Time in the market beat timing

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cenziwei
2021-05-26

Time in the market beat timing the market. Ignore all the noise

标普500 ETF做空比例升至年内最高！美股将回调？

投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周，而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据，

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Ignore all the noise","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136517082","repostId":1168555747,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168555747","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622001153,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168555747?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 11:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"标普500 ETF做空比例升至年内最高！美股将回调？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168555747","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周，而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据，","content":"<p>投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周，而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9c429cfbd71233ddb95e4179bed17c3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据，随着标普500指数在历史高点附近震荡，规模达3570亿美元的标普500 ETF的空头比例已跃升至今年最高水平。</p><p>数据显示，该基金目前约有4.8％的股份已借出。相比之下，两个月前只有2%，而今年年初时为1.7%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/230a91c11ccf12210ff0a5ba7adf9e82\" tg-width=\"1156\" tg-height=\"656\"><span>标普500ETE空头比例</span></p><p>尽管这一指标仍远低于过去两年的高点，2020年曾不止一次升至7%以上，但看跌转向是在市场脆弱时期出现的。</p><p>Independent Advisor Alliance首席投资官Chris Zaccarelli表示：“标普500指数的空头比例激增，部分原因是人们怀疑涨势能否继续，或者至少市场应该回调。”“虽然我们认为牛市没有过早结束的危险，但由于市场平均每两年一次至少有10％的回调（至少自1980年以来），我们确实认为今年有可能出现这种程度的回落。”</p><p>投资者一直在转向周期股，但波动性的打击已经到来，因为他们还担心通胀上升和加息的前景。同时，市场中投机性最强的部分（如加密货币）加剧了对市场过度乐观的担忧。</p><p>以托比亚斯·列夫科维奇为首的策略师周五在一份报告中称，花旗集团的各项指标仍处于“兴奋状态”，而这也将导致“基于目前水平，未来一年股市下跌的历史概率为100%”。</p><p>与此同时，Susquehanna国际集团衍生品策略联席主管克里斯•墨菲（Chris Murphy）周二指出，标普500指数的实际股息率和实际收益率最近均转为负值。</p><p>他表示，这是一个相当罕见的现象，一般来说，无论是在短期还是在长期内收益率转为负时，标普500的回报率都不高。</p><p>不过，Susquehanna团队也表示，他们预计任何回调都是短暂的。他们还指出，以历史标准衡量，对美股的做空比例仍然很低。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n标普500 ETF做空比例升至年内最高！美股将回调？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-26 11:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周，而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9c429cfbd71233ddb95e4179bed17c3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据，随着标普500指数在历史高点附近震荡，规模达3570亿美元的标普500 ETF的空头比例已跃升至今年最高水平。</p><p>数据显示，该基金目前约有4.8％的股份已借出。相比之下，两个月前只有2%，而今年年初时为1.7%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/230a91c11ccf12210ff0a5ba7adf9e82\" tg-width=\"1156\" tg-height=\"656\"><span>标普500ETE空头比例</span></p><p>尽管这一指标仍远低于过去两年的高点，2020年曾不止一次升至7%以上，但看跌转向是在市场脆弱时期出现的。</p><p>Independent Advisor Alliance首席投资官Chris Zaccarelli表示：“标普500指数的空头比例激增，部分原因是人们怀疑涨势能否继续，或者至少市场应该回调。”“虽然我们认为牛市没有过早结束的危险，但由于市场平均每两年一次至少有10％的回调（至少自1980年以来），我们确实认为今年有可能出现这种程度的回落。”</p><p>投资者一直在转向周期股，但波动性的打击已经到来，因为他们还担心通胀上升和加息的前景。同时，市场中投机性最强的部分（如加密货币）加剧了对市场过度乐观的担忧。</p><p>以托比亚斯·列夫科维奇为首的策略师周五在一份报告中称，花旗集团的各项指标仍处于“兴奋状态”，而这也将导致“基于目前水平，未来一年股市下跌的历史概率为100%”。</p><p>与此同时，Susquehanna国际集团衍生品策略联席主管克里斯•墨菲（Chris Murphy）周二指出，标普500指数的实际股息率和实际收益率最近均转为负值。</p><p>他表示，这是一个相当罕见的现象，一般来说，无论是在短期还是在长期内收益率转为负时，标普500的回报率都不高。</p><p>不过，Susquehanna团队也表示，他们预计任何回调都是短暂的。他们还指出，以历史标准衡量，对美股的做空比例仍然很低。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f4ce6db7a7760033683c1536b161e8","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168555747","content_text":"投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周，而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据，随着标普500指数在历史高点附近震荡，规模达3570亿美元的标普500 ETF的空头比例已跃升至今年最高水平。数据显示，该基金目前约有4.8％的股份已借出。相比之下，两个月前只有2%，而今年年初时为1.7%。标普500ETE空头比例尽管这一指标仍远低于过去两年的高点，2020年曾不止一次升至7%以上，但看跌转向是在市场脆弱时期出现的。Independent Advisor Alliance首席投资官Chris Zaccarelli表示：“标普500指数的空头比例激增，部分原因是人们怀疑涨势能否继续，或者至少市场应该回调。”“虽然我们认为牛市没有过早结束的危险，但由于市场平均每两年一次至少有10％的回调（至少自1980年以来），我们确实认为今年有可能出现这种程度的回落。”投资者一直在转向周期股，但波动性的打击已经到来，因为他们还担心通胀上升和加息的前景。同时，市场中投机性最强的部分（如加密货币）加剧了对市场过度乐观的担忧。以托比亚斯·列夫科维奇为首的策略师周五在一份报告中称，花旗集团的各项指标仍处于“兴奋状态”，而这也将导致“基于目前水平，未来一年股市下跌的历史概率为100%”。与此同时，Susquehanna国际集团衍生品策略联席主管克里斯•墨菲（Chris Murphy）周二指出，标普500指数的实际股息率和实际收益率最近均转为负值。他表示，这是一个相当罕见的现象，一般来说，无论是在短期还是在长期内收益率转为负时，标普500的回报率都不高。不过，Susquehanna团队也表示，他们预计任何回调都是短暂的。他们还指出，以历史标准衡量，对美股的做空比例仍然很低。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["TWX","TIME"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":52,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}