Five Below: Too Much Uncertainty Remains Heading Into Earnings

  • Five Below has seen significant growth but faces concerns over future growth and bottom-line issues, leading to a 47.1% stock decline over the past year.
  • Despite a 6.1% stock rise since July, driven by revenue growth expectations, earnings guidance still points to worsening financials, making it a 'hold' rather than a 'buy'.
  • Management forecasts Q3 revenue between $780M and $800M, driven by new store openings, but expects a significant decline in net income, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
  • Uncertainty around margins, shrinkage reduction, and comparable store sales, along with valuation concerns, suggest holding Five Below until these issues are resolved.

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When it comes to discount retailers, there are not very many prospects for investors to choose from. However, undoubtedly, my favorite has got to be Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE). Over the past several years, the business has exhibited tremendous

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