blank\">Forget Core CPI, Market Pros Are Searching for Supercore Inflation</a></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2302817558","content_text":"Stock-market optimism that the peak of inflation is behind us leaves little room for error, says Kramer of Mott Capital ManagementBrandon Bell/Getty ImagesA mild stock market rally to kick off the new year will be put to the test Thursday when investors face a highly-awaited U.S. inflation reading which could well help determine the size of the Federal Reserve's next interest-rate increase.The December CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, is expected to show a 6.5% rise from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.1% year-over-year rise seen in the previous month, according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones. The core price measure that strips out volatile food and fuel costs, is expected to rise 0.3% from November, or 5.7% year over year.The December CPI will be particularly important for influencing the Fed's decision in its upcoming meeting which concludes February 1, said economists at Pimco. They expect the inflation and lsabor market data will have moderated sufficiently will push the central bank to pause rate hikes before their May meeting.\"After hiking 50 basis points at the December meeting, we expect the Fed moves to a 25bp hiking pace in early February, and ultimately pause around 5%,\" wrote Pimco's economists Tiffany Wilding and Allison Boxer, in a Tuesday note.However, since the Fed's December meeting, officials have relentlessly signaled the central bank will need to raise interest rates above 5% in order to get inflation to the 2% target, with no interest rate cuts expected this year. Fed funds futures traders now see a 78% likelihood of a 25 basis point hike at its February meeting, and a 68% chance of another in March, which would bring the terminal rate to merely 4.75-5% by mid-year, according to the CME FedWatch tool.After two lower-than-expected CPI readings, which have given the market hope that inflation will melt away quickly, the December reading for inflation is essential to keep alive the market's hopes for falling inflation, Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management said in a Monday note.\"Inflation swaps currently see inflation falling below 2.5% by the summer of 2023, which seems hopeful,\" Kramer said. \"This week's CPI reading will be essential in maintaining that view and could prove disastrous if CPI comes in hotter than expected, veering market-based inflation expectations off course.\"The stock market is looking for an \"around 5%\" increase in December's core inflation, said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management. \"If you get a number in the low four [percent], the stock-market rally will continue. The market is very hyper-focused on data points.\"U.S. stocks had a positive start to 2023 with hopes that cooling inflation and a potential recession may persuade the central bank to ease off the pace at which it is raising its policy interest rate.Williams thinks inflation is coming down but it will not hit the central bank's 2% mark by summer 2023.\"I think at some point the markets will realize, 'oh we can't get to 2%,\" and then the markets probably do sell off on that. I think maybe in short term [the stocks go] up and then in the second quarter, they go back down as people realize that 2% is not realistic,\" Williams told MarketWatch via phone.U.S. stock indexes ended higher on Wednesday. The S&P 500 was up 1.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.8%.Also Read: Traders Lose Trust in CPI Data Security in Wake of Volume Shock  Forget Core CPI, Market Pros Are Searching for Supercore Inflation","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}