To The Moon

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  NVDA is Bearish and It's not because of Performance  

Nvidia has been wrought with market scares, disappointment and broad market down-turns as Retail Investors dont find good reasons to buy the stock at any higher valuations which I believe in the short-term is justified.

Let me Explain why this is my first bearish post after having such a Bullish outlook on the stock and how this will likely change as I am Bullish Long-term.

Recent Key Events:

- NVDA Earnings Febuary

- GTC Keynote by Jensen Huang

- US Federal Rate Announcement & Powell Conference

As the trend since the Deepseek sell-off and Trump administration Tariff War has shown, the Market is rife with Extreme Fear which seems to contradict the rational outlook and future prospective growth of the US Economy. Should'nt the Market start a Reversal by now?

No. Not anytime soon, admittedly uncertainty has dug itself deep despite the positive and growth sided news we have been receiving.

Febuary Earning missed their very overestimated goal but Revenue and Cash flow had beaten the last year by a significant margin. GTC Keynote showcased NVIDIA had thhe initiative to partner with Industry leaders and startups to create value cyclically as AI and Data centers grow, Higher demand for NVDA plus their newest upgrades to the Blackwell line of Chips with the following years being planned for much more to come. Displaying Industry dominance and being deep in markets not just in AI but its CUDA libraries, Quantum and Robotics partnership continue to widen and deepen the moat around NVIDIA.

Even more recent than GTC are the Partnerships with aiX/Grok and other industry partners and finally last but not least. Jerome Powell's Conference giving the market a breath of fresh air.

Despite all these good news? Why? We are simply people who only think short term. What does this mean? 

This may be the Bull's edge although we are going to have to wait for the next rate cut which will signal the turn. I truly believe for 1st half of 2025 the bears will have their dance. But Its not as far as 2026.