To The Moon

Recently, $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ has been in talks with $Intel(INTC)$ regarding a potential acquisition. This news sent Intel's stock soaring over 9% at one point last Friday, while Qualcomm's shares fell more than 5%.

According to Reuters, Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon is personally involved in the acquisition discussions, exploring various options. However, these negotiations are still in the early stages, and Qualcomm hasn’t made a formal offer yet.

A Major Shift in the PC Chip Landscape

Insiders warn that talks have only taken place in the past few days, and the uncertainty surrounding the deal is high. Even if Intel is open to it, such a massive transaction would likely face antitrust scrutiny. Still, this move could also be seen as a way to enhance U.S. competitiveness in the chip sector.

To make the acquisition work, Qualcomm might consider selling some of Intel’s assets or divisions to other buyers.

It’s important to note that Qualcomm’s core business focuses on smartphone chips, dominating the high-end market with a 31% share as of Q2 2024. However, it has been aggressively targeting the PC market.

Analysts suggest that Qualcomm's rise could signal a major shift in the PC chip landscape, particularly with innovations centered around AI PCs. If Qualcomm successfully acquires Intel, it could drastically change the competitive dynamics in the global PC chip market.

For those looking to ride the wave of Intel’s surge, a bull spread options strategy could be a smart move.

Bull Put Spread Strategy

The bull put spread involves selling a put option while simultaneously buying another put option with the same expiration date but a lower strike price on the same underlying asset. Since the premium received from selling the put option is higher than the premium paid for buying the lower strike put, investors typically end up with a net credit.

This strategy is useful when investors expect the market price to rise, but only to a limited extent, and want to avoid the consequences of a market downturn.

1.Advantages of the Bull Put Spread Strategy:

- Low-Risk Income Generation: This strategy is ideal for investors looking to earn premium income with lower risk compared to simply selling puts.

- Buying Stocks at a Discount: The bull put spread is an effective way to purchase desired stocks below their current market price.

- Profit in Volatile Markets: The strategy can generate profits even when the market is choppy, as it limits downside risk while allowing for potential gains.

2.Intel Bull Put Spread Example

On September 23, before the U.S. market opens, Intel's trading price is $21.84. An options trader expects its price to reach up to $30 in a month but is also concerned about potential downside risk.

Step 1: Sell a put option contract with a strike price of $30 expiration date of November 1st trades at $8.47, and receives a premium of $847.

Step 2: Buy a put option contract with a strike price of $21 that trades at $1.20 and pays a premium of $120, also expiring on November 1st. After these two transactions, the strategy is successfully established.

3.Profit and Loss

- If Intel's stock price is above $30 at expiration: Both options expire worthless, and the trader keeps the entire net premium. Net premium income: $847 - $120 = $727, with a maximum profit of $727.

- If Intel's stock price is below $21 at expiration: The loss from the bull put spread reaches its maximum. The sold $30 put option will be exercised at $30 - $21 = $9 per share ($900 per contract), while the purchased $21 put option limits further losses. Maximum loss: $900 - $727 = $173.

- Break-Even Point: The strategy breaks even when Intel's stock price is $30 - $7.27 = $22.73.

In summary, the maximum profit of this strategy is $727 (if Intel's price is above $30), the maximum loss is $173 (if Intel's price is below $21), and the break-even point is $22.73. This strategy offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a worthwhile consideration for investors.