$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ TLT's average duration (sensitivity to interest rate changes) is 16.5, meaning that for every 1% decrease in interest rates the price of TLT should increase by 16.5%. We just got a 50bps cut, so TLT price should rise about 8%. It was about $100 yesterday and this morning, so a price of $108 would be very normal according to duration math. However, 25bps was probably baked into the price already, so let's call it a 4% price increase. TLT to $104. Today is just all the short term and day traders selling on every spike. They'll be gone in a day or two, and TLT will seek it's natural price level, about $104, over the coming weeks. Unless we start getting poor CPI and PCE reports. Increasing inflation hurts the
$Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ the more shorts try to bash a stock the better it probably is. if you knownits gonna fail seems you'd wanna be quiet and let longs take the bait. but the more you chit chat to sell the more afraid you obviously are of being squeezed
$Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ Congrats to all longs. Contract awarded as we hoped and longs should remember that the second lunar launch is coming soon within months. Personally I sold half my position at $8.50 yesterday (I had a $4.90 cost). The other half I will let roll through the next mission. I was very overweight so I got an amazing return for a one one old investment and can now play mostly on house money.In terms of financials this is just a complete guess....$450m each year for 10 years. Say $50-$100m bottom line on this. 20x on ebitda = $75m x 20 = $1.5bn = $25 per share. So even if we halve the profit on this contract I think $15 is where the SP needs to be right now.
$Intel(INTC)$Making IFS (Intel Foundry Services) into an independent subsidiary of Intel means that Intel would establish IFS as a separate, standalone legal entity, rather than keeping it as an integrated part of its core business. This move would give IFS more operational autonomy, allowing it to make its own decisions, manage finances independently, and potentially pursue external customers, partnerships, and investments more freely.It could also allow Intel to focus on its core semiconductor design and manufacturing business while allowing IFS to grow and compete in the foundry market (which involves manufacturing chips for other companies) without being fully tied to Intel’s corporate structure or strategic decision
$Alibaba(BABA)$Yup, the only direction from here is up. The Snow Clown reiterates another up day on Thursday. Got a box of donuts and the timer on the coffee pot is all set. Enjoy another good day tomorrow!🤡
$Alphabet(GOOG)$Google has officially reversed course. I still think the CEO needs to go. sadly he probably won't because the stock will now go back up. but he keeps putting Google in these positions every time. and there's never a catalyst or optimism from management whenever the stock is tanking
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ hopefully everyone sold today , because tomorrow is most likely a red day and the selling will probably accelerate during the day tomorrow unless they announce by tomorrow morning that they filed their delayed 10k. if they wait till the last day of the deadline it will be considered as a massive negative and the stock can drop 100 in a heartbeat!
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ October 18 is the date! Lots of big investors along with hedge funds already slowly accumulate the shares and specially when a market dip like this comes around... It will be uptrend daily up until the Robotaxi show off. $260 to $280 as we get closer to October and possibly $300+ once all details and plans dates reveal. 🚀🚀🚀💚💚💚👍👍👍💰💰💰💎💎💎