Well, well, well, folks! The S&P 500 has once again decided to play hide and seek with the magical number 4300, and it seems like it's not in the mood to come out and play. So, what's the deal with this elusive 4300, you ask? Well, let's dive into the some analysis of the situation.
First things first, let's talk about last Friday's data. It was like a surprise party you didn't know you were invited to, and it turned out pretty good! The Core PCE (that's Personal Consumption Expenditures for you non-financial wizards) decided to take a nosedive, and that's what gave the market a pat on the back. "Good job, market, you can keep partying!"
Now, if you peek at the options market, you'll spot something interesting. There's a massive pile of options chilling at the 4200 level. It's like the market's way of saying, "Hey, we might just drop by 4200 for a quick visit!" But guess what? The market didn't RSVP to that invitation on Friday, thanks to the delightful data that had its back.
But hold on, there's more! Let's talk technicals – you know, those squiggly lines on charts that make you feel like you're deciphering ancient hieroglyphics. If you take a gander at the S&P's overall trend (that's the fancy purple line on the charts), you'll notice it's still on an upward trajectory. It's like the S&P's personal escalator, and it's currently giving out free rides around the 4270 mark. This means we're tiptoeing on a line that separates happy bull territory from grumpy bear territory. If that line gets broken, we might have some bearish visitors crashing the party.
Now, Friday was like a sigh of relief. If we'd taken a detour to 4200 (as some options traders expected), things could've gone from "happy hour" to "hangover" pretty quickly. But don't fret just yet, the big picture still looks pretty positive, as long as we steer clear of the ominous 4280 zone.
Now, let's talk about the FEDs – the folks who have the power to make the market do the cha-cha with interest rates. As long as they're looking at this data and thinking, "Maybe we shouldn't raise rates," we're in the clear. If the upcoming data doesn't send them into panic mode, we might just keep dancing in the bullish ballroom for a while longer.
So, there you have it, folks! The S&P 500, like a mischievous cat, is toying with 4300, but with the right data and a dash of optimism, we might just keep the market party going. Just remember to keep an eye on that 4280 line – it's the bouncer at this market shindig, and we don't want it kicking us out just yet. Cheers to good data and bullish spirits! 📈🎉
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I guess no one likes Gold anymore......Fine , more for me........!! I'll keep stacking jus like the central banks and the sheep buying it from Costco, .......at better prices mind you.
Figured SPY would finish off September between 426 and 431. No sign of trend reversal yet, I guess it will probably break local support on the daily, and then a bear market rally.
Market will love it. Doesn’t matter if they punt it down the road again and again. The uncertainty in the short term is gone for now and that is all that matters.
We have a relief rally ahead of us. It will be a good time to unload this blob of bubble stocks.
another perma-bull running for cover.