To The Moon

Overview

On May 8, 2024, I initiated a cash-secured put option for Palantir Technologies $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$   with a strike price of $20 and a maturity date of June 21, 2024. The option was sold for $71, reflecting the strong market sentiment towards Palantir, which was trading at $23.52 at the time. Palantir's impressive 214.84% growth over the past year and its solid financial performance influenced my decision. However, on May 17, 2024, I decided to close the position by buying back the option for $31. This transaction resulted in a net profit of $40.

Market Context and Initial Position

Palantir has been a standout performer, with significant growth in its stock price and robust financial metrics. The company’s Q3 to Q4 2023 free cash flow (FCF) surged from $131.88 million to $296.31 million, indicating strong operational efficiency and profitability. Additionally, Palantir’s strategic partnership with Oracle aimed to leverage AI and cloud-based solutions to enhance business and government operations, bolstering the company’s growth prospects.

Given these factors, the market perceived Palantir as a strong buy, and the premium received from selling the put option reflected the positive sentiment. The $71 premium provided immediate income, with the obligation to purchase Palantir shares at $20 if the stock price fell below the strike price by the maturity date.

Decision to Close the Position

On May 17, 2024, I decided to close the position by buying back the put option for $31. This decision was influenced by several factors:

1. Market Performance: 

Palantir’s stock continued to perform well, maintaining a price above the strike price of $20. The stable stock performance reduced the likelihood of the option being exercised.

2. Risk Management: 

Closing the position early allowed me to lock in a profit while minimizing potential downside risk. The premium received initially was $71, and closing the position for $31 resulted in a net gain of $40.

3. Market Volatility: 

Although Palantir’s fundamentals were strong, market conditions can be unpredictable. By closing the position, I mitigated the risk of unforeseen market fluctuations impacting the stock price adversely.

Financial Outcome

The net profit from this transaction was calculated as follows:

- Premium Received: $71

- Cost to Close Position: $31

- Net Profit: $71 - $31 = $40

This profit reflects a successful execution of a cash-secured put strategy, leveraging market sentiment and company fundamentals to generate income.

Reflection and Insights

This investment reflects a disciplined approach to options trading, balancing the potential for profit with risk management. The decision to sell the put option was based on Palantir’s strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Closing the position early allowed me to secure a profit while avoiding potential risks associated with holding the position until maturity.

Key Insights:

- Strong Fundamentals: Investing in companies with robust financial health and growth prospects, like Palantir, provides a solid foundation for options strategies.

- Risk Management: Regularly assessing market conditions and potential risks is crucial for making informed decisions and securing profits.

- Strategic Partnerships: Monitoring company developments, such as Palantir’s partnership with Oracle, can provide insights into future performance and market sentiment.

Conclusion

The cash-secured put option on Palantir Technologies proved to be a profitable investment, driven by the company’s strong financials and strategic initiatives. Closing the position early ensured a secure profit, highlighting the importance of timely decision-making in options trading. This experience reinforces the value of combining fundamental analysis with strategic risk management to achieve successful investment outcomes.