Why I believe NVDA will be the first $5T company?
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Why I believe $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ will be the first $5T company 🧐
The semiconductor industry frequently shifts between boom and bust cycles. Each decade tends to highlight a particular segment, such as CPUs, DRAM memory, Flash memory, or Graphics Cards. Unlike previous tech trends that were often confined to specific industries or temporary needs, AI's integration with other critical technologies -- such as cloud computing, 5G, and big data -- embeds it deeply into the technological infrastructure of modern economies.
This integration is supported by AI's broad applicability across multiple sectors, continuous innovation driven by advancements in machine learning, and the increasing need to process the explosive growth of data. At the forefront of this trend is NVDA, which benefits from high entry barriers and low buyer bargaining power due to strong demand and double-ordering. Entering this market requires massive capital investments, especially for advanced manufacturing processes and proprietary technology related to GPU design, making it difficult for new players to compete -- this has allowed established companies like $TSM and $ASML to maintain their leadership in advanced production and lithography equipment. Nvidia's expertise extends beyond mere chip production, creating an integrated ecosystem that encompasses sophisticated hardware, advanced software solutions, and seamless systems integration. This holistic approach positions Nvidia as a leader in the convergence of AI and high-end graphics.
Nvidia's ability to consistently release new chips more rapidly than the industry average, as evidenced by their latest Blackwell chips, provides a MASSIVE competitive edge. The company's software ecosystem, including CUDA -- a parallel processing platform -- allows developers to fully exploit GPU capabilities, supporting multiple programming languages with an extensive toolkit. Nvidia’s data center software stack also streamlines the integration of GPUs, networking, and other components -- enabling businesses to easily deploy AI solutions as if assembling a modular system that operates flawlessly. With AI demand only expected to increase, these are still early days -- far from reaching a peak. Nvidia is poised to continue as the primary beneficiary of this growth -- making me believe Nvidia could become the first-ever $5 trillion company.
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