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2021-03-09

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Now Is the Time to Buy Peloton, Analyst Says

After a breakout 2020,Peloton Interactive stock has shaved off about 30% from its levels entering th

Now Is the Time to Buy Peloton, Analyst Says

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An analyst at MKM Partners thinks it’s time to buy.</p>\n<p>Rohit Kulkarni has rated Peloton stock (ticker: PTON)&nbsp;at Neutral&nbsp;since he launched coverage in October 2019. But he raised his rating to Buy in a note Monday after therecent selloff in stay-at-home stocksbrought Peloton shares below his $130 price target.</p>\n<p>Kulkarni pointed to several factors driving his upgrade, including supply chain improvements, the rollout of a lower price treadmill later this spring, the potential for business-to-business sales, Peloton’s network of dedicated users, and a better improved risk-reward setup.</p>\n<p>In December, the company signed an agreement to buy workout equipment provider Precor for $420 million.Analysts notedthe deal wouldbeef up Peloton’s manufacturing. But they also pointed out that most of Precor’s sales come from commercial consumers like gyms, hotels, universities, and multifamily residences. And they viewed Precor’s longstanding relationships as a way Peloton could better break into such spaces.</p>\n<p>“Plus, the company has been making inroads into logical extensions to its current value proposition, via last year’s announcement of the refurbished program and growing focus on off-bike workouts, particularly strength training,” Kulkarni added.</p>\n<p>Kulkarni also noted that based on forecasts, Peloton is expected to quintuple the size of its installed base from June 2019 through June 2021. And he said Peloton has an industry-low churn rate, which is the percentage of subscribers who stop paying.</p>\n<p>“We believe the combined value of Peloton’s investments in instructors, music/media, and social features is greater than just looking at the member churn rate or workouts per member,” he wrote. “We believe the value of the network is greater than the sum of the individual parts, and it continues to grow at a greater clip than the growth in the size of the network.”</p>\n<p>In terms of Wall Street expectations, Kulkarni wrote that consensus estimates call for 90% year-over-year growth in sales during the June quarter, followed by a steep drop-off in growth rates in the September quarter.</p>\n<p>“We believe Street model assumes significant headwinds to Peloton on mass vaccinations,” he wrote. “Until there is clarity in outlook, we expect Peloton to continue to trade at a discount to its recently reported growth rate.”</p>\n<p>Peloton stock was down 3.6% to $101.35 on Monday, while the S&amp;P 500 index was down 0.5%.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Now Is the Time to Buy Peloton, Analyst Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNow Is the Time to Buy Peloton, Analyst Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-09 15:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/now-is-the-time-to-buy-peloton-analyst-says-51615227276?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a breakout 2020,Peloton Interactive stock has shaved off about 30% from its levels entering the year. An analyst at MKM Partners thinks it’s time to buy.\nRohit Kulkarni has rated Peloton stock (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/now-is-the-time-to-buy-peloton-analyst-says-51615227276?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/now-is-the-time-to-buy-peloton-analyst-says-51615227276?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192915615","content_text":"After a breakout 2020,Peloton Interactive stock has shaved off about 30% from its levels entering the year. An analyst at MKM Partners thinks it’s time to buy.\nRohit Kulkarni has rated Peloton stock (ticker: PTON) at Neutral since he launched coverage in October 2019. But he raised his rating to Buy in a note Monday after therecent selloff in stay-at-home stocksbrought Peloton shares below his $130 price target.\nKulkarni pointed to several factors driving his upgrade, including supply chain improvements, the rollout of a lower price treadmill later this spring, the potential for business-to-business sales, Peloton’s network of dedicated users, and a better improved risk-reward setup.\nIn December, the company signed an agreement to buy workout equipment provider Precor for $420 million.Analysts notedthe deal wouldbeef up Peloton’s manufacturing. But they also pointed out that most of Precor’s sales come from commercial consumers like gyms, hotels, universities, and multifamily residences. And they viewed Precor’s longstanding relationships as a way Peloton could better break into such spaces.\n“Plus, the company has been making inroads into logical extensions to its current value proposition, via last year’s announcement of the refurbished program and growing focus on off-bike workouts, particularly strength training,” Kulkarni added.\nKulkarni also noted that based on forecasts, Peloton is expected to quintuple the size of its installed base from June 2019 through June 2021. And he said Peloton has an industry-low churn rate, which is the percentage of subscribers who stop paying.\n“We believe the combined value of Peloton’s investments in instructors, music/media, and social features is greater than just looking at the member churn rate or workouts per member,” he wrote. “We believe the value of the network is greater than the sum of the individual parts, and it continues to grow at a greater clip than the growth in the size of the network.”\nIn terms of Wall Street expectations, Kulkarni wrote that consensus estimates call for 90% year-over-year growth in sales during the June quarter, followed by a steep drop-off in growth rates in the September quarter.\n“We believe Street model assumes significant headwinds to Peloton on mass vaccinations,” he wrote. “Until there is clarity in outlook, we expect Peloton to continue to trade at a discount to its recently reported growth rate.”\nPeloton stock was down 3.6% to $101.35 on Monday, while the S&P 500 index was down 0.5%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}