FOMC minutes confirmed the Fed's cautious stance on policy easing【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】
Weekly Performance Checkpoint
【SRT】
Last week, SRT’s decline can be attributable to retail, office and industrial by subsectors, and Suntec REIT, CICT and MINT by individual REITs. Suntec REIT fell amidst its subsidiaries refinancing by signing AU$399mn loan agreements. Despite Suntec REIT and CICT’s decline this week, they alongside with other mall landlords, are expected to benefit from Singapore’s 2025 budget, which saw handouts to household to alleviate rising living costs as well as support consumption.
$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 YTD Total Return: -1.86%
【MMF】
Last week, FOMC minutes confirmed the Fed's cautious stance on policy easing, due to high uncertainty, maintaining its easing bias. This reinforces the Fed’s preference for a “wait-and-see” approach while waiting for more clarity on the inflation and overall economic outlook.
As such, we expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 20250221, the fund has net yield at 4.22%. ^
$CSOP US Dollar Money Market ETF Unlisted Share Class P(HK0000503836)$ Net 7-day Yield: +4.22%
^ 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.
【CN】
Last week, interbank funding conditions were still tight, and 7-day banks-only repo rate averaged 1.92% this month while the 7-day system-wide repo rate averaged 1.97%. This was worse than anticipated due to higher equity transaction volumes with daily equity transaction volume increasing till ~RMB 1.8trn at end of January, thereby raising transactional demand for liquidity. This week, it was announced that the China’s loan market quoted rate remains unchanged.
There is an expectation for the PBOC to prefer tighter-than-usual funding conditions to support RMB stability. As such, a reduction in the required reserve ratio is likely to either be delayed or delivered in smaller amounts.
Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/02/20, CYC/CYB’s NAV rose -0.17% in CNY and +0.32% in USD*.
* $ICBC CSOP CGB ETF SGD(CYC.SI)$ USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error
Global Market Outlook
【SG】Singapore 2025 budget to benefit retail, office and industrial SREITs
Singapore's 2025 budget, featuring S$800/household handouts and SG60 vouchers of S$600-800 for citizens over 21, aims to ease living costs and stimulate retail sales, potentially benefiting mall landlords like CICT, FCT, Suntec REIT and MPACT. It also includes an S$5bn business growth investment, a S$3bn tech investment to the National Productivity Fund, and a S$1bn investment to Private Credit Growth Fund for high-growth firms. This could raise occupancy and rents for office and industrial REITs like CLAR, MINT, EREIT, CICT, KREIT and Suntec REIT.
【US】PCE price index to be released this week
This coming week, the key data release to look out for will be the PCE price index which will serve as an input to determine the trajectory of rates. Moving forward, given the absence of a debt ceiling resolution, T-bill paydowns are anticipated in the next few weeks, particularly concentrated in the front-end, causing the sector to richen.
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SRT
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CYC/CYB/CYX
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