Singapore Sees 2025 Growth Slow to 1-3% 【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】
Weekly Performance Checkpoint
【SRT】
SRT’s gains last week was led by industrial, retail and hotel by subsectors, as well as MLT, CICT and FLT by individual REITs. CICT gained amidst news that Singapore retail sales excluding vehicles gained 4.8% y/y in January, the highest growth since February 2024. This could lead to higher turnover rents and might lift 1Q revenue for mall landlords including CICT.
$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 YTD Total Return: -2.42%
【MMF】
Last week, short-term US Treasury yields fell sharply while long-term rates held steady, though tariff news and frequent economic data kept long-end volatility elevated. This drove significant steepening in both Treasury and TIPS curves.
Nevertheless, we expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 20250307, the fund has a net yield at 4.21%. ^
$CSOP US Dollar Money Market ETF Unlisted Share Class P(HK0000503836)$ Net 7-day Yield: +4.21%
^ 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.
【CN】
The National People’s Congress policy targets aligned closely with market forecasts, yielding few surprises. China’s rates edged higher, tracking funding conditions and equity movements.
China’s 2025 GDP growth target is set around 5% and will be supported by proactive fiscal policy. China’s resolve to bolster domestic demand is also evident from their record high official fiscal deficit target of ~4.0% and higher special government bond issuance.
Looking ahead, given the lack of permanent liquidity provision from the central bank, interbank funding may stay tight as heavy bond issuance continues due to expanded fiscal stimulus.
Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/03/06, CYC/CYB’s NAV fell -0.46% in CNY and gained +0.31% in USD*.
* CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error
Global Market Outlook
【SG】Singapore Sees 2025 Growth Slow to 1-3% with Core Inflation at 1-2% Amid Global Tensions; Southeast Asia Eyed as 2030’s No.4 Economy
Singapore Deputy PM Gan Kim Yong projects Singapore’s 2025 economic growth at 1-3% (down from 2024’s 4.4%) amid geopolitical trade tensions and competition for strategic investments among big economies. Core inflation to moderate to 1-2%. Asia’s economy is expected to expand steadily, underpinned by Southeast Asia’s expected rise to the world’s fourth-largest economy by 2030.
【US】US Jobs, CPI Data to Test Bond Market After Volatile Month
In the week ahead, key US labor and inflation data (nonfarm payrolls, CPI) will dominate focus. Last month’s deviations from forecasts sparked bond market swings; a repeat could prolong the tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces in the bond market.
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SRT
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CYC/CYB/CYX
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