To The Moon

I expect a 25 bps cut. A 50 bps cut could send wrong signals to investors that the economy is not doing well (looming recession), destabilising the 'soft-landing effect' that FED is going for, thereby triggering a mass sell off across the board. Afterall, inflation is still high and far from the FED's 2% goal. US economy is still growing (albeit slow), unemployment rate is high but not glaringly unacceptably high. The last FED wants is to over-cut rates and undo months of efforts to curb inflation (and risk elevating rates once more should inflation goes up again). I believe a 25 bps cut is on the table, and FED will then employ a wait and see approach to see how things go - whether there are signs of inflation going back up or inflation is under control and heading towards their 2% goal. The above are my opinion. Statistics wise, the market-implied probability of a 50 basis-point cut this week rose from Friday's 50% to Monday's 57% while the odds for a 25 basis-point cut slipped from 50% to 43%, according to futures contract data tracked by CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the most widely cited proxy for investor expectations for movements from the highly influential Federal Open Market Committee. It's the first time since Aug. 13 the market has favored a 50 basis-point move, skyrocketing from just 14% odds of a jumbo cut as recently as last Wednesday. Bearing these in mind, should FED do a 25bps cut, will it dampen market sentiments and lead to a sell off? Since it's not in line with what 'majority' would have expected? Should FED do a 50bps cut, will markets think that recession is on the horizon and a sell-off is triggered too? Or, will we see waves of green either way? Since market loves certainty, and having the first rate cut in place gives that sense of 'certainty' that we are finally closer to our goal? So what do yall think? Thanks for the roller coaster ride thus far, Jerome Powell 😂😂 @TigerPicks @Tiger_comments @TigerCommunity @TigerEvents @MillionaireTiger @TigerGPT @Barcode @icycrystal @nomadic_m @Happiness @Aqa @Mrzorro @SanL Share your opinion to win coins! 🙌🙌