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- Vence TehVence Teh
  ·08-21
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  US Payrolls Marked Down by Most Since 2009, Cementing Case for Fed Interest-Rate Cuts
  US job growth was probably far less robust in the year through March than previously reported, according to government data out Wednesday.The number of workers on payrolls will likely be revised down
  US Payrolls Marked Down by Most Since 2009, Cementing Case for Fed Interest-Rate Cuts
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- Vence TehVence Teh
  ·06-22
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  Nvidia Stock Price Outlook: Will NVDA Suffer a Dot-Com Bubble Type Disaster?
  Although Nvidia has been all the hype, maybe now is time to take a step back and reconsider investment into the stock.
  Nvidia Stock Price Outlook: Will NVDA Suffer a Dot-Com Bubble Type Disaster?
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Teh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1bc72997aa772c54b48d524dfc966429","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4152429844913532","authorIdStr":"4152429844913532"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340824056811736","repostId":"1191481160","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1191481160","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1724250927,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191481160?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-08-21 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Payrolls Marked Down by Most Since 2009, Cementing Case for Fed Interest-Rate Cuts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191481160","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"US job growth was probably far less robust in the year through March than previously reported, according to government data out Wednesday.The number of workers on payrolls will likely be revised down ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. added 818,000 fewer jobs than previously reported from the spring of 2023 to the spring of 2024, indicating that the labor market began to cool off earlier and faster than it appeared at the time.</p><p>The lower number of new jobs created provides further impetus for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September as widely expected. 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The changes are backward looking and don’t tell us where the labor market and the economy are headed.</p><p>If the Fed cuts rates as expected, for instance, it could boost the economy and lead to somewhat faster hiring.</p><p>The revisions won’t be official until early next year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Payrolls Marked Down by Most Since 2009, Cementing Case for Fed Interest-Rate Cuts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Payrolls Marked Down by Most Since 2009, Cementing Case for Fed Interest-Rate Cuts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-08-21 22:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. added 818,000 fewer jobs than previously reported from the spring of 2023 to the spring of 2024, indicating that the labor market began to cool off earlier and faster than it appeared at the time.</p><p>The lower number of new jobs created provides further impetus for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September as widely expected. The central bank is required under the law to keep inflation low and employment high.</p><p>The government’s revised estimate of employment growth showed the economy gained about 2.1 million jobs from April 2023 to March 2024.</p><p>Originally, the increase in employment during that span was put at 2.9 million.</p><p>With inflation gradually slowing toward the Fed’s 2% target, the bank has put greater weight on the health of the labor market in considering when to reduce high U.S. interest rates.</p><p>The Fed jacked up a key short-term rate to a 23-year peak in 2022 and 2023 to quell the highest inflation in 40 years.</p><p>The updated employment figures mean the economy created an average of 173,000 jobs a month during the period in question, instead of 242,000 under the old estimates.</p><p>That rate of hiring was still pretty good historically. The U.S. added an average of 180,000 jobs a month, for instance, from 2010 to 2019.</p><p>The government revises its employment figures every year under its so-called benchmarking process. These revisions try to paint a more accurate picture of how many jobs were created in that period.</p><p>The revisions stem from a survey conducted four times a year of all U.S. companies that take part in the state-federal system for providing unemployment benefits to workers who lose their jobs. Companies are required to provide staff levels for tax purposes.</p><p>This information helps the Bureau of Labor Statistics more precisely measure the true number of jobs being created.</p><p>Wall Street had expected a big markdown in employment gains. Estimates for the reduction had ranged from 600,000 jobs to a record 1 million.</p><p>The revision might even be large enough to spur the Fed to make a bigger cut in interest rates in September than Wall Street now expects, or it could lead to a speedier reduction in rates in the months ahead, some economists say.</p><p>Why is that? The initially reported job gains during that stretch may have deterred the Fed from cutting interest rates sooner.</p><p>And what do the revisions tell us about the four months since March 2024?</p><p>Not much. The changes are backward looking and don’t tell us where the labor market and the economy are headed.</p><p>If the Fed cuts rates as expected, for instance, it could boost the economy and lead to somewhat faster hiring.</p><p>The revisions won’t be official until early next year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-21/us-payrolls-likely-to-be-818-000-lower-per-preliminary-revision?srnd=homepage-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191481160","content_text":"The U.S. added 818,000 fewer jobs than previously reported from the spring of 2023 to the spring of 2024, indicating that the labor market began to cool off earlier and faster than it appeared at the time.The lower number of new jobs created provides further impetus for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September as widely expected. The central bank is required under the law to keep inflation low and employment high.The government’s revised estimate of employment growth showed the economy gained about 2.1 million jobs from April 2023 to March 2024.Originally, the increase in employment during that span was put at 2.9 million.With inflation gradually slowing toward the Fed’s 2% target, the bank has put greater weight on the health of the labor market in considering when to reduce high U.S. interest rates.The Fed jacked up a key short-term rate to a 23-year peak in 2022 and 2023 to quell the highest inflation in 40 years.The updated employment figures mean the economy created an average of 173,000 jobs a month during the period in question, instead of 242,000 under the old estimates.That rate of hiring was still pretty good historically. The U.S. added an average of 180,000 jobs a month, for instance, from 2010 to 2019.The government revises its employment figures every year under its so-called benchmarking process. These revisions try to paint a more accurate picture of how many jobs were created in that period.The revisions stem from a survey conducted four times a year of all U.S. companies that take part in the state-federal system for providing unemployment benefits to workers who lose their jobs. Companies are required to provide staff levels for tax purposes.This information helps the Bureau of Labor Statistics more precisely measure the true number of jobs being created.Wall Street had expected a big markdown in employment gains. Estimates for the reduction had ranged from 600,000 jobs to a record 1 million.The revision might even be large enough to spur the Fed to make a bigger cut in interest rates in September than Wall Street now expects, or it could lead to a speedier reduction in rates in the months ahead, some economists say.Why is that? The initially reported job gains during that stretch may have deterred the Fed from cutting interest rates sooner.And what do the revisions tell us about the four months since March 2024?Not much. The changes are backward looking and don’t tell us where the labor market and the economy are headed.If the Fed cuts rates as expected, for instance, it could boost the economy and lead to somewhat faster hiring.The revisions won’t be official until early next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319487952793640,"gmtCreate":1719029030767,"gmtModify":1719029480930,"author":{"id":"4152429844913532","authorId":"4152429844913532","name":"Vence Teh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1bc72997aa772c54b48d524dfc966429","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4152429844913532","authorIdStr":"4152429844913532"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319487952793640","repostId":"2445075366","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2445075366","pubTimestamp":1719023400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2445075366?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-06-22 10:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Stock Price Outlook: Will NVDA Suffer a Dot-Com Bubble Type Disaster?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2445075366","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Although Nvidia has been all the hype, maybe now is time to take a step back and reconsider investment into the stock.","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Nvidia Corp </strong>(<strong>NVDA</strong>) has seen an impressive performance with 155.58% upside year-to-date with solid financials.</p></li><li><p>AI boom is comparable to the dot-com bubble concerning Nvidia.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia’s stock trades are higher than its peers, and the company faces strong competitive pressure.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/476de51cd5cfc273151e9a63b9d311d8\" alt=\"Source: Sergio Photone / Shutterstock.com\" title=\"Source: Sergio Photone / Shutterstock.com\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"/><span>Source: Sergio Photone / Shutterstock.com</span></p><p><strong>Nvidia’s </strong>(NASDAQ:<strong>NVDA</strong>) current 10-for-1 stock split has gained investor’s attention because it makes the Nvidia stock more accessible to small investors.</p><p>Overall, Nvidia’s performance has been awe-inspiring, with an 155.58% upside year-to-date. The company dominates the competition with an 80% market share for AI chips. Still, its stock price is at an all-time high again, which begs whether its valuation is sound. </p><h2 id=\"id_1243175279\">Nvidia Stock Q1 Success</h2><p>Nvidia experienced substantial growth across the year. The company’s current financial reports for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 show a significant increase in revenue to $26.04 billion, up 262% year over year.</p><p>The gross margin also improved to 78.4% from 64.6% in the same quarter last year. Nvidia’s earnings per share for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 were $6.12, which is 416% up YOY. </p><h2 id=\"id_3583760166\">AI Might Be Overhyped </h2><p>Nvidia’s financial success seems to justify the hype in its stock. However, this might not be the case when we consider the AI market as a whole. About $50 billion has been invested in Nvidia’s chips, but AI startups have only generated around $3 billion in sales. </p><p><em>The Wall Street Journal </em>interviewed John Chambers, the CEO of <strong>Cisco Systems</strong> (NASDAQ:<strong>CSCO</strong>) during the dot-com bubble. He draws some parallels between Cisco then and Nvidia right now.</p><p>Both companies had a dominant market share in a large new market while benefiting from large investments from the industry before it was profitable. Cisco’s stock today trades at around $47, never recovering from its peak of $77 in 2000. </p><h2 id=\"id_2206758967\">Competitive Risks Are Prevalent</h2><p>Nvidia faces fierce competition in the semiconductor production industry, with the major two being <strong>Intel </strong>(NASDAQ:<strong>INTC</strong>)<strong> </strong>and <strong>Advanced Micro Devices </strong>(NASDAQ:<strong>AMD</strong>).</p><p>China’s development of its semiconductors could threaten Nvidia’s position internationally. China has long relied on foreign companies for semiconductors like Nvidia, but it plans to produce 70% of its domestic chip use by 2025.</p><p>Cheap Chinese chips could flood the international markets like its EVs, disrupting pricing for everyone in the industry. </p><h2 id=\"id_873566403\">Nvidia’s Valuation Is a Gamble </h2><p>Even though Cisco’s stock price never recovered, that didn’t mean it wasn’t a good company. Today, it still has around 41% of the market share and generates over $12 billion a year in revenue.</p><p>Similarly, Nvidia doesn’t have to be a bad company for its stock to be overvalued and for investors to never make their money back for many years. </p><p>Analysts have an average price target of $124.14, below its current trading price as of writing. This shows that the market is doubting Nvidia as it continues to break all-time highs seriously.</p><p>The higher the stock price, the more investors will sell off to take home their profits. </p><p>It’s currently trading at a trailing Price-to-sales (P/E) ratio of 79.29x and a forward P/E of 52.08x, which accounts for the estimated earnings increase next year.</p><p>Even so, if we compile the trailing P/E ratio for all the stocks in the Magnificent 7 — a list of tech conglomerates that many already consider overvalued — we get an average P/E ratio of 48.31x. Many of these companies are poised to ride the AI wave but still at a much lower valuation. </p><h2 id=\"id_674521919\">Great Company, Lousy Stock </h2><p>Nvidia’s stock price has done exceptionally well. It’s financials, no doubt, back that story.</p><p>However, great companies don’t necessarily mean outstanding stock. It took the Nasdaq-100 15 years to recover from the bubble despite many of those stocks being household names today.</p><p>The growth of the AI industry is legitimate, but Nvidia isn’t the only way you can invest in it.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Stock Price Outlook: Will NVDA Suffer a Dot-Com Bubble Type Disaster?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock Price Outlook: Will NVDA Suffer a Dot-Com Bubble Type Disaster?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-22 10:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2024/06/nvidia-stock-price-outlook-will-nvda-suffer-a-dot-com-bubble-type-disaster/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia Corp (NVDA) has seen an impressive performance with 155.58% upside year-to-date with solid financials.AI boom is comparable to the dot-com bubble concerning Nvidia.Nvidia’s stock trades are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2024/06/nvidia-stock-price-outlook-will-nvda-suffer-a-dot-com-bubble-type-disaster/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","IE0034235295.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BDCRKT87.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1059921491.USD":"NORDEA 1 GLOBAL STABLE EQUITY \"HB\" (USDHDG) ACC","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET  INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU0321505868.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD","SG9999001440.SGD":"United Global Dividend Equity Fund A SGD Dist","LU0731783394.SGD":"Fidelity Global Dividend A-MINCOME(G)-SGD","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2024/06/nvidia-stock-price-outlook-will-nvda-suffer-a-dot-com-bubble-type-disaster/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2445075366","content_text":"Nvidia Corp (NVDA) has seen an impressive performance with 155.58% upside year-to-date with solid financials.AI boom is comparable to the dot-com bubble concerning Nvidia.Nvidia’s stock trades are higher than its peers, and the company faces strong competitive pressure.Source: Sergio Photone / Shutterstock.comNvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) current 10-for-1 stock split has gained investor’s attention because it makes the Nvidia stock more accessible to small investors.Overall, Nvidia’s performance has been awe-inspiring, with an 155.58% upside year-to-date. The company dominates the competition with an 80% market share for AI chips. Still, its stock price is at an all-time high again, which begs whether its valuation is sound. Nvidia Stock Q1 SuccessNvidia experienced substantial growth across the year. The company’s current financial reports for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 show a significant increase in revenue to $26.04 billion, up 262% year over year.The gross margin also improved to 78.4% from 64.6% in the same quarter last year. Nvidia’s earnings per share for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 were $6.12, which is 416% up YOY. AI Might Be Overhyped Nvidia’s financial success seems to justify the hype in its stock. However, this might not be the case when we consider the AI market as a whole. About $50 billion has been invested in Nvidia’s chips, but AI startups have only generated around $3 billion in sales. The Wall Street Journal interviewed John Chambers, the CEO of Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) during the dot-com bubble. He draws some parallels between Cisco then and Nvidia right now.Both companies had a dominant market share in a large new market while benefiting from large investments from the industry before it was profitable. Cisco’s stock today trades at around $47, never recovering from its peak of $77 in 2000. Competitive Risks Are PrevalentNvidia faces fierce competition in the semiconductor production industry, with the major two being Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD).China’s development of its semiconductors could threaten Nvidia’s position internationally. China has long relied on foreign companies for semiconductors like Nvidia, but it plans to produce 70% of its domestic chip use by 2025.Cheap Chinese chips could flood the international markets like its EVs, disrupting pricing for everyone in the industry. Nvidia’s Valuation Is a Gamble Even though Cisco’s stock price never recovered, that didn’t mean it wasn’t a good company. Today, it still has around 41% of the market share and generates over $12 billion a year in revenue.Similarly, Nvidia doesn’t have to be a bad company for its stock to be overvalued and for investors to never make their money back for many years. Analysts have an average price target of $124.14, below its current trading price as of writing. This shows that the market is doubting Nvidia as it continues to break all-time highs seriously.The higher the stock price, the more investors will sell off to take home their profits. It’s currently trading at a trailing Price-to-sales (P/E) ratio of 79.29x and a forward P/E of 52.08x, which accounts for the estimated earnings increase next year.Even so, if we compile the trailing P/E ratio for all the stocks in the Magnificent 7 — a list of tech conglomerates that many already consider overvalued — we get an average P/E ratio of 48.31x. Many of these companies are poised to ride the AI wave but still at a much lower valuation. Great Company, Lousy Stock Nvidia’s stock price has done exceptionally well. It’s financials, no doubt, back that story.However, great companies don’t necessarily mean outstanding stock. It took the Nasdaq-100 15 years to recover from the bubble despite many of those stocks being household names today.The growth of the AI industry is legitimate, but Nvidia isn’t the only way you can invest in it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}