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2021-06-21

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Beware of inflation 'headwinds': It could take a year to break even after a 10% to 20% market correction, economist Mark Zandi warns

Moody's Analytics Mark Zandi has a message for investors: Brace for a significant market correction.

Beware of inflation 'headwinds': It could take a year to break even after a 10% to 20% market correction, economist Mark Zandi warns

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He estimates it could take a year to return to break even.\n\"The headwinds are building for the equity market,\" Zandi told CNBC's \"Trading Nation\" on Friday. \"TheFederal Reserve has got to switch gearshere because the economy is so strong.\"\nHe suggests the correction may already be underway because investors are starting to get spooked.\nTheDowjust saw itsbiggest weekly loss since October 2020, tumbling 3.45%.The broaderS&P 500saw its worst week since late February. The tech-heavyNasdaqalso had a losing week, but it's just 1.28% off its all-time high.\nDespite his market warning, Zandi believes the economy will avert a recession because the downturn is more about risk asset prices getting overextended than a serious fundamental issue.\n\"The economy is going to be rip-roaring,\" he said. \"Unemployment is going to be low. Wage growth is going to be strong.\"\nZandi has been ringing the alarm on inflation for months.\nOn \"Trading Nation\" in early March, Zandi asserted inflation was \"dead ahead\" and investors weren't fully grasping the risks. According to Zandi, it's still a problem affecting stock market and bond investors. Zandi sees little chance the benchmark10-year Treasury Note yieldwill keep falling.\n\"I wouldn't count on rates staying at 1.5% for very long given what's going on,\" he added.\nStocks and bonds aren't the only risk assets catching his attention. Zandi also sees more trouble brewing in the commodities and cryptocurrency sell-offs. Plus, he's worried about thesustainability of a strong housing market amid higher mortgage rates.\n\"Inflation is going to be higher than it was pre-pandemic,\" Zandi said. \"The Fed has been struggling for at least a quarter of a century to get inflation up, and I think they'll be able to get that.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}