$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$

NIO's fundamentals are super ugly. Most interesting is the overcapacity in the industry. EVs are nothing special, Nio is in the risky car business and constantly burning cash. It is important to see that we are behind the top of the hype cycle, see $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ as reference. On the way up Nio was running on Tesla hype.

The stock is in a long term downtrend, making new lows again and again. It is bouncing now and then and may double easily, just to resume the downtrend later imo.

It has long term options. Put spreads are looking interesting to me.

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