China's 2025 Policy Shift Spurs Stock Market Rally [CSOP APAC Midweek Glance]

East Asia

$CSOP SEA TECH ETF S$(SQQ.SI)$ $CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$ 】YTD Return: +30.60%

• Sea Ltd's stock outperformed in 2H, rising 59% from mid-year to 29 Nov due to strong 3Q revenue and earnings, easing concerns over margin pressure from increased competition in Southeast Asia.

• Amid potentially higher US tariffs on Chinese goods, this may benefit e-commerce in Southeast Asia.

• JPM notes that since 2019, ASEAN's TMT sectors have consistently provided appealing trading opportunities, with at least one stock surpassing MSCI EM by 30pp annually, with Sea Ltd and Grab leading in 2024. Looking into 2025, the main catalysts for Sea and Grab's stock prices will be network effects contributing to material earnings growth.

$CSOP LOW CARBON US$(LCU.SI)$ $CSOP LOW CARBON S$(LCS.SI)$ 】YTD Return: +15.15%

• Asian markets started the week negatively, impacted by South Korea's political issues.

• However, following China's announcement of plans for greater monetary and fiscal support to stimulate the economy in 2025, Asian stocks in China, Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea in the ETF were driven higher.

China

$CSOP Star&Chinext50 S$(SCY.SI)$ 】YTD Return: +13.91%$CSOP DIV ETF S$(SHD.SI)$ 】YTD Return: +14.48%

• China's politburo plans a "moderately loose" monetary policy for 2025, the first significant shift since 2021, and also promised a "more proactive" fiscal approach to stabilise property and stock markets and "forcefully lift consumption".As a result, China stocks saw a rally.

• Focus is now on China's Central Economic Work Conference later this week.

US

• Trump assured he will not replace Fed Chair Powell, despite potential conflicts with the US central bank.

• Despite warnings, markets predict an 80% chance of a Fed cut in December.

Source: CSOP and Bloomberg as of 20241210

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LCU

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SHD

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# US-China Dialogue: Is a Spring Coming for China Stocks?

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