To The Moon

$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$

Market Analysis Update – Increased Volatility Following Trump’s Election Victory

With Trump’s recent election win, the stock market has experienced a surge in volatility, showing a sharp rally compared to previous trends. This shift reflects an unusual flow of funds into the market, signaling a potential departure from recent trading patterns. Given the heightened volatility, we can expect the market outlook to be subject to multiple adjustments in the coming days.

Particularly, the direction of movement over the next 2–3 days will be crucial in determining whether today’s surge represents a temporary influx of capital or a more sustainable trend. Investors are encouraged to monitor market developments closely, as these next few days will provide clearer insights into whether the recent rally can be maintained or is simply a short-term reaction to the election news.

📈 Long-Term Strategy

TQQQ remains within a Bearish trend zone, supporting a Sell and Observe position for long-term strategy. While potential exists for a shift to a Bullish trend zone soon, the current Bearish momentum reflects substantial selling pressure.

• Downtrend: Dominated by stronger downward movements with sporadic, limited rebounds.

• Rebound Trend: Brief upward fluctuations, but still susceptible to declines.

The recommended approach is to monitor the market while holding a conservative stance in the Bearish trend zone. This approach minimizes downside risk and offers the possibility of later re-entry upon a clear upward trend. TQQQ has been in the Sell and Observe position for 14 days, with a cumulative gain of 7.5%.

• Position Details:

  • Selling Price (Oct 17, 2024): $73.3

  • Current Price (Nov 6, 2024): $78.9

  • Difference: +$5.5

📉 Short-Term Strategy

TQQQ is showing an upward rebound trend within the Bearish zone, marked by a sudden increase in buying flow. This indicates a temporary recovery phase, with selling pressure slightly easing and new buying interest emerging.

• Expected Trend: Over the next 10 days, TQQQ is anticipated to maintain a strong upward direction with a projected 1:9 ratio of downward to upward movements.

• Position: Buy (Bullish) and Hold is suitable for this period, with an ideal buying timeframe between Nov 8–11 at a price near $79.8.

• Selling Window: Expected between Nov 15–18, targeting a price of $96.9.

🌐 Correlation with US Stock Market

With a 92% probability of movement in alignment with the US Stock Market, TQQQ’s price trajectory is heavily influenced by broader market trends, indicating strong synchronicity with overall market patterns.

• Volatility of Prediction: Due to shifts in Buy-Sell intensity, the timing and magnitude of price changes may fluctuate.

• Trend Reversal Probability: A trend reversal is expected around 5 and 9 days from now, which may adjust the short-term strategy.

🔍 Expected Trend Movement & Intensity

• 10-Day Price Range: $76.5 – $94.7

  • Median Price: $85.6, with an expected potential increase of 8.5%

• Expected Trend Zone for the Next 10 Days:

  • Zone: Bullish

  • Level: Expected to reach 56%

  • Upward Intensity: Strong, averaging 77%

  • Downward Intensity: Moderate, averaging -24%

💡 Summary

TQQQ remains in a Bearish zone, yet current buying signals indicate a favorable opportunity for short-term gains within the rebound trend. For long-term positioning, Sell and Observe is recommended to mitigate risks. In the short term, however, a Buy and Hold approach is favorable, capitalizing on the strong upward intensity. With a highly synchronized pattern to the US Stock Market, attention to macro movements is essential, especially if the market trend shifts. Target selling dates from Nov 15–18 provide an ideal opportunity for profit-taking if upward momentum sustains.