To The Moon

$Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF(ETH)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🚀🧠📈 Bitcoin Cools From $123K Peak While Ethereum Builds Pressure Below $3K 📈🧠🚀 Bitcoin briefly blasted through $123K on 14Jul25, marking a fresh ATH before retracing toward $117K as inflation jitters resurfaced. Meanwhile, Ethereum is quietly coiling just below $3,000 in what may be one of the largest bull flag setups since 2021. As BTC digests gains, ETH could be gearing up to lead the next crypto leg higher. 👑 BTC Dominance Intact, But Exhaustion Signs Are Emerging BTC’s spike to $123,278 wasn’t just a technical breakout, it was a test of market conviction. The order book is now heavily skewed to the sell side, yet price is holding near highs. That imbalance often signals one thing: seller exhaustion. In other words, the market may be running out of fuel to push lower. Technically: • RSI(6) at 75.23 shows persistent strength • MACD remains deeply bullish with a wide divergence • All key MAs (5, 10, 20) are fanning upward in trend alignment But with Bitcoin miners approaching resistance and inflows flattening, this could be a tactical cool-off phase. Historically, when miners stall, BTC consolidates or retraces modestly, giving strategic buyers better entries before the next vertical leg. 🧯 Inflation Spike Triggers Pullback, But Politics Bring the Rebound US CPI rose 0.3% MoM in June, lifting annual inflation to 2.7%. That triggered a sharp selloff in BTC, dragging it to $116K. Yet Donald Trump was quick to pivot the narrative: “Make America the UNDISPUTED, NUMBER ONE LEADER in Digital Assets.” He labelled the CPI figures “very low” and reaffirmed support for Fed cuts. Combined with Crypto Week legislation and his pro-crypto campaign stance, the backdrop is increasingly constructive. 🧠 Options Markets Quietly Flip Bullish On 14Jul25, VIX 25-delta skew moved into call bias territory. This is rare. It shows institutional traders are no longer just hedging downside, they’re preparing for a potential upside volatility spike. When options flow turns like this, smart money is positioning for renewed expansion in risk assets. 📊 BTC as the Macro Thermometer: SPX Moves in Its Wake BTC has reliably led the S&P 500 by roughly a month: • BTC ATH on 20Jan → SPX ATH 19Feb • BTC ATH on 22May → SPX ATH 27Jun • BTC breakout past $120K → SPX breakout past $6,269 on 14Jul25 Crypto’s rhythm is forecasting equities again. If Bitcoin holds its breakout zone, it strengthens the case for further upside in US equities, especially small-caps. 🧠 Enter Ethereum: Stronger Setup, Broader Tailwinds While BTC garners headlines, ETH is showing stealth strength across all frames. Ethereum is up 22% in the past month but still down 9% YTD, offering asymmetric upside with a technical catalyst in sight. 1. Fundamentals Flashing Bullish: • Ethereum’s 7DMA transaction count just hit 1.5M, a new all-time high • $CRCL and $USDT volume growth reflects deeper stablecoin adoption • Fundstrat’s Sean Farrell calls this the “ChatGPT moment” for tokenisation 2. Technical Structure Building Power: • Massive bull flag on the monthly chart nearing resolution • $4K is the psychological and structural breakout level • Last time ETH cleared a pattern like this, it surged over 300% 3. ETH is a Leading Indicator for Small-Caps: • ETH and $IWM have traded nearly in lockstep since early 2024 • ETH bottomed at $1,385 with a TD13 signal, then reversed higher • With Fed cuts expected later in 2025, both are poised for risk-on flows 🔮 Scenario Forecast: BTC Cools, ETH Breaks • BTC short-term: floats between $114K and $123K while sell pressure is digested • ETH breakout zone: clearing $3,400–$3,600 confirms flag resolution, targeting $4K and beyond • Macro roadmap: Fed rate cuts plus political crypto tailwinds equal high-beta outperformance ⚠️ Key Risks To Watch • Persistent inflation surprises could delay Fed cuts • Miners and ETF rebalancing may cap BTC near-term • ETH remains rangebound since 2021, and until it reclaims $4K, conviction will stay cautious 🎯 Conclusion: Ethereum May Be the Smart Money’s Choice Bitcoin dominated the first half of 2025, but now faces a digestion phase at elevated valuations. Ethereum, in contrast, is still trading near its multi-year breakout point with volume surging, fundamentals accelerating, and macro conditions aligning. The risk-reward has shifted. The quiet phase is ending. ETH is the bid. If this bull flag resolves upward, it won’t be subtle. The next crypto leader may not be the loudest voice, but the most prepared protocol. 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀 @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks @TigerObserver @TigerClub @Daily_Discussion