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- SamuSamu
  ·2022-08-28
  Thanks for sharing
  Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News
  The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that in
  Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News
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- SamuSamu
  ·2022-08-25
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  US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, With All Eyes on Jackson Hole
  Wall Street ended higher on Wednesday, lifted by gains in energy stocks and Intuit while investors a
  US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, With All Eyes on Jackson Hole
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When Jerome Powell mentions that in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless they don&#39;t because people expected worse or assume that the news was already priced into the market.</p><p>It&#39;s an inexact science where people make reactionary moves that send markets up or down based on some sort of prevailing wisdom. Basically, people take short-term news and conflate it to have long-term meaning.</p><p>The media -- of which I have been a member for roughly 30 years -- do not generally help calm the short-term hysteria.</p><p>People don&#39;t get paid to go on cable-news channels to express<b> </b>reasoned long-term opinions. They&#39;re supposed to fire off hot takes, which make it seem as if the Fed&#39;s rate move or the monthly jobs number has a huge<b> </b>impact on the stock market.</p><p>In reality, broader economic conditions clearly have an impact on individual stocks, but that&#39;s not nearly as simple as people would have you believe.</p><p>For example, a weakening economy might be worse for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>  because people might be wary of buying expensive new phones. Or the same economy could benefit Apple because consumers will hold back on vacations, new cars, and other expensive purchases and spend on more-affordable luxuries like streaming TV, music, and fitness, or maybe even a new phone, which is a lot cheaper than many vacations.</p><h2>Short-Term Stock Market Moves Don&#39;t Much Matter</h2><p>A lot of people day-trade and try to guess how the market might perform day-to-day or even hour-to-hour. Long-term investors buy good companies and hold them for years. That&#39;s how the average person can build wealth, and it&#39;s a strategy that does not depend on you trying to figure out what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#39;s comment or any Fed move means at a micro level.</p><p>Instead, every news report is a piece of a bigger puzzle. Yes, the country&#39;s long-term financial health tells you things about how various companies will perform, but isolated data points generally mean very little.</p><p>If we go back to looking at Apple, for example, the company&#39;s quarterly earnings reports often show double-digit growth in every category -- and the stock price falls after the report. Sometimes that&#39;s because investors expected more or analysts didn&#39;t like the outlook management described. But you can&#39;t judge companies based on one quarter.</p><p>When you assess an earnings report, you have to compare it with the company&#39;s long-term road map. Did Apple, for example, grow service revenue, something the tech giant has been working on for years? Are long-term sales goals being met even if they&#39;re not happening in exactly the way the company thought they might?</p><p>For example, when Apple introduces the new iPhone, in September, sales may be front-loaded or people may wait a few weeks, until the holiday season, before they buy. In a broader sense, many customers may wait until their current phone gets paid off. It&#39;s a 12-month cycle where the destination, not how you get there, matters.</p><h2>So Much Noise, So Little News</h2><p>It&#39;s a 24-hour/7-day-a-week news cycle, and media outlets tied to that wheel can&#39;t tell you that what&#39;s happening in the moment is one data point of many, not a meaningful, actionable item on its own.</p><p>Higher interest rates, for example, mean higher mortgage rates, which in turn could slow the housing market and bring prices down (or at least slow their growth).</p><p>That&#39;s not a simple equation. Cheaper sale prices with higher mortgage rates might increase affordability for buyers but they also slow wealth creation for sellers.</p><p>Both are interesting data points when you look at lots of different stocks, but evaluating a company&#39;s prospects is much more about how its management executes a plan while adjusting for economic conditions.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">Peloton</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>, for example, have taken very different approaches to the end of the pandemic-driven boom.</p><p>Netflix always talked about how it was pulling growth forward, warning that at some point there would be quarters with slight drops. The company explained how it would get more efficient with its content spending and focus on new areas like video games to drive growth.</p><p>You can believe that strategy will work -- I&#39;m bullish on more focused content spending and I think games are lighting money on fire. But how the company executes on its clearly explained strategy means a lot more to its future than an interest rate move or whether <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Disney</a> has an Avengers movie in theaters at this exact moment.</p><p>Peloton, for its part, has never really articulated a plan for a return to growth after the pandemic pushed forward its customer acquisition. Yes, the broader economy matters more to Peloton than it does to Netflix, but you should buy, sell, or ignore the company&#39;s stock based on whether you believe in its long-term business plan, not because the cost of financing a bike just got marginally more expensive.</p><p>The media want to keep things simple. That&#39;s why the weatherperson tells you it&#39;s going to snow, how much may fall, and what the temperature will be, not the underlying science that leads to those things happening.</p><p>It&#39;s easy to conflate single data points to stock market moves because when we get data, the market moves, but those moves don&#39;t actually speak to long-term performance.</p><p>When you consider investing in a company or selling a stock you own, look at as many data points as you can, and don&#39;t make blanket assumptions that higher interest rates or a weaker economy are bad (or good) for that company.</p><p>Remember that charts, numbers, expert opinions, and everything else are tools to help you understand the bigger picture. No one of them is the last word.</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-27 08:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262977847","content_text":"The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless they don't because people expected worse or assume that the news was already priced into the market.It's an inexact science where people make reactionary moves that send markets up or down based on some sort of prevailing wisdom. Basically, people take short-term news and conflate it to have long-term meaning.The media -- of which I have been a member for roughly 30 years -- do not generally help calm the short-term hysteria.People don't get paid to go on cable-news channels to express reasoned long-term opinions. They're supposed to fire off hot takes, which make it seem as if the Fed's rate move or the monthly jobs number has a huge impact on the stock market.In reality, broader economic conditions clearly have an impact on individual stocks, but that's not nearly as simple as people would have you believe.For example, a weakening economy might be worse for Apple  because people might be wary of buying expensive new phones. Or the same economy could benefit Apple because consumers will hold back on vacations, new cars, and other expensive purchases and spend on more-affordable luxuries like streaming TV, music, and fitness, or maybe even a new phone, which is a lot cheaper than many vacations.Short-Term Stock Market Moves Don't Much MatterA lot of people day-trade and try to guess how the market might perform day-to-day or even hour-to-hour. Long-term investors buy good companies and hold them for years. That's how the average person can build wealth, and it's a strategy that does not depend on you trying to figure out what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comment or any Fed move means at a micro level.Instead, every news report is a piece of a bigger puzzle. Yes, the country's long-term financial health tells you things about how various companies will perform, but isolated data points generally mean very little.If we go back to looking at Apple, for example, the company's quarterly earnings reports often show double-digit growth in every category -- and the stock price falls after the report. Sometimes that's because investors expected more or analysts didn't like the outlook management described. But you can't judge companies based on one quarter.When you assess an earnings report, you have to compare it with the company's long-term road map. Did Apple, for example, grow service revenue, something the tech giant has been working on for years? Are long-term sales goals being met even if they're not happening in exactly the way the company thought they might?For example, when Apple introduces the new iPhone, in September, sales may be front-loaded or people may wait a few weeks, until the holiday season, before they buy. In a broader sense, many customers may wait until their current phone gets paid off. It's a 12-month cycle where the destination, not how you get there, matters.So Much Noise, So Little NewsIt's a 24-hour/7-day-a-week news cycle, and media outlets tied to that wheel can't tell you that what's happening in the moment is one data point of many, not a meaningful, actionable item on its own.Higher interest rates, for example, mean higher mortgage rates, which in turn could slow the housing market and bring prices down (or at least slow their growth).That's not a simple equation. Cheaper sale prices with higher mortgage rates might increase affordability for buyers but they also slow wealth creation for sellers.Both are interesting data points when you look at lots of different stocks, but evaluating a company's prospects is much more about how its management executes a plan while adjusting for economic conditions.Peloton and Netflix, for example, have taken very different approaches to the end of the pandemic-driven boom.Netflix always talked about how it was pulling growth forward, warning that at some point there would be quarters with slight drops. The company explained how it would get more efficient with its content spending and focus on new areas like video games to drive growth.You can believe that strategy will work -- I'm bullish on more focused content spending and I think games are lighting money on fire. But how the company executes on its clearly explained strategy means a lot more to its future than an interest rate move or whether Disney has an Avengers movie in theaters at this exact moment.Peloton, for its part, has never really articulated a plan for a return to growth after the pandemic pushed forward its customer acquisition. Yes, the broader economy matters more to Peloton than it does to Netflix, but you should buy, sell, or ignore the company's stock based on whether you believe in its long-term business plan, not because the cost of financing a bike just got marginally more expensive.The media want to keep things simple. That's why the weatherperson tells you it's going to snow, how much may fall, and what the temperature will be, not the underlying science that leads to those things happening.It's easy to conflate single data points to stock market moves because when we get data, the market moves, but those moves don't actually speak to long-term performance.When you consider investing in a company or selling a stock you own, look at as many data points as you can, and don't make blanket assumptions that higher interest rates or a weaker economy are bad (or good) for that company.Remember that charts, numbers, expert opinions, and everything else are tools to help you understand the bigger picture. No one of them is the last word.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995053330,"gmtCreate":1661387644523,"gmtModify":1676536508919,"author":{"id":"4123833744780322","authorId":"4123833744780322","name":"Samu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f929771819adba39f72eb5934b97ba0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4123833744780322","authorIdStr":"4123833744780322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995053330","repostId":"2262220676","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262220676","pubTimestamp":1661382394,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262220676?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, With All Eyes on Jackson Hole","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262220676","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street ended higher on Wednesday, lifted by gains in energy stocks and Intuit while investors a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended higher on Wednesday, lifted by gains in energy stocks and Intuit while investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s Jackson Hole conference this week.</p><p>Boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq, Intuit Inc rallied almost 4% after the accounting software maker forecast upbeat fiscal 2023 revenue.</p><p>After the bell, Salesforce Inc dipped 5.5% following its quarterly report. During the trading session, the business software seller had gained 2.3%.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes rose, led by energy, up 1.2%, followed by a 0.71% gain in real estate.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost ground in the previous three sessions after a summer rally was halted by growing concerns of an aggressive stance by the Fed, an energy crisis in Europe and signs of economic slowdown in China.</p><p>Investor are now focused be on the Jackson Hole symposium that begins on Thursday, with remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday potentially providing clues about the pace of future rate hikes and whether the central bank can achieve a &#34;soft landing&#34; for the economy.</p><p>&#34;The market is biding its time to get more information on the most important things, which are inflation and the Fed&#39;s rate path,&#34; said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at GLOBALT Investments in Atlanta.</p><p>Traders are divided between expecting a 50-basis point hike and a 75-basis point hike by the U.S. central bank.</p><p>President Joe Biden said the U.S. government will forgive $10,000 in student loans for many debt-saddled college-goers, a move that could boost support for his fellow Democrats in the November congressional elections but also may fuel inflation.</p><p>Helped by corporate quarterly results that were not as bad as feared, the S&amp;P 500 has recovered 13% from its mid-June lows. The benchmark index is set to end the year a little above its current level, according to strategists recently polled by Reuters.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.29% to end the session at 4,140.77 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 0.41% to 12,431.53 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.18% to 32,969.23 points.</p><p>Peloton Interactive surged over 20% after the stationary bike company said it would sell its products on Amazon in a bid to boost sales that have dropped following the end of pandemic lockdowns.</p><p>Nordstrom Inc tumbled almost 20% after the retailer cut its annual revenue and profit forecasts, a sign that inflation is squeezing consumer spending on its high-end clothing and footwear.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 2.5-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new highs and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 42 new highs and 104 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 8.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, With All Eyes on Jackson Hole\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-25 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-201806868.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street ended higher on Wednesday, lifted by gains in energy stocks and Intuit while investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference this week.Boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-201806868.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-201806868.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262220676","content_text":"Wall Street ended higher on Wednesday, lifted by gains in energy stocks and Intuit while investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference this week.Boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq, Intuit Inc rallied almost 4% after the accounting software maker forecast upbeat fiscal 2023 revenue.After the bell, Salesforce Inc dipped 5.5% following its quarterly report. During the trading session, the business software seller had gained 2.3%.All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rose, led by energy, up 1.2%, followed by a 0.71% gain in real estate.The S&P 500 lost ground in the previous three sessions after a summer rally was halted by growing concerns of an aggressive stance by the Fed, an energy crisis in Europe and signs of economic slowdown in China.Investor are now focused be on the Jackson Hole symposium that begins on Thursday, with remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday potentially providing clues about the pace of future rate hikes and whether the central bank can achieve a \"soft landing\" for the economy.\"The market is biding its time to get more information on the most important things, which are inflation and the Fed's rate path,\" said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at GLOBALT Investments in Atlanta.Traders are divided between expecting a 50-basis point hike and a 75-basis point hike by the U.S. central bank.President Joe Biden said the U.S. government will forgive $10,000 in student loans for many debt-saddled college-goers, a move that could boost support for his fellow Democrats in the November congressional elections but also may fuel inflation.Helped by corporate quarterly results that were not as bad as feared, the S&P 500 has recovered 13% from its mid-June lows. The benchmark index is set to end the year a little above its current level, according to strategists recently polled by Reuters.The S&P 500 climbed 0.29% to end the session at 4,140.77 points.The Nasdaq gained 0.41% to 12,431.53 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.18% to 32,969.23 points.Peloton Interactive surged over 20% after the stationary bike company said it would sell its products on Amazon in a bid to boost sales that have dropped following the end of pandemic lockdowns.Nordstrom Inc tumbled almost 20% after the retailer cut its annual revenue and profit forecasts, a sign that inflation is squeezing consumer spending on its high-end clothing and footwear.Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 by a 2.5-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted two new highs and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 42 new highs and 104 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 8.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}