Apple Stock Analysis: Technicals, Earnings & WWDC Catalyst
(Data as of June 9, 2025 | USD terms)
I. Technical Analysis
Current Price: $203.92 (-18.57% YTD)
52-Week Range : $169.21–$260.10
Key Levels:
Support: $189.91 (June 6 low)
Resistance: $204.01 (June 6 high)
Recent Trends:
April Collapse: Stock plunged -34% from March highs to $169.21 (April 8), driven by weak Q2 guidance and delayed AI product timelines.
Recovery Phase: Rally to $210s in May stalled at 50-day MA ($215 est.), with June volatility ahead of WWDC.
Volume Signal: Short-volume ratio spiked to 15.19% on June 4, suggesting bearish sentiment.
Technical Indicators:
RSI (14-day) : ~45 (neutral, no oversold signal).
Forward P/E : 28.46x (below 5-yr avg. of 28.61x).
Analyst Targets: Median PT $231.02 (+13% upside).
II. Earnings Health Check
Q2 2025 Highlights (Reported May 2):
EPS: $1.65 vs. $1.53 (Q2 2024) | Net Profit: $24.78B (+4.8% YoY).
Margin Pressures: Gross margin dipped to 47.05% (vs. 46.58% YoY), while liquidity ratios weakened (Current Ratio: 0.82 vs. 1.04 YoY).
ROE Strength: 148.43% (vs. 127.51% YoY) driven by aggressive buybacks.
Market Reaction:
Stock fell -3.74% post-earnings (May 2) on concerns over delayed AI monetization.
III. WWDC 2025: Bullish Catalyst or Trap?
Key Expectations:
iOS 26/macOS 26 updates, but no major AI reveals (per news: Siri overhaul delayed).
Historical Pattern:
2024 WWDC: Stock +8% pre-event, flat post-announcement.
2023 WWDC: Stock -5.6% post-Vision Pro launch.
Sentiment Check:
News headlines cite "low expectations" and "lackluster AI roadmap."
Recent +1.64% gain (June 9) hints at cautious optimism.
IV. Strategic Takeaway
Bull Case:
Valuation at 5-yr P/E lows.
$200 aligns with April-May consolidation zone (strong support).
Risks:
No near-term AI catalyst.
Liquidity squeeze (Quick Ratio: 0.68 vs. 0.87 YoY).
Action:
A $200 entry offers favorable risk/reward with stop-loss below $189.91. Monitor WWDC AI hints for breakout above $204 resistance.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results. Conduct your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before trading
@CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger @CaptainTiger @Daily_Discussion
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
