šCBA Trader Interview: Tay Chi Keng spotlights Opportunities in China
Introduction
In 2022, when headlines screamed about China's "un-investable" markets and friends dumped their Chinese tech holdings, I did something radical: I doubled down. Today, my Tencent position sits on 70% unrealized gains, while Alibaba forms the core of my portfolio. This isn't luck, it's the result of a seven-year journey learning to separate fear from opportunity in the world's most misunderstood market.
How It All Began
My investing education began during National Service, where I balanced military duties with analyzing stocks in my bunk. But the real foundation came earlier watching my veteran investor father turn dinner conversations into masterclasses on investing.
This unique upbringing shaped my hybrid approach:
Value Investing Roots (Buffett/Munger principles)
Behavioral Edge (Spotting when fear overshoots fundamentals)
My "aha" moment came when I realized most investors overcomplicate China: "At least their regulatory risks are transparent.
The China Playbook: Finding Diamonds in the Rough
While others panicked-sold during the 2022 tech crackdown, I saw Tencent trading as if its 40% of revenues gaming business was worthless. My framework kicked in:
The Resilience Test
Did regulations destroy the core business? (Noājust reshaped it)
What was management doing? (Adapting and innovating)
The Sentiment Gauge
When my finance peers called me "reckless" for buying, I knew we were near capitulation
The Valuation Anchor
Netting out their cash and investment portfolio, Tencent and Alibaba were trading at single-digit valuation multiples (as if the market was pricing in permanent decline)
Execution Through Volatility
Here's how Tiger Trade enables my strategy:
Long-Term Focus
Community Wisdom
Why I'm Still Not Selling
With Chinese tech now rebounding, everyone asks: "When do you take profits?" My answer:
Tencent still trades below the 5-year average P/E
Alibaba's cloud/AI investments are just monetizing
A Challenge to the Tiger Trade Community
The next crisis will comeāmaybe from tariffs, maybe regulation. When it does:
Check if the business broke or just the stock price
Ask: "Is this a temporary or permanent issue?"
Review my 3-part Resilience Test
Final Thought
Markets will always test your conviction, but with the right framework, panic becomes an opportunity. The next crisis isnāt a reason to flee; itās your chance to buy what others misunderstand.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

