Great ariticle, would you like

Like
Comment
Favorite

A79
2023-10-26

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Google: Shares Likely To Pop On Strong Earnings

Google's Q3 earnings are expected to show growth in revenue and earnings, with estimates of 10% and 36% YoY growth respectively.Factors driving this growth include accelerated growth in Search and You

Google: Shares Likely To Pop On Strong Earnings

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

Top
Latest

No comments yet

Most Discussed

Terms and Conditions·Privacy Policy

Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.

Email：uservice@ttm.financial

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":234330005286944,"tweetId":"234330005286944","gmtCreate":1698251940001,"gmtModify":1698251943409,"author":{"id":3580565594783380,"authorId":3580565594783380,"authorIdStr":"3580565594783380","name":"A79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e27267c412cea01bdd4a47d746ba7606","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Great ariticle, would you like to share it?</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Great ariticle, would you like to share it?</p></body></html>","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234330005286944","repostId":2377346147,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2377346147","pubTimestamp":1698016858,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2377346147?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-10-23 07:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google: Shares Likely To Pop On Strong Earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2377346147","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Google's Q3 earnings are expected to show growth in revenue and earnings, with estimates of 10% and 36% YoY growth respectively.Factors driving this growth include accelerated growth in Search and You","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Google&#39;s Q3 earnings are expected to show growth in revenue and earnings, with estimates of 10% and 36% YoY growth respectively.</p></li><li><p>Factors driving this growth include accelerated growth in Search and YouTube, improved profitability in Google Cloud, and progress in the commercialization of Gen AI products.</p></li><li><p>Other topics of interest for Q3 include cost restructuring, CAPEX investments, share buybacks, and updates on the ongoing Department of Justice trial.</p></li><li><p>I remain Buy rated on Google stock going into Q3.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0aa1f1d6bbda376b9127c722b81ee6c4\" alt=\"400tmax\" title=\"400tmax\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>400tmax</span></p><p>Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is set to report its Q3 2023 earnings on October 24th after the market closes. Despite the still somewhat pressured macro backdrop, I am bullish on Google&#39;s earnings outlook going into the reporting data. In my opinion, there are multiple levers driving a likely strong Q3, notably an acceleration of growth in Search and YouTube, profitability expansion in Google Cloud, and guidance on commercialization progress of the company&#39;s Gen AI product map.</p><p>Going into Q3 earnings, I reaffirm my thesis that Google&#39;s stock is currently undervalued; and accordingly, I maintain a &#39;Buy&#39; rating with a target price equal to $156 per share.</p><p>For context, Google&#39;s stock has performed well since the beginning of 2023, with year-to-date gains of approximately 52%, outperforming the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) by a factor of more than 5x.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42311a41a72388277840baab2cc983c8\" alt=\"Seeking Alpha\" title=\"Seeking Alpha\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"231\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><h2 id=\"id_668443677\">Google Q3 Earnings Preview</h2><p>Based on data compiled by Seeking Alpha as of October 21st, a total of 34 analysts have provided their forecasts for Google&#39;s Q3 results. Their predictions indicate that Google&#39;s total sales for the quarter are expected to fall in the range of $72.86 billion to $77.59 billion, with an average estimate of approximately $75.77 billion. Taking the average analyst consensus estimate as the reference point, it suggests that Google&#39;s revenue is anticipated to increase by almost 10% year over year compared to the same quarter in 2022, bringing Google&#39;s top-line growth almost back to double digit territory again. As an additional note on analyst consensus on revenue, it is noteworthy that analysts revisions have gradually started to trend upward again, following a 12 to 14 months period of declines, suggesting that sentiment is finally strengthening.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd2dce822e5cb7706d195a07bbb565b7\" alt=\"Seeking Alpha\" title=\"Seeking Alpha\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>Also with regard to profitability estimates are trending upwards: For Q3 2023, analysts now expect a 36% year over year jump in EPS, anchored on a $1.45 EPS consensus estimate (Range is $1.27 to $1.55).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84cbad6ee85e7b7a6cc9104a2b189430\" alt=\"Seeking Alpha\" title=\"Seeking Alpha\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3600579876\">Likely Upside In Search &amp; YouTube</h2><p>Referencing uptrending revenue estimates, I see multiple factors driving this. First and foremost, I see accelerated growth in Google&#39;s Search Ads business. Specifically, the prevailing macro environment for Search and YouTube ads in the third quarter appeared stable to slightly better than the second quarter. This, coupled with favorable YoY comparisons, is anticipated to drive close to double-digit YoY growth rates in the third quarter, likely also extending into the fourth quarter. This assumption has been broadly confirmed through expert calls conducted by Evercore (<em>Advertising uptick into Q3 – key takes from ad channel check w/ skai</em>) and TD Cowen (<em>3Q23 digital ad expert call: GOOGL, META, &amp; AMZN to accelerate on better pricing</em>). Second, also YouTube appears to have done very well in Q3. According to Evercore both DAUs and DAU engagement showed a nice uptick vs the respective 2022 benchmark. (<em>Where Has All The Time Gone? Q3:23 Social Media Pulse, dated 11th October</em>). Specifically, YouTube engagement increased by 4% YoY, while YouTube&#39;s daily active users increased by 7% YoY and 1% QoQ, now topping the 2 billion DAUs milestone. Furthermore, it is estimated that in August, YouTube accounted for 9% of total U.S. TV viewing hours, securing its position as the leading streaming video channel on CTV. That said, YouTube&#39;s viewership is one percentage point ahead of Netflix (NFLX), a company that is valued close to $200 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b2cc84289aa9ce5f9fa866562fcd1c6\" alt=\"Evercore Equity Research\" title=\"Evercore Equity Research\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"310\"/><span>Evercore Equity Research</span></p><p>Third, there is of course also the tailwind from cloud growth and Gen AI. Although I see a deceleration in Google&#39;s cloud business, in line with previous quarters (26-27% YoY growth estimated), growth in mid-twenties is still very accretive to the conglomerate&#39;s overall topline expansion rate. Moreover, investors should also consider that Google&#39;s cloud business is now profitable (operating break-even); and thus, I am more interested to see how profitability YoY rates are trending upwards, than estimating whether topline is growing 25% or 29%. In the analyst conference call, I am interested to hear about Google&#39;s progress in commercializing Duet AI and Vertex AI within Google Cloud, and how this is expected to drive growth and profits through the fourth quarter and early 2024. In that context, getting more color on the impact of Generative AI on Google Search and other businesses remains a subject of debate, with a strong focus on the timing of the Gemini launch. Needless to say, building more confidence about Gemini could help Google close the perceived gap compared to rivals like OpenAI and Microsoft, which would be a positive development for the company&#39;s shares.</p><h2 id=\"id_1462312268\">Cavenagh&#39;s Take On Other Key Topics To Watch</h2><p>In addition to the major commercial levers, Search, YouTube, Cloud and Gen AI, I also expect Google to share insights on operating and financial trends.</p><p>One of the key topics that I am strongly interested in relates to Google&#39;s ability and willingness to re-engineer the company&#39;s cost base. In that context, I see two levers: Firstly, leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) and automation to enhance productivity and broader infrastructure efficiency; and secondly, optimizing employee work arrangements (job cuts, etc.) and locations.</p><p>As Google is building out Gen AI products, I expect the company will guide investors towards an intensification of CAPEX outlays. For Q3, I suggest investors should brace for Google reporting more than $10 billion of CAPEX, which would reflect a more than 30% YoY jump. For CAPEX investments in Q4 and FY 2024, I don&#39;t expect Google management to give precise number; however, a rough guidance would be appreciated and investors should watch for qualitative indications.</p><p>Google&#39;s CAPEX investments are important as a ramp-up in capital outlays would impact the company&#39;s ability and willingness to spend cash on share buybacks -- another topic to watch in Q3. Personally, I expect $15 billion in share buybacks for the third quarter, in line with the second quarter. Everything below this number would be a disappointment, especially as revenue and earnings growth accelerates.</p><p>Lastly, I have previously covered in detail the ongoing Department of Justice (DOJ) trial concerning Google&#39;s commercial agreements with Search distribution partners. In the Q3 conference call, I expect some guidance point on how management feels about the trial and likely impact of a verdict so far.</p><h2 id=\"id_1810952660\">Conclusion</h2><p>Google is about to reveal its Q3 2023 earnings, and despite the ongoing challenging market conditions, there are several factors that indicate a strong Q3. The consensus among 34 analysts suggests Google&#39;s revenue and earnings will grow about 10% and 36% YoY, respectively. Specifically, I see an acceleration of growth in Search and YouTube, improved profitability in Google Cloud, and updates on the progress of Gen AI products&#39; commercialization. Other topics of interest for Q3 relate to cost restructuring, CAPEX investments, and share buybacks. Additionally, the ongoing Department of Justice trial regarding Google&#39;s commercial agreements is a key topic to watch during the Q3 earnings call. Going into Q3 earnings, I reaffirm my thesis that Google&#39;s stock is undervalued; and I maintain a &#39;Buy&#39; rating on the stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google: Shares Likely To Pop On Strong Earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle: Shares Likely To Pop On Strong Earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-10-23 07:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4642465-google-shares-likely-to-pop-strong-earnings><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Google's Q3 earnings are expected to show growth in revenue and earnings, with estimates of 10% and 36% YoY growth respectively.Factors driving this growth include accelerated growth in Search and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4642465-google-shares-likely-to-pop-strong-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0175139822.USD":"AB FCP I Global Equity Blend A USD","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","GOOG":"谷歌","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1691799644.USD":"Amundi Funds Polen Capital Global Growth A2 (C) USD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0289941410.SGD":"AB FCP I Dynamic Diversified AX SGD","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0052756011.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","GOOGL":"谷歌A","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","LU0310800379.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global A Acc SGD","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","LU2265009873.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Growth Equity AS SGD-H","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","SG9999004303.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Global Opportunities SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4642465-google-shares-likely-to-pop-strong-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2377346147","content_text":"Google's Q3 earnings are expected to show growth in revenue and earnings, with estimates of 10% and 36% YoY growth respectively.Factors driving this growth include accelerated growth in Search and YouTube, improved profitability in Google Cloud, and progress in the commercialization of Gen AI products.Other topics of interest for Q3 include cost restructuring, CAPEX investments, share buybacks, and updates on the ongoing Department of Justice trial.I remain Buy rated on Google stock going into Q3.400tmaxGoogle (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is set to report its Q3 2023 earnings on October 24th after the market closes. Despite the still somewhat pressured macro backdrop, I am bullish on Google's earnings outlook going into the reporting data. In my opinion, there are multiple levers driving a likely strong Q3, notably an acceleration of growth in Search and YouTube, profitability expansion in Google Cloud, and guidance on commercialization progress of the company's Gen AI product map.Going into Q3 earnings, I reaffirm my thesis that Google's stock is currently undervalued; and accordingly, I maintain a 'Buy' rating with a target price equal to $156 per share.For context, Google's stock has performed well since the beginning of 2023, with year-to-date gains of approximately 52%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SP500) by a factor of more than 5x.Seeking AlphaGoogle Q3 Earnings PreviewBased on data compiled by Seeking Alpha as of October 21st, a total of 34 analysts have provided their forecasts for Google's Q3 results. Their predictions indicate that Google's total sales for the quarter are expected to fall in the range of $72.86 billion to $77.59 billion, with an average estimate of approximately $75.77 billion. Taking the average analyst consensus estimate as the reference point, it suggests that Google's revenue is anticipated to increase by almost 10% year over year compared to the same quarter in 2022, bringing Google's top-line growth almost back to double digit territory again. As an additional note on analyst consensus on revenue, it is noteworthy that analysts revisions have gradually started to trend upward again, following a 12 to 14 months period of declines, suggesting that sentiment is finally strengthening.Seeking AlphaAlso with regard to profitability estimates are trending upwards: For Q3 2023, analysts now expect a 36% year over year jump in EPS, anchored on a $1.45 EPS consensus estimate (Range is $1.27 to $1.55).Seeking AlphaLikely Upside In Search & YouTubeReferencing uptrending revenue estimates, I see multiple factors driving this. First and foremost, I see accelerated growth in Google's Search Ads business. Specifically, the prevailing macro environment for Search and YouTube ads in the third quarter appeared stable to slightly better than the second quarter. This, coupled with favorable YoY comparisons, is anticipated to drive close to double-digit YoY growth rates in the third quarter, likely also extending into the fourth quarter. This assumption has been broadly confirmed through expert calls conducted by Evercore (Advertising uptick into Q3 – key takes from ad channel check w/ skai) and TD Cowen (3Q23 digital ad expert call: GOOGL, META, & AMZN to accelerate on better pricing). Second, also YouTube appears to have done very well in Q3. According to Evercore both DAUs and DAU engagement showed a nice uptick vs the respective 2022 benchmark. (Where Has All The Time Gone? Q3:23 Social Media Pulse, dated 11th October). Specifically, YouTube engagement increased by 4% YoY, while YouTube's daily active users increased by 7% YoY and 1% QoQ, now topping the 2 billion DAUs milestone. Furthermore, it is estimated that in August, YouTube accounted for 9% of total U.S. TV viewing hours, securing its position as the leading streaming video channel on CTV. That said, YouTube's viewership is one percentage point ahead of Netflix (NFLX), a company that is valued close to $200 billion.Evercore Equity ResearchThird, there is of course also the tailwind from cloud growth and Gen AI. Although I see a deceleration in Google's cloud business, in line with previous quarters (26-27% YoY growth estimated), growth in mid-twenties is still very accretive to the conglomerate's overall topline expansion rate. Moreover, investors should also consider that Google's cloud business is now profitable (operating break-even); and thus, I am more interested to see how profitability YoY rates are trending upwards, than estimating whether topline is growing 25% or 29%. In the analyst conference call, I am interested to hear about Google's progress in commercializing Duet AI and Vertex AI within Google Cloud, and how this is expected to drive growth and profits through the fourth quarter and early 2024. In that context, getting more color on the impact of Generative AI on Google Search and other businesses remains a subject of debate, with a strong focus on the timing of the Gemini launch. Needless to say, building more confidence about Gemini could help Google close the perceived gap compared to rivals like OpenAI and Microsoft, which would be a positive development for the company's shares.Cavenagh's Take On Other Key Topics To WatchIn addition to the major commercial levers, Search, YouTube, Cloud and Gen AI, I also expect Google to share insights on operating and financial trends.One of the key topics that I am strongly interested in relates to Google's ability and willingness to re-engineer the company's cost base. In that context, I see two levers: Firstly, leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) and automation to enhance productivity and broader infrastructure efficiency; and secondly, optimizing employee work arrangements (job cuts, etc.) and locations.As Google is building out Gen AI products, I expect the company will guide investors towards an intensification of CAPEX outlays. For Q3, I suggest investors should brace for Google reporting more than $10 billion of CAPEX, which would reflect a more than 30% YoY jump. For CAPEX investments in Q4 and FY 2024, I don't expect Google management to give precise number; however, a rough guidance would be appreciated and investors should watch for qualitative indications.Google's CAPEX investments are important as a ramp-up in capital outlays would impact the company's ability and willingness to spend cash on share buybacks -- another topic to watch in Q3. Personally, I expect $15 billion in share buybacks for the third quarter, in line with the second quarter. Everything below this number would be a disappointment, especially as revenue and earnings growth accelerates.Lastly, I have previously covered in detail the ongoing Department of Justice (DOJ) trial concerning Google's commercial agreements with Search distribution partners. In the Q3 conference call, I expect some guidance point on how management feels about the trial and likely impact of a verdict so far.ConclusionGoogle is about to reveal its Q3 2023 earnings, and despite the ongoing challenging market conditions, there are several factors that indicate a strong Q3. The consensus among 34 analysts suggests Google's revenue and earnings will grow about 10% and 36% YoY, respectively. Specifically, I see an acceleration of growth in Search and YouTube, improved profitability in Google Cloud, and updates on the progress of Gen AI products' commercialization. Other topics of interest for Q3 relate to cost restructuring, CAPEX investments, and share buybacks. Additionally, the ongoing Department of Justice trial regarding Google's commercial agreements is a key topic to watch during the Q3 earnings call. Going into Q3 earnings, I reaffirm my thesis that Google's stock is undervalued; and I maintain a 'Buy' rating on the stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":36,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}