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Tiger_Insights

Data-driven Top-down global research, from Tiger Asset Management Team.

    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·03-19 11:13

      Weekly Insights: Improving Inflation Data, Weakening Consumer Confidence—Is the U.S. Market Rebounding or Just a Bear Market Rally?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Last week, global equity markets showed overall weakness, yet market sentiment was polarized. In Greater China, the tech sector experienced a slight pullback, but the consumer sector took the lead, driving notable gains in the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300. In the U.S., the stock market temporarily stabilized, ending its streak of consecutive declines. Although the Nasdaq surged on Friday, it still closed the week down by more than 2%. Key Events to Watch This Week: Macro Focus → The FOMC meeting will be the primary event. Sector Focus → The NVIDIA GTC Conference for AI industry updates. Stock Focus → A wave of Chinese company earnings, with special attention to Tencent, Xiaomi, and their AI outlooks. Key Market Themes Improving
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      Weekly Insights: Improving Inflation Data, Weakening Consumer Confidence—Is the U.S. Market Rebounding or Just a Bear Market Rally?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·03-14

      Weekly Insights: Trump’s “Debt Reduction Campaign” Shakes the Market—When Will U.S. Stocks Bottom Out?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers Key Market Themes Trump’s “Debt Reduction Campaign” Shakes the Market—When Will U.S. Stocks Bottom Out? The recent sharp decline in U.S. equities has undoubtedly been the hottest topic among investors. Since mid-to-late February, the Nasdaq has plunged approximately 12% over just a dozen trading sessions. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has been hit even harder, dropping 16%. The once red-hot “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks have suffered severe losses—Tesla has been cut in half, NVIDIA has pulled back 30% from its peak, while Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have each seen declines of nearly 20%. Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers At the heart of this market turbulence is President Donald Trump. His erratic
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      Weekly Insights: Trump’s “Debt Reduction Campaign” Shakes the Market—When Will U.S. Stocks Bottom Out?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·03-05

      Weekly Insights: U.S. Stocks Teetering-What’s the Endgame of Trump’s Tariffs?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers Key Market Themes NVIDIA’s Earnings Perform Brilliantly, Yet Its Stock Faces A Sell-Off—Has The Narrative Of The U.S. Stock Market Come To An End? Last week, NVIDIA released its latest financial report, showing quarterly revenue and profits surging by 78% and 80% year-over-year, respectively—once again significantly exceeding market expectations. Looking solely at the performance numbers, NVIDIA’s results were nearly flawless. The only blemish was a sequential decline in gross margin, widely anticipated due to higher costs associated with its next-generation "Blackwell" chips. Yet, despite these stellar figures, NVIDIA’s stock surprisingly fell after the earnings announcement, plunging nearly 8% in a single
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      Weekly Insights: U.S. Stocks Teetering-What’s the Endgame of Trump’s Tariffs?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·02-26

      Weekly Insights: Trump Announces New Restrictions on China; High Inflation and the Fed's Dilemma—How to Plan for the Future Market?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers Key Market Themes Increased Volatility in Greater China, Trump Announces New Restrictions on China—How to Plan for the Future Market? Recently, Greater China tech stocks continue to lead the global market. Alibaba’s quarterly capital expenditure of 31.7 billion yuan has once again ignited investment enthusiasm for AI in Greater China. However, over the weekend, the White House released a presidential memorandum on "America First" investment policies, which both restricts Chinese capital from investing in critical U.S. assets and limits American capital from flowing into Chinese companies. This has caused significant turbulence in the Greater China market. Regarding this memorandum, while there will cer
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      Weekly Insights: Trump Announces New Restrictions on China; High Inflation and the Fed's Dilemma—How to Plan for the Future Market?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·02-12

      Weekly Insights: DeepSeek Disrupts the Global AI Landscape, U.S. Economic Data Shows Divergence—Opportunities and Risks Coexist?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers DeepSeek Disrupts the Global AI Landscape, Computing Power Demand Continues to Rise—Where Will Future Opportunities Lie? Recently, DeepSeek launched China's first large model with inference capabilities on par with OpenAI, achieving this at less than one-tenth of the cost. This move has sparked widespread discussion within the industry, significantly boosting confidence in Chinese tech stocks while also causing major volatility in U.S. AI-related stocks. After two weeks of fermentation, the market has largely digested the DeepSeek event. Discussions surrounding computing power and NVIDIA have also reached a general consensus: demand for computing power will not decline but will continue to rise. At its
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      Weekly Insights: DeepSeek Disrupts the Global AI Landscape, U.S. Economic Data Shows Divergence—Opportunities and Risks Coexist?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·01-21

      Weekly Insights: U.S. Inflation Cools Surprisingly, Positive Developments in U.S.-China Relations Continue, Can the Growth Potential of AI Be Reignited?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers U.S. Inflation Cools Surprisingly, Market Worries Ease Slightly, but Trading Opportunities Remain. Last week, the December U.S. inflation data was released, showing a slight cooling compared to the previously robust economic data. Specifically, the nominal CPI rose 2.9% year-on-year, higher than the prior reading but within expectations. The main driver of this increase was energy prices, influenced by short-term volatility and lacking long-term persistence. Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers Meanwhile, core CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year, exceeding the prior reading but slightly below expectations. Within core CPI, core goods continued to cool, while core services remained relatively resilient, especially the ho
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      Weekly Insights: U.S. Inflation Cools Surprisingly, Positive Developments in U.S.-China Relations Continue, Can the Growth Potential of AI Be Reignited?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·01-15

      Weekly Insights: Latest AI chip ban announced! U.S. Stock Pullback Alarm Sounded as U.S. Economy Continues to Strengthen?

      Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Brokers Key Market Themes Is the Biden Administration's Plan for Stricter AI Chip Export Restrictions Set to Have a Profound Impact on the Tech Industry? Last week, Bloomberg, citing sources familiar with the matter, reported that the Biden administration plans to introduce further AI chip export restrictions before leaving office on January 20. Rumors suggest that the new regulations will categorize countries and regions into three tiers as follows: Tier 1: Includes major U.S. allies such as Germany, Japan, and the Netherlands. These countries will face minimal restrictions and can nearly freely access AI chips exported by the U.S. Tier 2: Covers most countries and regions worldwide, which will be subject to a tot
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      Weekly Insights: Latest AI chip ban announced! U.S. Stock Pullback Alarm Sounded as U.S. Economy Continues to Strengthen?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·2024-12-13

      Themes for 2025 | 2025 Might Be the Year of SaaS

      Today, let's exploring themes for 2025.It should be noted that alpha selection will become increasingly important in 2025, with significant differences expected between sectors and companies.As investors, we should consider which themes or sectors should include and important considerations :There’s no need to hedge against a hard landing, as this risk is already addressed at the allocation level by reducing delta.The chosen sector should have strong fundamentals, includIing healthy revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow, and it should not be a sunset industry. This ensures that even if the market experiences a significant pullback, the sector has recovery potential, avoiding forced losses during downturns.Industries driven primarily by long-term expectations—like quantum computing o
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      Themes for 2025 | 2025 Might Be the Year of SaaS
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·2024-04-17

      🚨💥 Iran-Israel Conflict: Gold vs. U.S. Treasuries for Assets?

      📅 On April 1st, tensions flared as 🇮🇱 Israel targeted the Iranian consulate in Damascus; 🇮🇷 Iran retaliated with a barrage of missiles and drones on the night of April 13th to 14th, an event that caught 🌍 the world's attention. To prevent a spiral into a cycle of violence, Western governments issued 🔴 red alerts. An escalation into a full-scale regional conflict could have devastating global effects.Led by the United States, Western countries condemned Iran's actions. The international response varied:Turkey urged Iran to prevent further escalation; China adopted a policy of appeasement; 🇷🇺 the Russian Foreign Ministry called for "restraint" from all parties; and Syria, an ally, emphasized Iran's "right to self-defense."🌐📉 The Middle East's unrest has global implications, affecting capital
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      🚨💥 Iran-Israel Conflict: Gold vs. U.S. Treasuries for Assets?
    • Tiger_InsightsTiger_Insights
      ·2024-03-13

      Weekly Insights: AI Hype Overshadows Macro, But Be Careful of AI Server Speculations

      1. Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Source: Bloomberg 2. Key Market Themes: U.S. job market is weakening. Powell said “a bit more evidence” is needed for rate cut The United States added 275k non-farm jobs in February, slightly higher than the market consensus of 200k. However, the unemployment rate rose by 3.9% in February, higher than market expectations. Meanwhile, average hourly wages increased by only 0.1% month-on-month, and full-time employee wages year-on-year growth declined to almost 0, lower than market expectations. Taken together, this Feb NFP report further confirms that the U.S. job market is weakening. Source: Wells Fargo Fed Chairman Powell said “a bit more evidence” is needed for rate cut in his testimony to congress, pushing the rate cut pricing by the
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      Weekly Insights: AI Hype Overshadows Macro, But Be Careful of AI Server Speculations
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