NVIDIA and ASML have seen share price overtake FCF

There are multiple ways to consider valuation. Here's one approach I find helpful.

This table compares free cash flow growth to share price growth (last 5 years).

$Technology One, Ltd.(THNOF)$ and $NEMETSCHEK SE(NEMKY)$ have seen their FCF grow faster than their share price - suggesting that the market may have overlooked their growth.

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ have seen share price overtake FCF, suggesting that the market is pricing in higher future growth than historic growth.

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It’s due to their buy back programme. If they sold the shares they previously bought, then they would have a huge cash position.

Instead they’ve used their cash to shrink their equity. Look at their interest expense as a percent of their operating profit. Their debt is affordable and clearly not a problem.

https://twitter.com/long_equity/status/1781801853145034796

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  • Gdman
    ·04-22
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