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2023-09-16

Waiting for Christmas

Palantir: What Are You Waiting For?

Palantir is one of the most unique monopolistic-style AI market-leading companies operating in a blue-ocean atmosphere globally. Moreover, Palantir is substantially under-appreciated by the market and could expand into one of the most dominant companies in the software space. Palantir - Harvard's Unicorn In 2015, Harvard wrote about Palantir, calling it the "hottest unicorn you've never heard of." Fast forward eight years and just about everyone has heard of Palantir. The remarkable thing is that even back then, Palantir had a $20 billion valuation, servicing clients like the CIA, NSA, U.S. Army, and other essential government agencies. In 2016, Palantir already had a firm seat at the big table. President-Elect Donald Trump met with the tech industry leaders at Trump Tower in New York. Seated around the table were tech visionary leaders like Larry Page, Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos, Elon M

Palantir: What Are You Waiting For?

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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":220524974116960,"tweetId":"220524974116960","gmtCreate":1694860502005,"gmtModify":1694860506144,"author":{"id":4090664830008420,"idStr":"4090664830008420","authorId":4090664830008420,"authorIdStr":"4090664830008420","name":"cxyhb","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>Waiting for Christmas&nbsp;</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Waiting for Christmas&nbsp;</body></html>","text":"Waiting for Christmas","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/220524974116960","repostId":2367285643,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2367285643","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1694826000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2367285643?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-09-16 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: What Are You Waiting For?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2367285643","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Palantir is one of the most unique monopolistic-style AI market-leading companies operating in a blue-ocean atmosphere globally. Moreover, Palantir is substantially under-appreciated by the market and could expand into one of the most dominant companies in the software space. Palantir - Harvard's Unicorn In 2015, Harvard wrote about Palantir, calling it the \"hottest unicorn you've never heard of.\" Fast forward eight years and just about everyone has heard of Palantir. The remarkable thing is that even back then, Palantir had a $20 billion valuation, servicing clients like the CIA, NSA, U.S. Army, and other essential government agencies. In 2016, Palantir already had a firm seat at the big table. President-Elect Donald Trump met with the tech industry leaders at Trump Tower in New York. Seated around the table were tech visionary leaders like Larry Page, Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos, Elon M","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li>Palantir is a highly-polarizing battleground stock with significant growth potential.</li><li>Palantir is under-appreciated by the market, while it has established itself as a global leader in AI/ML platforms.</li><li>The company is a market leader in AI technology and has established itself as a global leader in AI/ML platforms.</li><li>Palantir recorded its third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability and is experiencing increasing growth with international governments.</li><li>Palantir has significant growth and profitability potential and could reach a stock price of $50 in 1-3 years.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe8f8ec6642d7a06c08b20b944f9c65\" alt=\"Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images News\" title=\"Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images News\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"563\"/>Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images NewsPalantir (NYSE:PLTR) is one of the most significant battleground stocks I&#39;ve encountered over my 20-plus year investment career. Either you love the company, or you hate it. Additionally, many market participants may need clarification about Palantir and what the company does. Many investors are on the sidelines and could join the party later when the stock is at a much higher price.Palantir reminds me a lot of Tesla (TSLA). I went long Tesla&#39;s stock in 2013 and have been invested in one form or another ever since. Tesla was (arguably) the most significant battleground stock of all time, which I wrote about consistently over the last six years. I see many similarities between Tesla and Palantir. Both companies are market leaders at the cutting edge of their respective industries with remarkable growth potential ahead.Also, many market participants believe these companies are overvalued and don&#39;t recognize the long-term revenue growth potential and profitability prospects for these firms. The primary difference is that Palantir may be where Tesla was about five years ago before its stock appreciated by nearly 2,000%.I&#39;m not suggesting that Palantir will shoot up to $300 anytime soon. Nevertheless, Palantir has much more potential than the market expects. Due to its leading position in AI and remarkable growth opportunities in its government and private sector, Palantir&#39;s stock could easily be around $50 in 1-3 years and may go much higher afterward.<h2 id=\"id_1629837805\">So, what are you waiting for?</h2>Palantir is one of the most unique monopolistic-style AI market-leading companies operating in a blue-ocean atmosphere globally. Moreover, Palantir is substantially under-appreciated by the market and could expand into one of the most dominant companies in the software space.<h3 id=\"id_1885374083\">Palantir - Harvard&#39;s Unicorn</h3>In 2015, Harvard wrote about Palantir, calling it the &#34;hottest unicorn you&#39;ve never heard of.&#34; Fast forward eight years and just about everyone has heard of Palantir. The remarkable thing is that even back then, Palantir had a $20 billion valuation, servicing clients like the CIA, NSA, U.S. Army, and other essential government agencies.In 2016, Palantir already had a firm seat at the big table. President-Elect Donald Trump met with the tech industry leaders at Trump <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a> in New York. Seated around the table were tech visionary leaders like Larry Page, Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Peter Theil, and others. However, seated directly across from Mr. Trump was a relatively unknown 49-year-old Ph.D. named Alex Karp (Palantir&#39;s CEO).Palantir was born in the wake of the 2001 terror attacks, was funded by a CIA venture arm, and initially enabled crucial U.S. intelligence agencies to combat terrorism and other threats. However, over time, Palantir has become far more than a U.S. government contractor, now working with other governments and establishing a firm foothold in the private sector. Furthermore, Palantir has established itself as a global leader in A.I. technology, implying its growth runway is vast and its profitability potential is massive.<h3 id=\"id_3421588916\">Palantir&#39;s Remarkable AI Potential</h3>Palantir&#39;s Gotham, Apollo, and Foundry programs already were market-leading software products before the company&#39;s substantial advancements in AI. Now, with the recent introduction of Palantir&#39;s artificial intelligence platform, &#34;AIP,&#34; users can leverage the power of AI to solve the most significant problems facing their enterprises. AIP offers capabilities powered by large language models (LLMs) to various applications. Moreover, customers don&#39;t need to change anything as Palantir&#39;s AIP seamlessly layers on top of its existing software programs.Palantir&#39;s platforms are used throughout the public, private, and non-profit sectors. Palantir enables organizations to quickly implement solutions to the most challenging problems they face, allowing them to optimize operations, often leading to increased revenues and improved profitability.<h3 id=\"id_1294063085\">Some of Palantir&#39;s offerings include:</h3><ul style=\"\"><li>Anti-money laundering</li><li>Applied customer intelligence</li><li>Artificial intelligence and machine learning</li><li>Consumer goods</li><li>Cryptocurrency</li><li>Data protection</li><li>Defense</li><li>Ecosystem</li><li>Edge AI</li><li>Energy</li><li>Federal health</li><li>Financial services</li><li>Hospital operations</li><li>Intelligence</li><li>And much more</li></ul>Palantir is not just another software company. As Harvard stated years ago, Palantir is a &#34;secretive unicorn.&#34; However, now Palantir is a monopoly operating in a blue ocean atmosphere with limitless potential. Its category-defining technology has enabled it to become a global leader in AI/ML platforms. Moreover, Palantir was ranked No. 1 in a worldwide artificial intelligence software study in market share and revenue. We&#39;re still in the early innings of the AI revolution, and Palantir should become one of the greatest beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence boom in the coming years.<h3 id=\"id_2412212241\">The Results Speak For Themselves</h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86135aec0c98220c345740f2e0ee9986\" alt=\"EPS growth (static.seekingalpha.com)\" title=\"EPS growth (static.seekingalpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"658\"/>EPS growth (static.seekingalpha.com)Palantir recorded its third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability. Moreover, we see a massive improvement over the nine-cent loss we saw in the same quarter one year ago.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7f1e2a39e994155d687c2985f9f0dfc\" alt=\"Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)\" title=\"Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"291\"/>Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)Palantir achieved 20% YoY U.S. commercial revenue growth and 10% U.S. government revenue growth. Also, we must consider that this significant growth occurs during a high-interest rate and low-growth economic environment, and sales growth should increase considerably once the transitory slowdown concludes.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7729ac9c304d0d4755322abc4cbef88\" alt=\"Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)\" title=\"Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"291\"/>Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)The remarkable factor is that while U.S. government growth increased by 10% from last year, total government growth came in at 15%. Therefore, Palantir is experiencing increasing growth with international governments, implying that international government growth should continue expanding, and revenue growth could increase.Additionally, we&#39;re seeing lower growth in the international commercial segment. However, this phenomenon should be transitory and is likely correlated with slow global growth and relatively limited commercial exposure to Palantir platforms outside the U.S. Nonetheless, we should see a re-acceleration in international commercial development as the global economy improves and exposure to Palantir software solutions increases in commercial markets outside the U.S.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43b8cb39ef534f68b76c545dee84d0eb\" alt=\"Customer count and billings (static.seekingalpha.com)\" title=\"Customer count and billings (static.seekingalpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\"/>Customer count and billings (static.seekingalpha.com)Despite Palantir&#39;s transitory slowdown in revenue growth, customer count increased by 38% YoY, and billings surged by 52% over the same quarter one year ago. Therefore, we should see a substantial acceleration in revenue growth in the coming years and future quarters. I expect Palantir&#39;s sales growth to return to 25%-30% as the company advances in future years.<h3 id=\"id_1736599882\">I&#39;m Not Worried About Dilution, And You Shouldn&#39;t Be</h3>Some market participants have expressed concern about dilution in Palantir&#39;s stock. However, this issue has been overblown and taken out of context. Due to SBC, Palantir&#39;s share count surged after going public. However, many companies experience a similar dynamic after their IPO. Share count has remained relatively steady for years, increasing by about 15% over the last two years. Moreover, SBC should continue to become less significant as Palantir grows revenues in the coming years. Furthermore, Palantir announced a $1 billion buyback program during its latest earnings report.<h3 id=\"id_3510517362\">The Stock Buyback is a Huge Plus for Shareholders</h3>Some market participants claim that the buyback is harmful and that a company focusing on growth should not buy back its stock. However, Palantir is different from your ordinary company, and the buyback is a massive vote of confidence by high-level management in Palantir. Palantir&#39;s leadership is highly confident in the company&#39;s future. Its stock price is still meager, as Palantir&#39;s high probability for considerable outperformance is not factored into its stock price at this stage. Furthermore, the buyback has nothing to do with Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory, as the company can continue expanding while buying back shares.<h3 id=\"id_1279975925\">Palantir - Bullish Technical Set-Up</h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57afdaf982f6077a35c2318a90b3ce34\" alt=\"PLTR (StockCharts.com)\" title=\"PLTR (StockCharts.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\"/>PLTR (StockCharts.com)Palantir&#39;s technical image is highly constructive here. We see a similar pattern in early 2023 before the massive run-up in Palantir&#39;s stock. Therefore, we could see another substantial rally toward the $20-25 range once the current pullback/consolidation phase ends. Palantir&#39;s stock got highly overbought as it surged from about $7 to $20, but we&#39;ve seen a constructive correction since then. We&#39;re seeing improving momentum, and the 50-day MA crossed decisively over the 200-day MA, a bullish long-term technical dynamic.<h2 id=\"id_2253273141\">The Market is Behind The Curve On Palantir</h2><h3 id=\"id_1815103307\">Revenues Should Top Estimates</h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6d8bfd481ed31697da777dc44b8edb\" alt=\"Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)\" title=\"Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"202\"/>Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)I rarely see the market so far behind the curve on a company, but a name that quickly comes to mind is Tesla. Tesla outperformed most revenue and EPS estimates as it transitioned into one of the most prominent global companies several years back. Palantir is in a similar spot as the market underestimates its future revenue growth. Instead of the projected 20% sales growth, Palantir could provide 25%-30% revenue growth as the global economy stabilizes and returns to growth. Palantir also should benefit significantly from a lower interest rate environment in the future, potentially delivering 30%-plus annual growth.<h3 id=\"id_688211846\">EPS Growth Should Exceed Expectations</h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bee5ba0547bd74c2df8f4f3094dc798\" alt=\"EPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)\" title=\"EPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"197\"/>EPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)We see a similar depressed EPS growth dynamic when considering consensus estimates for future years. Palantir is just starting to become profitable; its growth margin is 81%. Therefore, as Palantir&#39;s revenues increase more rapidly than expected, its profitability should expand faster than current EPS estimates imply. Instead of the anticipated 20%-30% EPS growth rate, we could see EPS expansion of around 35%-45% in future years. This dynamic of better-than-expected revenue growth and higher-than-anticipated EPS expansion should enable Palantir to maintain a relatively high forward P/E multiple of around 50-60, boosting its stock price much higher as we advance.Here&#39;s Where Palantir&#39;s Stock Could Be In Future Years<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Year</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2024</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2025</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2026</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2027</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2028</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2029</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2030</td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Revenue Bs</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$2.85</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$3.6</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$4.62</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$5.96</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$7.75</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$10</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$12.8</td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Revenue growth</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">28%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">30%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">28%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">29%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">30%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">29%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">28%</td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">EPS</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$0.33</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$0.48</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$0.67</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$0.95</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$1.32</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$1.82</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$2.50</td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">EPS growth</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">43%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">44%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">42%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">41%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">39%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">38%</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">37%</td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Forward P/E</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">55</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">57</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">58</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">56</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">57</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">54</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">52</td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Stock price</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$26</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$38</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$55</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$74</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$104</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$135</td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">$175</td></tr></tbody></table>Source: The Financial Prophet<h2 id=\"id_2045590667\">Risks to Palantir</h2>Despite my bullish projections, Palantir faces several risks. The company may grow slower than my forecast suggests, and its profitability may be lower than expected. Also, unknown factors regarding the broader economy could impact Palantir&#39;s shares. Economic growth could be slower than expected, leading to lower sales growth for Palantir as we advance. Investors should investigate these and other risk factors before committing capital to an investment in Palantir.</body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: What Are You Waiting For?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: What Are You Waiting For?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-16 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4635437-palantir-what-are-you-waiting-for>Seeking Alpha</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\nPalantir is a highly-polarizing battleground stock with significant growth potential.Palantir is under-appreciated by the market, while it has established itself as a global leader in AI/ML platforms....\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4635437-palantir-what-are-you-waiting-for\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4023":"应用软件","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4588":"碎股","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4635437-palantir-what-are-you-waiting-for","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2367285643","content_text":"Palantir is a highly-polarizing battleground stock with significant growth potential.Palantir is under-appreciated by the market, while it has established itself as a global leader in AI/ML platforms.The company is a market leader in AI technology and has established itself as a global leader in AI/ML platforms.Palantir recorded its third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability and is experiencing increasing growth with international governments.Palantir has significant growth and profitability potential and could reach a stock price of $50 in 1-3 years.Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images NewsPalantir (NYSE:PLTR) is one of the most significant battleground stocks I've encountered over my 20-plus year investment career. Either you love the company, or you hate it. Additionally, many market participants may need clarification about Palantir and what the company does. Many investors are on the sidelines and could join the party later when the stock is at a much higher price.Palantir reminds me a lot of Tesla (TSLA). I went long Tesla's stock in 2013 and have been invested in one form or another ever since. Tesla was (arguably) the most significant battleground stock of all time, which I wrote about consistently over the last six years. I see many similarities between Tesla and Palantir. Both companies are market leaders at the cutting edge of their respective industries with remarkable growth potential ahead.Also, many market participants believe these companies are overvalued and don't recognize the long-term revenue growth potential and profitability prospects for these firms. The primary difference is that Palantir may be where Tesla was about five years ago before its stock appreciated by nearly 2,000%.I'm not suggesting that Palantir will shoot up to $300 anytime soon. Nevertheless, Palantir has much more potential than the market expects. Due to its leading position in AI and remarkable growth opportunities in its government and private sector, Palantir's stock could easily be around $50 in 1-3 years and may go much higher afterward.So, what are you waiting for?Palantir is one of the most unique monopolistic-style AI market-leading companies operating in a blue-ocean atmosphere globally. Moreover, Palantir is substantially under-appreciated by the market and could expand into one of the most dominant companies in the software space.Palantir - Harvard's UnicornIn 2015, Harvard wrote about Palantir, calling it the \"hottest unicorn you've never heard of.\" Fast forward eight years and just about everyone has heard of Palantir. The remarkable thing is that even back then, Palantir had a $20 billion valuation, servicing clients like the CIA, NSA, U.S. Army, and other essential government agencies.In 2016, Palantir already had a firm seat at the big table. President-Elect Donald Trump met with the tech industry leaders at Trump Tower in New York. Seated around the table were tech visionary leaders like Larry Page, Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Peter Theil, and others. However, seated directly across from Mr. Trump was a relatively unknown 49-year-old Ph.D. named Alex Karp (Palantir's CEO).Palantir was born in the wake of the 2001 terror attacks, was funded by a CIA venture arm, and initially enabled crucial U.S. intelligence agencies to combat terrorism and other threats. However, over time, Palantir has become far more than a U.S. government contractor, now working with other governments and establishing a firm foothold in the private sector. Furthermore, Palantir has established itself as a global leader in A.I. technology, implying its growth runway is vast and its profitability potential is massive.Palantir's Remarkable AI PotentialPalantir's Gotham, Apollo, and Foundry programs already were market-leading software products before the company's substantial advancements in AI. Now, with the recent introduction of Palantir's artificial intelligence platform, \"AIP,\" users can leverage the power of AI to solve the most significant problems facing their enterprises. AIP offers capabilities powered by large language models (LLMs) to various applications. Moreover, customers don't need to change anything as Palantir's AIP seamlessly layers on top of its existing software programs.Palantir's platforms are used throughout the public, private, and non-profit sectors. Palantir enables organizations to quickly implement solutions to the most challenging problems they face, allowing them to optimize operations, often leading to increased revenues and improved profitability.Some of Palantir's offerings include:Anti-money launderingApplied customer intelligenceArtificial intelligence and machine learningConsumer goodsCryptocurrencyData protectionDefenseEcosystemEdge AIEnergyFederal healthFinancial servicesHospital operationsIntelligenceAnd much morePalantir is not just another software company. As Harvard stated years ago, Palantir is a \"secretive unicorn.\" However, now Palantir is a monopoly operating in a blue ocean atmosphere with limitless potential. Its category-defining technology has enabled it to become a global leader in AI/ML platforms. Moreover, Palantir was ranked No. 1 in a worldwide artificial intelligence software study in market share and revenue. We're still in the early innings of the AI revolution, and Palantir should become one of the greatest beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence boom in the coming years.The Results Speak For ThemselvesEPS growth (static.seekingalpha.com)Palantir recorded its third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability. Moreover, we see a massive improvement over the nine-cent loss we saw in the same quarter one year ago.Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)Palantir achieved 20% YoY U.S. commercial revenue growth and 10% U.S. government revenue growth. Also, we must consider that this significant growth occurs during a high-interest rate and low-growth economic environment, and sales growth should increase considerably once the transitory slowdown concludes.Revenue growth (static.seekingalpha.com)The remarkable factor is that while U.S. government growth increased by 10% from last year, total government growth came in at 15%. Therefore, Palantir is experiencing increasing growth with international governments, implying that international government growth should continue expanding, and revenue growth could increase.Additionally, we're seeing lower growth in the international commercial segment. However, this phenomenon should be transitory and is likely correlated with slow global growth and relatively limited commercial exposure to Palantir platforms outside the U.S. Nonetheless, we should see a re-acceleration in international commercial development as the global economy improves and exposure to Palantir software solutions increases in commercial markets outside the U.S.Customer count and billings (static.seekingalpha.com)Despite Palantir's transitory slowdown in revenue growth, customer count increased by 38% YoY, and billings surged by 52% over the same quarter one year ago. Therefore, we should see a substantial acceleration in revenue growth in the coming years and future quarters. I expect Palantir's sales growth to return to 25%-30% as the company advances in future years.I'm Not Worried About Dilution, And You Shouldn't BeSome market participants have expressed concern about dilution in Palantir's stock. However, this issue has been overblown and taken out of context. Due to SBC, Palantir's share count surged after going public. However, many companies experience a similar dynamic after their IPO. Share count has remained relatively steady for years, increasing by about 15% over the last two years. Moreover, SBC should continue to become less significant as Palantir grows revenues in the coming years. Furthermore, Palantir announced a $1 billion buyback program during its latest earnings report.The Stock Buyback is a Huge Plus for ShareholdersSome market participants claim that the buyback is harmful and that a company focusing on growth should not buy back its stock. However, Palantir is different from your ordinary company, and the buyback is a massive vote of confidence by high-level management in Palantir. Palantir's leadership is highly confident in the company's future. Its stock price is still meager, as Palantir's high probability for considerable outperformance is not factored into its stock price at this stage. Furthermore, the buyback has nothing to do with Palantir's growth trajectory, as the company can continue expanding while buying back shares.Palantir - Bullish Technical Set-UpPLTR (StockCharts.com)Palantir's technical image is highly constructive here. We see a similar pattern in early 2023 before the massive run-up in Palantir's stock. Therefore, we could see another substantial rally toward the $20-25 range once the current pullback/consolidation phase ends. Palantir's stock got highly overbought as it surged from about $7 to $20, but we've seen a constructive correction since then. We're seeing improving momentum, and the 50-day MA crossed decisively over the 200-day MA, a bullish long-term technical dynamic.The Market is Behind The Curve On PalantirRevenues Should Top EstimatesRevenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)I rarely see the market so far behind the curve on a company, but a name that quickly comes to mind is Tesla. Tesla outperformed most revenue and EPS estimates as it transitioned into one of the most prominent global companies several years back. Palantir is in a similar spot as the market underestimates its future revenue growth. Instead of the projected 20% sales growth, Palantir could provide 25%-30% revenue growth as the global economy stabilizes and returns to growth. Palantir also should benefit significantly from a lower interest rate environment in the future, potentially delivering 30%-plus annual growth.EPS Growth Should Exceed ExpectationsEPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)We see a similar depressed EPS growth dynamic when considering consensus estimates for future years. Palantir is just starting to become profitable; its growth margin is 81%. Therefore, as Palantir's revenues increase more rapidly than expected, its profitability should expand faster than current EPS estimates imply. Instead of the anticipated 20%-30% EPS growth rate, we could see EPS expansion of around 35%-45% in future years. This dynamic of better-than-expected revenue growth and higher-than-anticipated EPS expansion should enable Palantir to maintain a relatively high forward P/E multiple of around 50-60, boosting its stock price much higher as we advance.Here's Where Palantir's Stock Could Be In Future YearsYear2024202520262027202820292030Revenue Bs$2.85$3.6$4.62$5.96$7.75$10$12.8Revenue growth28%30%28%29%30%29%28%EPS$0.33$0.48$0.67$0.95$1.32$1.82$2.50EPS growth43%44%42%41%39%38%37%Forward P/E55575856575452Stock price$26$38$55$74$104$135$175Source: The Financial ProphetRisks to PalantirDespite my bullish projections, Palantir faces several risks. The company may grow slower than my forecast suggests, and its profitability may be lower than expected. Also, unknown factors regarding the broader economy could impact Palantir's shares. Economic growth could be slower than expected, leading to lower sales growth for Palantir as we advance. Investors should investigate these and other risk factors before committing capital to an investment in Palantir.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":19,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}