Potential Grab-GoTo Deal Drove Rally; JPM Expects Fed Rate Pause; China Stimulus Boost Economic Expectations [CSOP APAC Midweek Glance]

East Asia 

$CSOP LOW CARBON US$(LCU.SI)$ YTD return: +6.70%

  • LCU was up 2.45% in USD WTD as Asian equities rose on China stimulus optimism. 

  • WTD gains are predominantly led by Alibaba, Tencent and Xiaomi. 

$CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$ YTD return: -14.79%

  • SQU's 0.92% WTD gains in USD are primarily attributable to Grab, GoTo and Delta Electronics. 

  • Grab and GoTo rallied after Grab it said it will be moving forward with its attempt to acquire rival GoTo (a deal that could fetch over $7 bn) and has begun due diligence. Grab-GoTo combination will effectively control 60%-70% of Southeast Asia's on-demand services market, so this acquisition could potentially face regulatory scrutiny.

China 

$CSOP DIV ETF S$(SHD.SI)$ YTD return: -6.72%

$CSOP Star&Chinext50 S$(SCY.SI)$ YTD return: +1.28%

  • On Sunday, China's State Council unveiled an action plan to boost consumption, proposing measures such as expanding bond investment products for retail investors and deploying funds from ultra-long special treasury bonds to subsidize consumer goods trade-ins.

  • Bank of America Securities' latest survey indicates global fund managers foresee "East Rises, West Declines," with improving expectations for China's economy. 

US

  • Escalating trade tensions risk denting growth and consumer sentiment, potentially pushing yields lower if markets price in more dovish Fed path—aligning with JPM’s bullish bias.

  • However, regarding the upcoming FOMC meeting, JPM expects a Fed rate pause, unchanged QT, and revised 2025 outlook to reflect lower growth and higher inflation but retains two 2024 rate cuts. 

Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, as of 2025/03/18

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LCU

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SCY

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SQQ/SQU

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SHD

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